IB
Inmune Bio, Inc. (INMB)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 EPS of $-0.24 beat Wall Street consensus ($-0.325), driven by sharply lower R&D spending; net loss improved to $6.5M from $24.5M in Q2 (which had a $16.5M impairment) and $12.1M in Q3 2024 .
- Cash and cash equivalents were $27.7M; management guided cash runway “into Q4 2026,” extending from “into 2026” in Q2 .
- Program updates: CORDStrom on track for UK MAA mid-2026 and BLA a few months thereafter; XPro EOP2 meeting shifted to Q1 2026 with no ARIA safety signal; INKmune CARE-PC trial closed to recruitment, informing a randomized Phase 2 design in less advanced disease .
- Near-term catalysts (Q4 2025): CORDStrom additional data, MINDFuL imaging endpoints, and final INKmune CARE-PC data — potential stock reaction on regulatory clarity and efficacy signal reinforcement .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- EPS beat vs consensus with disciplined OpEx: Q3 EPS $-0.24 vs consensus $-0.325; R&D down to $4.9M (vs $10.1M YoY) and G&A $2.5M (vs $2.2M YoY), reflecting tighter spend while advancing programs .
- Regulatory and manufacturing execution for CORDStrom: successful pilot-scale runs at CGT Catapult; on track for UK MAA mid-2026 and BLA shortly thereafter — “we are now in the process of preparing for submission for marketing approval” .
- XPro safety and enriched efficacy signals: no ARIA even among high-risk patients; dose-compliance analyses show larger effect sizes (EMACC 0.27; NPI -0.23; pTau217 -0.18) in the predefined ADi population, supporting a targeted path forward .
What Went Wrong
- XPro regulatory timeline slipped: End of Phase 2 meeting moved from Q4 2025 to Q1 2026 to finalize data; management cited need for more data and conservative timing for FDA minutes .
- INKmune trial recruitment halted: CARE-PC closed to recruitment due to very high disease burden limiting tumor-load reduction by PSMA-PET, necessitating a randomized trial in earlier-stage patients; tumor response endpoints not met in advanced disease .
- No revenue and limited near-term catalysts to de-risk financing: revenue was $0 in Q3; while cash runway extended, partnership timing for XPro likely post-EOP2/FDA feedback, pushing potential non-dilutive funding out .
Financial Results
Results vs Prior Periods and Prior Year
Results vs Wall Street Consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
KPIs and Program Milestones
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Cordstrom is our most advanced program… preparing for submission for marketing approval to the regulatory bodies in both the UK and the US.”
- “No ARIA-related safety signals were observed, even among high-risk individuals.”
- “We believe Cordstrom is potentially one of the first systemic treatments for RDEB… reduction in systemic itch was a major reported benefit.”
- “Based on our current operating plan, we believe our cash is sufficient to fund our operations into Q4 2026.”
- “We’re very optimistic about filing an MAA and BLA in Cordstrom next year… despite the setbacks of missing the top line on the Mindful trial.”
Q&A Highlights
- XPro EOP2 timing and content: Meeting shifted to Q1 2026; aims to align on EMACC endpoint, enrichment biomarkers, and safety database requirements .
- Partnership trajectory: Deeper engagement likely post-publication and FDA feedback; imaging data in Q4 could be pivotal; financial structuring TBD .
- CORDStrom regulatory pathway: MHRA scientific advice targeted around year-end/early next year; MAA by Q2/Q3 2026; systemic benefits vs topical gene therapies discussed .
- UK treatment landscape: Vyjuvek approved but not reimbursed by NICE; unmet need and pricing considerations support CORDStrom adoption potential .
- INKmune strategy: Shift to earlier-stage disease; partnership openness; randomized Phase 2 planning in 2026 as resources allow .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 EPS beat: Actual $-0.24 vs consensus $-0.325 (beat); Q2 miss: $-1.05 vs $-0.3817; Q1 beat: $-0.43 vs $-0.47. Revenue estimates are effectively $0 across quarters, consistent with minimal reported revenue. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Post-quarter estimate adjustments likely to reflect lower R&D run-rate and the EOP2 timing shift for XPro. The near-term estimate dispersion may widen pending Q4 MRI/imaging data release and MHRA scientific advice outcomes .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term trade: Leaner OpEx and an EPS beat set a constructive base into Q4 catalysts (CORDStrom data; MINDFuL imaging); watch for headline risk on MHRA advice timing and substance .
- Medium-term thesis: CORDStrom’s systemic profile and scalable manufacturing economics offer differentiated value vs topical gene therapies; regulatory sequencing (UK first) could accelerate U.S. BLA acceptance .
- XPro path: Safety profile (no ARIA) and enriched efficacy favor a biomarker-driven registration path; but timeline now Q1 2026 for EOP2 — partnership optionality likely post-FDA alignment .
- INKmune recalibration: Data support NK activation/proliferation; efficacy likely in earlier-stage settings — randomized Phase 2 planning in 2026 can re-rate oncology optionality .
- Liquidity: Cash runway extended “into Q4 2026” reduces near-term financing risk; still monitor for trial and manufacturing scale-up needs .
- Stock catalysts: Q4 2025 readouts (CORDStrom, imaging), MHRA scientific advice window, and any partnership signals; bold moves likely on clear regulatory guidance and imaging validation .
- Risk watch: XPro’s endpoint acceptance (EMACC) and enrichment strategy by FDA, UK/NICE reimbursement dynamics for RDEB, and timing of statistical analyses for CORDStrom data .