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iHeartMedia, Inc. (IHRT)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 revenue was $0.807B, up 1.0% year over year and above guidance of down low-single digits, led by Digital Audio (+16%) and podcasts (+28%) .
- Adjusted EBITDA was $104.6M, flat YoY and at the midpoint of prior guidance ($100–$110M) .
- Management guided Q2 revenue down low-single digits and Q2 Adjusted EBITDA of $140–$160M; segmentally, Digital up low-double digits with podcasting low-20s, Multiplatform down mid-high single digits, AMS down ~5% .
- Stock narrative catalysts: a clear top-line beat versus consensus, strong podcast flywheel and margin expansion, continued programmatic/AI modernization, and cautious macro commentary (tariffs/consumer confidence) tempering Q2 guide .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Digital Audio accelerated: revenue $277M (+16%), segment Adjusted EBITDA $87M (+27.8%), margin up ~290 bps to 31.4%; podcasts $116M (+28%), well above “high-teens” guidance .
- Revenue beat and execution: consolidated revenue rose 1.0% vs guidance of down low-single digits; Adjusted EBITDA delivered at guidance midpoint .
- Strategic monetization and share gains: Premier Broadcast Networks returned to growth (+2.1% YoY); iHeart captured ~40% of radio ad revenue in Miller Kaplan markets, reflecting sales force scale and ad-tech/data investments .
Quotes
- CEO: “We think these results demonstrate the resilience and relevance of our products and the tremendous growth opportunity we have with our podcast business” .
- CFO: “March came in slightly better... in both our Multiplatform and Digital segments” and “Q1 margins were 31.4%, up from 28.5% in the prior year” .
What Went Wrong
- Multiplatform softness: revenue $473M (-4.2%), segment Adjusted EBITDA $70M (-9.3%); broadcast spot revenue weakness continued amid uncertain conditions .
- AMS decline: revenue $59M (-14.2%), segment Adjusted EBITDA $15.8M (-33.3%) due to nonrecurring prior-year contract termination fees and broader broadcast ad softness .
- Macro headwinds and pacing: management cited tariff headlines, declining consumer confidence, and LA wildfires (largest market) as near-term constraints; April pacing down ~2% (ex-political down ~1.4%) .
Financial Results
Segment performance
Key KPIs
Estimate comparison (S&P Global)
Values retrieved from S&P Global*
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our consolidated revenues for the quarter were up 1%... above our guide of down low-single digits. Excluding political, up 1.8%” .
- “Digital Audio Group revenue of $277 million, up 16%… Adjusted EBITDA of $87 million, up 27.8%… margins 31.4%” .
- “Premier Broadcast Networks revenue returned to growth in Q1 and was up 2.1%… evidence of progress returning Broadcast Radio to revenue growth” .
- “Modernization… generate net savings of $150 million in 2025; Q1 included $27 million of net savings” .
- “We expect Q2 Adjusted EBITDA $140–$160 million… consolidated revenue down low-single digits” .
- “Nielsen is making a priority to try and capture all the listening that’s really happening… improves media mix model attribution” .
- Q4 set-up for programmatic: “Broadcast radio inventory will be available via Yahoo DSP and Google DV360” .
Q&A Highlights
- Advertising visibility: Larger national advertisers resilient; SMBs more sensitive to headlines/tariffs; pacing data is point-in-time and can swing quickly .
- Market share: iHeart aims to grow beyond ~40% share in measured markets; consolidation favors fewer, scaled partners; ad-tech/programmatic supports share gains .
- Podcasting drivers: Growth from both volume and rates; broad category diversification; advantage from radio promotion and open distribution (no paywall) .
- Programmatic adoption: Digital inventory live across key DSPs; broadcast inventory onboarding continues; not yet material to results .
- Cost cadence: Savings path outlined—$27M in Q1, ~$27M in Q2, then ~$40M per quarter for the next three quarters towards $150M net in 2025 .
Estimates Context
- Q1 revenue beat S&P Global consensus: $807.1M reported vs $787.4M consensus (beat ~2.5%); Adjusted EBITDA in line with guidance; EPS not disclosed in press release. Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
- Forward consensus implies Q2 revenue ~$912.3M and FY 2025 revenue ~$3.84B; FY 2025 EPS consensus -$2.70*. Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
Values retrieved from S&P Global*
Where estimates may need to adjust:
- Digital Audio outperformance and stronger March suggest upward bias to podcast/digital assumptions; Multiplatform softness and Q2 down guide suggest caution on broadcast trajectory .
- Cost savings ramp ($27M realized, rising through year) supports margin assumptions despite macro uncertainty .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue execution beat both guide and consensus; Digital Audio structural growth and podcast flywheel are the quarter’s standouts—supports medium-term margin expansion trajectory .
- Near-term macro remains cautious (tariffs, consumer confidence, LA disruption); Q2 guide down low-single digits keeps expectations grounded—watch pacing updates .
- Programmatic broadcast integration (DV360/Yahoo) is a strategic catalyst; revenue contribution likely back-half 2025 onward, but positioning is important now .
- Cost program provides tangible cushion: $27M net savings realized in Q1; cadence implies ~$150M net in 2025—supports EBITDA resilience even if ad market remains choppy .
- Balance sheet reshaped: exchange completed; maturities extended to 2029–2031; net debt ~$4.6B, liquidity ~$559–$569M, ND/EBITDA ~6.4–6.5x—deleveraging path reiterated .
- Trading setup: Continued podcast beats and any evidence of programmatic traction could be upside catalysts; downside risks include prolonged SMB weakness and slower broadcast normalization .
- Monitor guidance checkpoints: Q2 delivery vs $140–$160M Adjusted EBITDA target and segment mix (podcast flow-through) will drive estimate revisions and sentiment .
Notes:
- Press release and 8-K furnish detailed reconciliations and segment data .
- Selected additional Q1-related corporate updates include appointment of David Hillman as Chief Legal Officer (April 24) .