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IMAX CORP (IMAX)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered solid top-line and strong profitability leverage: revenue $91.7M (+3% YoY; +5.8% QoQ) and Total Adjusted EBITDA $39.1M (+26% YoY), with Adjusted EBITDA margin at 42.6% (+780 bps YoY). Management highlighted record domestic IMAX box office and 19% YoY market share gains to 3.6% on <1% of screens .
- Results beat S&P Global consensus on EPS and revenue; EPS $0.26 vs $0.226* and revenue $91.7M vs $90.8M*, while S&P’s EBITDA (unadjusted basis) came in below its consensus ($26.3M vs $33.4M*). Company-reported Total Adjusted EBITDA was $39.1M. Values retrieved from S&P Global .
- Guidance tightened higher: installs now expected 150–160 (from 145–160 prior) and Adjusted EBITDA margin now “low 40s” vs prior “≥40%”; box office guide maintained at a record ~$1.2B, with Q3 “off to a very strong start” (F1, Superman) .
- Catalysts: sustained Filmed for IMAX slate (8 consecutive titles), robust signings (124 YTD vs 130 all of 2024), larger credit facility to $375M, and strong local-language momentum in China/Japan. Potential debates: PLF competition chatter, S&P EBITDA miss vs company’s Adjusted EBITDA, and mix/marketing spend around Avatar in Q4 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Record domestic quarter; IMAX share rose to 3.6% globally (+19% YoY) with several Filmed for IMAX titles capturing ~20% domestic openings; CEO: “we’re raising the floor for our market share” .
- Mix and scale drove margin expansion: Content Solutions gross margin rose to 66% (from 46%), Tech Products & Services margin to 54% (+360 bps); CFO: “high incremental profit flow-through” from stronger box office .
- Network momentum: 36 installs (+50% YoY), 124 signings YTD (vs 130 in all 2024), and credit facility expanded to $375M for flexibility; CEO/CFO emphasized accelerating demand and higher install guide .
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What Went Wrong
- On S&P Global definitions, EBITDA missed consensus despite strong company-reported Adjusted EBITDA; S&P EBITDA actual $26.3M vs $33.4M estimate*, highlighting definition differences investors must reconcile [GetEstimates Q2 2025] .
- Content Solutions revenue declined 3% YoY due to prior-year streaming rights sale (“Blue Angels”), though margin gains more than offset; topline optics mask strong underlying box office leverage .
- Continued investor debate on PLF competitive responses; CEO dismissed aggregator initiatives, but the narrative could linger near-term amid exhibitor strategy experimentation .
Financial Results
Estimates vs Actuals (S&P Global)
- Q2 2025 EPS: Actual $0.26 vs $0.2258 estimate*; Revenue: Actual $91.684M vs $90.848M estimate*; EBITDA (S&P basis): Actual $26.27M vs $33.40M estimate*. Values retrieved from S&P Global [GetEstimates Q2 2025].
- Company-reported Total Adjusted EBITDA: $39.1M (non-GAAP) .
Segment Breakdown (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered strong financial results in Q2… with strong network growth worldwide, record box office in North America, and impressive market share gains….” – CEO Rich Gelfond .
- “We remain on track to deliver a record $1.2 billion in global box office in 2025… pacing well ahead of our projections for IMAX system sales and installations.” – CEO .
- “Content Solutions margin… went from 46% in Q2 2024 to 66% in Q2 2025, driven by… operating leverage… and the mix toward higher margin streams.” – Release .
- “Adjusted EBITDA margin… 42.6%… up 780 basis points YoY… reflecting high incremental profit flow-through… and a more profitable mix of revenues.” – CFO Natasha Fernandes .
- “We expanded our revolving credit facility from $300 million to $375 million… at a reduced borrowing cost… increasing financial flexibility.” – Release .
Q&A Highlights
- Filmed for IMAX ubiquity: Won’t be universal—slots matter and two-week run commitments limit ubiquity; already locked 9 titles for 2026 and at least 8 for 2027 .
- PLF competitor talk: CEO called reported exhibitor consortium efforts “pathetic attempts,” citing IMAX’s brand/tech/filmmaker edge and recent Regal expansion (LA Live, Manhattan) .
- Pricing/discount days: IMAX consumer pays premium for premium experience; discounting by exhibitors not expected to alter IMAX dynamics materially .
- Cash flow conversion: Trending toward pre-COVID levels; strong incrementality over $250M per-quarter GBO; Q3 cash flow to benefit from China collection timing .
- Live events network: Shift from wired (~200 sites) to streaming delivery via SSIMWAVE reduces cost and scales faster for events (e.g., League of Legends) .
Estimates Context
- EPS and revenue beat S&P Global consensus: Q2 2025 EPS $0.26 vs $0.2258*; revenue $91.684M vs $90.848M* [GetEstimates Q2 2025].
- S&P Global’s EBITDA metric missed: $26.27M actual vs $33.40M estimate*, while company-reported Total Adjusted EBITDA was $39.06M (non-GAAP). Values retrieved from S&P Global .
- Forward quarters (S&P Global): Q3 2025 EPS 0.391* (actual later printed $0.47), revenue $105.7M* (actual $106.7M), and Q4 2025 EPS 0.469*, revenue $119.9M*—implies continued growth cadence. Values retrieved from S&P Global [GetEstimates next periods].
Note: Asterisked values are from S&P Global and may reflect differing metric definitions versus company-reported non-GAAP figures. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- IMAX’s Filmed for IMAX strategy is structurally lifting market share and per-title indexing; margin leverage is material at higher box office levels—favorable into an event-heavy H2 (including Avatar) .
- Install pipeline momentum is accelerating—guide raised to 150–160; signings near last year’s full-year in just six months—supporting multi-year revenue visibility .
- Liquidity and capital flexibility improved with the facility lift to $375M; management has optionality on 2026 converts and is extending buyback capacity ($500M auth.) .
- Expect marketing and mix choices (e.g., Avatar promotion) to influence quarterly EBITDA margin within a “low-40s” full-year framework—watch for spending cadence and slate timing .
- S&P EBITDA miss vs company Adjusted EBITDA highlights definition differences; model both to align with how the sell side and company frame performance [GetEstimates Q2 2025].
- International/local-language franchises (China, Japan) and alternative content (music, gaming) broaden programming and utilization—tailwinds for global PSAs and content diversification .
- Near-term stock drivers: H2 slate execution (F1, Superman holds, Fantastic Four; later Avatar), incremental signings/installs updates, and any PLF narrative shifts from exhibitors .