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Ingram Micro Holding Corp (INGM)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 delivered broad-based growth and clean execution: net sales $12.60B (+7.2% YoY), non-GAAP EPS $0.72 (flat YoY) at the high end of guidance; GAAP EPS $0.42; Adjusted EBITDA $342.2M (+3% YoY) .
  • Results beat S&P Global consensus: Revenue +3.3% vs est., EPS +6.4% vs est.; EBITDA modest beat; mix-driven gross margin down 29 bps YoY but up 34 bps sequentially, with PCs and server/storage momentum offsetting softness in virtualization and infrastructure software .
  • New Q4 guide implies continued YoY growth: net sales $14.0–$14.35B, gross profit $935–$990M, non-GAAP EPS $0.85–$0.95; tax rate ~33%, 235.9M diluted shares .
  • Catalysts: accelerating AI commercialization (Xvantage, IDA, new Gemini-based Sales Briefing Agent), improving SMB trajectory, and “normal” budget flush into Q4; small July ransomware impact quantified ($0.02–$0.03 EPS; 1.0–1.5% of net sales) now behind the company .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Broad-based top-line growth: +7.2% YoY; growth across all regions; APAC +12.5% YoY, LatAm +13.0% YoY; FX added ~1 pt to total company sales growth .
    • AI and platform execution: Xvantage’s IDA drove “hundreds of millions” of incremental revenue with international IDA revenue >100% growth; launched enterprise AI agent on Google’s Gemini; narrative positions INGM at center of AI enablement .
    • Sequential margin improvement and disciplined OpEx: gross margin +34 bps QoQ; OpEx leverage improved (5.13% of sales vs 5.33% LY); Adjusted EBITDA +3% YoY to $342.2M .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Mix pressure on margins: gross margin 6.90% vs 7.19% LY (−29 bps) due to lower-margin endpoints, server/storage (AI enablement), large enterprise, and APAC mix .
    • Product/category softness and timing: Advanced Solutions −4.5% YoY (virtualization/infrastructure software weak; a large Europe project didn’t repeat); Cloud −4% YoY (ex-divestiture, low single-digit growth) .
    • Working capital drag and FCF negative: cash used in ops −$146.0M; Adjusted FCF −$109.9M (better than typical Q3 seasonality but still negative); net working capital days 32 vs 29 LY; LatAm withholding tax −$0.03 EPS .

Financial Results

Headline results by quarter (oldest → newest)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Net Sales ($USD Billions)$12.28 $12.79 $12.60
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$828.8 $839.2 $869.6
Gross Margin (%)6.75% 6.56% 6.90%
Income from Operations ($USD Millions)$200.9 $142.8 $223.5
Operating Margin (%)1.64% 1.12% 1.77%
Net Income ($USD Millions)$69.2 $37.8 $99.5
Diluted EPS ($)$0.29 $0.16 $0.42
Non-GAAP Net Income ($USD Millions)$144.2 $142.3 $168.7
Non-GAAP EPS ($)$0.61 $0.61 $0.72
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$290.8 $293.9 $342.2

Execution vs prior quarter’s Q3 guidance (given Aug 6)

MetricQ3 2025 Guidance (Low–High)Q3 2025 ActualOutcome
Net Sales ($USD Billions)$11.88–$12.38 $12.60 Above high end
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$815–$875 $869.6 Within range (near top)
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.61–$0.73 $0.72 At high end

Actual vs S&P Global consensus (Q3 2025)

MetricConsensusActualSurprise
Revenue ($USD Billions)$12.207*$12.604*+3.3%
Primary EPS ($)$0.676*$0.720*+6.4%
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$313.7*$318.2*+1.4%

Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Regional breakdown (Q3 2025)

MetricNorth AmericaEMEAAsia-PacificLatin America
Net Sales ($USD Billions)$4.4 $3.7 $3.5 $1.0
YoY Growth (%)+3.3% +5.5% (FX +5%) +12.5% (FX −2%) +13.0% (FX +1%)
Income from Operations ($USD Millions)$79.1 $62.0 $67.5 $31.0
Operating Margin (%)1.79% 1.69% 1.90% 3.21%

KPIs and balance sheet (Q3 2025)

KPIQ3 2025
Cash used in operations ($USD Millions)$(146.0)
Adjusted Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$(109.9)
Net Working Capital Days32 days (vs 29 LY)
Gross Leverage / Net Leverage2.8x / 2.2x
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Millions)$802.6
Total Debt ($USD Billions)~$3.8 (LT $3.06B + ST $0.74B)
Dividend per share$0.08 (up 2.6%)

Notes on mix and adjustments: Lower gross margin YoY driven by mix (endpoints; server/storage AI enablement; large enterprise; APAC); Q3 includes ~$5.5M loss on sale of CloudBlue and another non-core business; restructuring costs $3.5M; non-GAAP excludes amortization, FX, integration/transition, stock/cash comp, and other items per reconciliations .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Sales ($USD Billions)Q4 2025N/A$14.0–$14.35 New
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)Q4 2025N/A$935–$990 New
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)Q4 2025N/A$0.85–$0.95 New
Tax Rate (Non-GAAP)Q4 2025N/A~33% New
Diluted Shares (M)Q4 2025N/A235.9 New
DividendQ4 2025$0.078$0.08 (+2.6%) Raised

Reference (execution vs prior Q3 guide): Q3 actuals vs Q3 guide were above/at top-end as shown earlier .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
AI/Platform (Xvantage, IDA)Platform traction; Xvantage framing; Q2 emphasized resilience and platform post-IPO; continued investment .IDA drove “hundreds of millions” revenue; international IDA >100% growth; launched Sales Briefing Agent on Gemini; AI Enable program scaling .Accelerating adoption and monetization
PCs/EndpointsQ1: PCs/tablets strength (NA, EMEA) ; Q2: client & endpoint strong .PC refresh in mid-to-late innings; ~25% of shipments “AI PCs” today—could extend cycle into 2026 .Refresh maturing; AI PC tailwind emerging
Advanced SolutionsQ1: servers/networking growth ; Q2: momentum; server/storage strength .Advanced Solutions −4.5% YoY; servers/storage double-digit up; virtualization/infrastructure software soft; one large Europe deal didn’t repeat .Mixed; compute strong, software timing softer
CloudQ1: cloud growth in EMEA/APAC ; Q2: higher mix recorded net; investment .Cloud −4% YoY; ex-divestiture: low single-digit growth; guide implies mid-to-upper single-digit in Q4 .Reaccelerating ex-divestiture
Working Capital/FCFQ1: strategic inventory investment; negative adj. FCF . Q2: heavier AR/Inventory; adj. FCF −$262.8M .Inventory sequentially down; below-normal seasonal build; expect “solid” Q4 cash flow; NWC 32 days vs 29 LY .Improving trajectory into Q4
Macro/Tariffs/RateQ1 noted macro cost dynamics .SMB improving as inflation tempers; tariffs more certain; Fed move supportive .Macro tailwinds modestly improving
Security/Ransomware— (incident in early July occurred after Q2 close; company statement issued) .Impact contained: ~1.0–1.5% of net sales and $0.02–$0.03 EPS; operations restored quickly .Resolved; minimal residual impact

Management Commentary

  • CEO Paul Bay (strategy and AI positioning): “In the third quarter, the opportunity around AI accelerated… we are empowering customers to capitalize… offering a unified platform to buy integrated hardware, software, cloud, and services… uniquely positioned… through our proprietary Xvantage platform and customer-facing AI Enable program.”
  • CEO on AI factory and IDA: “Xvantage was architected… with a proprietary AI factory… IDA contributed hundreds of millions of dollars in incremental revenue… non-U.S. IDA-driven revenue grew by more than 100%.”
  • CFO Mike Zilis (mix and margins): “Gross margins were down 29 bps YoY due to higher mix of lower margin client/endpoint and server/storage… offset by sequential improvement of 34 bps; OpEx leverage improved to 5.13% of sales.”
  • CFO on category/regional performance: “Client and endpoint nearly +13% FX-neutral; servers and storage strong; networking modest; cloud −4% YoY but ex-divestiture up low single digits; APAC and LatAm low-teens FX-neutral growth; NA ~+3%.”
  • CFO on Q4 outlook: “Guide implies gross margins in high 6s (~6.8% mid-point)… client & endpoint mid-single-digit growth, Advanced Solutions low-single-digit, Cloud mid-to-upper single-digit.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Margins trajectory: Management expects Q4 gross margins in the “high 6s,” with continued mix effects from low-margin AI/compute balanced by SMB improvement and cloud growth .
  • Working capital and FCF: Inventory declined sequentially; below-normal seasonal working capital build in Q3; management points to a “solid” Q4 cash flow similar to last year’s seasonality .
  • Cycle positioning: PC refresh in later innings, but AI PCs (~25% of shipments now) could extend cycle into 2026; servers solid, networking moderate .
  • Budget flush/macro: Expect normal Q4 budget flush; SMB spending improving with tempering inflation and rate backdrop .
  • Ransomware impact clarified: Total Q3 effect ~1.0–1.5% of sales and $0.02–$0.03 EPS; minimal operational disruption .

Estimates Context

  • Versus S&P Global consensus, INGM beat on revenue (+3.3%), beat on Primary EPS (+6.4%), and modestly beat on EBITDA (+1.4%) for Q3 2025. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Implications: With Q4 non-GAAP EPS guided to $0.85–$0.95 and revenue guided to $14.0–$14.35B, consensus EPS and revenue estimates for Q4 may need to move higher if not already reflecting this guidance; watch for cloud reacceleration and sustained server/storage strength per management’s mix commentary .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Mix-driven, but durable growth: Strong compute and endpoint demand and SMB recovery underpin top-line; margin cadence to remain mix-sensitive as AI GPU/server deals scale at lower margin but solid ROIC .
  • AI monetization is becoming tangible: IDA and the new Gemini-powered agent show direct revenue/efficiency contributions, a differentiator among channel peers; expect narrative support from incremental AI use-cases .
  • Cloud to reaccelerate ex-divestiture: Management expects mid-to-upper single-digit cloud growth in Q4; prior headwinds tied to divestiture and net-revenue mix should abate, aiding margin stability .
  • Cash flow improving into year-end: Sequential inventory reduction and below-normal seasonal build in Q3 set up for typical strong Q4 FCF; leverage stable at 2.8x gross / 2.2x net; dividend increased to $0.08 .
  • Execution vs guidance remains solid: Q3 revenue above the high end; EPS at the high end; Q4 guide implies continued YoY growth—positive estimate revision risk if macro/SMB tailwinds persist .
  • Watch list: virtualization/infrastructure software softness, EMEA macro softness, and potential margin dilution from large GPU/AI enablement projects; offset by SMB strength and platform-driven OpEx leverage .
  • Trading setup: Into Q4 print, catalysts include AI commercialization updates, cloud reacceleration, and Q4 cash generation; risks include mix pressure to margins and any macro wobble in Europe .

Appendix: Additional Data Points

  • Company reiterated non-GAAP definitions and provided reconciliations (Adjusted Income from Ops, Adjusted EBITDA, non-GAAP net income/EPS, Adjusted FCF, ROIC) .
  • Loss on sale of CloudBlue and another non-core business impacted NA results by $5.5M and ~12 bps of operating margin .
  • Dividend payable Nov 24, 2025; record date Nov 10, 2025 .

Citations: Press release and 8-K Q3 (including guidance and reconciliations) ; press release duplicate -; Q3 call transcript -; Q2 8-K (Q3 guidance and mix) -, -; Q1 8-K (trend context) -, -; AI agent press release . Values marked with asterisks were retrieved from S&P Global.