HDFC Bank - Earnings Call - Q2 19/20

Transcript

Speaker 0

Ladies and gentlemen, good evening, and welcome to the HDFC Bank Q2 FY 'twenty Earnings Conference Call on the Financial Results presented by Mr. Srinivasan Vedrinathan, Chief Financial Officer. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in listen only mode. And there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the brief commentary by the management. Please note that this conference is being recorded.

I now hand the conference over to Mr. Srinivasan Vedinathan. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Speaker 1

Okay. Thank you. Appreciate the participants calling in today. We'll get to the results highlights for the quarter and also the half year ended September 3039. Let's start with the net revenues.

Net revenues grew by 21.1%, driven by advances growth of 19.5% and deposit growth of 22.6% and other income growth of 39.2%. Getting to the details of the underneath this, net interest income for the quarter was INR1315 crores. The margin remained in the historical range of 4.2%. The bank's average liquidity coverage ratio for the quarter was at 133. The current ALCO strategy is to maintain a stronger than usual liquidity position to cater to loan demand in the quarters to come.

The consequent impact to NIM was around 10 to 15 basis points. Adjusted for the same, the core NIM would be around 4.3%. The bank offsets the drag by monetizing the investment in the form of trading gains. If we had reduced the LCR to 115%, the net interest income would have grown approximately by 19%. Now getting to the details of other income.

Fees and commission income constituting 72.5% of other income grew by 23% over the previous year to reach INR4054 crore, of which retail constitutes approximately 91% and wholesale constitutes 9%. Mutual funds income remained impacted by changes in regulations that came in the preceding quarters. Excluding income from mutual funds, total fee and commission grew by 26.4% over the corresponding quarter of the previous year. FX and derivatives income grew by 31.4% over the previous year to reach INR552 crores. The growth was primarily granular in nature, being driven by retail customers who contributed around two thirds of the total.

Trading income was INR481 crores. As mentioned before, this represents the current ALCO strategy of monetizing some portion of the gain from excess liquidity investments. Other miscellaneous income including recoveries was INR502 crores. Now moving to operating expenses. Expenses for the quarter were INR7406 crores, an increase of 17.6% over the corresponding quarter of the previous year.

Year on year, we added four eighty nine branches, 184 branches added during the quarter. Year on year, we added four ninety six ATMs and two zero six cash deposit cum withdrawal machines. The staff count also increased by 16,301 during the last twelve months and included 7,054 added during the quarter. Cost to income ratio for the quarter ended September 3039 was 38.8% as against 39.9% for the corresponding quarter ended September 3038. Moving to PPOP.

Pre provision operating profit grew by 23.4% from INR9488 crores in the quarter ended September 3038 to INR11698 crores in the current quarter. Now moving to asset quality. G and P ratio was at 1.38% of gross advances as on September 3039, as against 1.4% as on June 3039, and 1.33% as on September 3038. GNPA ratio as on September 3038, excluding NPAs in the Agricultural segment was 1.2 in the current quarter as well as June and 1.1% in the September of the previous year. Annualized core slippage ratio during the current September was at 1.7% as against 2% in the June and 1.8% in the previous September.

The coverage ratio at 70% and net NPA at 0.4% were stable across the current and prior quarter as well as previous year comparable period. The bank continued to hold floating provisions of Rs. $14.51 crores as on September 3039. Total provisions comprising specific general floating provisions were 114% of the gross non performing loans as on September 3039. Now getting to the details of the provision.

Total provisions were INR2701 crore for the current September as against Rs. 2,614 during the June and Rs. $18.20 crore for the September in the previous year. Specific loan loss provisions were Rs. 2,038 crore for the current September quarter as against Rs 2,246 during the June and Rs $15.73 crores for the September in the previous year.

In addition, given the current macro environment and in addition to in order to make the balance sheet more resilient, the bank has made contingent and general provisions. Total contingent and general provisions amounted to INR663 crore for the current September as against INR367 crore in the June and INR247 crore in the September in the previous year. Total credit cost ratio, which includes general and contingent provision was 1.19% for the current September as against 1.24% for the June and 0.96% for the September in the previous year. The core credit cost ratio represented by specific loan loss provisions were 0.9% of advances for the current September as against 1.07% for the June and 0.83% for the September in the previous year. Excluding Agree, the ratio was 0.92, 0.930.82% for the respective quarters.

As you are aware, recoveries are recorded as miscellaneous income. Therefore, core credit cost ratio net of recoveries was 0.68% as compared to 0.88% in the quarter ending June 3039 and zero point six six percent in the quarter ending September 3038. Now getting on to profit before tax for the quarter ended September 3039 was up 17.5% to INR8997 crore. Core profit before tax, that is PBT excluding contingent and general provisions grew by approximately INR1753 crores or 22.2%. During the quarter, the results incorporated the impact of new tax rate.

Year to date impact of reduced tax rate was approximately crores. The deferred tax asset was reassessed at the current tax rate and approximately INR1200 crores was written down, representing the full impact of the change in tax rate. This resulted in a net tax benefit of approximately INR450 crores in the quarter. Net profit for the quarter grew by 26.8% to INR6345 crores. Net profit for the half year ended September 3039 was INR11913 crore, up by 24% over the corresponding half year ended September 3038.

Some balance sheet items now. The Bank's balance sheet size as on September 3039 was INR132572 crore as against INR11998 crore as of September 3038, an increase in size, overall size of 13.3%. Total deposits as of September 3039 amounted to INR10211615 crores, an increase of 22.6% over the September 3038 and seven percent over June 3039. Retail, which constituted 77% of total deposits increased by 24% over the previous year as a result of our focus on granular deposits. Corporate deposits at INR4.1235 crores grew by 14.7% with savings account deposits at INR264.45 crores and current account deposits at INR 136,791 crores.

Time deposits at INR 620,380 crores grew by 28.3% over previous year. CASA deposits comprised 39.3% of total deposits as on September 3039. Total advances as of September 3039 were 896,984, an increase of 19.5% over September 3038 eight point one percent over June 3039. Advances to the Vehicle Loan segment, which has seen continued moderation in sales volumes, constituted 17% of total advances and grew by 2.3% over previous year. Advances ex Vehicle segment grew by 23.8% over the previous year.

Moving on to CapEx, with regard to capital adequacy, the total capital adequacy ratio as per Basel III guidelines stood at 17.5% as against the regulatory requirement of 11.075%. June capital adequacy ratio was 16.9% and September of previous year was at 17.1%. Tier one capital adequacy ratio was 16.2% in the current September as compared to 15.6% in the June. The reduction in risk weights of certain retail loans had an impact of around 80 to 90 basis points, beneficial impact of 80 to 90 basis points on the capital adequacy ratio. CET1 capital stood at 15.3% as of September 3039, compared to 14.7% as on September 3038.

Some business updates. During the year, we added two eleven banking outlets, taking our total network to 5,314 banking outlets. 52% of the branches are in semi urban and rural areas. As of September 3039, we have signed up approximately 100,000 common service centers, village level entrepreneurs, of which 32,242 are on boarded as business facilitators. Of these, around 40% are actively sourcing now.

Year to date, we have acquired $3,200,000 new liability relationship,

Speaker 2

an increase of 53%

Speaker 1

over the corresponding period of prior year, driven through our strategy of increasing brand sales and semi urban and rural momentum. As on September 3039, we have 10,000,000 relationship managed customers, of which 6,000,000 are virtually managed. As on September 3039, we have 13,300,000 credit card base and 1,300,000 merchant acceptance points. In conclusion of remarks, it is preferred to say that our people have raised to the occasion to keep great engagement with our existing customers, bring in tremendous new relationships, all within our standard credit and process architecture that has resulted in healthy advances growth of 19.5% and deposits growth of 22.6%, Net revenues growth of 21.1%, core net interest margin of 4.2% and adjusted for LCR 4.3%. Cost to income at 38.8%, robust PPOP growth of 23.4, stable credit quality with current quarter GNPA of 1.38% and core credit cost ratio of 90 basis points and 68 basis points net of recoveries, Profit after tax growth of 26.8%.

With that, we can open it up for questions.

Speaker 0

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session.

Speaker 3

Session.

Speaker 0

The first question is from the line of Marukh Adajanya from IDFC Securities. Just

Speaker 3

a few questions. Firstly, if you could explain the rules around the netting of deposits from borrower accounts? That's one. Also, if you would be in a position to comment on the Altico case, what's being reported in the newspapers? And also, in terms of your exposure to accounts that have been downgraded in the last four to five months, would you be in a position to quantify your exposure to these accounts, including HFCs, NBFCs and other accounts?

And also if you could share the number of slippage for the quarter in rupees?

Speaker 1

I'll take the last one first. The core slippage is INR3714 crores. And one other thing before Jimmy jumps in, which is you asked about netting deposits to advances. As a

Speaker 2

reporting you're talking about reporting netting of

Speaker 3

no, no. As in that there are banks and even on an HFC call, we were told that if a borrower has taken a loan from you and he also maintains a deposit with you, then you could net off those deposits. So what are the rules around netting off those deposits?

Speaker 4

Hi, good evening everyone. This is Jimmy. I'll take the question on Balticco first. As everyone knows, it is our policy not to comment on individual exposures. That said, I would add that a lot of what has found its way into the press is based on what may have been heard by the press from various parties other than ourselves because it's the same policy, we don't necessarily talk.

A fair amount of that information is not perfectly accurate and should not be therefore considered as such. Beyond that, all I can say is the bank had an exposure, the bank had specific security and the bank was able to set off that specific security.

Speaker 3

Okay. And what would be the rules around general rules around netting of deposits? You need a specific lien or if a borrower has a loan and a deposit with you, could you net it off?

Speaker 5

There are

Speaker 4

various rules specific to individual contracts as well as specific to general banking practice, rules and laws around these subjects. So of course, there are situations where you create a specific charge or lien or pledge or hypothecation over various assets, including financial assets. And there are obviously the existing laws, which we all know regarding general renmin set off that are available to banks and other lenders as well. So that was by the law of the land, and we also do go by the law of the land.

Speaker 3

Okay. So what's the sorry, I'm not aware of the law, that's why I'm

Speaker 4

asking. REPRESENTATIVE:] Maru, it might be little difficult to discuss it at this point. But because it's academic subject in that sense, it's not germane.

Speaker 3

It. And any quantification VENKATAKRISHNAN:] of any watch list that you might have

Speaker 0

or your exposure to the accounts downgraded over the last four, five months?

Speaker 4

Things are quite stable.

Speaker 1

You saw it in some of those ratios that

Speaker 6

we You

Speaker 4

will see it in the numbers and the ratios that have been. Things are quite stable.

Speaker 0

The next question is from the line of Manish Oshtwal from Nirmal Bank. Please go ahead.

Speaker 4

Thank you for the opportunity, sir. My question on the SDP financial specifics. The company has adopted that NPA recognition practice during the quarter. So can you look at the same? What are the changes we have done during the quarter?

Speaker 1

Couple of things, right? One is, which normally banks do, but finance companies do not do, NBFCs do not do, but our HDBFS opted to get to more stringent practices, which is one. First thing is daily recognition. It is not about recognizing delinquency or NPA at a point in time on the last day of the month, but on a daily basis what it is. So that was one thing.

And second aspect was about what we call the sticky, which is related borrowings of the related facility from the same borrower. So if a borrower had two facilities outstanding, if one is delinquent and the other standard, we had to tag them along. So it is to getting that connected or sticky added to the one that is nonperforming to make it wholesome.

Speaker 4

Sure, sir. Secondly, sir, if we exclude One

Speaker 1

these is more things will get upgraded only when all of these outstandings are becoming current, zero DP.

Speaker 4

Yes. The second point I have, if you exclude this impact of the changes of NPA recognition, still the asset quality I mean gross NPAs increased from June level to September. So can you share some insight about the which are the segment, geography or the customer segment pressure asset quality pressure in this particular competition, SBD financials?

Speaker 1

There is only one thing to mention on this, which is the commercial vehicles, which as you would know, as our credit would remind us, the relatable value on commercial vehicles in the country is pretty high. And anybody who is going through the kind of a capacity utilization or the tonnage utilization issues now will bounce back to pay off the loan to get the vehicle back and get on with the business. This business over the life, right, not just over the cycle, over the life hasn't experienced, will not experience more than 10 to 13 basis points of experience, which is pretty low. But we'll, given the times, we'll go through that 10 ps cycle and we'll come back on. That is the significant cost of the change one quarter to another.

Any

Speaker 4

plan to list the SAP Financial next one year,

Speaker 1

Sorry?

Speaker 4

Any plan to meet the LGB financial in next one year, sir?

Speaker 6

Well, the Board of the Bank has not taken a decision, neither has the Board of the company has yet to take a decision. But yes, they will, if at all there is any plans, they will sort of notify it to the exchanges.

Speaker 4

Sure. And one data point query, interest on other balances, anything one off and fee income side, is there any one off? Thank you.

Speaker 1

No, other than routine things, there are no one offs to mention.

Speaker 6

The payments business has seen a very strong growth, and that has also led to more than decent growth in fees and incomes. As Srini was mentioning, the growth in the insurance business, so the earnings yield on the insurance business have been much better than what we have seen in the past, thanks to the product mix that we have been selling. So that has also sort of contributed a decent amount of growth offsetting the mutual fund income and fee growth.

Speaker 4

Sure, sir. Thank you very much.

Speaker 0

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Kunal Shah from Edelweiss. Please go ahead.

Speaker 7

Firstly, in terms of this entire general and contingent provisioning, if you could further give more highlight in terms of last time we stepped up the provisions towards the unsecured book. So was it there this time as well or it was largely general? And we had provided something towards NBFCs and HFCs as well. So is there any contingent provisioning towards any of those specific sectors?

Speaker 1

This is a mix of wholesale retail all in it. Not focused on one. But the context to give you is that given what we see in the macro environment to ensure that our balance sheet remains resilient at all times, there are some provisions made. They do not represent provisions for nonperforming loans. You can take it as they are precautionary and not anticipatory.

Speaker 7

Yes. But in terms of the stepping up, particularly on the unsecured pool, has that continued in this quarter as well? Or maybe we were largely done in terms of inching of the coverage on the unsecured retail credit?

Speaker 6

So on the unsecured part of as we if you recall, we had kept up the provisions on the nonperforming assets. The rate of provision was kept up, as you also alluded to, to improve the coverage on the personal loan or unsecured loan portfolio. So that was a correction that was done last time. Now it carries through at an elevated level. That's the only change that happened last quarter.

Speaker 7

Okay. And in terms of the behavior, either on the unsecured last time you highlighted that maybe it's holding on pretty well. So both on the vehicle financing side, no doubt the growth has slowed down, But any early signs of delinquencies or maybe the increasing stress either on the vehicle on the unsecured side, we are seeing it over last three, four months?

Speaker 4

So to quickly cover the unsecured as well as the secured portfolio behavior, take the unsecured first, and let's take the biggest chunk of that, which is the personal loan book. The delinquency is fairly stable. The heartening part of this is that the early indicators that we measure on the newer portfolio, I won't say new, but the newer portfolio because we measure several months back as well, is definitely trending better. In fact, this early indicator is trending better across various portfolios. So even if you look at the business loans, which are unsecured, there again, whereas there may have been a creep in the coincidental delinquency historically, the early indicators once again show that there is a reversal, if you can use that word, And one would see a better portfolio coming forward, whereas we don't want to give any guidance, but the early indicators once again are heartening.

If you move into the secured books, where the single largest one, of course, is our auto loan book. As you're aware, given the market conditions, there has been a denominator effect in the delinquency, and that denominator effect has played a large role in the delinquency numbers. Once again, if we look at the early indicators here, they are fairly stable. And once again, if we look in addition, as it would have been in the unsecured as well as in these secured books, if we look at comparatives to industry delinquency and in terms of comparatives to industry trends, we are obviously far better at this point in time.

Speaker 7

Okay. And on the non retail side, the growth which has been there, particularly maybe even if I look at the Business Banking, it's been a good traction out there in this particular quarter. So how are we seeing this particular product segment to scale up over next twelve to eighteen odd months? And on the corporate side, the growth which has come in, is it any maybe some particular pockets wherein we would have given it in terms of either the sectoral or are there any chunky loans which have been given? Or just like the rundown was not there like Q1 and that's where we have seen this kind of a growth?

Speaker 4

Sure. So to take the Business Banking side, we continue to have a good, healthy, steady stream of Business Banking opportunities available to us. We continue to have better and better ability to monitor these portfolios and therefore also take better and wiser decisions in terms of acquiring these. So that is a good healthy pipeline, not necessarily spiking upwards, and we don't see trend downwards either.

Speaker 8

Moving into the corporate And

Speaker 6

just to supplement what Jimmy is saying, our penetration into the semi urban and rural, the fact that we have really galvanized the distribution channels and complemented them with good digital offering, these two have really aided in pushing up a lot of pipeline.

Speaker 4

Yes. On the corporate side, there have been growth opportunities in various places. So again, it's a good thing to report in the sense that it is not necessarily chunky. It is not isolated transactions. Of course, we do have a very large book, so there will be some large transactions in that, but it's not necessarily that it has been dependent on a few large transactions.

We have had healthy growth across industries, across businesses and across ticket sizes and products as well. Some transactions, of course, will be large, but it has been across the board. There have been, I will say, while I'm saying this, there have also been some exposures taken selectively in a few sectors like NBFCs, like power, like telecom. I want to say that all these exposures have been taken to the absolute best entities within these industries, and we are confident of them.

Speaker 9

Okay. Yes. Thank you.

Speaker 0

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Nitin Agarwal from Motilal Oswal Securities. Please go ahead.

Speaker 6

Hello. Yes. Hi. Thanks for the opportunity.

Speaker 1

Over the recent period, we have been Can come closer to the mic, please?

Speaker 6

Can you be a bit louder, please?

Speaker 10

Nitin, we

Speaker 6

are not able to hear you. Can you be a bit louder?

Speaker 0

Sorry to interrupt, Mr. Agarwal. Mr. Agarwal, we are not able to hear you. Can you speak a bit louder?

Speaker 1

Yes,

Speaker 0

sir. Please go ahead.

Speaker 10

Yes, sorry. So my question is on

Speaker 4

the competitive intensity. Over the recent period, we have

Speaker 10

been seeing a very aggressive HDFC bank, be it the branch expansion plans, the promotions that we are running, the loan growth that we are delivering amidst the slowing macro. So how are you seeing the competitive intensity in different product segments?

Speaker 6

The competition is also intense. It's not that we are getting it that easily. I don't want to name the banks. I think all of them are reasonably aggressive in this particular space, some of the larger PAC banks and some of the larger private sector banks as well. But having said that, I think we have the advantage of having far more larger distribution, reasonably well oiled machinery, which is sort of aided by the kind of spends that we are doing on the festive side.

So that is bringing a lot more footfalls, whether it's the retail, whether it's the SME, whether it's the corporate side. The digital offering obviously has helped the latter even more, especially the SME and the corporate side. So the only thing I can say is thus far, while there would be a pockets of exuberance because of festival, some amount of pricing in certain pockets, But largely, I think competition has been pretty rational, but still very intense.

Speaker 1

Okay. And secondly, you

Speaker 10

did talk about the underwriting standards that we have like revised up on the HDB. But besides stepping up the provisioning run rate, have we like tightened standards at the bank level also? And if you can give some color on the rejection rates and how the civil scores are moving in our new loan originations across some of the key unsecured segments?

Speaker 4

Yes. As I mentioned a little while ago, the early indicators are all looking up, and that is reflective of various corrections, filters and policy changes made across products, across geographies, across spectrums, wherever they have been required. In terms of how it has impacted numerically, we don't really disclose beyond what is always disclosed, but the signs are looking up. When it comes to how it is moving across bureau bands, We have seen a good shift in terms of better income orientation, better propensity to repay. All these have improved.

The bureau bands are only one amongst several inputs to us, and we do extend finance across banks. We are more cautious about the individual leverage, about the individual's income, about the stability of income and naturally when it moves into a business environment, the same for the business in question. So the bureau is only one ingredient for us. Right.

Speaker 10

And lastly, on the home loan growth side now with banks like moving over to the external benchmark risk pricing. So and some of the PSU banks are priced relatively far lower than where the housing finance companies are. So do you see this can impair the ability for us to originate home loans, particularly as this monetary easing continues a bit more? Well,

Speaker 6

frankly, I think as we speak, I think we continue to have a very robust origination of home loans for HDFC Limited. We are not seeing any early indicators of the price being a disadvantage for our set of customers. I think obviously there is a bit of a premium that customers are willing to play for the HDFC limited home loan product. So thus far, no such indication. We continue to see reasonably strong momentum as we have seen in the previous quarter as well.

Speaker 0

We'll move on to the next question that is from the line of Rahul Jain from Goldman Goldman Sachs.

Speaker 8

Three set of questions. First of all, on the asset quality bid, can you all give us the outstanding contingency provision that we are holding? So we have floating provisions of INR1450 crores. I'm just trying to understand how much outstanding would be there on the contingency side?

Speaker 1

Rahul, thanks for taking. But that number is not something that we have publicly talked about.

Speaker 4

Okay, no problem.

Speaker 7

Can I get

Speaker 8

the write off numbers for this quarter? Yes.

Speaker 1

$15.89 crores.

Speaker 8

Got it. And also just trying to understand the GNPAs on the agri portfolio and how it would have moved versus last year?

Speaker 1

I thought that's just part of GMPA in agri portfolio? Yes. G and P in agree. Last September was 6.06%. Currently, it is at 5.64

Speaker 8

Got it. And secondly, the order dispersals in the auto portfolio. So while the book has grown, I

Speaker 4

think, perhaps just flattish versus last year, can we

Speaker 8

get some color on

Speaker 4

versus would have trended in this quarter versus that in the previous year versus last quarter?

Speaker 1

Dispersals in auto?

Speaker 6

Yes.

Speaker 1

I don't have it readily. Ajeet, anything you have?

Speaker 6

So Rahul, I missed that one. Are you saying how the disbursements have been in the second quarter for auto? That's correct, Ashish. Disbursements have been reasonably strong in the second quarter. I think contrary to expectations, I think we have seen almost about 12% to 13% sequentially, the quarter two numbers in auto loans have been up vis a vis the first quarter or two.

So that's pretty encouraging. And I think we hope, we're not too sure, we hope that the festival quarter will be even better or at least have similar kind of numbers that we have clocked in the second quarter.

Speaker 8

Got it. Just one last question, Sashi and Srini. On the salary expenses, so year over year, 23% increase. Was there any one off in this quarter? And how do you see the full year run off now playing out?

I know you don't specifically guide about the numbers, but just to get a sense, the salary expenses, would it stay at these Or there was some one off in this quarter?

Speaker 6

No, there's no one off. As Srini did mention, 17% of the 23%, 17% is principally just on account of the growth in number of employees. And then the balance is on account of the increments that one has for the entire portfolio. So we do almost about 6% to 8% of wage inflation that we have been doing for the last so many years. So that's what is baked into this 23%.

So it's principally the number of employees that have gone up significantly. And as you know, we are this is the best time for us to invest, and we are in an investment mode.

Speaker 4

Yes, yes. Makes

Speaker 1

sense. Those Small are my amount, 12 in terms of gratuity because that's this is as usual, which is

Speaker 8

not something that

Speaker 4

we Yes, yes.

Speaker 1

Got it. Got it.

Speaker 4

Thank you so much, Oliver. Thank you.

Speaker 0

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Banti Chawla from IDBI Capital. Please go ahead.

Speaker 8

Thank you, sir, for giving me this opportunity. Just a few questions. One, if it is possible for you, can you share what will be the cost, extra cost we will be bearing on these festive offers which we are currently running?

Speaker 1

No, it's a forward looking statement. Have to be after the program is done, we will be able to see what and how it impacts us. It is a continuous program and it depends on how great it finishes, right?

Speaker 6

And in the third quarter, that will be baked into the third quarter numbers for sure, and you will see that.

Speaker 0

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Pavanaluwalia from La Vernum Capital. Please go ahead.

Speaker 9

Thank you very much. Two questions. One, you talked about this being the best time to invest in employees. So as there's been a significant addition, could you give us a sense of where you're looking to add employees? Because you previously talked about, in fact, using technology to drive down the cost to income ratio, which would consider technology.

Obviously, it doesn't have to Sir, be in the same places, but it be good to

Speaker 0

your voice is breaking up.

Speaker 9

Can you hear me now?

Speaker 0

Yes, please go ahead.

Speaker 9

So my first question is, can you give us some color on where you're hiring these people? Because obviously, you've talked previously about places where you're using technology to cut costs, which to an extent could mean reduce the number of people necessary. So could you give us a sense of where in fact you're using less people and where you're using more people? And the second question is around margins and TLR. So we saw net interest margin come off a little bit this quarter, within the range that we target.

But it'd be good to get some color from you on that. I noticed there was a very strong ramping of term deposits. So would be good if you could link that to the liability side outlook. And given the new MCLR rules, benchmark rules that the RBI has put out, how do you see that impacting our profitability volatility on net interest income?

Speaker 6

Okay. So on the employees front, Suneet had mentioned, the bank on a year on year basis have added about four eighty nine branches, okay. So you would need people for that because we believe that distribution is one of our strongest points. Probably in our earlier calls, we did sort of even give an indication that we would be opening somewhere around the 600 to 700 further distribution points in our network. So that is where you will see the kind of employees getting more added.

But in addition to that, let's face it, we are not sort of diluting our technology investments or we are not removing our focus on digitizing our processes and product offerings. The fact of the matter is despite what you do, there is still in India, there will be an x percentage of people who would need to have who would not be as savvy digitally as you and I are. So there would be people who need to go and source, especially on the sales side, where you need a lot of investment, lot of people to go and get business on whether it's an asset or a liability of the cards business. There is a finite capacity of how much each one can do. When it sort of reaches that kind of a capacity, you need to add more people.

So while as Srini was mentioning, we are growing our total advances by about 19.5%. It's not a small amount, you're adding almost about a bank within a bank. So we will see people being invested in the branch banking area. We will see in the retail assets area. We will see in the agri distribution because agri is far more intensive.

We will see people in the sustainable livelihood because that's something that we are very proud of. We give back to society. It also sort of helps us in having it's a good, great business model. So combination of all this is where we have seen the 17% growth. So you will see people moving, but as Srini was mentioning, the jaws will continue to be the gap will be there.

If the revenue is growing at 21%, we'll try and maintain the jaws between the 1718% of expenses growth or if the revenues were to come down, so would the cost fee. So that kind of play we will always have and that's the kind of a strategy that we're going with. So I'll explain to you on the people side. The second one is on the margins, where you're saying that the margins have come off from 4.3% to 4.2% from Jan from June to the September. That's principally, as you also alluded to it, I think we have consciously right from the last two years have been focusing on mobilizing granular retail deposits.

Now whether you like it or not, time deposits is necessary, especially when you have a kind of appetite to grow on the credit side, on the asset side. So this is a we are very clear that the sales machinery will not be we will not we don't want a yo yo in giving directions to the huge distribution that we have to say that, okay, this quarter you focus on fixed deposit, next quarter you don't focus, that will sort of really destabilize the kind of a sales machinery that we have created. So we are happy to have excesses, we are happy to have excess liquidity up to a certain point in time, which is what is reflected in the current margins. As Srini was mentioning, our margins would have been higher by about 15 basis points if we had sort of slowed down the deposits. But from a medium to long term, this is the right way to do it.

So even if it sort of shaves off a bit of a margin, we are happy and that is what it is. The third aspect of this is on the NPLR.

Speaker 1

On the external benchmarking, as we announced, we have chosen the repo as our benchmark. It got kicked off on first October. We are seeing incremental volumes will come through that in terms of MSME volumes or retail floating rate volumes that are there today, which are very, very insignificant. But still, whatever it is, it will come through that. And in our pricing, in our ALCO strategy, we have components of repo plus credit spread plus other spread that factors in any kind of hedging or the difference between an MCLR and a repo that we need to factor in.

And so at this moment, the pricing is just fine. As time goes by, we need to see where how it will evolve. But as we see now, we are priced neutral to what it was in the past because that's how you get it started. But as we go, we see where it comes. And as the book is renewing, we will figure out the customer preferences also play a role here.

Speaker 9

Got it. Thank you, Tuch.

Speaker 0

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Jay Mundra from BNK Securities. Please go ahead.

Speaker 11

Yes. Hi, sir. Thanks for the opportunity. So I have one question, especially on retail credit growth. So if you look at this quarter, retail, either you look at regulatory basis or internal basis, it has come down to 14% to 15%.

Now that is actually below system retail growth, if you look at the RWA data. So I just wanted to understand what is causing this. Are you a bit worried about slowing retail growth? The overall look overall growth anyway looks very good. But just on this retail growth, is it the base which has become so big that internal incremental growth has become a bit lower?

Or as you said that you have increased the filters, which is causing this kind of a thing? Or is this an anomaly?

Speaker 6

Look, I think, Srinivit mentioned almost about 17% of our book on the retail side is the vehicle segment, which has grown only by 2.3. And that is a fact that you and I cannot sort of ignore because there is an underlying sales, whether it's the auto loan or the two wheeler or the commercial vehicle sales that are happening in the market. So if you exclude that, the growth is not so bad. Even massive parcel that comes to retail excluding vehicle loan is about 19% growth. And even from our own internal perspective, it's about 17.5% or 18% growth.

So you need to look at it from that perspective. Having said that, let's face it, yes, has consumption slowed down a bit? Absolutely, there is. You cannot deny that. But I think the bank, if you have seen the kind of buzz that we've been creating, we seem to be sort of we believe the kind of properties that we have created, whether it's distribution or the kind of marketplace that we have or the kind of credit card offers that we are doing or the kind of buzz the partnerships that we've created in the recent past, we believe that we should see reasonable amount of healthy growth going forward.

But let's face it, I mean, these are some expectations. We hope it sort of converges to our expectations, but I think we are well positioned to that.

Speaker 4

I can add over here, once again, whatever growth is coming is good growth, it is well selected and the indicators are in growth. So it's the healthy part of the growth. Sure, sir. Thanks so much.

Speaker 0

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Sanjay Kolar from Acme Private Limited. Please go ahead.

Speaker 5

Yes, hello. Sir, thank you for giving me the opportunity. I have a few questions. What will be the impact of tax rate cut on our profitability? Secondly, sir, we have raised INR25000 crores about a year ago.

Any more fundraising plans through equity or bonds in the near future? Yes, please, then I have another couple of questions. Can you please

Speaker 1

I mentioned in the call the impact of the tax, the net impact of the tax rate change, INR450 crores that was mentioned. What's your INR450 crores annually,

Speaker 6

nano, for the quarter? It's the

Speaker 1

quarter what we have taken in the quarter. Okay, sir. What's your second question?

Speaker 5

Fundraising plans through equity bonds.

Speaker 6

We are adequately capitalized as we speak. I think when we do have a requirement and when we have better clarity on the regulatory provisions relating to tax and the other aspects, which is still in debate, we probably will think about perpetual bonds in the future. Sir. And one

Speaker 5

couple of more questions. Sir, what is our bank's focus on corporate loans portfolio? As business prospects for Exist Bank and ICICI looks better, more better than our banks as far as corporate portfolio is concerned. So what do you have to comment on this?

Speaker 6

I'm not too sure where you're getting this particular kind of perception. So I really do not know how to answer that. I've not understood your question at all.

Speaker 5

I mean that why Axis Bank and SICS banks are told corporate banks and we are more of retail banks and not much focused on the corporates.

Speaker 6

Well, that's for you to say. I mean, for all of you, obviously, even our corporate corporate has been growing very steadily, in fact, the recent past, slightly faster than our normal long term average. So we are we may be one of the largest retail banks in the country, but we are also a very strong wholesale or corporate bank as well, whether it's in the working capital space or even on the term side. In fact, on the term side, we are probably one of the second largest distributors, whether it's the loan or the debt syndication as well. And as you can see, we have been maintaining this kind of a ratio of about 45% to 50% on the wholesale side for some time, which means that even the wholesale has been growing pretty steadily.

I'm not too sure, I don't have a comparison as to what kind of a what is the kind of proportion or what is the kind of balance sheet on the wholesale side the other banks have. But I can talk for ourselves. I think we are reasonably well positioned both on retail and wholesale, and this is where the growth is going to come in now and in future as well.

Speaker 5

Okay, sir. And one last question. Are we looking at expanding banking beyond Indian policies into Asia or Middle East or other countries?

Speaker 6

I think we have said this in the past. I think we are very the opportunity that India provides is so immense that we would like to spend our energies out here. We are pretty happy with the kind of the proportion of our overseas branches are giving. I think I don't think we will sort of scale that up in the near future.

Speaker 5

Okay, sir. Thank you very much.

Speaker 0

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Raj Purohit from SIMPL. Please go ahead.

Speaker 4

Hi, this is Abhi Purohit here. Thanks for taking my question. Most of my questions have been answered. But just wanted to understand about this deferred tax element on our P and L. I mean, it might sound a little naive.

Just wanted to understand how is it getting created every year? And how does it get reversed? And what is the impact of this tax cut on the deferred tax numbers? And also whether so even in this quarter, our reported tax rate was about 30%, whereas actual tax rate has been reduced So just wanted to understand how is the adjustment being made?

Speaker 1

Okay. First, the deferred tax rate, how it is created. That's the difference between the book profit and the tax profit. The book profits example, one particular example we can give you is take the provisions. Provisions are made according to accounting standards and according to RBA guidelines.

Tax allows provisions in a different formula. One, it has to be fully written off and two, there is some formula based deduction. So they always the tax allows for these credit provisions at a scale which is lower than what the book takes. So because of that, we have to create deferred tax according to the accounting standards. We have to create deferred tax assets.

So that is how the deferred tax is created on the books. And you have to evaluate these deferred tax on an annual basis, considering what the prevalent tax rates are and your ability to consume going forward. So to the extent that we perceive profitability and the tax rates remain stable, the deferred tax continues to be on course without any change. There will be in and out, you consume and then you put back, that goes on. In terms of this quarter, the tax rate changed.

So we adopted the new tax rate from the previous tax rate of 34.7 to 25.17%, 25.2%. That would mean we have to evaluate the carrying value of the deferred tax asset and revalue to the current tax rate, right? And that impacted crores we said earlier in the call. That was a onetime charge that was taken. Getting to the third aspect of the question, which is if the tax rate is 25.2%, why is the effective tax rate 32% or thereabouts?

Because what happens is that you have to take this charge of crores. So the tax rate year to date comes to INR25.2 crores. But since you reevaluate the deferred tax and take a charge on that, that takes it to INR25.2 crores goes to 32%. And then when you go into next quarter, you will see it is back to INR25.2 because that onetime adjustment is already factored in, and then it goes as business as usual.

Speaker 4

Okay. So in the next quarter, our reported tax rate itself will drop to 25.17?

Speaker 1

Rate. Closer to the margin rate, yes. I can't pinpoint exactly 25.17, but that is the more or less plus minus, that's

Speaker 4

the kind of rate you should expect. Sir, again, a very basic question. Under what circumstances or what needs to happen for us to consume the deferred tax asset? What how

Speaker 1

do we consume the deferred tax asset? Yes. So the last few years,

Speaker 4

we've been only seeing it rise significantly higher, presuming because we've made higher provisions and the taxmen have not allowed us to kind of

Speaker 1

If the provisions we create, creates this deferred tax asset. And if there is an actual write off that happens, then the taxman will allow this write off to be deducted for tax purposes, at which time it will get consumed. And there are a couple of other things like depreciation differences and so on. Again, think about an asset which is on a straight line on books or an asset which is on a return on value method and tax purposes. If there's only one asset in the company, it gets to book value of zero, you know that it gets consumed.

So I'm giving you a theoretical answer on that, but that's how you should think about.

Speaker 4

For us, but it's predominantly to do with our provisions, right?

Speaker 1

A big piece of that is to do with the provisions.

Speaker 4

You so much for the clarification. Thank you.

Speaker 1

And then

Speaker 6

there will

Speaker 1

be some timing. For example, subordinated debt that we have, we accrue for subordinated debt based on the coupons. Taxman will allow it to only when you pay interest expense on the debt. So period to period, there will be some small changes. For example, if we need to if the coupon date is thirtieth May and thirty first March, we have to accrue.

And there will be a deferred tax asset. And then the next year, it will come. So if there is a running account in and out, in and out.

Speaker 4

Okay. Thank you. Thank you so much.

Speaker 0

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Uddhat Ghadia from Kazana Nationals. Please go ahead.

Speaker 2

Hi, sir. You spoke about the growth in insurance business has been pretty strong for us. And even you mentioned that we have seen a change in the product mix. So my first question is, what kind of change in product mix we have witnessed?

Speaker 1

Life insurance product mix change.

Speaker 6

More term loan. Are term products as against more short term of the so called ULIP product, equivalent of ULIP product. So when you sell more of the term product, obviously, the yields are much better.

Speaker 2

So it's is it basically the retirement product of HDFC Life?

Speaker 6

As you know, we now patronize not just the HDFC product, but also the other two partners, which is a. Tata and Birla. Now they contribute to almost about 29% of our business. So it's a combination of all the three.

Speaker 2

And how is the share of the other two partners moved versus last year?

Speaker 6

Which is what I've just said. I think it's now 29%. The last year is, I think, was about 20%.

Speaker 1

So it does. Hold that by 10%.

Speaker 6

Year was also about 25%. So it's now 29%.

Speaker 2

Okay. And sir, lastly, given the commission rates on mutual funds have fallen, so has there been a conscious strategy from the branch employees to focus more of cross sell on insurance versus mutual funds?

Speaker 1

It's not a strategy that we tell them sell this or sell that. It is also there is a customer preference in play, right? The customer need is the predominant one that determines whether it is insurance or mutual fund. Yes,

Speaker 6

but having said that, as Sheri was mentioning, we don't sort of actually sort of try and push something. If you really look at it sequentially, the mutual fund volumes other than liquid funds have actually gone up by about 6%.

Speaker 1

Got it.

Speaker 2

A lot. All my questions have been answered.

Speaker 0

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Hiral Desai from Aniwede PMS. Please go ahead.

Speaker 12

Hi. Thanks for taking my question. I actually had a question on the asset quality in the auto book. And this is from your disclosure in the 20F. Now I see a very sharp rise in FY 'nineteen.

It's gone up by about 45 basis points. I do appreciate that the 20F numbers are on a consolidated basis. I just wanted to understand what led to such a sharp spike in the GNPS in auto?

Speaker 6

Yes. So that is principally because of the fact that there were a couple of larger dealership accounts, which went bad. It was not something that is in granular. These were slightly more fraudulent kind of accounts, which is what we tagged them as an NPA in FY 2019. So you do see kind of a jump from about 98 basis points to 1.43.

So that's your 45 basis point increase. That was the reason for that. Otherwise, as Jimmy did mention, the core auto loan portfolio has been pretty much very stable even in the current scenario as we speak.

Speaker 4

Barring the denominator effect due to the market, it has been Moreover, we have the early indicators that are actually showing a better trend as compared to the recent past.

Speaker 12

And Jimmy, just on the just reading on your early indicators comment, would it be fair to assume that in terms of retail delinquencies would have topped out ex of the agri portfolio?

Speaker 4

I don't think we can make that sort of a statement, but the early indicators are showing a better trend.

Speaker 12

And lastly, on the semi urban and rural book, can you give us some flavor ex of the agri, generally, how has the growth been?

Speaker 6

I did mention, I think we did sort of talk about it. I think, in fact, ex Agri in fact, said ex Vehicle segment, ex Vehicle segment in the sequential quarter has been pretty strong, Retail, ex Vehicle segment has been very strong. So it's about 13.5%, 18%. 18%. In fact, on a sequential basis, it's about 6% ex vehicle.

So I think other than commercial vehicle, other than probably two wheeler, all of the products, whether it's the auto, whether it's the personal loan, whether it's credit cards, whether it's the small business banking, whether it's loan against securities, whether it is home loans, gold loans, the KGC loans, which is the farm loans, have all seen reasonably healthy trends in this quarter.

Speaker 12

And Sachi, lastly on SmartBuy, could you share the number of carded customers who are already sort of operating on that platform or have bought something through that platform?

Speaker 6

I don't have the numbers as we speak. I don't think we have ever given that in the public domain. But frankly, even as we speak, I don't have that readily available. Maybe let me just mull this over and maybe we can give you give it to

Speaker 12

So broadly, what would be the penetration within your carded base on people who actually transact through the SmartBuy platform as of now?

Speaker 6

Sorry, I don't have those numbers here. Maybe I need to sort of dig deeper into that particular answer. I don't have it offhand,

Speaker 12

yes. Ladies

Speaker 0

and gentlemen, that was the last question. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Vaidyanathan for his closing comments.

Speaker 1

Okay. Thank you, Luzanne, and thank you all for participating. If there are more questions or any other information you need, feel free to call our Investor Relations. Ajit Cheti would be able to provide you the answers. Thank you.

Speaker 6

Thank you.

Speaker 0

Thank you, members of the management team. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of HDFC Bank Limited, that concludes this conference call. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.