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HEIDRICK & STRUGGLES INTERNATIONAL INC (HSII)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 net revenue rose 15.9% year over year to $322.8M, exceeding the high end of the prior $295–$315M outlook; diluted EPS was $0.83 and adjusted EBITDA was $34.2M (10.6% margin). All segments grew, led by Executive Search (+17% YoY) with strength in the Americas (+20.8%) and Europe (+18.0%).
- Against S&P Global consensus, HSII delivered a clear beat: revenue $322.8M vs $301.5M estimate (+7.1%) and Primary EPS $0.911 vs $0.757 estimate (+20%). Note SPGI Primary EPS actual (0.911) differs from company GAAP diluted EPS ($0.83). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Management did not host a Q3 call due to the announced go‑private transaction at $59/share with an Advent/Corvex‑led consortium; the deal, expected to close by Q1 2026 subject to approvals, is the primary stock driver near term.
- Margin mixed: EBITDA margin declined 30 bps YoY to 10.6% and operating margin fell to 5.9% amid higher salaries/benefits (67.5% of net revenue) and consulting losses; On‑Demand Talent profitability improved.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Broad-based growth: Net revenue +15.9% YoY to $322.8M with all business lines contributing; Executive Search +17% YoY; On‑Demand Talent +10.1%; Heidrick Consulting +17.6%.
- Regional outperformance: Executive Search Americas +20.8% and Europe +18.0% YoY, offsetting APAC softness.
- Positive earnings trajectory: Net income rose to $17.6M (from $14.8M) and diluted EPS to $0.83 (from $0.71); adjusted EBITDA increased to $34.2M.
- Management tone: “results…exceeded the high end of our outlook,” highlighting focus on durable client relationships and sustainable growth.
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What Went Wrong
- Margin compression: Adjusted EBITDA margin fell 30 bps YoY to 10.6%; operating margin declined to 5.9% (vs 6.9% LY).
- APAC weakness: Executive Search APAC revenue declined 3.9% YoY.
- Consulting profitability: Heidrick Consulting posted an adjusted EBITDA loss of $1.9M (‑5.7% margin).
- Elevated people costs: Salaries/benefits rose to 67.5% of net revenue (65.7% LY).
- Limited visibility: No Q3 earnings call or new guidance given the pending take‑private.
Financial Results
Key P&L (USD Millions, except per-share and %). Columns are ordered oldest → newest.
Segment Net Revenue ($M)
Executive Search by Region ($M)
Key Operating KPIs
Guidance Changes
Note: No new forward guidance provided for Q4/FY due to pending transaction; no Q3 earnings call.
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We continued our strong 2025 momentum highlighted by our third quarter results that exceeded the high end of our outlook.” — Tom Monahan, CEO.
- “As announced on October 6, 2025, Heidrick entered into a definitive agreement to become a private company…for $59.00 per share…Heidrick will not be hosting an earnings conference call or webcast…”
- Q2 (CEO): Clients need help navigating volatility, geopolitics, and AI; margin progress targeted through cycle even as hiring in H2 weighs on quarterly margins.
- Q2 (CFO): Salary/benefits normalized ~65% of net revenue; scaling G&A; Executive Search adjusted EBITDA margin 22.9%; Q3 revenue outlook $295–$315M considering macro uncertainty.
Q&A Highlights
- Hiring and margins: H1 hiring flows into H2 expenses; margin ebb expected as additions come online; additions are “not huge” but aimed at positioning for 2026+.
- Guidance cadence and macro: Q3 guide ($295–$315M) balanced normal seasonality with macro conservatism; demand acceleration can push to upper end, delays can push to lower end.
- Productivity: Annualized Search productivity hit ~$2.3M in Q2; company still frames long‑term around ~$2.0M; productivity strength supports hiring.
- Regional profitability: Europe margin uplift supported by growth/scale; Americas quarter impacted by comp tier dynamics; no structural changes expected.
- Cash and M&A: Cash prioritized for earnouts (2026) and organic investments; some hires may be lift‑outs or small acquisitions.
Estimates Context
Q3 2025 vs S&P Global consensus
Notes: SPGI “Primary EPS” actual (0.911) differs from company GAAP diluted EPS (0.83). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Fundamentals remain resilient: Q3 net revenue beat both guidance and consensus with broad-based growth; Search remains the engine, aided by Americas and Europe.
- Mix and costs temper margins: EBITDA margin down YoY; comp intensity (67.5% of net revenue) and consulting losses offset operating leverage; monitor comp ratio normalization and Consulting path to profitability.
- APAC is a watch item: YoY decline in Search APAC contrasts with broad strength elsewhere; sustained softness could cap upside to Search margins.
- On‑Demand momentum: Profitability improved alongside double‑digit revenue growth; tie‑ins with Search/interim placements support cross‑sell.
- Event path dominates stock setup: The $59 all‑cash take‑private expected by Q1 2026 shifts near‑term trading to a merger‑arbitrage framework; deal timing/approvals are the key catalyst.
- Estimate implications: Consensus likely moves higher on revenue; EPS modeling should reflect higher revenue but also elevated H2 expenses per prior commentary and Q3 comp mix.
- Dividend maintained: Continued $0.15/share payout underscores cash discipline into transaction close.
Supporting Detail: Additional Q3 Data (for reference)
- Executive Search adjusted EBITDA: $57.2M (23.9% margin); On‑Demand Talent $2.8M (5.6%); Consulting −$1.9M (−5.7%).
- Cash & marketable securities at 9/30/25: Cash $454.6M; Marketable securities $73.4M.
Footnotes:
- Values retrieved from S&P Global.