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Inland Real Estate Income Trust, Inc. (INRE)·Q4 2022 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Inland Real Estate Income Trust’s Q4 2022 was defined by higher interest costs and deeper net loss quarter-over-quarter, while portfolio occupancy remained stable and the Board set NAV at $19.86 per share .
  • Q4 total income was $34.97M, down slightly from Q3 ($35.98M), and net loss widened to $(5.83)M, driven by higher interest expense as rates rose and debt increased post the May portfolio acquisition .
  • The Board approved $19.86 DRP issue price and $15.89 SRP repurchase price (80% of NAV), underscoring conservative liquidity positioning amidst big-box tenant risks (Bed Bath & Beyond closures; Party City bankruptcy) .
  • No Wall Street consensus estimates or earnings call transcript were available; as a non-listed REIT, results should be assessed versus internal KPIs (occupancy, ABR, NOI) and portfolio strategy execution .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Portfolio occupancy remained strong and stable: “financial occupancy as of December 31, 2022, of 93.5%” ; weighted average economic occupancy at year-end was 93.5% .
  • Grocery focus strengthened: 88% of ABR was grocery or grocery shadow-anchored at year-end; top tenants include Kroger, Whole Foods, Albertsons, Sprouts .
  • Board’s NAV process and outcome: NAV determined at $19.86/share following CBRE Capital Advisors’ valuation range of $19.40–$21.82; Board chose a value “below the mid-point” reflecting higher rates and big-box risks .

What Went Wrong

  • Interest expense surged in Q4, elevating net loss: full-year interest expense was $33.07M; Q4 implied ~$11.68M vs $8.72M in Q3 (rate increases and higher borrowings) .
  • Same-store NOI pressure: “same store total property income decreased…due to a lower recovery percentage and an increase in property operating expenses” in 2022 .
  • Tenant headwinds: expected closures by Bed Bath & Beyond and Party City’s bankruptcy increased anchor risk and co-tenancy concerns (Board explicitly cited these in NAV decision rationale) .

Financial Results

Quarterly P&L progression and YoY comparison

MetricQ4 2021Q2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2022
Total Income ($USD Millions)$28.89 $32.15 $35.98 $34.97
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(0.17) $(2.63) $(2.90) $(5.83)
Net Loss Margin (%)(0.6%) (8.2%) (8.1%) (16.7%)
Diluted EPS ($)N/A$(0.07) $(0.08) N/A

Notes: Q4 2022 and Q4 2021 values are calculated as FY minus 9M figures from SEC filings . EPS for Q4 is not disclosed.

Key operating metrics (year-end unless noted)

KPIQ2 2022Q3 2022Q4 2022
Economic Occupancy (%)93.0% 93.9% 93.5%
Properties (count)52 52 52
ABR per Sq Ft (excl. ground leases)N/AN/A$19.10
Total Debt ($USD Millions)$862.64 $856.77 $856.7
Weighted Avg Interest Rate (%)3.56% 4.09% 4.40%
Variable Rate Debt (share of total)12.5% 17.8% 17.7%
Cash ($USD Millions)$2.60 $9.22 $4.9

Property type mix (ABR share, FY 2022)

Property TypeShare of ABR
Grocery61%
Grocery Shadow-Anchored27%
Community Center7%
Power Center5%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Estimated Per Share NAVAs of 12/31/2022$20.20 (as of 12/31/2021) $19.86 Lower
DRP Issue PriceNext Distribution$20.20 $19.86 Lower (aligned to NAV)
SRP Repurchase PriceOngoing (Ordinary & Exceptional)$16.16 (80% of $20.20) $15.89 (80% of $19.86) Lower
Distribution per ShareQuarterly$0.1356 $0.1356 (ongoing) Maintained

No revenue, margin, or capex guidance provided; Board expects to publish updated NAV at least annually .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q4 2022 earnings call transcript was found. Themes tracked across filings:

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 & Q3 2022)Current Period (Q4 2022 / FY)Trend
Inflation & Interest RatesInflation pressures may reduce consumer spend; rising rates affect borrowing and refinancing Higher interest costs increased interest expense; FY weighted avg rate 4.40% Deteriorating cost of capital
COVID / Tenant HealthDeferred rent sharply down; monitoring variant risks; collections improved Deferred rent < $0.1M; risk persists but improved operationally Improving but still a watch item
Strategic Plan & Liquidity EventFocus on grocery-anchored; opportunistic M&A; not actively marketing assets Same; acquired eight IRPF properties in May; still not actively marketing; timing of liquidity event uncertain Steady focus; cautious on timing
Big-Box Anchor RiskCo-tenancy risks; Bed Bath & Beyond closures impact Board explicitly cites BBBY closure risk and Party City bankruptcy in NAV decision Elevated anchor tenant risk
E-commerce ImpactOngoing e-commerce pressure on brick-and-mortar Continued emphasis on e-commerce risks in FY risk factors Persistent structural headwind
Balance Sheet & HedgingVariable debt hedged with swaps; LIBOR→SOFR transition Variable debt 17.7%; swaps cover ~69%; migration to SOFR; higher rates sensitivity disclosed Risk managed but rate exposure higher

Management Commentary

  • “Occupancy at our properties was stable from 2021 to 2022 with a financial occupancy as of December 31, 2022, of 93.5%.”
  • “The Board selected an estimated per share NAV of $19.86 that is below the mid-point of the range…primarily attributable to the effects of higher interest rates,” and big-box headwinds including expected Bed Bath & Beyond closures and Party City’s bankruptcy .
  • “The Estimated Per Share NAV…will likely change over time, and may not represent the amount a stockholder would receive now or in the future” (annual updates expected) .
  • “Same store total property income decreased due to a lower recovery percentage and an increase in property operating expenses” in 2022 .

Q&A Highlights

No Q4 earnings call transcript was available for INRE; no Q&A disclosures found in filings [ListDocuments earnings-call-transcript returned none].

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global were unavailable for this non-listed REIT during Q4 2022. Result comparisons to consensus cannot be provided.
  • Default approach: evaluate sequential and YoY trends, occupancy, ABR, NOI, and balance sheet leverage from filings .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Q4 2022 net loss widened as interest expense rose sharply with higher rates and incremental borrowing; monitor rate trajectory and hedging effectiveness .
  • Occupancy remains strong (~93.5%) and grocery-anchored concentration (61% ABR) supports cashflow stability amid macro pressures .
  • Board’s NAV reset to $19.86 reflects conservative stance on big-box risks and higher discount/cap rates; DRP/SRP prices adjusted accordingly .
  • Anchor tenant risk elevated (BBBY closures; Party City bankruptcy), potentially affecting co-tenancy clauses and recovery income in select centers; proactive leasing/repurposing is key .
  • Liquidity event timing remains uncertain; strategic focus on grocery assets continues, with opportunistic acquisitions balanced by leverage constraints and covenant limits .
  • Rate sensitivity: ~17.7% of debt remains variable; a +100bps shock implies ~$1.5M annualized hit to earnings/cash flows (disclosed sensitivity) .
  • With no sell-side coverage or call transcripts, emphasis should remain on internal KPIs (occupancy, ABR growth, leasing spreads, NOI) and tenant credit monitoring .

Appendix: Data Sources and Calculation Notes

  • Q4 values are calculated as FY 2022 less 9M 2022 from SEC filings (e.g., total income and net loss) ; Q4 2021 similarly from FY 2021 less 9M 2021 .
  • Interest rate and debt mix at YE are from the 10-K; quarterly figures from 10-Qs .
  • NAV, DRP, and SRP pricing from March 6, 2023 Form 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 .