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Ikena Oncology, Inc. (IKNA)·Q2 2021 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2021 delivered modest collaboration revenue growth (+15% YoY to $3.55M) while operating loss widened due to ramp in IND-enabling work; diluted EPS improved sequentially to $(0.35) on a much larger share base post-IPO .
  • IK-930 TEAD inhibitor remained on track for IND submission by end of 2021; multiple preclinical/translational data presentations scheduled for Oct 2021 EORTC-NCI-AACR, supporting indications and combination strategy .
  • IK-412 IND timing was delayed by supply constraints for a key manufacturing component diverted to COVID-19 vaccine/therapy production—management will update timing once reliable supply is confirmed; this is the quarter’s negative surprise and a near-term execution risk .
  • Cash was $264.0M at quarter-end with runway through 2023, supporting clinical starts and portfolio advancement (IK-930, ERK5, IK-175) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Pipeline execution: “This work has further elucidated the potential of TEAD inhibition as a monotherapy and in combination… and enables us to further refine the clinical development strategy for IK-930” .
  • Clinical progress in bladder cancer: “The emerging clinical data observed for IK-175 monotherapy… and the expansion of the cohort are great steps toward establishing proof of concept” .
  • Upcoming data flow: IK-930 translational and preclinical data slated for EORTC-NCI-AACR in Oct 2021 (indication selection, Hippo pathway activation assessment; combination with MEK and EGFR) .

What Went Wrong

  • IK-412 manufacturing supply shock: a key component was diverted to COVID-19 vaccine/therapy production, delaying the planned IND; guidance now pending reliable supply—raising execution risk on partnered program timelines .
  • Operating intensity drove losses: total operating expenses increased 100% YoY (to $16.24M) and net loss widened to $(12.68M), reflecting heavier spend on IK-930 and IK-412 development, and public company costs .
  • Sequential cash burn remained elevated: net cash used in operations was $15.7M in Q2 2021 vs $13.2M in Q1 2021, with YoY burn also higher ($15.7M vs $7.7M) .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2020Q1 2021Q2 2021
Research and development revenue under collaboration ($USD Millions)$3.073 $3.474 $3.549
Total operating expenses ($USD Millions)$8.132 $13.194 $16.236
Loss from operations ($USD Millions)$(5.059) $(9.720) $(12.687)
Net loss ($USD Millions)$(5.038) $(6.945) $(12.681)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(1.89) $(2.52) $(0.35)
Weighted-average diluted shares (Millions)2.659 3.850 35.853

KPIs and Operating Detail:

  • Net cash used in operations ($USD Millions): Q2 2020 $7.7 , Q1 2021 $13.2 , Q2 2021 $15.7 .
  • R&D expenses ($USD Millions): Q2 2020 $6.334 , Q1 2021 $10.021 , Q2 2021 $11.374 .
  • G&A expenses ($USD Millions): Q2 2020 $1.798 , Q1 2021 $3.173 , Q2 2021 $4.862 .
  • Cash and cash equivalents ($USD Millions): Q1 2021 $281.010 , Q2 2021 $264.004 .
  • Deferred revenue balances (BMS collaboration) at Q2 2021 ($USD Millions): Current $22.472 , Non-current $26.268 .

Notes:

  • Despite a larger net loss QoQ, diluted EPS improved due to post-IPO share count expansion, diluting per-share loss—an optical positive but not a profitability improvement .
  • Collaboration revenue increased YoY, reflecting ongoing IK-175 and IK-412 activities with BMS .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
IK-930 IND submission timingFY 2021“Second half of 2021” “On track for end of 2021” Maintained/clarified
IK-412 IND submission timingFY 2021“Second half of 2021” Delayed due to supply constraints; updated timing to be provided when material supply is reliably projected Lowered
IK-175 bladder cancer cohortQ2 2021Monotherapy dose expansion ongoing; first combo patient dosed Expanding monotherapy bladder cohort; further data update planned in 2022 Maintained/expanded
Data presentations (IK-930)Oct 2021N/ATwo posters at EORTC-NCI-AACR (Hippo pathway activation method; combo data w/ MEK and EGFR) New event detail
Cash runwayThrough 2023Through 2023 Through 2023 reaffirmed Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q2 2021 earnings call transcript was identified for IKNA within available sources; themes synthesized from the Q2 press release and 10‑Q -.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2021)Current Period (Q2 2021)Trend
TEAD/IK-930 strategyIND-enabling ongoing; synergy with EGFR/MEK in preclinical; IND in 2H 2021 IND on track end-2021; EORTC-NCI-AACR posters on indication selection and combo data Positive momentum; growing translational evidence
IK-175 clinical executionMonotherapy expansion ongoing; combo arm first patient dosed (nivolumab) Bladder monotherapy expansion continued; preliminary anti-tumor activity update planned for 2022 Progressing; building toward proof-of-concept
IK-412 manufacturing/supplyIND-enabling ongoing; IND targeted 2H 2021 Supply shortage for key component delaying IND; timing update pending Negative; supply-chain headwind
Capital and runwayCash $281.0M; runway through 2023 Cash $264.0M; runway through 2023 reaffirmed Stable; adequately funded
Public company transitionN/AElevated G&A due to public company costs Cost base higher; predictable structural change

Management Commentary

  • Mark Manfredi, CEO: “This work has further elucidated the potential of TEAD inhibition as a monotherapy and in combination… and enables us to further refine the clinical development strategy for IK-930” .
  • Sergio Santillana, CMO: “The emerging clinical data observed for IK-175 monotherapy in urothelial carcinoma and the expansion of the cohort are great steps toward establishing proof of concept…” with safety and preliminary anti-tumor activity update targeted for 2022 .
  • Program updates included the IK-930 indication selection methodology and Hippo pathway activation assessment, plus in vivo tumor growth inhibition in lung/colon models for combinations with MEK and EGFR, separately and as triplet .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q2 2021 earnings call transcript available; therefore Q&A highlights and guidance clarifications from a live call are unavailable within our document set [List 0 transcripts in period].

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus EPS and revenue estimates for Q2 2021 via S&P Global were unavailable due to missing mapping for IKNA in the CIQ database; as a result, we cannot present beat/miss versus consensus for this quarter [GetEstimates errors].
  • Implication: Focus on YoY and sequential trends; any future consensus reconciliation should be done once S&P mapping is established.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Collaboration revenue growth continues while operating losses widen from accelerated IND-enabling and increased headcount; expect sustained R&D intensity near-term as IK-930 and ERK5 advance .
  • Bold near-term catalyst: IK-930 IND filing by end-2021 and October translational data—watch for indication prioritization (e.g., NF2-deficient mesothelioma) and combination rationale clarity .
  • Significant surprise: IK-412 IND delay due to supply constraints—monitor remediation timeline; execution risk on partnered program could affect milestone optionality with BMS .
  • Optical EPS improvement QoQ driven by share count expansion post-IPO, not improved profitability; adjust valuation frameworks accordingly .
  • Cash runway through 2023 underpins program continuity; however, sustained cash burn (~$15.7M in Q2) suggests disciplined prioritization and potential BD optionality around non-core assets .
  • For trading, near-term narrative hinges on IK-930 data flow and IK-412 supply resolution; positive translational readouts could re-rate TEAD pathway optionality, while prolonged IK-412 delay would weigh on sentiment .

Citations: Q2 2021 press release and 8‑K ; Q2 2021 10‑Q financials and MD&A -; Q1 2021 press release -.