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HC

Hercules Capital, Inc. (HTGC)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record total investment income of $137.5M and record net investment income of $88.7M; EPS was $0.50, with NII covering 125% of the base distribution, and NAV/share rose 2.5% q/q to $11.84 .
  • Strong beat versus Wall Street: EPS $0.50 vs $0.472* consensus; TII $137.5M vs $129.5M* consensus. Both EPS and “revenue” (TII) beat; estimate revisions likely skew higher after record fundings and early repayments . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Credit improved: loans on non‑accrual fell to 0.2% of total investments at cost (down from 1.8% in Q1), and weighted average credit grade improved to 2.26 from 2.31 .
  • Liquidity and funding catalysts: $350M 6.000% notes due 2030, MUFG facility increased to $440M, and available liquidity of $785.6M; these actions support originations momentum and shareholder distributions .
  • Management emphasized robust pipeline and consistent core income, positioning for continued strong origination/funding despite seasonal Q3 slowdown; this narrative is a positive stock reaction catalyst .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record fundings ($709.1M) and second consecutive quarter with >$1B new commitments drove net portfolio growth; CEO: “robust pipeline of high‑quality investment opportunities…record fundings” .
  • Earnings quality and coverage: NII of $88.7M ($0.50/share) provided 125% coverage of the base distribution ($0.40) .
  • Credit quality/tone improved: non‑accruals declined to 0.2% of portfolio cost; weighted average grade improved to 2.26 from 2.31 .

What Went Wrong

  • Net realized losses of ($57.6M) in the quarter (debt, warrants, FX), partially offset by $47.8M net unrealized appreciation .
  • Operating and interest costs rose y/y: non‑interest and fee expenses $26.5M vs $24.0M; interest expense and fees $25.7M vs $21.5M; reflects higher borrowings and facility utilization .
  • EPS down slightly y/y ($0.50 vs $0.51) due to higher weighted average shares (176.8M vs 160.7M) despite higher TII/NII .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Total Investment Income ($USD Millions)$125.0 $121.8 $119.5 $137.5
Net Investment Income ($USD Millions)$82.4 $81.1 $77.5 $88.7
EPS (NII before gains, Basic) ($USD)$0.51 $0.49 $0.45 $0.50
GAAP Effective Yield (%)13.7 13.0 13.9
Core Yield (%)12.9 12.6 12.5
ROAE (%)17.0 15.7 17.1
ROAA (%)8.9 8.0 8.6
NAV per Share ($USD)$11.66 $11.55 $11.84

KPIs and Balance Sheet

KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
First Lien Senior Secured (%)91.0 90.9 91.0
Floating Rate w/Floors (%)97.4 98.0 97.8
Loans on Non‑Accrual (% of total at cost)1.7 1.8 0.2
Available Liquidity ($USD Millions)$658.8 $615.6 $785.6
Net Regulatory Leverage (%)69.9 82.7 78.7
Shares Outstanding (Millions)170.6 173.3 181.7
Undistributed Earnings Spillover ($USD Millions)$163.6 $159.6 $134.1

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Base + Supplemental DistributionQ2 2025$0.40 + $0.07 (Q1) $0.40 + $0.07 Maintained
Core Yield Expected Range202512.25%–12.75% (Q1 commentary) 12.0%–12.5% (Q2 within range) Lowered range
MUFG Credit FacilityAs of Q2 2025$400.0M (Q1) $440.0M Increased
Unsecured NotesQ2 2025$287.5M 4.75% converts (Mar’25) $350.0M 6.000% notes due 2030 New issuance
Interest Rate Sensitivity TableAs of Q2 2025Updated as of Q1 Updated as of Q2 Maintained disclosure

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24, Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
Originations & Fundings MomentumRecord 2024 fundings; favorable 2025 origination backdrop; disciplined underwriting Second consecutive quarter >$1B commitments; record $709.1M fundings Improving
Core Yield & Rate FloorsCore yield down modestly with rate cuts; ~50% at contractual floors (Q4/Q1) Core yield 12.5% within 12.0–12.5% range; asset‑sensitive portfolio Stable
Liquidity & Leverage>$1B platform liquidity; conservative leverage under/near 1:1 $785.6M liquidity; GAAP leverage 97.4%; net regulatory leverage 78.7% Strong/Stable
Credit Quality & Non‑AccrualsNon‑accruals 1.7%–1.8%; vigilant downgrades ahead of funding needs Non‑accruals fell to 0.2%; weighted avg grade improved to 2.26 Improving
Private Funds/AUM ExpansionAUM managed >$5B; RIA dividends to BDC AUM >$5.3B; first close of 4th institutional private credit fund Expanding
Capital Markets Actions$287.5M converts (4.75%) in Mar’25 $350M 6.000% notes; MUFG facility raised to $440M; ATM issuance in Q2 Accretive/liquidity enhancing
Seasonal OutlookExpect muted exits near‑term; seasonally strong Q4; volatility into 2025 Management notes seasonally slower Q3 but bullish FY25 originations Mixed seasonality; positive full‑year

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “Our vibrant ecosystem and industry‑leading investment team has provided a robust pipeline…over $1.0 billion of new debt and equity commitments…record fundings of over $709.0 million in Q2…our net investment income of $0.50 per share provided 125% coverage of our base distribution…core income in excess of $100.0 million for nine consecutive quarters” .
  • CEO: “We successfully raised a new institutional bond of $350.0 million, renewed and increased our credit facility with MUFG to $440.0 million…position us well to evaluate and potentially identify the best risk‑adjusted opportunities” .
  • CFO (call): “We added…another $500,000,000 split between $350,000,000 unsecured notes and nearly $150,000,000 via our ATM” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Analysts probed originations cadence and funding outlook into seasonally slower Q3; management remained bullish on FY25 record commitments/fundings .
  • Clarifications on capital structure and liquidity: $350M notes and increased MUFG facility plus ATM issuance to support growth while moderating leverage .
  • Tone: confident on pipeline/credit, cautious on exit activity seasonality; reiterated asset sensitivity and rate floors .

Estimates Context

MetricQ4 2024 ConsensusQ4 2024 ActualDeltaQ1 2025 ConsensusQ1 2025 ActualDeltaQ2 2025 ConsensusQ2 2025 ActualDelta
EPS ($USD)0.503*0.49 (0.013)*0.468*0.45 (0.018)*0.472*0.50 +0.028*
Total Investment Income ($USD Millions)126.167*121.784 (4.383)*125.433*119.511 (5.922)*129.465*137.459 +7.994*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Earnings beat on both EPS and TII; record fundings and elevated early repayments materially boosted effective yield and revenue; expect near‑term estimate revisions upward . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Credit improvement (non‑accruals down to 0.2%) and better portfolio grading reduce downside risk to NII; supports dividend visibility .
  • Liquidity and funding actions ($350M notes, MUFG $440M, ATM) provide dry powder without excessive leverage creep; positive for sustained originations and shareholder returns .
  • Watch early loan repayments: Q2 early repayments rose 102.9% vs Q1, materially impacting effective yield; this can swing quarterly TII/NII .
  • Core yield stable at 12.5% within lowered range; asset‑sensitive portfolio with rate floors moderates downside from future cuts .
  • NAV/share increased 2.5% q/q; accretive ATM issuance and unrealized gains offset realized losses; continued NAV stability bolsters total return profile .
  • Trading implications: Positive catalyst from clean beat and credit improvement; near‑term seasonality may temper Q3 prints, but FY momentum intact; consider buying dips ahead of Q3 with eye on early repayment cadence and pipeline conversion .

Additional Relevant Press Releases (Q2 2025)

  • Priced and closed upsized institutional notes offering: $350M 6.000% notes due 2030 (pricing June 11; closing June 16); also referenced in Q2 earnings release [3:—] [2:—].
  • Declared total cash distribution of $0.47/share for Q2 2025 (base $0.40 + supplemental $0.07) with QII designation details .
  • IR calendar: announced date for release of Q2 2025 financial results and conference call (July 17) .

Prior Two Quarters’ Earnings (for Trend)

  • Q1 2025: TII $119.5M, NII $77.5M ($0.45/share), core yield 12.6%, GAAP effective yield 13.0%, non‑accruals 1.8%, liquidity $615.6M .
  • Q4 2024: TII $121.8M, NII $81.1M ($0.49/share), core yield 12.9%, GAAP effective yield 13.7%, non‑accruals 1.7%, liquidity $658.8M .

Notes: “Revenue” referenced herein aligns with Total Investment Income for a BDC. All yield/leverage measures follow company definitions. Non‑GAAP measures (Core Yield, Net Regulatory Leverage) per company reconciliations .