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HELEN OF TROY LTD (HELE)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 FY25 revenue was $530.7M (-3.4% YoY) with GAAP EPS $2.17 and adjusted EPS $2.67; gross margin expanded 90 bps to 48.9% while adjusted operating margin rose 30 bps to 16.6% .
- Home & Outdoor grew 4.3% YoY to $246.1M with adjusted operating margin up to 18.4%; Beauty & Wellness fell 9.3% to $284.6M amid the weakest global illness season in eight years (ex-COVID) .
- FY25 outlook updated: net sales $1.888–$1.913B, GAAP EPS $4.60–$5.02 (lowered), adjusted EPS $7.15–$7.40 (narrowed), adjusted EBITDA $292–$295M (narrowed), FCF $145–$155M (lowered), ending net leverage 2.85x–2.75x (raised) .
- Catalysts: Olive & June acquisition (expected $17–$18M Q4 net sales, $0.05–$0.07 adj EPS accretion, $3–$4M adjusted EBITDA in FY25) and continued progress on Project Pegasus margin initiatives; watch wellness demand trajectory and tariff risk management .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Home & Outdoor momentum: segment revenue +4.3% YoY to $246.1M; adjusted operating margin expanded to 18.4% (from 16.9%) on lower commodity costs and improved inventory obsolescence .
- International strength and distribution gains across Hydro Flask, OXO, and Osprey drove growth; “we have grown our U.S. weighted distribution by 11% YTD and gained meaningful distribution internationally” .
- Project Pegasus on track, contributing to gross margin expansion and investment “fuel”; CEO: “Project Pegasus remains on track...having a positive impact on our gross profit margin and providing critical fuel for reinvestment” .
What Went Wrong
- Wellness headwind: “weaker-than-expected winter and illness season” cut Q3 sales by ~$10M; expected $15–$20M headwind in Q4, with U.S. illness incidents at an 8-year low (ex-COVID) .
- Beauty softness and category shifts: hair appliances below $100 remain weak; management noted bifurcation toward higher-priced items, with continued work needed in >$100 appliances .
- Cash flow and leverage: FY25 FCF cut to $145–$155M from $180–$200M and net leverage target raised to 2.85x–2.75x given lower revenue, strategic inventory builds, and Olive & June funding .
Financial Results
Quarterly Trend – Key Metrics
Year-over-Year – Q3 FY25 vs Q3 FY24
Segment Breakdown – Q3 FY25 vs Q3 FY24
KPIs
Versus Estimates
- S&P Global consensus (EPS, revenue, EBITDA) was not accessible at time of writing due to data limits; management stated results were “within our top and bottom-line expectations” provided in October .
- Implication: Street models likely need to reflect wellness headwinds and updated FY25 guidance (see Guidance Changes) .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We are pleased with our third quarter results that are within the outlook range... despite... a weak cough, cold and flu season globally... Project Pegasus remains on track... providing critical fuel for reinvestment” .
- CEO on portfolio shaping: “We... enhanced our portfolio with the acquisition of Olive & June... immediately accretive... complements our existing beauty portfolio and broadens us beyond the hair category” .
- CFO: “Growth investment... increased approximately 140 basis points year-over-year... adjusted operating margin increased 30 basis points to 16.6%” .
- CFO on outlook drivers: illness season well below historical averages; Olive & June adds $17–$18M net sales and $0.05–$0.07 adjusted EPS in Q4; adjusted EBITDA now $292–$295M .
Q&A Highlights
- Tennessee DC benefits: Vision unchanged (distribution cost rate target mid-3% over time); Olive & June DTC synergies likely upside not yet assumed .
- Tariffs planning: Diversify suppliers outside China; build inventory prudently; pursue changes that make sense even if tariffs don’t materialize .
- Q4 revenue range drivers: Continued Home & Outdoor strength, wellness headwind ($15–$20M), variability across retailers .
- Long-term targets: Remain intact; more detail at April outlook; beauty needs progress in premium appliances; wellness stability subject to seasonality .
- Inventory: Higher than expected due to thermometry build and tariff strategy; retailer wellness inventory elevated given low illness season .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus for Q3 FY25 EPS/revenue/EBITDA was not accessible at time of writing; management said results tracked internal outlook ranges .
- Street models likely to lower wellness assumptions, raise interest expense, incorporate Olive & June accretion and narrowed adjusted EBITDA range per guidance .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Home & Outdoor strength and international distribution gains offset wellness softness; margin quality improved via Pegasus despite higher brand investments .
- Wellness exposure remains a swing factor; management quantifies ~$10M Q3 and $15–$20M Q4 impact from the weak illness season—watch weekly POS and retailer replenishment .
- FY25 guide de-risked: lowered GAAP EPS and FCF, higher interest and leverage; monitor cash conversion into Q4 amid inventory strategies and tariff planning .
- Olive & June adds a high-margin consumables growth vector with immediate accretion; potential further upside from distribution and DC synergies not yet in forecasts .
- Execution risk in Beauty premium appliances persists; Revlon continues #1 unit item in category, but >$100 tools need innovation traction .
- Operational cadence improving at Tennessee DC; targeted efficiencies by FY25 YE should provide medium-term margin tailwind .
- Trading lens: Near-term sentiment hinges on wellness POS visibility and any tariff headlines; medium-term thesis supported by portfolio mix shift, Pegasus savings, and accretive M&A .
Additional Relevant Press Releases (Q3 FY25 Context)
- Acquisition of Olive & June completed on Dec 16, 2024; expected CY2024 net sales ≈$92M; financing via $235M revolver; swaps fixed 3.9% on 56% floating-rate debt .
- ICR Conference participation announced for Jan 13, 2025 (investor engagement) .