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IDACORP INC (IDA)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 EPS was $1.10, up from $0.95 in Q1 2024, driven by base rate increases, customer growth, and higher ADITC amortization; net income rose to $59.6M from $48.2M YoY . Revenues were $0.432B, down from $0.448B YoY as mix and FCA deferrals offset usage and rate impacts .
  • Management reaffirmed FY 2025 EPS guidance of $5.65–$5.85 and raised full‑year hydropower generation forecast to 7.0–8.5M MWh (from 6.5–8.5M) given strong snowpack; O&M and capex guidance unchanged .
  • Execution focus on capacity and transmission: 80 MW battery on track for spring start, Jackalope 600 MW wind (300 MW owned) pending Idaho Commission approval, and breaking ground on Boardman‑to‑Hemingway in 2025 with earliest in‑service 2027 .
  • Regulatory and financing catalysts: notice of intent to file an Idaho general rate case (target effective no earlier than Jan 2026) to reduce regulatory lag; upsized public equity forward offering of ~4.5M shares priced at $111 per share (settlement within 18 months) to fund capex .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Customer growth (2.6% YoY; ~16,500 additions) and Jan 1, 2025 Idaho base rate changes increased retail revenues per MWh by $11.3M and operating income by $5.4M YoY; CFO: “benefit was mostly from the increase in Idaho base rates... Customer growth increased operating income by $7.3M” .
  • Hydrology and market conditions: less volatile western gas/power prices reduced net power supply expenses and lifted other operating income by $1.9M YoY; hydropower outlook raised to 7.0–8.5M MWh on 108% of normal snowpack .
  • Strategic build‑out: 80 MW battery to be operational later spring; Boise Bench storage permitted; 600 MW Jackalope wind (300 MW owned) progressing; Boardman‑to‑Hemingway and Southwest Intertie projects advancing .

What Went Wrong

  • O&M inflation and wildfire costs: other O&M up $7.2M YoY, including $3.2M wildfire mitigation and insurance and lower grant funding ($1.8M); labor inflation also pressured costs .
  • Depreciation rose $5.8M YoY on plant‑in‑service growth; non‑operating expense up $2.2M due to higher debt balances and interest on transmission deposits (partly offset by higher AFUDC) .
  • Retail revenue headwinds: increased deferral under the FCA negatively affected retail revenues by $1.5M; industrial usage per customer declined, offsetting higher residential usage from colder Q1 weather .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$448.3 $397.4*$432.0
Net Income ($USD Millions)$48.2 $37.9 $59.6
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.95 $0.70 $1.10

Values with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global.*

Narrative comparisons:

  • EPS up $0.15 YoY (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024) on rate changes, customer growth, and higher ADITC amortization ($19.3M vs $12.5M) .
  • Revenues down $16.3M YoY; mix/FCA deferrals and slightly lower industrial usage offset residential usage strength .

KPIs and Operating Drivers:

KPIQ1 2024Q1 2025
Additional ADITC amortization ($USD Millions)$12.5 $19.3
Other O&M YoY change ($USD Millions)+$7.2
Depreciation YoY change ($USD Millions)+$5.8
Customer growth (12 months ended)~2.6% ~2.6%
Snowpack vs normal108%

Segment breakdown: IDACORP’s results are primarily Idaho Power regulated utility; no segment revenue breakdown disclosed in Q1 materials .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
IDACORP EPS (diluted)FY 2025$5.65–$5.85 $5.65–$5.85 Maintained
Idaho Power Additional ADITCs ($M)FY 2025$60–$77 $60–$77 Maintained
Idaho Power O&M ($M)FY 2025$465–$475 $465–$475 Maintained
Idaho Power Capex excl. AFUDC ($M)FY 2025$1,000–$1,100 $1,000–$1,100 Maintained
Hydropower Generation (MWh, Millions)FY 20256.5–8.5 7.0–8.5 Raised low end

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ-2 (Q3 2024)Q-1 (Q4 2024)Current (Q1 2025)Trend
Load growth & large customersContinued inquiries; IRP 5‑yr retail sales growth 8.3% Growth framework reiterated; capex/IRP updated 2.6% customer growth; Chobani $500M expansion; Tractor Supply DC $225M; steady large‑load inquiries Strengthening pipeline
Resource additions (storage/wind/solar)2026–27 RFP adding batteries and first owned wind Plan reiterated in 10‑K 80 MW battery on track; 150 MW storage agreement; Jackalope wind (300 MW owned) pending approval; CEYW solar online Execution advancing
Transmission buildoutBoardman‑to‑Hemingway, Gateway West, SW Intertie timelines Earliest B2H in‑service 2027; permits in place Breaking ground in 2025; SWIP‑North construction as early as 2025; coordination with PacifiCorp Moving to construction
Regulatory strategyRaised lower end of 2024 EPS; Oregon GRC order 2025 guidance initiated; limited‑issue Idaho rate case approved for Jan 1, 2025 Notice of intent to file Idaho GRC by end of May; aim to reduce regulatory lag (consider trackers/multi‑year options) Proactive to reduce lag
Wildfire mitigation / liabilityO&M increases; plan costs offset in rates Pension/wildfire O&M up; recovery through base rates New Wildfire Standard of Care Act; PSPS plan in place; favorable statewide damage caps Risk framework improved
Hydrology & market pricesModerating gas/power prices aided other income Same dynamic helped 2024 results Raised hydro guidance; 108% snowpack; lower market volatility cut net power supply expense Tailwinds building
Tariffs/macro (battery imports)Not highlightedNot highlightedMonitoring battery storage tariffs; affordability focus; switching in‑process projects “almost impossible” Emerging risk management

Management Commentary

  • “IDACORP's earnings benefited from continued strong customer growth, rate changes, and the expected use of tax credits under the company’s Idaho regulatory mechanism.” — CEO Lisa Grow .
  • “We’re in execution mode… several factors are helping… permitting transmission projects well over a decade ago… issuing annual RFPs… negotiating with large load customers… constructive relationship with regulators.” — CFO Brian Buckham .
  • “We submitted to the Idaho Commission a notice of intent to file a general rate case… approximately seven months… rates effective no earlier than January 2026… necessary to recover substantial capital investments.” — CEO Lisa Grow .

Q&A Highlights

  • Regulatory lag and mechanisms: Company will request commission actions to reduce lag; considering options (trackers/multi‑year), details forthcoming; AFUDC filing on Hells Canyon helps cash lag .
  • Wildfire legislation: No major plan changes anticipated; Idaho’s statewide damage caps for noneconomic/punitive damages are favorable; fund solution difficult given small state size; exploring insurance/captive alternatives .
  • Dispatchable resources: IRP shows needs in 2029 and 2030, with potential additional needs in subsequent years .
  • Large‑load demand and interconnections: Steady flow of inquiries; generation resources appearing across service territory to meet growth; 2028 shortlist “several hundred MW” including an Idaho Power project .

Estimates Context

  • SPGI consensus estimates for Q1 2025 EPS and Revenue were unavailable via the S&P Global feed at time of query; therefore, a formal beat/miss vs consensus cannot be assessed. IDACORP reaffirmed FY 2025 EPS guidance ($5.65–$5.85) and raised hydro generation guidance low end, supporting confidence in trajectory . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • EPS strength despite YoY revenue decline reflects constructive rate environment, customer growth, and higher ADITC amortization; expect depreciation and interest headwinds to persist as capex accelerates .
  • Guidance intact with better hydro outlook; if hydrology and moderating market prices persist, power supply expense tailwinds could support full‑year delivery within the range .
  • Near‑term regulatory catalyst: Idaho general rate case filing (target effective Jan 2026) with potential mechanisms to reduce lag; monitor proposed trackers/multi‑year constructs .
  • Capacity buildout progressing (storage, wind, transmission); execution risk includes tariff exposure on battery assets—management monitoring origin/mitigation plans .
  • Wildfire liability framework improved via Idaho’s Standard of Care Act; O&M pressures from wildfire mitigation and labor inflation remain, but recovery pathways in rates are established .
  • Financing plan active: $1.4B CWIP visible; external capital needs ($1.4B equity, ~$2.2B debt 2025–2029) with flexibility; upsized equity forward offering at $111 provides optionality to fund capex while managing leverage .
  • Trading implications: Reaffirmed guidance and improved hydro are supportive; rate case filing and progress on B2H/SWIP can be positive catalysts; watch tariff headlines and any changes to regulatory recovery mechanics for sentiment and multiple support .

Additional Context Press Releases (Q1 timing and financing)

  • Earnings release scheduling: May 1 call logistics and slide deck availability .
  • Equity offering: Priced upsized public offering of 4,504,505 shares at $111.00 per share via forward sale agreements; proceeds expected for capex upon physical settlement within 18 months .
  • Offering announcement (commencement): underwritten public offering targeting ~$450M with greenshoe and forward sale structure .