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GRANITE CONSTRUCTION INC (GVA)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 delivered solid YoY growth: revenue up 5% to $977M, GAAP diluted EPS $0.84, and adjusted diluted EPS $1.23; FY 2024 marked records across revenue ($4.01B), adjusted net income ($214M), adjusted EBITDA ($402M), and operating cash flow ($456M, 11.4% of revenue) .
- Margin expansion continued: Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin was 11.1% (vs. 8.1% in Q4 2023), driven by improved project execution in a higher-quality Construction portfolio; Materials cash gross profit rose despite higher D&A .
- 2025 guidance introduced: revenue $4.2B–$4.4B, adjusted EBITDA margin 11–12%, SG&A ~9% of revenue (incl. ~$45M SBC), mid-20s tax rate, capex $140–$160M (with ~$50M Materials investments); management targets CAP rebuild in 1H25 to support growth .
- Catalysts: expected addition of significant awards to CAP in 1H25, potential asset sale deferred from Q4 to 2025, and an active M&A pipeline (targeting 2–3 deals/year), positioning for further margin gains and vertically integrated growth .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Construction segment margin inflected: Q4 Construction gross profit rose $56M YoY to $128M; gross margin increased to 15.6% from 9.1%, reflecting focus on home markets and best value projects .
- Materials pricing and operational initiatives: Q4 Materials cash gross profit improved to $37.1M with cash margin at 23.8%, supported by price increases, modernized plants, and automation projects .
- Cash generation: FY 2024 operating cash flow reached $456M (11.4% of revenue), aided by process improvements and DSO reduction; year-end cash and marketable securities were ~$586M .
What Went Wrong
- CAP declined sequentially: CAP fell to $5.30B from $5.62B in Q3 (down $324M QoQ), reflecting award timing; management expects rebuild in 1H25 amid robust bidding .
- Materials GAAP margin compression: Q4 Materials gross margin decreased to 14.5% (from 15.9% YoY) due to increased depreciation, depletion, and amortization tied to M&A and upgrades .
- Asset sale slipped: a planned ~$17M gain on sale did not close in Q4 and is now expected in 2025; not included in 2025 guidance, which could otherwise benefit from completion .
Financial Results
Segment performance:
KPIs and balance sheet:
Guidance Changes
Note: 2025 guidance introduced in Q4 reporting; no prior 2025 guidance to compare. Management also expects CAP rebuild in 1H25 and potential upside from a deferred asset sale not included in guidance .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “2024 was a record year for Granite… We expect to continue our organic revenue growth, execute on M&A, expand margins and generate consistent cash flow as we drive toward our 2027 targets.” — CEO Kyle Larkin .
- “We are well positioned to achieve our 2025 guidance as we continue to march toward our 2027 financial targets.” — CFO Staci Woolsey .
- “With the work that we have in CAP and the opportunities in front of us on the bid schedule, we are in a good position to achieve our organic growth expectations and [realize] improvement in segment gross margin in excess of 1% in 2025.” — CEO Kyle Larkin .
- “We ended the year with $586 million in cash and marketable securities and… $334 million in availability under our revolving credit facility.” — CFO Staci Woolsey .
- “We have a target of completing 2 or 3 deals a year as we focus on strengthening our western and southeastern footprints.” — CEO Kyle Larkin .
Q&A Highlights
- Margin expansion mechanics: At the midpoint, ~150bps of adjusted EBITDA margin improvement in 2025; just over 100bps from Construction, balance from Materials .
- Free cash flow framework: 2025 operating cash flow targeted at ~9% of revenue; FCF targeted around ~50% of EBITDA going forward .
- CAP trajectory: Q4 added ~$450M of low bids vs. prior year; awards expected to flow into CAP in Q1–Q2 despite seasonal revenue burn rate variability .
- Inflation assumptions and risk mitigation: Company bidding assumes ~3% inflation; contracts largely fully designed with supplier/contractor coverage to limit price exposure .
- Asset sale timing: Expected Q4 gain on sale (~$17M) slipped to 2025; not included in guidance, offers upside if completed .
Estimates Context
- Consensus EPS and revenue estimates from S&P Global were unavailable at time of request due to provider rate limits. As a result, comparisons to Wall Street consensus cannot be provided for Q4 2024 in this recap. If needed, we can refresh once access is restored and update beat/miss assessments.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix-driven margin expansion: Construction portfolio discipline and best value focus are driving sustained margin gains; 2025 adjusted EBITDA margin guided to 11–12% with Construction contributing >100bps .
- Durable demand backdrop: State budgets (esp. California) and IIJA funding support multi-year public market strength; private markets (water infra, data centers, rail) remain robust .
- Materials lever for vertical integration: Pricing actions and automation underpin higher cash margins; targeted Materials capex (~$50M) and M&A (2–3 deals/year) should be accretive .
- CAP rebuild as near-term catalyst: Despite Q4 CAP decline, ~$450M of low bids and anticipated awards in H1 2025 position CAP to recover, supporting revenue visibility .
- Cash optionality: FY OCF $456M and ~$586M cash/marketable securities provide flexibility for strategic investments, M&A, dividends, and buybacks to offset SBC dilution .
- Upside swing factor: Deferred asset sale gain not included in 2025 guidance offers potential EPS/EBITDA upside if completed this year .
- Watch execution and seasonality: Materials GAAP margin is pressured by higher D&A; CAP can be lumpy, and Q1/Q4 weather can influence revenue burn—monitor quarterly margin and award flow .
Additional Relevant Press Releases (Q4 period context)
- Granite announces $71M rail yard expansion (Kansas) and $88M highway safety enhancement project (South Carolina), reflecting ongoing award momentum entering 2025 .
References:
Press release and 8-K results: .
Q4 2024 earnings call: .
Prior quarters: Q3 2024 press release ; Q2 2024 press release .
Other awards press releases: .