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HilleVax, Inc. (HLVX)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024: GAAP net loss of $33.9M and GAAP EPS of -$0.68, improving year over year from -$0.78 on lower R&D and despite restructuring and impairment charges of $20.8M .
  • On S&P Global’s “Primary EPS” basis, HilleVax beat Wall Street: actual -$0.265 vs. consensus -$0.327, a ~$0.06 beat; revenue consensus was $0 given pre-commercial status (no product revenue)*.
  • Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities declined to $171.4M at year end, down from $189.3M at Q3 and $245.0M at Q2 2024, reflecting operating losses and restructuring .
  • Management reiterated strategic pivot: “exploring the potential for continued development of its norovirus vaccine candidates in adults as well as business development related activities and other strategic alternatives” .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Cost actions flowing through: Q4 R&D declined to $9.2M (from $20.2M in Q3), driving YoY EPS improvement from -$0.78 to -$0.68 .
  • Normalized earnings outperformed Street: “Primary EPS” beat versus consensus (actual -$0.265 vs. -$0.327)*, suggesting lower core OpEx excluding one-time items.
  • Strategic focus clarified: “exploring the potential for continued development…in adults as well as business development related activities and other strategic alternatives,” signaling potential partnering or portfolio reorientation .

What Went Wrong

  • Restructuring/impairment elevated Q4 OpEx: $20.8M of charges recorded, contributing to quarterly net loss of $33.9M .
  • Cash burn persisted: liquidity fell to $171.4M by year end from $245.0M at Q2 and $189.3M at Q3 .
  • Program setback earlier in 2024: NEST-IN1 failed to meet endpoints; infant HIL-214 development discontinued, triggering a ~40% workforce reduction and impairments .

Financial Results

P&L and OpEx Components (oldest → newest)

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$40.668 $25.823 $33.947
Net Loss Per Share ($USD)-$0.83 -$0.52 -$0.68
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$42.963 $26.380 $36.151
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$26.601 $20.165 $9.199
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$8.127 $6.215 $6.138
Restructuring & Impairment ($USD Millions)$8.235 (impairment) $20.814

EPS vs. Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)

MetricQ4 2024
Primary EPS Consensus Mean*-$0.327*
Primary EPS Actual*-$0.265*
GAAP Net Loss Per Share ($USD)-$0.68
Result vs. Consensus (Primary EPS)Beat by ~$0.062*

Balance Sheet Liquidity (oldest → newest)

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Marketable Securities ($USD Millions)$245.040 $189.310 $171.432
Total Assets ($USD Millions)$276.931 $220.622 $192.690
Total Liabilities ($USD Millions)$72.001 $36.349 $38.204
Stockholders’ Equity ($USD Millions)$204.930 $184.273 $154.486

Note: HilleVax is a clinical-stage, pre-commercial company with no reported product revenue in these periods .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY/Q4 2024None providedNone providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
Operating ExpensesFY/Q4 2024None providedNone provided; one-time restructuring/impairment recognized ($20.8M) N/A
EPSFY/Q4 2024None providedNone providedMaintained (no formal guidance)
Program StrategyFY/Q4 2024Infant HIL-214 previously prioritizedAdult development exploration and BD/strategic alternatives Reoriented focus

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No earnings call transcript for Q4 2024 was available in our document catalog; themes are drawn from company earnings releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2024, Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
R&D ExecutionNEST-IN1 did not meet endpoints; infant HIL-214 discontinued Adult-focused exploration for HIL-214/HIL-216 Pivot to adult indications
Workforce & Cost Actions~40% workforce reduction announced to reduce OpEx Restructuring/impairment charges booked ($20.8M) Cost base lowering with one-time charges
Business DevelopmentExploring BD/strategic collaborations Continued BD and strategic alternatives emphasis Ongoing partnering focus
Liquidity/Cash RunwayCash $245.0M (Q2) Cash $189.3M (Q3) ; $171.4M (Q4) Declining liquidity; monitor burn
Program DirectionInfant program setback Adult development path under consideration Strategic reorientation

Management Commentary

  • Strategic focus: “The company is exploring the potential for continued development of its norovirus vaccine candidates in adults as well as business development related activities and other strategic alternatives.”
  • Cost discipline: Q4 recognized “Restructuring and impairment charges” of $20.8M, reflecting execution on organizational realignment .
  • Operating profile: R&D decreased to $9.2M in Q4 (from $33.3M in Q4 2023), primarily due to lower clinical development costs .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was available; no Q&A disclosures to evaluate in this period.

Estimates Context

  • EPS: S&P Global “Primary EPS” consensus for Q4 2024 was -$0.327; actual “Primary EPS” was -$0.265, implying an EPS beat driven by lower core OpEx excluding one-time items*.
  • Revenue: Consensus was $0.0 and remains appropriate given pre-commercial status*.
  • Update risk: Street models may lower forward OpEx following workforce reduction and program pivot; GAAP EPS will remain sensitive to any additional restructuring and impairment charges .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term trading: Expect focus on normalized EPS beats versus consensus and monitoring of additional restructuring effects; GAAP EPS was pressured by one-time charges while “Primary EPS” beat Street*.
  • Liquidity watch: Cash declined to $171.4M; runway depends on BD outcomes, adult program plans, and operating burn trajectory .
  • Strategic catalyst path: Adult norovirus development and BD/strategic alternatives are potential stock catalysts; updates could re-rate risk/reward .
  • Cost base inflection: R&D down sharply in Q4; ongoing OpEx reductions could improve normalized earnings trajectory despite lack of revenue .
  • Program execution: Infant HIL-214 discontinuation is embedded; clarity on adult indications and timelines is key to valuation .
  • Estimate revisions: Models likely adjust for lower R&D and one-time charge normalization; maintain appropriate zero revenue assumptions*.
  • Watch disclosures: With no Q4 call transcript, rely on upcoming filings/releases for detailed timelines and BD milestones.

Estimates marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.