HF
HORMEL FOODS CORP /DE/ (HRL)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 FY25 net sales were $2.99B (flat YoY), GAAP EPS $0.31 and adjusted EPS $0.35; operating margin compressed to 7.6% (8.5% adjusted) on turkey supply chain pressures and higher pork/beef/nut input costs, partially offset by value-added strength and sequential recovery in Planters .
- Management reaffirmed FY25 organic net sales growth of 1–3% and adjusted EPS of $1.58–$1.72; GAAP EPS range trimmed by $0.02 to $1.49–$1.63 solely for the loss on sale of a non-core sow operation .
- Foodservice delivered organic net sales growth (+5%) with premium prepared proteins’ fifth straight quarter of double-digit growth; Retail softness tied to snack nuts supply disruption and unfavorable whole bird turkey dynamics; International grew profit on China/export strength despite Brazil softness .
- Setup for 2H: company expects Planters recovery, value-added turkey pricing actions, Foodservice momentum, and T&M benefits ($100–$150M in FY25) to drive a back-half earnings ramp; Q2 EPS guided “comparable” to Q1 and below prior year due to timing of turkey pricing benefits and tough Planters compare .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Value-added franchise resilience: flagship/rising brands (SPAM, Applegate, Hormel Black Label, Jennie-O) gained share/grew volume; Foodservice organic net sales +5% and premium prepared proteins posted a fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth .
- Planters sequential recovery: “significant, sequential market recovery” in Q1 with improving fill rates and distribution; brand to contribute more in 2H as comparisons ease .
- International profit growth: segment profit +4% YoY on improved export margins and China growth, despite Brazil softness and lower commodity turkey exports .
What Went Wrong
- Margin pressure: gross margin impacted by higher pork, beef, nut inputs and bird illnesses; GAAP operating margin fell to 7.6% (from 9.5% YoY), adjusted to 8.5% (from 9.8%) .
- Retail headwinds: net sales -1% and segment profit -20% YoY, primarily from snack nuts disruption and unfavorable whole turkey dynamics despite benefits from T&M and brand strength .
- Turkey supply chain pressures: management enacted “strategic pricing actions” across the value-added turkey complex; Q2 will bear pressure without full benefit, with improvements expected in Q3–Q4 .
Financial Results
Quarterly trend (oldest → newest)
Q1 FY2025 vs Q1 FY2024 (YoY)
Segment net sales (oldest → newest)
Segment profit (oldest → newest)
KPIs and cash/returns
Non-GAAP adjustments in Q1: T&M costs (+$0.02 EPS), loss on sale of business (+$0.02 EPS), litigation settlements (immaterial to EPS), lifting adjusted EPS to $0.35 .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We achieved solid top-line results... Our value-added portfolio is strong and performing well... SPAM, Applegate, Hormel Black Label, and Jennie-O grew volume while gaining share” .
- “We are pleased with the significant, sequential market recovery the Planters business delivered in the first quarter and expect continued improvements... first quarter was pressured as we continued to recover from the snack nuts supply disruption and lapped... turkey market compression” .
- “Our gross profit margin was 15.9%. Value-added growth was more than offset by... higher commodity input costs... and the supply chain impacts of bird illnesses” .
- “We expect... second quarter [bottom line] to be comparable to the first quarter and below prior year” .
- On turkey: “Strategic pricing actions across the entire turkey complex... we won’t recognize the benefit in Q2... we will get the benefit in Q3 and Q4” .
Q&A Highlights
- EPS cadence/back half ramp: Q2 bottom line comparable to Q1; back half driven by Planters recovery, T&M benefits, value-added portfolio; turkey pricing actions to benefit 2H .
- Turkey supply/pricing: Pressures tied to illnesses and underlying categories at all-time highs; pricing actions across value-added turkey; whole-bird assumptions unchanged .
- Planters distribution and spend: Suffolk fully recovered; inventories healthy; distribution recovering as resets occur; stepped-up advertising/promotions and innovation to ramp in 2H .
- Margins: Gross margins down YoY but expected sequential improvement Q1→Q2; pressure concentrated in turkey and nuts .
- T&M trajectory and 2026 ambition: On track; FY25 benefits $100–$150M; program viewed as growth flywheel; confidence in 2026 targets reiterated .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for Q1 FY2025 revenue and EPS were not available at the time of this analysis due to data access limits, so we cannot quantify beats/misses versus Street. Management indicated Q1 earnings were “in line with our expectations,” with Q2 guided comparable to Q1 and below prior year, and a stronger back half driven by Planters recovery, T&M, and value-added turkey pricing actions .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term margin pressure, but 2H setup constructive: value-added turkey pricing benefits will largely accrue in Q3–Q4; Planters comparisons ease and distribution rebuild should aid mix .
- Foodservice remains an engine: sustained organic growth and premium prepared proteins momentum provide a diversified earnings pillar amid Retail normalization .
- T&M program underpinning multi-year earnings: $100–$150M FY25 benefits reaffirmed; operational and portfolio optimization tailwinds continue to build .
- Retail focus working ex-snack nuts: flagship/rising brands gaining share; ad spend to step up through FY25 to support growth .
- International showing leverage: export margins and China innovation/distribution offset Brazil softness; opportunity to compound as macro stabilizes .
- Guidance intact on core metrics: adjusted EPS and sales maintained; GAAP EPS range reset solely for non-core divestiture loss, lowering controversy on underlying trend .
- Dividend consistency supports total return: $0.29 quarterly declared; strong cash generation and balance sheet provide flexibility .
Appendix: Additional Data Points
- Cash from operations: $309M in Q1; capex $72M focused on value-added capacity; targeted FY25 capex $275–$300M .
- Segment organic trends: Foodservice organic net sales +5%, organic volume +2%; total organic net sales +0.6% after adjusting for HHL divestiture .
- Non-GAAP reconciliation (Q1): Adjusted operating income $254.0M vs $228.3M GAAP; adjustments include T&M ($14.2M), loss on sale of business ($11.3M), litigation ($0.24M) .
Sources: Q1 FY2025 8‑K/Press Release and exhibits ; Q1 FY2025 earnings press release ; Q1 FY2025 earnings call transcript ; Q4 FY2024 press release ; Q3 FY2024 press release ; Dividend declaration (Mar 24, 2025) .