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ICU MEDICAL INC/DE (ICUI) Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 adjusted revenue was $621.6M, up ~8% y/y, driven by a temporary U.S. IV Solutions shortage; GAAP revenue was $629.8M (+7% y/y). Adjusted EPS was $2.11 versus $1.57 y/y; adjusted EBITDA rose to $105.5M from $86.3M y/y .
  • Gross margin expanded materially y/y (GAAP 36.1% vs. 29.2% y/y) but was down slightly q/q on mix (higher IV Solutions) and FX; adjusted gross margin was ~37% for Q4 per management .
  • FY 2025 guidance introduced: adjusted EBITDA $395–$425M, adjusted EPS $6.55–$7.25, adjusted gross margin 37–38%, OpEx ~24% of revenue; net interest ~$95M; tax rate ~25%. The IV Solutions JV (expected Q2 close) would reduce 2025 adjusted EBITDA by $15–$20M and be neutral to adjusted EPS .
  • Key catalysts: JV closing and deconsolidation (immediate 300–400 bps adjusted gross margin uplift with a further 100–200 bps longer-term), pump platform rollout (Plum Duo in market; Plum Solo and software advancing), and continued quality/integration progress supporting margin trajectory and free cash flow .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong y/y revenue growth across all segments; Vital Care +16% benefited from IV Solutions shortage; Consumables +6% and Infusion Systems +7% in Q4; adjusted EBITDA up 22% y/y to $106M .
  • Clear operational progress: ERP order-to-cash cutover in North America, manufacturing network consolidation underway, lowest backorders since the acquisition, and successful FDA follow-up inspection with no observations at the site underpinning the warning letter (awaiting final resolution) .
  • Strategic portfolio optimization: IV Solutions JV with Otsuka expected to close Q2 2025, bringing scale, redundancy, innovation, and immediate adjusted gross margin expansion post-deconsolidation; proceeds to reduce net debt toward ~$1B by year-end 2025 .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP loss persisted: Q4 GAAP net loss of $(23.8)M (diluted $(0.97)), impacted by valuation allowance tax expense; despite adjusted improvements, company still highlights “under earning” versus industry benchmarks .
  • Gross margin pressured sequentially by mix (higher IV Solutions) and unfavorable FX in selling geographies vs. Q3; free cash flow moderated to $16M in Q4 as AR purchase program was fully paid down .
  • Tariffs risk: Guidance excludes potential new U.S. tariffs on Mexico-manufactured products (~1/3 of revenues), with mitigation options requiring capital and time; uncertainty remains .

Financial Results

Summary Results vs. Prior Year and Prior Quarter

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
GAAP Revenue ($M)$587.9 $589.1 $629.8
Adjusted Revenue ($M)$575.7 $580.1 $621.6
GAAP Gross Margin %29.2% 34.8% 36.1%
GAAP Net (Loss)/Income ($M)$(17.1) $(33.0) $(23.8)
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$(0.71) $(1.35) $(0.97)
Adjusted EPS ($)$1.57 $1.59 $2.11
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$86.3 $94.8 $105.5

Note: Q4 2024 call remarks cited “Revenue $622M” consistent with adjusted revenue excluding contract manufacturing; GAAP revenue was $629.8M .

Segment/Product Line Breakdown (Q4)

Product LineQ4 2023 ($M)Q4 2024 ($M)y/y Δ ($M)
Consumables$254.0 $268.1 +$14.1
Infusion Systems$165.1 $171.7 +$6.6
Vital Care$168.7 $190.0 +$21.3
Total$587.8 $629.8 +$42.0

Vital Care includes Pfizer contract manufacturing of $12.1M (Q4’23) vs. $8.2M (Q4’24) .

Operating Expenses (Adjusted)

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Adjusted SG&A ($M)$112.9 $120.0 $116.0
Adjusted R&D ($M)$22.0 $20.0 $22.0
Total Adjusted OpEx ($M)$134.8 $140.0 $138.0
Adjusted OpEx % of Revenue~23.4% 24.2% 22.1%

KPIs and Cash/Balance Sheet

KPIQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Net Cash from Ops ($M, qtr)$91.3 $36.1 $40.2
Capex ($M, qtr)$29.9 $19.9 $24.1
Free Cash Flow ($M, qtr)$61.4 $16.2 $16.2
Cash & Equivalents ($M, end)$254.2 $312.5 $308.6
Long-Term Debt ($M)$1,577.8 $1,543.3 $1,531.9

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)FY 2024$345–$365 (8/7/24) $355–$365 (11/12/24) Raised midpoint
Adjusted EPS ($)FY 2024$4.95–$5.35 (8/7/24) $5.40–$5.70 (11/12/24) Raised
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)FY 2025N/A$395–$425 Introduced
Adjusted EPS ($)FY 2025N/A$6.55–$7.25 Introduced
Adjusted Gross Margin %FY 2025N/A37–38% Introduced
Adjusted OpEx (% of Rev)FY 2025N/A~24% Introduced
Net Interest Expense ($M)FY 2025N/A~95 Introduced
Adjusted Tax RateFY 2025N/A~25% Introduced
Diluted Shares (M)FY 2025N/A~24.7 Introduced
IV Solutions JV impactFY 2025N/AEBITDA −$15–$20M; EPS neutral (assuming Q2 close) Introduced

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 & Q3)Current Period (Q4)Trend
IV Solutions JVJV announced; rationale: innovation, redundancy; upfront ~$200M; deconsolidation; initial +300–400 bps adjusted GM, +100–200 bps later Expected Q2 2025 close; EBITDA −$15–$20M; EPS neutral; deconsolidation and margin uplift reiterated Advancing to close; structural margin tailwind
Supply chain/operationsERP cutover in NA; manufacturing consolidation; backorders low; FDA inspection with no observations Lowest backorders since acquisition; continued consolidation; JV setup complexity managed Improving execution
Tariffs/macroPeso tailwind; general FX favorable in Q3; tariff uncertainty noted 2025 guidance excludes tariffs; ~1/3 of revenue potentially exposed; mitigation options under evaluation Risk elevated; contingency planning
Infusion pumps (Plum Duo/Solo)Duo in market; Solo/LifeShield submissions; Medfusion next; competitive environment active Duo driving 2H installs; Solo response nearing submission; modernized fleet to anchor portfolio Product cycle progressing
Consumables growth/pricingMid-single digit baseline; evidence-based wins; pricing initiatives via GPOs Q4 Consumables +6% y/y; global installs, pricing, niche markets; legacy lines at record levels Sustained growth with pricing support
Quality remediationExtensive actions; FDA follow-up with no observations Continued investments (~$100M in 2025) to finish work; aiming for lasting margin benefits Nearing completion; cost near-term

Management Commentary

  • “Fourth quarter results were generally in line with our expectations with the exception of higher IV solutions revenues due to the U.S. market shortage.” – Vivek Jain, CEO .
  • “Adjusted gross margin for the fourth quarter was 37%…benefits from continued capture of synergies offset by…higher revenue mix of IV Solutions…and reversal of favorable FX.” – Brian Bonnell, CFO .
  • “Mathematically…we should be in the 20-ish [EBITDA margin] range [post JV]…Revenue growth coming with our ability to raise our gross margins is the biggest driver to improving earnings.” – Vivek Jain .
  • “With…approximately $200 million of expected proceeds from the IV Solutions JV…total principal payments during 2025 should approximate $300 million and reduce our net debt to around $1 billion.” – Brian Bonnell .

Q&A Highlights

  • Consumables strength drivers: mix of new installs, global growth, price, niche markets; sequential and y/y momentum acknowledged .
  • IV Solutions trajectory: shortage cooling into Q1; JV deconsolidation timing drives reported period impact; rough 55/45 H1/H2 split implied for 2025 pre-close contribution .
  • Capital equipment demand: environment “normal”; competitive wins with Plum Duo; installation pace expected to ramp through 2H .
  • Tariffs: guidance excludes potential impacts; mitigation options include routing and footprint shifts (Costa Rica), but require capital and clarity on duration .
  • Leverage: target net leverage ~2x longer term; JV proceeds and debt paydown to lower leverage by ~0.3x near-term .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global Wall Street consensus estimates for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue were unavailable due to access limitations at the time of this analysis; therefore, estimate comparisons are not provided. The company reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $2.11 and adjusted revenue of $621.6M vs. prior year $1.57 and $575.7M, respectively .
  • Given the temporary IV Solutions uplift and FX headwinds, consensus models may need to reflect: (a) mix-driven gross margin variability, (b) post-JV deconsolidation adjustments (EBITDA −$15–$20M, EPS neutral), and (c) tariff scenario risk management .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Mix boosted Q4 results: Vital Care benefited from the IV Solutions shortage; expect normalization beginning Q1, so model a reversion in Vital Care and margin trajectory accordingly .
  • Structural margin inflection set up for 2H 2025: JV deconsolidation drives immediate adjusted gross margin expansion (300–400 bps, with 100–200 bps later), while operating consolidation and pricing initiatives target longer-term EBITDA margin ≥20% .
  • 2025 guide credible and detailed: adjusted gross margin 37–38%, OpEx ~24%, interest ~$95M, tax ~25%; free cash flow near 2024 levels despite ~$100M remediation/integration spend .
  • Balance sheet improving: plan to reduce net debt toward ~$1B in 2025 with ~$300M of principal payments (including JV proceeds), lowering leverage and interest burden .
  • Pump cycle as growth driver: Plum Duo installed base building; Plum Solo and LifeShield software nearing regulatory milestones; competitive activity high, but incumbency effects moderate opportunity—wins should be incremental yet meaningful to ICUI’s scale .
  • Tariffs are a swing factor: with ~1/3 of revenues manufactured in Mexico, potential tariffs could be material; mitigation options exist but require time and capital—treat as a scenario in models rather than base case .
  • Estimate implications: absent published consensus in this report, adjust models for normalized IV Solutions demand, FX sensitivities, and JV impacts on reported revenue/EBITDA while keeping EPS neutral post-JV .

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