HW
HANCOCK WHITNEY CORP (HWC)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 delivered solid profitability and operating discipline: diluted EPS $1.40, ROA 1.40%, NIM (TE) 3.41%, and efficiency ratio 54.46% as deposit costs fell and capital ratios climbed (CET1 14.14%) .
- Non-GAAP items did not affect Q4; the prior-year Q4 2023 included $75.4M of supplemental items—adjusted EPS would have been $1.26—so year-over-year optics overstate growth versus “clean” comps .
- Balance sheet trends were mixed: loans contracted on CRE payoffs while deposits rose seasonally; asset quality normalized with higher criticized and nonaccruals but modest NCOs; reserve coverage edged up to 1.47% .
- 2025 guidance (ex-Sabal) points to mid-single-digit loan growth, low-single-digit deposit growth, NII (TE) up 3.5–4.5%, modest NIM expansion, and PPNR up 3–4%; buybacks expected to revert to ~300k shares/quarter; dividend raised to $0.45 in Jan-25 .
- Catalysts: Sabal Trust acquisition (immediate EPS accretion, strengthens Florida wealth), multi-year banker hiring and Dallas expansion, deposit repricing tailwinds, and continued capital return .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- “We achieved an ROA of a notable 1.40%. We enjoy continued NIM expansion… efficiency ratio of 54.46%” (CEO) .
- Cost of funds fell 21 bps (to 1.73%); cost of deposits down 17 bps (to 1.85%) as CDs repriced and brokered deposits matured (CFO) .
- Capital strengthened: CET1 14.14% (+36 bps LQ), total risk-based ~15.93%, supporting ongoing buybacks and organic growth investments .
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What Went Wrong
- Loans declined $156M LQ on elevated CRE payoffs despite strong production; loan yields fell 25 bps as variable-rate loans reset lower .
- Criticized commercial loans and nonaccruals rose (criticized to $623M; nonaccruals to 0.42% of loans), reflecting normalization and borrower pressures in select sectors .
- Fee income down 5% LQ on lower specialty/derivative/SBA income and softer secondary mortgage activity; PPNR slipped slightly LQ .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown (Loan portfolio, Q4 2024):
Key KPIs
Why the changes:
- NIM expansion: lower deposit rates (+16 bps), better funding mix (+5 bps), and higher securities yield (+1 bp) offset lower loan yields (-20 bps) .
- Loans fell on elevated CRE payoffs; deposits rose on seasonal inflows in public funds and higher IB transaction/savings balances with some retail time deposit runoff .
- Criticized and nonaccrual loans normalized upward while net charge-offs remained modest; ACL coverage ticked up .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We achieved an ROA of a notable 1.40%. We enjoy continued NIM expansion and ramped the quarter with total risk-based capital of nearly 16%.”
- CEO: “We announced this morning our acquisition of Sabal Trust Company… Florida will become our largest wealth management fee stake… Tampa/St Pete MSA will become our largest individual wealth management fee market.”
- CFO: “Our overall cost of funds was down 21 basis points to 1.73%… cost of deposits down 17 basis points to 1.85%… CDs will continue to reprice lower throughout 2025… We believe we can achieve modest NIM expansion and NII growth of between 3.5% and 4.5% in 2025.”
- CCO: Criticized migration spanned consumer discretionary, building products/services, hotels, healthcare; largely transitory/situational; portfolio remains diversified and peer-comparable .
Q&A Highlights
- Buybacks cadence: Expect to revert to ~300k shares per quarter in 2025 after Q4 blackout; more aggressive repurchases possible depending on valuation and balance sheet growth (CFO) .
- Loan growth drivers: Confidence tied to end of SNC runoff, pipelines across small business, commercial banking, healthcare, CRE later in year; competition (nonbank) may pressure new money yields (CEO) .
- CD repricing specifics: ~$2.5B maturing in Q1 (coming off ~4.34%, going on ~3.74%), ~$8B total in 2025 (off ~3.79%, on ~3.10%), renewal rates stepping down (CFO) .
- Asset quality outlook: “Modest” charge-offs defined as upper teens to low-20s bps of average loans; CRE losses historically limited; expect in-line with peers (CFO/CEO) .
- Hiring impact: ~35 net new bankers over 5 quarters; majority of P&L impact in 2026; 2025 carries expense ahead of full revenue flywheel (CEO) .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global were unavailable at time of analysis due to SPGI request limits; therefore, estimate comparisons (EPS, revenue) are not shown. If needed, we will update when access is restored.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Deposit cost relief is a clear 2025 tailwind: sizable CD maturities are repricing lower, DDA mix stable at 36%, and brokered deposits rolled off—supporting modest NIM expansion even with lower variable loan yields .
- Loan growth should re-accelerate (mid-single digits) with SNC headwind removed, multi-segment pipelines (SMB, commercial banking, healthcare, CRE 2H), and banker hiring; expect growth skewed to 2H25 .
- Capital remains a strategic lever: CET1 14.14% and strong profitability support continued buybacks (~300k/qtr) and dividend growth ($0.45 in 1Q25), alongside organic expansion and Sabal integration .
- Asset quality normalization warrants monitoring: criticized and nonaccruals are higher, but reserves (ACL 1.47%) and guidance for “modest” charge-offs suggest contained credit costs; peer-relative nonaccruals remain favorable historically .
- Wealth management is becoming a larger earnings contributor: Sabal adds immediate EPS accretion, deepens Florida presence, and bolsters fee income diversification—supportive for valuation re-rate potential over time .
- Near-term trading setup: Focus on deposit cost trajectory, NIM prints, and any update to Sabal close/timing; watch CRE payoff pace and criticized migration for sentiment impacts; any acceleration in hiring or M&A commentary could catalyze expectations .
All information above is sourced from HWC’s Q4 2024 press release and 8-K (including slides) and the earnings call transcript: and Q3/Q2 materials , plus Sabal/dividend releases .