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IDACORP INC (IDA)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 EPS was $1.10, up from $0.95 in Q1 2024, driven by base rate increases, customer growth, and higher ADITC amortization; net income rose to $59.6M from $48.2M YoY . Revenues were $0.432B, down from $0.448B YoY as mix and FCA deferrals offset usage and rate impacts .
- Management reaffirmed FY 2025 EPS guidance of $5.65–$5.85 and raised full‑year hydropower generation forecast to 7.0–8.5M MWh (from 6.5–8.5M) given strong snowpack; O&M and capex guidance unchanged .
- Execution focus on capacity and transmission: 80 MW battery on track for spring start, Jackalope 600 MW wind (300 MW owned) pending Idaho Commission approval, and breaking ground on Boardman‑to‑Hemingway in 2025 with earliest in‑service 2027 .
- Regulatory and financing catalysts: notice of intent to file an Idaho general rate case (target effective no earlier than Jan 2026) to reduce regulatory lag; upsized public equity forward offering of ~4.5M shares priced at $111 per share (settlement within 18 months) to fund capex .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Customer growth (2.6% YoY; ~16,500 additions) and Jan 1, 2025 Idaho base rate changes increased retail revenues per MWh by $11.3M and operating income by $5.4M YoY; CFO: “benefit was mostly from the increase in Idaho base rates... Customer growth increased operating income by $7.3M” .
- Hydrology and market conditions: less volatile western gas/power prices reduced net power supply expenses and lifted other operating income by $1.9M YoY; hydropower outlook raised to 7.0–8.5M MWh on 108% of normal snowpack .
- Strategic build‑out: 80 MW battery to be operational later spring; Boise Bench storage permitted; 600 MW Jackalope wind (300 MW owned) progressing; Boardman‑to‑Hemingway and Southwest Intertie projects advancing .
What Went Wrong
- O&M inflation and wildfire costs: other O&M up $7.2M YoY, including
$3.2M wildfire mitigation and insurance and lower grant funding ($1.8M); labor inflation also pressured costs . - Depreciation rose $5.8M YoY on plant‑in‑service growth; non‑operating expense up $2.2M due to higher debt balances and interest on transmission deposits (partly offset by higher AFUDC) .
- Retail revenue headwinds: increased deferral under the FCA negatively affected retail revenues by $1.5M; industrial usage per customer declined, offsetting higher residential usage from colder Q1 weather .
Financial Results
Values with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global.*
Narrative comparisons:
- EPS up $0.15 YoY (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024) on rate changes, customer growth, and higher ADITC amortization ($19.3M vs $12.5M) .
- Revenues down $16.3M YoY; mix/FCA deferrals and slightly lower industrial usage offset residential usage strength .
KPIs and Operating Drivers:
Segment breakdown: IDACORP’s results are primarily Idaho Power regulated utility; no segment revenue breakdown disclosed in Q1 materials .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “IDACORP's earnings benefited from continued strong customer growth, rate changes, and the expected use of tax credits under the company’s Idaho regulatory mechanism.” — CEO Lisa Grow .
- “We’re in execution mode… several factors are helping… permitting transmission projects well over a decade ago… issuing annual RFPs… negotiating with large load customers… constructive relationship with regulators.” — CFO Brian Buckham .
- “We submitted to the Idaho Commission a notice of intent to file a general rate case… approximately seven months… rates effective no earlier than January 2026… necessary to recover substantial capital investments.” — CEO Lisa Grow .
Q&A Highlights
- Regulatory lag and mechanisms: Company will request commission actions to reduce lag; considering options (trackers/multi‑year), details forthcoming; AFUDC filing on Hells Canyon helps cash lag .
- Wildfire legislation: No major plan changes anticipated; Idaho’s statewide damage caps for noneconomic/punitive damages are favorable; fund solution difficult given small state size; exploring insurance/captive alternatives .
- Dispatchable resources: IRP shows needs in 2029 and 2030, with potential additional needs in subsequent years .
- Large‑load demand and interconnections: Steady flow of inquiries; generation resources appearing across service territory to meet growth; 2028 shortlist “several hundred MW” including an Idaho Power project .
Estimates Context
- SPGI consensus estimates for Q1 2025 EPS and Revenue were unavailable via the S&P Global feed at time of query; therefore, a formal beat/miss vs consensus cannot be assessed. IDACORP reaffirmed FY 2025 EPS guidance ($5.65–$5.85) and raised hydro generation guidance low end, supporting confidence in trajectory . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- EPS strength despite YoY revenue decline reflects constructive rate environment, customer growth, and higher ADITC amortization; expect depreciation and interest headwinds to persist as capex accelerates .
- Guidance intact with better hydro outlook; if hydrology and moderating market prices persist, power supply expense tailwinds could support full‑year delivery within the range .
- Near‑term regulatory catalyst: Idaho general rate case filing (target effective Jan 2026) with potential mechanisms to reduce lag; monitor proposed trackers/multi‑year constructs .
- Capacity buildout progressing (storage, wind, transmission); execution risk includes tariff exposure on battery assets—management monitoring origin/mitigation plans .
- Wildfire liability framework improved via Idaho’s Standard of Care Act; O&M pressures from wildfire mitigation and labor inflation remain, but recovery pathways in rates are established .
- Financing plan active:
$1.4B CWIP visible; external capital needs ($1.4B equity, ~$2.2B debt 2025–2029) with flexibility; upsized equity forward offering at $111 provides optionality to fund capex while managing leverage . - Trading implications: Reaffirmed guidance and improved hydro are supportive; rate case filing and progress on B2H/SWIP can be positive catalysts; watch tariff headlines and any changes to regulatory recovery mechanics for sentiment and multiple support .
Additional Context Press Releases (Q1 timing and financing)
- Earnings release scheduling: May 1 call logistics and slide deck availability .
- Equity offering: Priced upsized public offering of 4,504,505 shares at $111.00 per share via forward sale agreements; proceeds expected for capex upon physical settlement within 18 months .
- Offering announcement (commencement): underwritten public offering targeting ~$450M with greenshoe and forward sale structure .