Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

GT

Greenland Technologies Holding Corp. (GTEC)·Q1 2021 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record quarter: revenue $24.61M (+149.3% YoY), gross margin 20.7% (+120 bps YoY), and EPS $0.21, powered by 36,986 transmission units delivered (+129.7% YoY) .
  • Operating leverage was significant: operating income $2.85M vs $0.07M YoY; net income $2.44M vs $0.33M YoY, with OpEx at 9.1% of revenue (down 970 bps YoY) .
  • FY 2021 revenue guidance introduced at $80–$90M (+20%–35% YoY), reflecting core drivetrain demand and initial Industrial EV contributions later in the year .
  • Strategic catalysts: lithium-powered integrated drivetrains gaining traction, U.S. assembly footprint for electric industrial vehicles (GEL 1800) targeted for Q4 commercialization; management underscores strong China forklift demand and electrification tailwinds .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Best quarter to date with $24.61M revenue, 36,986 units delivered; CEO: “We achieved our best quarter to date…record delivery of roughly 37,000 transmission units” .
  • Gross margin expansion to 20.7% driven by reduced material costs via supplier negotiations and productivity gains; CFO: “we generated 20.7% of gross margin…higher than…2019.5%” .
  • Operating efficiency: OpEx +21% YoY vs revenue +149%, lowering OpEx/revenue to 9.1%; CFO emphasized process automation and optimized management functions .

What Went Wrong

  • Rising raw material (steel) costs created procurement challenges; CEO noted China steel prices up ~40% since January, requiring intensive sourcing efforts to sustain production .
  • Sales concentration: >95% revenue from China; global diversification remains future-focused (U.S. market entry in 2021/2022) .
  • Limited quarterly disclosure on segment/product mix (no Q1 segment breakdowns); visibility into non-forklift EV revenue limited to annual disclosures, constraining near-term mix analysis .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2020Q3 2020Q1 2021
Revenue ($USD Millions)$9.87 $16.52 $24.61
EPS (Basic & Diluted, $)$0.03 $0.02 $0.21
Gross Margin (%)19.5% 20.6% 20.7%
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$0.07 $2.24 $2.85
Net Income ($USD Millions)$0.33 $0.46 $2.44
Transmission Units Sold (’000)16.10 N/A36.99

KPIs and Operating Detail (Q1 2021 vs Q1 2020):

KPIQ1 2020Q1 2021
COGS ($USD Millions)$7.95 $19.51
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$1.92 $5.10
Selling Expense ($USD Millions)$0.22 $0.38
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$1.07 $0.91
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$0.56 $0.96
OpEx as % of Revenue18.8% 9.1%
Shares Outstanding (Weighted Avg)10.01M 10.33M

Segment/Product Mix (context – annual):

ProductFY 2019 Revenue ($USD)FY 2020 Revenue ($USD)
Transmission boxes for Forklift$52,140,258 $58,407,137
Transmission boxes for Non-Forklift (EV, etc.)$260,586 $8,457,238
Total$52,400,844 $66,864,375

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2021None provided$80M–$90MIntroduced

Management commentary indicates Industrial EV commercialization in Q4 2021 with U.S. assembly sites; no explicit margin, OpEx, OI&E, tax rate, or dividend guidance provided .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2020 and FY 2020)Current Period (Q1 2021)Trend
Electrification & Lithium AdoptionDelayed robotics; ramping lithium innovations; planning U.S. manufacturing; 108 patents Integrated drivetrains for lithium forklifts seeing strong adoption; GEL 1800 EV loader to be commercially available in Q4 2021 Accelerating product roadmap adoption
Supply Chain & Raw MaterialsCOVID-related disruptions managed; improved balance sheet, inventory planning Steel prices +40% since Jan; expanded supplier base; expect policy-driven normalization Short-term cost pressure; medium-term stabilization expected
Demand in ChinaBacklog fulfillment; strong OEM demand lifted Q3 China forklift demand “skyrocketing”; OEM growth ~40%+; China ~40% of global forklift sales Robust domestic demand continues
Geographic DiversificationPlanning U.S. manufacturing footprint >95% sales China; U.S. entry starting with EVs; assembly in U.S. via asset-light model Early-stage international expansion
Market PositionLeading transmission developer; expanding product scope ~35% forklift drivetrain share; largest independent supplier in China Reinforced leadership
R&D Execution108 patents; roadmap milestones R&D +70% YoY to $0.96M; beta phase for EVs completed Sustained investment in innovation

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We achieved our best quarter to date, with $24.6 million in revenue driven by a record delivery of roughly 37,000 transmission units… demand for material handling vehicles… in China has never been larger” .
  • CEO: “We expect to have our first production-ready electric industrial vehicle, an electric loader… 1.8-ton payload… powered by a 141kwh lithium battery, in Q4 of this year” .
  • CFO: “Operating expenses as a percentage of total revenue was 9.1%, a decrease of 9.7 percentage point compared to 18.8%… general and administrative expenses were $0.9 million, a decrease of 15%” .
  • CEO on raw materials: “price of steel has increased by 40%… we anticipate that the price of steel is going to drop down dramatically” .
  • CEO on market share and customers: “largest independent drive train supplier for forklift trucks in China with over 35% market share… clientele includes Toyota, Linde, Heli, Hangcha, and Doosan” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Market share definition: ~35% share across both electric and ICE forklifts; not inclusive of other small equipment categories .
  • Geographic concentration: >95% sales in China; shift toward global sales expected starting 2022 .
  • Growth drivers: China infrastructure and warehouse build-out; electrification with lithium adoption (+186% YoY for lithium forklifts; 25% of electric forklift sales) driving integrated drivetrain demand .
  • Margin dynamics: Steel +40% since Jan; procurement secured; expectation of price relief from policy changes; potential further margin improvement thereafter .
  • Industrial EV launch: Beta R&D completed; pilot cost ~$150k–$250k; full-scale assembly investment $2.5M–$5M; U.S. macro-assembly model with China-sourced core components; commercialization targeted Q4 2021, with sales impact in 2022 .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus from S&P Global (EPS, revenue) for Q1 2021 and FY 2021 was unavailable at time of access due to SPGI request limits. As a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses versus consensus for this quarter [SPGI error: Daily Request Limit Exceeded].
  • Given the magnitude of outperformance vs prior year and sequential step-up vs Q3 2020, sell-side estimates may need upward revisions for FY 2021 to reflect stronger baseline demand, margin resilience, and EV commercialization timing .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Strong operational execution and pricing/productivity levers drove record revenue and margin expansion; operating leverage is evident and likely persists if raw materials normalize .
  • China forklift demand and lithium adoption remain powerful tailwinds; integrated drivetrain product line positions GTEC to capture OEM urgency to electrify .
  • FY 2021 guidance ($80–$90M) now anchors expectations; watch Q2/Q3 trajectory for run-rate sustainability and early Industrial EV revenue signals .
  • U.S. expansion via asset-light assembly reduces capex intensity and accelerates EV market entry; commercialization in Q4 2021 could be a narrative catalyst into 2022 .
  • Supply chain breadth improved under stress; potential steel price relief may support further margin improvement, offering upside to profitability .
  • Sales concentration in China is a risk; execution on U.S. EV entry and diversification will be critical to multiple re-rating .
  • With consensus unavailable, near-term estimate revisions are probable following record Q1—monitor future calls for EV order intake, mix, and margin guidance updates .

Appendix: Additional Data Points

  • Balance sheet strength: Current assets $121.34M; total equity $54.76M as of 3/31/21 .
  • Q3 2020 context: Revenue $16.52M, gross margin 20.6%, operating income $2.24M; COVID backlog fulfillment enabled the step-up ahead of Q4/Q1 records .