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HH

HAWAIIAN HOLDINGS INC (HA)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2024 revenue grew 5.4% year over year to $645.6M, but GAAP net loss widened to $137.6M (EPS -$2.65) as unit costs rose and special merger-related items hit results .
  • Adjusted metrics also deteriorated: adjusted net loss -$143.5M (adj. EPS -$2.77) and adjusted EBITDA -$116.0M; pre-tax margin was -23.7% GAAP and -24.8% adjusted .
  • Guidance was mixed: Q2 2024 RASM guided -1.5% to +1.5% YoY; FY 2024 ASMs reduced to up 4.5–7.5% (from up 6–9%) and FY CASM now up 4.1–6.3% (from up 0.7–3.0%), reflecting higher fuel and cost assumptions; capex unchanged at $500–$550M .
  • Strategic catalysts: 787-9 revenue service began April 15; free Starlink Wi‑Fi rolled out fleetwide on A321neos; shareholders approved the Alaska Air merger and the company entered a DOJ timing agreement, extending the path to close .
  • Note: Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) estimates were unavailable via our data interface for HA this quarter; as a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses versus Street expectations.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • 5.4% YoY revenue growth on 2.7% capacity growth; load factor improved 240 bps YoY to 80.6% and PRASM rose 3.5% YoY, showing demand resilience on core routes .
  • Operational reliability improved through the quarter, with on-time arrivals reaching ~87% in March according to management; “running a smooth, reliable operation has a positive impact on costs,” CEO Peter Ingram noted .
  • Strategic execution: 787-9 entered revenue service Apr 15; second A330-300 freighter for Amazon deployed JFK–SBD; Starlink now free on all 18 A321neos; expanded North America flying for summer and announced SLC–HNL, SMF–LIH/KOA additions .

What Went Wrong

  • Costs elevated: CASM excluding fuel and non-recurring items rose 7.1% YoY; maintenance materials and repairs +41.1% YoY; wages and benefits +8.3% YoY .
  • Profitability remained pressured: GAAP pre-tax margin -23.7% and adjusted -24.8%; adjusted EBITDA -$116.0M, reflecting lingering unit cost headwinds and limited freighter profit contribution .
  • International recovery is uneven; management cited the weak yen (~¥154–155/$) as a headwind to Japan-origin demand; premium and U.S. point-of-sale demand remains solid, but full benefits from the 787 ramp are more 2025-weighted .

Financial Results

Sequential Trend (Quarterly)

MetricQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Total Revenue ($USD Millions)$727.7 $669.1 $645.6
Passenger Revenue ($USD Millions)$664.9 $601.6 $583.4
Other Revenue ($USD Millions)$62.8 $67.5 $62.1
Diluted EPS (GAAP)-$0.94 -$1.96 -$2.65
Adjusted EPS-$1.06 -$2.37 -$2.77
Pre-Tax Margin (GAAP)-8.3% -19.0% -23.7%
Pre-Tax Margin (Adjusted)-9.5% -22.9% -24.8%
EBITDA (GAAP) ($USD Millions)-$3.2 -$71.8 -$109.0
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)-$11.7 -$98.1 -$116.0
RASM (¢)14.08¢ 13.11¢ 12.78¢
CASM (¢)15.14¢ 15.30¢ 15.72¢
CASM ex fuel & non-recurring (¢)11.27¢ 11.77¢ 11.82¢

Year-over-Year Comparison

MetricQ1 2023Q1 2024
Total Revenue ($USD Millions)$612.6 $645.6
Passenger Revenue ($USD Millions)$548.5 $583.4
Diluted EPS (GAAP)-$1.91 -$2.65 (includes -$0.32/share from tax rate change to ~10%)
Pre-Tax Margin (GAAP)-20.5% -23.7%
Adjusted EPS-$2.17 -$2.77
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)-$103.3 -$116.0
Load Factor (%)78.2% 80.6%
PRASM (¢)11.16¢ 11.55¢
RASM (¢)12.46¢ 12.78¢
CASM (¢)14.85¢ 15.72¢
CASM ex fuel & non-recurring (¢)11.04¢ 11.82¢
Avg Jet Fuel Cost ($/gal)$3.05 $2.79

Segment/Revenue Mix

Revenue SegmentQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Passenger ($USD Millions)$664.9 $601.6 $583.4
Other ($USD Millions)$62.8 $67.5 $62.1
Total ($USD Millions)$727.7 $669.1 $645.6

KPIs and Operating Statistics

KPIQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
ASMs (Millions)5,168.9 5,103.7 5,050.8
RPMs (Millions)4,451.5 4,220.6 4,073.2
Load Factor (%)86.1% 82.7% 80.6%
Yield (¢/RPM)14.94¢ 14.26¢ 14.33¢
PRASM (¢)12.87¢ 11.79¢ 11.55¢
RASM (¢)14.08¢ 13.11¢ 12.78¢
CASM (¢)15.14¢ 15.30¢ 15.72¢
CASM ex fuel & non-recurring (¢)11.27¢ 11.77¢ 11.82¢
Fuel Gallons (000s)68,521 68,756 67,651
Avg Fuel Cost ($/gal)$2.92 $2.94 $2.79
Economic Fuel ($/gal)$2.98 $2.98 $2.83

Balance Sheet and Liquidity Highlights

MetricQ4 2023 (12/31/23)Q1 2024 (3/31/24)
Unrestricted Cash, Equivalents & ST Investments ($USD Millions)$908.5 $897.0
Liquidity ($USD Billions, includes undrawn revolver)$1.10 $1.15
Total Debt & Finance Leases ($USD Billions)$1.70 $1.75
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($USD Millions, BS)$153.3 $230.9
Short-term Investments ($USD Millions, BS)$755.2 $666.4

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
ASMsFY 2024Up 6.0% to 9.0% Up 4.5% to 7.5% Lowered
CASM (GAAP)FY 2024Up 0.7% to 3.0% Up 4.1% to 6.3% Raised
CASM ex fuel & non-recurringFY 2024Flat to up 3.0% Up 1.0% to 4.0% Raised
Gallons of Jet Fuel ConsumedFY 2024Up 4.0% to 7.0% Up 3.0% to 6.0% Lowered
Avg Fuel Price ($/gal, GAAP)FY 2024$2.55 $2.80 Raised
Economic Fuel ($/gal)FY 2024$2.59 $2.83 Raised
Capital ExpendituresFY 2024$500M–$550M No change Maintained
ASMsQ2 2024Up 3.5% to 6.5% New
RASMQ2 2024Down 1.5% to up 1.5% New
CASM ex fuel & non-recurringQ2 2024Up 5.0% to 8.0% New
Effective Tax RateQ2 2024~10% New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2023)Previous Mentions (Q4 2023)Current Period (Q1 2024)Trend
Operational reliabilityExternal headwinds (Maui fires, A321neo PW issues) constrained operations Headwinds receding after Q1 2024 per mgmt On-time arrivals ~87% in March; initiatives to improve disruptions, call center, self-service Improving
Japan demand/FXInternational strong U.S. POS; Maui demand reduced; Japan routes recovering Brand remains strong in Japan; gradual recovery Japan-origin demand pressured by weak yen (~¥154–155/$); U.S. POS strong outbound Mixed recovery
787-9 fleet rampTicket sales began; entry into service planned Apr 2024 First delivery expected imminently Revenue service started Apr 15; 2nd aircraft to expand LAX/PHX; benefits more 2025-weighted Building
Amazon freighterLaunched A330-300F service Oct 2, 2023 Second A330F added; JFK–SBD operation; impact not yet material Early-stage
Merger with AlaskaDefinitive agreement announced Dec 3 Shareholder approval Jan 2024 DOJ timing agreement; no close until 90 days post substantial compliance Regulatory process ongoing
Unit costs/CASMQ3 CASM ex fuel +9.2% YoY Q4 CASM ex fuel +8.1% YoY Q1 CASM ex fuel +7.1% YoY; Q2 guide +5–8%; FY CASM guide raised Elevated

Management Commentary

  • “Mahalo to our team for remaining focused on delivering strong operational performance and unparalleled guest experience… 2024 is off to a positive start… rolling out high-speed Starlink WIFI and taking delivery of our first Boeing 787.” — Peter Ingram, President & CEO .
  • “We saw tangible results… reliability improved… hitting 87% on-time arrivals in March… running a smooth, reliable operation has a positive impact on costs.” — CEO Prepared Remarks .
  • “Significantly affecting our first quarter results… is the reduction in our effective tax rate from 21% to 10%… since 2020, we’ve generated significant federal and state net operating losses… lowering the effective tax rate and decreasing our book tax benefit.” — CFO Shannon Okinaka .
  • “For the second quarter, we expect RASM to be about flat year-over-year… ASMs now expected to be up about 6% for the full year.” — CRO Brent Overbeek .

Q&A Highlights

  • Delivery cadence and deployment of 787-9 fleet: 2 aircraft active, third expected before year-end; risk of delivery slides amid Boeing supply chain; benefits scale in 2025 as long-haul deployment increases .
  • Demand outlook: summer North America bookings solid; international U.S. point-of-sale strong; Japan-origin demand constrained by weak yen .
  • Costs and tax: unit costs ex fuel guided +~6.5% YoY in Q2; effective tax rate ~10% in 2024 due to valuation allowance on NOLs .
  • Merger commentary: limited new details; DOJ timing agreement precludes closing until 90 days post substantial compliance .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates could not be retrieved for HA due to a CIQ mapping issue in our interface; therefore, we cannot provide an authoritative comparison to Street expectations this quarter. Where third-party transcripts reference “flat RASM” or outlook commentary, we cite them qualitatively, but we do not substitute non-SPGI consensus figures for beats/misses.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue resilience with improving load factor and PRASM, but elevated CASM ex fuel and maintenance costs keep profitability under pressure; adjusted EBITDA still negative .
  • FY 2024 guidance reset: ASMs lowered and fuel assumptions raised; expect higher GAAP and ex-fuel unit costs vs prior plan—watch cost execution and operational reliability progress .
  • 787-9 ramp is a medium-term margin lever; near-term benefits modest, with larger impact as fleet builds and long-haul deployment expands in 2025 .
  • Japan-origin demand likely constrained until yen strengthens; U.S. point-of-sale demand supports international performance, but mix differs vs historical norms .
  • Merger timeline remains extended; DOJ timing agreement introduces additional lag—headline risk persists around regulatory process .
  • Liquidity remains solid at $1.15B with $897M unrestricted cash/ST investments; debt at $1.75B—monitor leverage trajectory as capex continues and 787 deliveries proceed .
  • Near-term trading: stock likely sensitive to Q2 RASM trajectory (guided -1.5% to +1.5%), summer demand cadence, and any updates on 787 delivery timing or DOJ process .
Document citations used:
- [5:x] = HA Form 8-K with Exhibit 99.1 – Q1 2024 press release and financials (Apr 23, 2024)
- [8:x] = HA Form 8-K – Q4 2023 results and outlook (Jan 30, 2024)
- [10:x] = HA Form 8-K – Q3 2023 results and outlook (Oct 24, 2023)
Internet sources (full URLs cited inline) used for Q1 2024 call transcript quotes and operational commentary where company transcript retrieval was unavailable.