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IT

INTENSITY THERAPEUTICS, INC. (INTS)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 burn moderated: net loss was $2.67M vs. $3.51M YoY (-24%), driven by lower R&D and G&A; cash rose to $7.1M at 9/30 on sequential financings, and management now guides cash runway into end of Q1 2027 .
  • Clinical program updates: INVINCIBLE-4 enrollment paused in September due to localized skin irritation; company plans a protocol amendment and expects to reinitiate enrollment in Q1 2026; INVINCIBLE-3 remains paused pending funding .
  • Peer‑reviewed validation: eBioMedicine (Lancet Discovery Science) published IT‑01 results showing 75% disease control rate and 11.9‑month mOS (21.3 months in sarcoma subset), with ~20% abscopal effects at higher tumor coverage and favorable safety .
  • Estimates context: Q3 EPS of ($0.06) slightly beat S&P Global consensus of ($0.063); revenue consensus was $0 (pre‑revenue) (S&P Global) .*
  • Financing de‑risked near‑term liquidity: $13.6M gross raised since Q3 start (ATM and an Oct. 31 registered direct at $0.80/sh), extending runway and adding a new institutional investor; key near‑term stock catalysts are INVINCIBLE‑4 restart and any INVINCIBLE‑3 funding updates .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Cash runway extended to end of Q1 2027 via $13.6M of gross proceeds since Q3 start (ATM plus $4.0M registered direct), improving balance sheet resilience for clinical execution .
  • Peer‑reviewed IT‑01 data strengthen scientific narrative: 75% disease control, 11.9‑month mOS overall, 21.3‑month mOS in sarcoma subset, ~20% abscopal rate at higher tumor coverage, and >95% intratumoral drug retention .
  • Management tone: “new long‑term fundamental, healthcare‑savvy investor” and a plan to restart INVINCIBLE‑4 with pCR as FDA‑accepted accelerated approval endpoint; “execute on our business strategy until the end of the first quarter of 2027 without any additional funds” .

What Went Wrong

  • INVINCIBLE‑4 pause due to localized skin irritation (cosmesis concerns in TNBC); enrollment on hold until dosing modification via protocol amendment, delaying timelines to Q1 2026 restart .
  • INVINCIBLE‑3 (Phase 3 sarcoma) remains paused for new site activations and enrollment due to funding; only 21–23 patients were enrolled before the pause, prolonging OS‑driven timelines .
  • Still pre‑revenue; statements show only operating expenses and net loss, underscoring reliance on external capital and clinical milestones for valuation inflection .

Financial Results

Quarterly P&L and liquidity (oldest → newest):

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenues ($USD)N/A – no revenue line in statements N/A – no revenue line in statements N/A – no revenue line in statements N/A – no revenue line in statements
Total Operating Expenses ($USD)$3.570M $3.394M $2.705M $2.733M
Net Loss ($USD)($3.513M) ($3.347M) ($2.537M) ($2.671M)
Diluted EPS ($)($0.25) ($0.22) ($0.13) ($0.06)
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($USD)$— (not provided in Q3 2024 table)$0.929M $2.216M $7.067M

Expense detail (oldest → newest):

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
R&D ($USD)$2.151M $2.189M $1.541M $1.553M
G&A ($USD)$1.419M $1.205M $1.164M $1.180M

Estimates vs. actuals:

MetricQ3 2025 ConsensusQ3 2025 Actual
EPS (Primary/Diluted)($0.0633)*($0.06)
Revenue ($USD)$0.0*N/A – no revenue line in statements

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

KPIs and clinical datapoints referenced in quarter:

KPI (IT‑01 and Program)Value
Disease Control Rate (IT‑01)75% (48/64)
Median OS – overall (IT‑01)11.9 months
Median OS – sarcoma subset (INT230‑6 monotherapy)21.3 months
>40% Tumor Burden Coverage: DCR83.3% (40/48) vs. 50% (8/16)
>40% Tumor Burden Coverage: mOS18.7 months vs. 3.1 months; HR 0.17 (P<0.0001)
Abscopal responses (~uninjected tumors shrink)~20% in >40% group
Grade 3 TRAEs (monotherapy)10.9%; no grade 4/5

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Cash RunwayCorporate“Into 2H 2026” (Q2 PR) “To end of Q1 2027” (Q3 PR/8‑K) Raised runway
INVINCIBLE‑4 (TNBC) – Enrollment Status/TimingStudy operationsRecruiting in CH/FR; scans showed necrosis post‑INT230‑6 Paused in Sept due to skin irritation; protocol amendment; reinitiation targeted Q1 2026 Modified plan; restart timing set
INVINCIBLE‑3 (Sarcoma) – EnrollmentStudy operationsPaused in Mar 2025 for funding; treat/monitor existing patients Still paused; will restart upon sufficient funding Maintained pause
Regulatory endpointsClinicalpCR acceptable for accelerated approval (context) pCR remains endpoint for INVINCIBLE‑4 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: We found no Q3 2025 earnings call transcript on filings or IR; company instead issued a press release and hosted a clinical results webinar (Oct. 31).

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q‑2 and Q‑1)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Funding & LiquidityRaised ~$11.3M since Q2 start; runway into 2H 2026 Total $13.6M gross since Q3 start; runway to end Q1 2027 Improving runway
INVINCIBLE‑4 (TNBC)EMA authorization; active recruiting in CH/FR; early necrosis on scans Enrollment paused; protocol amendment; restart Q1 2026; pCR remains endpoint Temporary setback; path to restart
INVINCIBLE‑3 (Sarcoma)Paused for funding; treating enrolled patients Still paused; restart contingent on funding Unchanged
Clinical EvidencePrior company data; ongoing trials IT‑01 peer‑reviewed in eBioMedicine with DCR 75%, mOS 11.9 months, abscopal ~20% Strengthened validation
Nasdaq ComplianceCompany regained Nasdaq equity compliance Aug. 12, 2025 Improving governance posture

Management Commentary

  • “The new capital raised in 2025 enables us to execute on our business strategy until the end of the first quarter of 2027… [and] provides another level of validation of the potential of our lead drug INT230‑6…” — Lewis H. Bender, Founder, President & CEO .
  • “A pathological complete response (‘pCR’) has been observed in the first patient evaluated in Cohort A… we expect to reinitiate the enrollment with a modified INT230‑6 dosing regimen as soon as possible.” — Ursina Zürrer, M.D., Coordinating Investigator, INVINCIBLE‑4 .
  • “Abscopal effect was observed in at least 20% of patients who received drug volumes above 40% of their tumor burden… notable increase in activated CD4+ and CD8+ T cells…” — Anthony El‑Khoueiry, M.D., USC Norris (IT‑01 senior author) .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was located on filings or IR; company hosted an Oct. 31 webinar with IT‑01 authors to discuss clinical results, indicating investor focus on mechanistic and translational aspects rather than quarterly financials .
  • Management clarified that INVINCIBLE‑4’s enrollment pause was due to localized skin irritation with a plan to amend dosing and maintain pCR as the endpoint; timeline set to Q1 2026 for restart .
  • Funding remains the gating item for resuming INVINCIBLE‑3 enrollment; ongoing patient treatment/monitoring continues at existing sites .

Estimates Context

  • EPS: Q3 2025 actual ($0.06) vs. S&P Global consensus ($0.0633), a slight beat; revenue consensus $0 for a pre‑revenue biotech (S&P Global). Actual revenue was not reported as a line item in the statements (i.e., no revenue line) .*
  • With operating expenses trending lower and elevated share count, near‑term estimate revisions are likely modest; larger changes hinge on INVINCIBLE‑4 restart timing and any INVINCIBLE‑3 funding catalysts .

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Liquidity de‑risked near term: runway extended to end of Q1 2027 following $13.6M gross raises; reduces financing overhang into 2026 .
  • Clinical execution is the stock driver: watch for INVINCIBLE‑4 protocol amendment filing and Q1 2026 enrollment restart; pCR is an FDA‑accepted accelerated approval endpoint, a potential medium‑term catalyst path .
  • Scientific validation improving: peer‑reviewed IT‑01 results bolster the INT230‑6 thesis across tumor types (DCR 75%, mOS 11.9 months; abscopal ~20% at higher coverage), enhancing partnering optionality .
  • Risk remains around INVINCIBLE‑3 funding: program still paused; any financing or collaboration to restart the Phase 3 OS study would be a material upside catalyst .
  • Operating discipline: opex down YoY with net loss improving; continued cost control is supportive while clinical timelines are adjusted .
  • Trading setup: near‑term volatility likely around protocol amendment and restart news flow; medium‑term thesis hinges on generating compelling pCR data in INVINCIBLE‑4 and re‑accelerating sarcoma enrollment upon funding .

Additional source documents reviewed:

  • Q3 2025 8‑K and press release (financials and corporate update) .
  • Q2 2025 8‑K and press release .
  • Q1 2025 8‑K and press release .
  • INVINCIBLE‑4 study update (Sept. 10) .
  • eBioMedicine publication PR (Oct. 30) .
  • Registered direct offering PR (Oct. 31) .