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InPoint Commercial Real Estate Income, Inc. (ICR-PA)·Q3 2021 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2021 results: total income rose to $7.64M (vs. $6.05M in Q3’20) on higher hotel revenue; net income was $2.46M (EPS $0.22) vs. $6.06M (EPS $0.52) in Q3’20, with the YoY decline driven by 2020’s one‑time securities mark‑to‑market gains that did not recur in 2021 .
  • Sequentially, EPS fell to $0.22 from $0.28 in Q2’21 as total income increased (Q3: $7.64M; Q2: $6.74M) but net interest income declined and hotel operating expenses rose with higher occupancy .
  • Capital markets catalyst: the company closed an upsized $87.5M 6.75% Series A preferred offering and listed ICR PR A on NYSE (Sept 22), earmarking proceeds for first‑mortgage originations; management flagged ~$136.4M in term sheets expected to close primarily in Q4’21 .
  • Operations: CRE loan book expanded to 34 loans ($521.3M principal) with 97% floating rate exposure and stronger hotel metrics (Q3 occupancy 57%, RevPAR $65, ADR $114); management reiterated intent to divest the hotel over time and focus on CRE debt .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Portfolio growth and pipeline: Loan portfolio reached 34 loans/$521.3M principal and management executed term sheets on ~$136.4M of first mortgages, mostly expected to close in Q4’21 .
    • Hotel recovery: Renaissance O’Hare occupancy/RevPAR/ADR improved to 57%/$65/$114 in Q3’21 (from 48%/$43/$89 in Q2’21 and 22%/$19/$89 in Q3’20) .
    • Liquidity and capital raise: Cash rose to $134.8M; company completed/ listed an $87.5M 6.75% Series A preferred offering to fund originations .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Net interest spread pressure: Net interest income declined YoY to $4.92M from $5.68M and sequentially from $4.99M, with weighted average financing cost rising vs. prior year and spread compression in the loan/securities mix .
    • Higher operating costs: Real estate‑owned operating expenses increased to $3.27M in Q3’21 vs. $0.94M in Q3’20 as the hotel operated at higher activity levels; total net operating expenses rose to $5.17M from $3.52M .
    • No earnings call/limited external guidance: The quarter lacked an earnings call/transcript and traditional financial guidance, limiting external estimate frames; consensus from S&P Global was unavailable for comparison (see Estimates Context).

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2020Q2 2021Q3 2021
Total income ($USD Millions)$6.05 $6.74 $7.64
Net interest income ($USD Millions)$5.68 $4.99 $4.92
Revenue from real estate owned ($USD Millions)$0.37 $1.74 $2.72
Net income ($USD Millions)$6.06 $3.30 $2.46
Diluted EPS ($)$0.52 $0.28 $0.22

KPIs and balance sheet highlights:

  • Loan portfolio: 34 loans; principal $521.3M; weighted average years to maximum maturity 3.2; 97% variable rate exposure (as of 9/30/21) .
  • Average leverage and levered yield (Q3): 221.5% and 11.6% .
  • Liquidity & debt: Cash $134.8M; amounts outstanding under loan repo/credit facilities $357.6M; committed financing capacity $475.0M .
  • Hotel KPIs (Renaissance O’Hare): Q3’21 occupancy 57%, RevPAR $65, ADR $114; Q2’21: 48%/$43/$89; Q3’20: 22%/$19/$89 .
  • Distributions: Monthly gross common distributions were $0.1042 per share for July, August, and September 2021 across all classes (net varies for certain classes) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent Guidance/UpdateChange
Loan originations pipelineQ4 2021N/AExecuted term sheets on ~$136.4M in first mortgage loans; majority expected to close in Q4’21 New disclosure
Common distributionsJul–Sep 2021$0.1042 monthly (June) Maintained $0.1042 monthly for July–September Maintained
Share Repurchase Plan (SRP) limitsFrom Oct 1, 2021Jul–Sep 2021 expected cap: ≤1% monthly, ≤2.5% quarterly SRP cap: ≤2% monthly, ≤5% quarterly beginning Oct 1, 2021 Increased capacity
Preferred stockListed Sept 22, 2021Pricing announced Sept 15 ($87.5M gross) Offering closed; ICR PR A approved for NYSE listing; proceeds to fund originations Completed/Listed

Note: The company did not issue traditional revenue/EPS/expense/tax guidance.

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No earnings call transcript was available for Q3 2021. Thematic evolution across Q1–Q3 2021 based on 10‑Qs:

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2021)Previous Mentions (Q2 2021)Current Period (Q3 2021)Trend
Credit performance & risk ratings31 loans; focus on monitoring hospitality/retail; no new allowances; risk ratings: 22 loans rated 2, six rated 3, three rated 4 .36 loans; risk ratings: 28 rated 2, six rated 3, two rated 4 .34 loans; risk ratings: 28 rated 2, six rated 3, none rated 4 .Improving risk mix
Loan originations & demandOrigination pick‑up; two loans closed; continued demand .Seven loans in Q2; continued demand & selective term sheets .Robust pipeline (~$136.4M term sheets) .Strengthening pipeline
Hotel operations (Renaissance O’Hare)Intent to sell in time; improving monthly metrics (Apr occupancy ~46%) .Q2 occupancy 48%, RevPAR $43, ADR $89; still impacted by COVID .Q3 occupancy 57%, RevPAR $65, ADR $114; still plan to sell hotel .Recovery progressing
Liquidity & financingAccess to repo lines; new WA Credit Facility signed Mar 10, 2021 .Borrowings increased with originations; cash $51.9M .Cash $134.8M; borrowings $357.6M; committed capacity $475M .Enhanced liquidity
Distributions & SRPSRP reinstatement for death/disability (Mar 1); plan to reinstate for all on Jul 1 .SRP reinstated Jul 1 with interim caps; monthly distributions increased to $0.1042 by June .SRP caps raised from Oct; $0.1042 monthly maintained Jul–Sep .Normalization
LIBOR transitionDisclosed risks and fallback; monitoring timelines .Same .All loans/facilities include fallback; monitoring SOFR transition .Stable planning

Management Commentary

  • “We continue to see significant loan demand in our target markets and asset classes. As of September 30, 2021, we have executed borrower term sheets on approximately $136.4 million in first mortgage loans, the majority of which we expect to close during the fourth quarter 2021.” .
  • “Ultimately, we intend to sell the Renaissance O’Hare and remain focused on our core business of investing in CRE debt.” .
  • “On September 22, 2021, we completed the Preferred Stock Offering, generating net proceeds of approximately $84.0 million. We plan to use the proceeds to primarily originate first mortgage loans.” .

Q&A Highlights

No Q3 2021 earnings call/Q&A transcript was available in company filings; no analyst Q&A themes to report.

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates (EPS/revenue) from S&P Global were unavailable for Q3 2021 at the time of this review; therefore, comparisons to consensus cannot be provided.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Deployment runway: The $87.5M preferred raise and $134.8M cash position provide ample liquidity to fund a ~$136M near‑term pipeline of first mortgages, supporting NII growth into Q4’21/Q1’22 if closings proceed as expected .
  • Portfolio quality improving: Loan risk ratings shifted positively (no loans rated 4 as of Q3) while hotel operating metrics improved; hospitality/retail exposure remained modest (~9.6% by loans) .
  • Earnings mix normalization: 2020 securities marks inflated YoY comps; 2021 income drivers are shifting toward core NII and REO operations, with hotel recovery aiding REO revenue but also lifting operating expenses until divestiture .
  • Rate positioning: With ~97% variable‑rate loans and repo financing, a rising rate backdrop can pressure spread if liability costs outpace floors; however, portfolio LIBOR floors and asset yields offer partial protection .
  • Shareholder liquidity/returns: Monthly common distributions held at $0.1042 through Q3; SRP capacity increased from October, potentially improving common holder liquidity (non‑listed); preferred dividends are fixed at 6.75% with NYSE trading in ICR PR A .
  • Strategic focus: Management reiterates hotel exit intention and CRE credit focus; proceeds earmarked for senior, floating‑rate lending in favored asset classes (multifamily/industrial/selected office) .

Supporting Detail

Additional KPIs

  • Cash and unencumbered assets: Cash $134.8M; unencumbered assets $30.5M (as of 9/30/21) .
  • Facilities snapshot (9/30/21): CF Repo $203.2M out; JPM Repo $140.0M out; WA Credit Facility $14.4M out; total outstanding $357.6M; weighted average rate ~2.48% .
  • NAV per share (9/30/21): Class P $20.2106; Class A $20.2568; Class T $20.2557; Class D $20.2520; Class I $20.2575 .

Other Relevant Press Releases (Q3 2021)

  • Pricing of upsized $87.5M 6.75% Series A preferred (Sept 15) .
  • Closing of preferred offering and NYSE approval for ICR PR A (Sept 22) .
  • Q3 2021 portfolio information presentation furnished Oct 14 (Ex. 99.1) .

Prior Two Quarters – Trend Summary

  • Q2 2021: Total income $6.74M; net income $3.30M; EPS $0.28; 36 loans/$554.8M; hotel occupancy 48%, RevPAR $43, ADR $89 .
  • Q1 2021: Total income $5.43M; net income $1.37M; EPS $0.12; 31 loans/$474.9M; monthly distributions ramped during Q1 .

All citations:
Financials and MD&A: .
Q2: .
Q1: .
Preferred offering press: .
Portfolio information 8‑K: .