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NH

New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. (HOVR)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Pre‑revenue quarter; operating expenses rose as engineering accelerated and stock‑based comp increased; reported net loss was $CAD 10.9M and cash rose to $CAD 16.3M from financing and warrant exercises .
  • Engineering and program execution progressed: platform architecture completed; main wing propulsion units fabricated and under test; full‑scale hybrid eVTOL targeted for initial testing in ~18 months; management reiterated “more than 18 months of working capital” and access to non‑dilutive funding .
  • Material weakness in disclosure controls persisted (inadequate separation of financial responsibilities), targeted for remediation by FY2026 year‑end .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus: revenue in line at $0*, EPS consensus is negative but not strictly comparable due to currency; EBITDA was below consensus (actual −$4.26M vs est. −$3.54M USD) — bold negative surprise likely driven by higher OpEx and warrant fair‑value changes*.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Program milestones and schedule confidence: “we made further progress in the first quarter of fiscal 2026 that has us well prepared to reach our target of having the full‑scale aircraft be ready for testing in 18 months” — CEO Brandon Robinson .
  • Liquidity runway and funding mix: “sufficient capital to ready our full‑scale prototype for testing in 18 months” and “more than 18 months of working capital” supported by streamlined OpEx and non‑dilutive government funding — CFO Brian Merker .
  • Strengthened balance sheet: quarter‑end cash was $CAD 16.3M; net financing cash inflow was $CAD 11.2M; 2.9M warrants exercised and $CAD 8.25M raised via Sales Agreement in Q1 2026 .

What Went Wrong

  • Loss widened: net loss increased to $CAD (10.9)M from $(4.9)M in Q3 2025; operating expenses nearly doubled YoY as engineering and stock‑based compensation ramped .
  • Non‑cash headwind: change in fair value of warrants added $CAD 5.14M to other expenses, contributing to the larger quarterly loss .
  • Internal control weakness persisted: disclosure controls “not effective” due to inadequate separation of financial responsibilities; remediation ongoing and targeted by FY2026 year‑end .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2025 (Nov 30, 2024)Q3 2025 (Feb 28, 2025)Q1 2026 (Aug 31, 2025)
Revenue ($CAD Millions)$0.0 $0.0 $0.0
Operating Expenses ($CAD Millions)$3.27 $3.55 $5.91
Loss from Operations ($CAD Millions)$(3.27) $(3.55) $(5.91)
Total Other Income/(Expense) ($CAD Millions)$(22.94) $1.39 $4.99
Net Income (Loss) ($CAD Millions)$19.66 $(4.94) $(10.90)
Basic EPS (CAD)$0.83 $(0.17) $(0.29)
Cash & Equivalents ($CAD Millions)$0.89 $9.20 $16.27

Segment breakdown:

Reportable SegmentsCommentary
Single segmentCODM reviews consolidated results; company is pre‑revenue and operates one reportable segment .

KPIs:

KPIQ2 2025Q3 2025Q1 2026
Shares Outstanding (Period End)24,574,247 31,230,914 39,558,366
Warrants Outstanding (@$11.50 USD)12,065,375 12,065,375 12,065,375
Warrants Outstanding (@$0.75 USD)5,700,000 3,210,000 310,000
Net Cash Used in Operating Activities ($CAD Millions)n/a (six months: $(4.18)) n/a (nine months: $(6.81)) $(2.36) (three months)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Full‑scale prototype readinessQ1 2026 → ~18 monthsNot previously specified“Ready for initial testing in 18 months” Raised specificity (timeline set)
Liquidity runwayCurrentNot previously specified“More than 18 months of working capital” New disclosure
Engineering milestonesCurrentn/aPlatform architecture completed; main wing propulsion units fabricated and testing Progress update
Focus areas for Q2 FY26Next quartern/aFull‑scale power/aero systems, partnerships, supply chain expansion Operational priorities
Financial guidance (revenue, margins, OpEx, OI&E, tax, dividends)FY26/Q2Not providedNot providedMaintained (no quantitative guidance)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No earnings call transcript was available for Q1 2026; table reflects themes from MD&A and disclosures.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2025)Previous Mentions (Q3 2025)Current Period (Q1 2026)Trend
Certification pathway (TCCA/FAA; 3C partnership)Initial regulator discussions; 3C engagement 3C partnership; certification basis development; multi‑year process Continued engagement; program execution toward full‑scale testing Steady progress
Government funding (INSAT/DAIR, grants)DAIR grant approved; SRED receipts Additional DAIR; Air Force grant context; liquidity from securities INSAT proposal aligned with key tech areas; expects update in 2025 Funding pipeline developing
Dual‑use (civil/military)Highlighted as model and risk mitigation Emphasized benefits and uncertainty Continued emphasis Consistent messaging
Supply chain/partnershipsBuilding vendor relationships Outsourcing and Tier‑1 suppliers highlighted in risk factors -Q2 FY26 focus on partnerships and supply chain expansion Scaling activity
Nasdaq compliance/listingIn process; Bid Price and continued listing standards risks -Regained compliance with equity standard; panel monitor one year -n/a this quarterImproved status
Internal controlsNot effective; remediation plan underway Not effective; remediation continues Not effective; aiming for remediation by FY2026 year‑end Working toward remediation

Management Commentary

  • Prepared remarks: “we made further progress in the first quarter of fiscal 2026… target… full‑scale aircraft be ready for testing in 18 months” — Brandon Robinson, CEO .
  • Strategic priorities: “development of full‑scale power and aerodynamic systems, key technical partnerships, and supply chain expansion” — CEO .
  • Liquidity stance: “with added resources from favorable funding efforts in 2025, we believe we have sufficient capital to ready our full‑scale prototype for testing in 18 months” — Brian Merker, CFO .

Q&A Highlights

No Q1 2026 earnings call transcript was available; no Q&A themes to report this quarter.

Estimates Context

MetricQ1 2026 Consensus (USD)Q1 2026 ActualNotes
Revenue$0.00*$0.00 (CAD) Pre‑revenue; in line*
Primary EPS−$0.0899*−$0.29 (CAD) Currency mismatch limits direct comparison*
EBITDA−$3.54M*−$4.26M (USD)*EBITDA below consensus — bold miss*

Additional coverage context:

  • Primary EPS – # of Estimates: 2 for Q1 2026; 4 for Q2 2026*.
  • Revenue – # of Estimates: 1 for Q1 2026; 3 for Q2 2026*.
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Horizon remains pre‑revenue but is executing to plan, with concrete engineering milestones and an 18‑month prototype‑testing timeline — a key narrative driver for the stock .
  • Liquidity improved (cash $CAD 16.3M), backed by warrant exercises and Sales Agreement capacity; management cites >18‑month runway — reduces near‑term financing risk perception .
  • Quarterly loss widened, driven by higher R&D/G&A and non‑cash warrant fair‑value items — expect continued OpEx elevation as program scales .
  • Internal controls remain a watch item; remediation by FY2026 year‑end is an operational milestone to monitor for governance‑sensitive investors .
  • Consensus expectations reflect limited coverage; revenue in line at zero; EBITDA came in weaker than expected — underscores the cost ramp inherent in near‑term execution*.
  • Near‑term trading catalysts: prototype milestone updates, government funding decisions (INSAT), and any partnership/supply‑chain announcements that validate execution trajectory .
  • Medium‑term thesis hinges on certification pathway credibility, dual‑use opportunity, capital access, and maturation of supply chain — track disclosures and MD&A for progress - -.