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Inland Real Estate Income Trust, Inc. (INRE)·Q4 2022 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Inland Real Estate Income Trust’s Q4 2022 was defined by higher interest costs and deeper net loss quarter-over-quarter, while portfolio occupancy remained stable and the Board set NAV at $19.86 per share .
- Q4 total income was $34.97M, down slightly from Q3 ($35.98M), and net loss widened to $(5.83)M, driven by higher interest expense as rates rose and debt increased post the May portfolio acquisition .
- The Board approved $19.86 DRP issue price and $15.89 SRP repurchase price (80% of NAV), underscoring conservative liquidity positioning amidst big-box tenant risks (Bed Bath & Beyond closures; Party City bankruptcy) .
- No Wall Street consensus estimates or earnings call transcript were available; as a non-listed REIT, results should be assessed versus internal KPIs (occupancy, ABR, NOI) and portfolio strategy execution .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Portfolio occupancy remained strong and stable: “financial occupancy as of December 31, 2022, of 93.5%” ; weighted average economic occupancy at year-end was 93.5% .
- Grocery focus strengthened: 88% of ABR was grocery or grocery shadow-anchored at year-end; top tenants include Kroger, Whole Foods, Albertsons, Sprouts .
- Board’s NAV process and outcome: NAV determined at $19.86/share following CBRE Capital Advisors’ valuation range of $19.40–$21.82; Board chose a value “below the mid-point” reflecting higher rates and big-box risks .
What Went Wrong
- Interest expense surged in Q4, elevating net loss: full-year interest expense was $33.07M; Q4 implied ~$11.68M vs $8.72M in Q3 (rate increases and higher borrowings) .
- Same-store NOI pressure: “same store total property income decreased…due to a lower recovery percentage and an increase in property operating expenses” in 2022 .
- Tenant headwinds: expected closures by Bed Bath & Beyond and Party City’s bankruptcy increased anchor risk and co-tenancy concerns (Board explicitly cited these in NAV decision rationale) .
Financial Results
Quarterly P&L progression and YoY comparison
Notes: Q4 2022 and Q4 2021 values are calculated as FY minus 9M figures from SEC filings . EPS for Q4 is not disclosed.
Key operating metrics (year-end unless noted)
Property type mix (ABR share, FY 2022)
Guidance Changes
No revenue, margin, or capex guidance provided; Board expects to publish updated NAV at least annually .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
No Q4 2022 earnings call transcript was found. Themes tracked across filings:
Management Commentary
- “Occupancy at our properties was stable from 2021 to 2022 with a financial occupancy as of December 31, 2022, of 93.5%.”
- “The Board selected an estimated per share NAV of $19.86 that is below the mid-point of the range…primarily attributable to the effects of higher interest rates,” and big-box headwinds including expected Bed Bath & Beyond closures and Party City’s bankruptcy .
- “The Estimated Per Share NAV…will likely change over time, and may not represent the amount a stockholder would receive now or in the future” (annual updates expected) .
- “Same store total property income decreased due to a lower recovery percentage and an increase in property operating expenses” in 2022 .
Q&A Highlights
No Q4 earnings call transcript was available for INRE; no Q&A disclosures found in filings [ListDocuments earnings-call-transcript returned none].
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global were unavailable for this non-listed REIT during Q4 2022. Result comparisons to consensus cannot be provided.
- Default approach: evaluate sequential and YoY trends, occupancy, ABR, NOI, and balance sheet leverage from filings .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q4 2022 net loss widened as interest expense rose sharply with higher rates and incremental borrowing; monitor rate trajectory and hedging effectiveness .
- Occupancy remains strong (~93.5%) and grocery-anchored concentration (61% ABR) supports cashflow stability amid macro pressures .
- Board’s NAV reset to $19.86 reflects conservative stance on big-box risks and higher discount/cap rates; DRP/SRP prices adjusted accordingly .
- Anchor tenant risk elevated (BBBY closures; Party City bankruptcy), potentially affecting co-tenancy clauses and recovery income in select centers; proactive leasing/repurposing is key .
- Liquidity event timing remains uncertain; strategic focus on grocery assets continues, with opportunistic acquisitions balanced by leverage constraints and covenant limits .
- Rate sensitivity: ~17.7% of debt remains variable; a +100bps shock implies ~$1.5M annualized hit to earnings/cash flows (disclosed sensitivity) .
- With no sell-side coverage or call transcripts, emphasis should remain on internal KPIs (occupancy, ABR growth, leasing spreads, NOI) and tenant credit monitoring .
Appendix: Data Sources and Calculation Notes
- Q4 values are calculated as FY 2022 less 9M 2022 from SEC filings (e.g., total income and net loss) ; Q4 2021 similarly from FY 2021 less 9M 2021 .
- Interest rate and debt mix at YE are from the 10-K; quarterly figures from 10-Qs .
- NAV, DRP, and SRP pricing from March 6, 2023 Form 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 .