Sign in
GC

GRANITE CONSTRUCTION INC (GVA)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 revenue rose 4% year-over-year to $700 million; adjusted diluted EPS was $0.01 versus consensus of $(0.46), while GAAP diluted EPS was $(0.77). CAP reached a record $5.7 billion, up $444 million sequentially; guidance for FY25 was maintained. [+$700m revenue, $0.01 adj EPS, $(0.77) GAAP EPS, CAP $5.7B, guidance unchanged]
  • Construction segment margins expanded sharply (gross margin 13.9% vs. 9.5% LY) on improved execution and higher-quality backlog; Materials improved cash gross profit but remained at a modest gross loss due to depreciation and amortization.
  • SG&A spiked to 16.6% of revenue on $18 million higher stock-based compensation year-over-year ($32.2 million total SBC in Q1), masking underlying operational improvements; adjusted EBITDA doubled year-over-year to $28 million.
  • Management reiterated confidence in hitting FY25 revenue ($4.2–$4.4B) and adjusted EBITDA margin (11–12%) guidance, citing robust public funding (IIJA), record CAP quality, and a healthy M&A pipeline (target 2–3 deals in 2025).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record CAP of $5.7 billion (+$444 million sequential) positions the company for revenue growth and margin expansion; “we are well positioned to meet our guidance for 2025 as well as our 2027 financial targets.”
  • Construction segment delivered strong margin expansion (gross profit +$29 million YoY; margin 13.9%) driven by execution and a higher-quality project portfolio.
  • Materials segment cash gross profit and margin improved (cash GP +$2.6 million YoY; 12.3%), supported by higher aggregates volumes and pricing and acquisitions; management highlighted progress in aggregate margin improvement.

Selected quotes:

  • “Bidding opportunities have consistently increased…record CAP of $5.7 billion…we are well positioned to meet our guidance for 2025 as well as our 2027 financial targets.” — CEO Kyle Larkin
  • “Construction segment gross profit improved $29 million to $85 million with a gross profit margin of 14%.” — CFO Staci Woolsey
  • “I am particularly proud of the progress our teams made in raising aggregate margins.” — CEO Kyle Larkin

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP net loss widened to $(33.7) million (diluted EPS $(0.77)) due to higher SG&A, including $32.2 million in stock-based compensation and $9.4 million in “other costs, net.”
  • Revenue missed consensus modestly ($699.5 million actual vs. ~$706.2 million estimate*) amid wet March weather slowing progression and revenue recognition in Western markets.
  • Reported EBITDA was negative on a GAAP basis despite adjusted EBITDA improvement, underscoring sensitivity to non-GAAP adjustments.

Financial Results

Quarterly Trend (QoQ)

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$1,275.5 $977.3 $699.5
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$1.57 $0.84 $(0.77)
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$2.05 $1.23 $0.01
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$202.9 $150.8 $83.8
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$149.3 $108.5 $28.1
SG&A ($USD Millions)$91.7 $84.5 $115.9
SG&A (% of Revenue)7.2% 8.6% 16.6%
CAP ($USD Billions)$5.6 $5.3 $5.7

Year-over-Year (Q1)

MetricQ1 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$672.3 $699.5
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$(0.70) $(0.77)
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$(0.21) $0.01
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$54.3 $83.8
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$14.1 $28.1

Segment Breakdown (Q1)

MetricQ1 2024Q1 2025
Construction Revenue ($USD Millions)$595.2 $614.6
Construction Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$56.8 $85.4
Construction Gross Margin (%)9.5% 13.9%
Materials Revenue ($USD Millions)$77.1 $84.9
Materials Gross Profit (Loss) ($USD Millions)$(2.5) $(1.6)
Materials Cash Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$7.9 $10.5
Materials Cash Gross Margin (%)10.2% 12.3%

KPIs – Materials Product Lines (Q1)

KPIQ1 2024Q1 2025
Aggregates Sales Tons (000s)3,228 3,768
Aggregates ASP per Ton ($)$14.99 $15.64
Aggregates Cash Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$5.0 $12.1
Aggregates Cash GM (%)10.4% 20.5%
Asphalt Sales Tons (000s)549 733
Asphalt ASP per Ton ($)$86.40 $83.23
Asphalt Cash Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$(1.4) $0.9
Asphalt Cash GM (%)(2.9)% 1.4%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2025$4.2–$4.4B $4.2–$4.4B Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA MarginFY 202511.0%–12.0% 11.0%–12.0% Maintained
SG&A (% of Revenue)FY 2025~9.0% incl. ~$45M SBC ~9.0% incl. ~$45M SBC Maintained
Effective Tax Rate (Adjusted NI)FY 2025Mid-20s Mid-20s Maintained
Capital ExpendituresFY 2025$140–$160M $140–$160M Maintained
Operating Cash Flow TargetFY 20259% of revenue “On track” for 9% of revenue Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 & Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
CAP & Backlog QualityCAP $5.6B; focus on best-value projects and home markets; expect margin expansion into 2025 Record CAP $5.7B; strong bid environment; winning higher-margin work; CAP expected to keep growing Improving
IIJA/Public FundingIIJA tailwinds to extend beyond 2026; strong state budgets (e.g., CA) IIJA continues to fuel opportunities; no delays experienced; benefits to extend well beyond 2026 Supportive
Materials Margin & PricingPrice increases (agg ~10%, asphalt ~5%); cash GM rising; reorganization benefits High single-digit agg price increases; cash GM up; aggregate margins improving; product-level disclosures added Improving
M&A StrategyPlatform built in Southeast; target 1–2 deals/year; larger deals possible with discipline Target 2–3 deals in 2025; pipeline active; focus on vertically integrated assets Active
Tariffs/InflationInflation ~3%; derisked portfolio to mitigate cost swings Tariffs have not significantly impacted results; pre-authorize capex to mitigate equipment/parts increases Managed
Federal/Defense WorkFederal division strong; Guam, Texas projects; CAP adds expected H1’25 New Guam BESS JV ($97M) into Q1 CAP; Alaska CMGC phase ($54M) awarded in May Growing
Cash Flow DisciplineFY24 op cash flow 11%; target 9% in FY25; FCF ~50% of EBITDA Q1 op cash flow $4M; on track for 9% for year; cash + marketable securities $513M On track

Management Commentary

  • “We are off to a great start in 2025…record CAP of $5.7 billion…we are well positioned to meet our guidance for 2025 as well as our 2027 financial targets.” — Kyle Larkin, CEO
  • “Construction segment gross profit improved $29 million to $85 million with a gross profit margin of 14%…largely due to improved execution and performance across our higher-quality project portfolio.” — Staci Woolsey, CFO
  • “Tariffs…to date, they have not significantly impacted our results or our strategy.” — Kyle Larkin, CEO
  • “We expect our cash gross profit margins in Materials segment to go up over 3% [300 bps] in 2025.” — Kyle Larkin, CEO

Q&A Highlights

  • CAP trajectory and mix: Management expects CAP to continue increasing, with strong public market support; mix of bid-build (faster burn) and best value (longer burn) seen as healthy.
  • Construction margins: Margin expansion attributed to execution and improved CAP; expectation of continued improvement through 2025.
  • Materials revenue share and growth: Materials revenue ~14% of Construction in Q1; expectation to run ~17–18% over time as vertical integration expands.
  • Federal business strength: Guam and Texas highlighted; Southeast acquisitions performing well with strong leadership and integration success.
  • Tariffs and capex: Expect some equipment/parts cost increases; company pre-authorizes capex early to mitigate.
  • Demand cadence: Jan–Feb strong; wet March slowed projects; April appeared strong.

Estimates Context

How results compared to Wall Street consensus (S&P Global):

  • Adjusted EPS: Q1 2025 $0.01 vs $(0.455) consensus* — bold beat.
  • Revenue: Q1 2025 $699.5M vs $706.2M consensus* — slight miss.
  • Prior quarters for context: Q4 2024 adj EPS $1.23 vs $1.235 consensus* (in line); Q3 2024 adj EPS $2.05 vs $2.465 consensus* (miss on EPS; revenue slightly below)*.
MetricQ3 2024 (Est vs Actual)Q4 2024 (Est vs Actual)Q1 2025 (Est vs Actual)
Primary EPS Consensus Mean ($)2.465 vs 2.05*1.235 vs 1.23*(0.455) vs 0.01*
Revenue Consensus Mean ($USD)1,286.8M vs 1,275.5M*949.9M vs 977.3M*706.2M vs 699.5M*
EBITDA Consensus Mean ($USD)181.7M vs 145.1M*119.9M vs 92.7M*12.1M vs (1.9)M*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Note: Granite presents adjusted EPS; comparisons above use adjusted EPS actuals consistent with company-reported non-GAAP. [Q3 & Q4 actuals per press releases; Q1 actual per 8‑K]

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Construction margin expansion is the core driver; with record CAP quality and improved execution, expect continued margin improvement into Q2/Q3 — supportive of the 11–12% adjusted EBITDA margin target.
  • Materials cash margin is inflecting (aggregates ASP +$0.65/ton; cash GM up 210 bps), with management targeting further 300 bps expansion in 2025 — a medium-term lever for consolidated margins.
  • Reported GAAP loss stems largely from elevated SBC and “other costs”; adjusted results show operational improvement. Watch SG&A normalization and SBC cadence across 2025.
  • Strong public funding (IIJA) and expanding federal work (Guam, Alaska) underpin backlog visibility; continued CAP growth is a key stock catalyst.
  • Q1 print: EPS beat, revenue slight miss versus consensus*; trajectory and guidance reaffirmation should support estimate stability, with potential upward revisions if CAP converts to faster burn in Q2–Q3.
  • Active M&A pipeline (2–3 deals in 2025) focused on vertically integrated materials assets; balance sheet and cash generation provide optionality.
  • Seasonality and weather remain near-term variables; management indicated April was strong and expects heavier revenue/cash flow in Q2–Q3.

Additional Q1 2025 Press Releases (Context)

  • JV awarded ~$97M battery energy storage project in Guam (included in Q1 CAP).
  • Caltrans ~$66M Caldwell Avenue interchange reconstruction (included in Q1 CAP).
  • Fort Bliss rail yard ~$71M (construction began Feb 2025; prior CAP).
  • Alaska Parks Highway realignment CMGC Phase 1 ~$54M (awarded May 20).

Non-GAAP Adjustments and Impact

  • Adjusted net income reconciliation: After-tax adjusting items of $33.9 million (SBC, transaction costs, other costs) turned GAAP net loss of $(33.7) million into adjusted net income of $0.2 million (adjusted diluted EPS $0.01).
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose to $28.1 million (vs. $14.1 million LY), while GAAP EBITDA was negative due to SBC and “other costs”; management emphasizes adjusted metrics for operating performance.

Why Metrics Moved

  • Margin expansion in Construction tied to higher-quality backlog and execution; wet March tempered revenue burn but did not derail margins.
  • Materials cash margin gains driven by pricing (aggregates high-single-digit increases), volumes, and acquisitions; depreciation from investments keeps GAAP gross profit muted.
  • SG&A uptick primarily due to increased stock-based compensation aligned with performance and share appreciation.
* Values retrieved from S&P Global