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HACKETT GROUP, INC. (HCKT)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 revenue before reimbursements was $76.2M, near the high end of guidance, and adjusted diluted EPS was $0.41 at the high end; GAAP EPS fell to $0.11 due to $5.1M stock price award expense ($0.16/sh) and $2.4M acquisition-related costs ($0.07/sh) .
- Versus consensus, HCKT delivered a modest EPS beat and slight revenue miss: EPS $0.41 vs $0.40*, revenue before reimbursements $76.2M vs $77.3M*; total revenue was $77.9M .
- Mix and margin: Global S&BT grew 6% YoY (13% ex-OneStream/eProcurement) as GenAI work expanded and lifted gross margin; Oracle was down on a large post go‑live wind-down, SAP down YoY against a strong prior-year comp but with improving implementation outlook .
- Q2 2025 guidance: revenue before reimbursements $76.0–$77.5M and adjusted EPS $0.37–$0.39 (assumes 27% tax); CFO also guided adj. gross margin ~43–44%, adj. SG&A+interest ~$18.6M, adj. EBITDA margin ~21–22%—implying revenue guide slightly below consensus midpoint while EPS is in line* .
- Strategic catalysts: AI XPLR v3 launched ahead of growing GenAI demand; ZBrain JV expected to execute within 30–45 days with ARR licensing to begin (AI XPLR licensing targeted to start in July), plus rising channel partner interest that could expand distribution .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- GenAI driving growth and margins: “GenAI engagements…favorably impacted our gross margin,” with Global S&BT revenue up 6% YoY and 13% ex‑OneStream/e‑procurement .
- Delivered to guidance: Q1 revenue before reimbursements near the high end of guide ($76.2M) and adjusted EPS at the high end ($0.41) .
- Platform velocity: AI XPLR v3 released, enabling thousands of industry-specific GenAI solutions with multi‑agent workflows; management emphasized uniqueness and speed as competitive advantages .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP EPS compression: GAAP diluted EPS fell to $0.11 from $0.32 YoY due to $5.1M stock price award expense and $2.4M acquisition-related costs in the quarter .
- Segment softness outside GenAI: Oracle down (post go‑live wind‑down) and SAP down YoY against a strong prior-year comp; OneStream and e‑procurement also weaker .
- Working capital pressure: DSO increased to 73 days (vs 66 in Q4 and 68 YoY) on extended terms/milestones; management expects improvement in Q2 .
Financial Results
Consolidated P&L and Cash Flow
Notes: Q1 2025 GAAP EPS impacted by $5.1M stock price award expense ($0.16/sh) and $2.4M acquisition-related expenses ($0.07/sh) .
Profitability and Operating Metrics
Segment Revenue Before Reimbursements
Balance Sheet and KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We reported operating results that were near and at the high end of our revenue and adjusted earnings per share guidance, respectively… More importantly, we released AI XPLR version 3…” — Ted A. Fernandez, CEO .
- “GenAI engagements…demand a higher margin than our traditional consulting and implementation revenues and are driven by…AI XPLR and ZBrain platforms…” .
- “Excluding [OneStream and e‑procurement], our GSBT segment was up 13%.” .
- “We are continuing to add licensed clients to the ZBrain platform, and we are close to completing and executing the JV agreement.” .
- “We now believe that GenAI‑enabled transformation augmented by AI XPLR will be our primary strategic entry point to clients…” .
Q&A Highlights
- Pipeline and conversion: Client reactions to AI XPLR are “very favorable,” leading to proposal activity and wins; channel partners (SIs, enterprise software vendors) showing strong interest to broaden distribution .
- Capacity build: Implementation capacity up ~60–70% since acquisition; hiring both offshore (ZBrain/LeewayHertz) and market‑facing U.S. resources .
- JV and ARR: ZBrain licensing underway; JV expected to execute in 30–45 days; AI XPLR licensing planned to begin around July; potential for external capital to accelerate ARR growth .
- GenAI revenue mix: Roughly 50/50 between implementation and ideation/evaluation currently, with implementation expected to become multiples larger over time .
- Oracle/SAP outlook: Oracle activity “solid” but still refilling a large post go‑live gap; SAP momentum “clearly up” with implementations tied to recent software sales .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 vs Street: Adjusted EPS $0.41 vs $0.40* (beat); revenue before reimbursements $76.2M vs $77.3M* (miss). Total revenue reported at $77.9M .
- Q2 2025 guide vs Street: Revenue guide $76.0–$77.5M (midpoint $76.75M) vs $77.93M* consensus; adjusted EPS guide $0.37–$0.39 (midpoint $0.38) vs $0.377*—implying revenue guide slightly below consensus and EPS roughly in line* .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Actual vs Consensus – Q1 2025
Consensus and Company Outlook – Q2 2025
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix improving via GenAI: GSBT growth and higher‑margin GenAI engagements are lifting adjusted gross margin (43.4% vs 41.4% YoY), supporting resilient profitability despite softness in applications .
- Estimate lens: Q1 printed an EPS beat but a modest revenue shortfall; Q2 revenue guide sits slightly below consensus while EPS guide aligns—watch order conversion and partner‑led pipeline to close the gap .
- ARR optionality: Near‑term JV formation and the start of AI XPLR licensing introduce an incremental ARR leg that can compound services revenue and potentially attract external capital/partners .
- Execution watch‑items: Normalize DSO from 73 days, fill Oracle’s post go‑live gap, and convert SAP software strength into services throughput in 2H .
- Capital returns intact: Continued $0.12 quarterly dividend and active buybacks ($11.7M in Q1) underscore commitment to shareholder returns while funding GenAI investments .
- Macro swing factor: Management flagged tariff‑related uncertainty as a potential near‑term decision‑making headwind; messaging pivot to strategic cost reduction can cushion demand if needed .
- Stock catalysts: Evidence of accelerating partner wins, JV execution with first ARR ramps, and sequential DSO improvement would be positive signals for revenue durability and cash conversion .