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Assure Holdings Corp. (IONM)·Q2 2022 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2022 showed strong operational momentum (managed cases +36% YoY to 5,800) but reported results were depressed by a $7.6M accounts receivable reserve taken on aged 2020 receivables; net revenue was $1.6M and Adjusted EBITDA was ($5.9)M .
- Management introduced 2H22 guidance: gross revenue >$22M, AR reserve expense <$4M, and Adjusted EBITDA >$2M; FY22 managed cases guidance maintained at 25,000+ (40%+ YoY) .
- Collections velocity and AR quality improved materially: DSO fell to 311 days (from 332 in Q1 and 590 in FY20), and 83% of AR moved into ≤12 months bucket vs 68% in Q1; management expects to recover a portion of the fully reserved 2020 receivables .
- Cost actions (20% workforce reduction, >$4.5M annualized savings) and mix shift to higher-margin professional/remote neurology underpin management’s expectation for positive adjusted operating cash flow and profitability in 2H22 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Case volume and collections strength: “Assure outperformed in managed case volume and cash collections,” with 5,800 cases (+36% YoY) and record $7.7M total cash collected ($6.0M from owned entities) in Q2 .
- AR quality and velocity improved: DSO fell to 311 (vs 332 in Q1, 590 in FY2020), and 83% of AR shifted to ≤12 months at Q2-end (vs 68% in Q1), reducing exposure to future reserves .
- Strategic cost reductions and scalable model: >$4.5M annualized savings and a pivot to professional/remote neurology services expected to drive margin expansion; CEO: “we expect to become cash flow positive on an adjusted operating basis in the second half of 2022” .
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What Went Wrong
- Significant AR reserve depressed P&L: A conservative $7.564M AR reserve was netted against gross revenue of $9.209M, resulting in $1.645M net revenue and ($5.912)M Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 .
- EPS and profitability deteriorated YoY: Q2 net loss widened to ($4.726)M and diluted EPS to ($0.37) vs ($0.11) a year ago, reflecting the reserve and seasonality .
- Continued noise from legacy 2020 claims: Management acknowledged execution issues in revenue cycle management for legacy periods, though emphasized recovery efforts and improved processes going forward .
Financial Results
Segment revenue breakdown ($USD Thousands):
KPIs and operating metrics:
Notes: Management indicated Q2 mix was unusually impacted on the technical component by the reserve; the drop in technical revenue reflects write-downs tied to aged 2020 claims .
Guidance Changes
Management also cited seasonality (higher commercial mix in 2H) and potential upside from GPO-driven facility agreements and M&A pipeline .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We will show why Assure's second quarter and first half were strong operationally, challenging on an accounting basis… important groundwork for a significantly stronger, more financially stable second half of 2022 and beyond.”
- “Assure began a strategic cost reduction effort… over $4.5 million of annualized savings… expect to become cash flow positive on an adjusted operating basis in the second half of 2022.”
- On reserves: “We chose to be conservative on reserving accounts receivable… anticipated second half exposure is forecasted to be less than $4 million… expect to recover a portion of these accounts receivable reserves.”
- CFO: “Assure continued to generate strong procedure growth up 36% to 5,800… gross revenue of $9.2 million and net revenue of $1.6 million… Adjusted EBITDA loss of $5.9 million… DSO decreased… to 311 days.”
- Guidance: “We expect third and fourth quarter to be much clearer… AR reserve… less than $4 million… sharp reduction in operating costs… positive adjusted EBITDA and operating cash flow during the second half of 2022.”
Q&A Highlights
- Reserve trajectory and end-of-line: Management expects material reserve risk to subside after Q2; backlog team focused on recovering written-down claims; “we expect to recover a meaningful share… as its net new revenue and new margin” .
- Margin outlook excluding reserves: In response to a question, CEO said gross margin “exceeding 50% would be expected” as reserves normalize and mix shifts toward professional revenue .
- 2H revenue confidence: Visibility driven by rate × volume, stable accrual rates, forecasted (reduced) reserve, and 60% lower overhead by Q4; expectation of strong Q4 and set-up for 2023 .
- Competitive landscape and IDR: Industry-wide AR challenges; arbitration/IDR is leveling the field; Assure’s data analytics and in-house RCM seen as competitive advantages .
- Revenue per case and mix: Shift away from surgeon revenue-sharing toward keeping professional revenue to bolster margins; seasonality to improve margins in 2H .
- Cash flow: Management reiterated goal for positive operating cash flow in 2H; June 2 press release noted positive operating cash flow in May and >$200k monthly cost cuts .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for revenue and EPS was unavailable for IONM for Q2 2022 (and prior quarters) due to missing CIQ mapping; therefore, no vs-estimates comparison is provided. Values would be retrieved from S&P Global if available.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- The Q2 print was optically weak due to a front-loaded $7.6M reserve, but underlying operations (volume, collections velocity, AR quality) strengthened, setting up cleaner 2H comps .
- Cost actions (> $4.5M annualized) and mix shift to remote neurology/professional revenue support a credible path to positive adjusted operating cash flow and Adjusted EBITDA in 2H22, with seasonality adding tailwinds .
- AR risk is increasingly contained: DSO fell to 311 and 83% of AR is ≤12 months; management expects to recover a portion of fully reserved 2020 receivables, which would be net new revenue/margin when collected .
- Facility-wide GPO relationships (Premier, Yankee, Conductiv) and improving IDR dynamics present incremental growth and cash collection catalysts in 2H22 .
- Near-term stock catalysts: execution vs. 2H guidance (> $22M gross rev, > $2M Adj. EBITDA), visibility on AR recoveries, announced facility agreements, and evidence of sustained cash generation .
- Key risks: execution on collections of legacy AR, cadence/timing of facility wins, macro/capital market constraints, and potential reimbursement variability typical of out-of-network claims .
Appendices
- Prior Quarter Context (for trend analysis):
- Q1 2022: Revenue $4.7M; Adjusted EBITDA ($1.7)M; net loss ($2.5)M; record $7.2M total cash collected; ~5,100 cases; $4.4M AR reserve; FY22 managed cases guidance 25k+ .
- Q4 2021: Revenue $9.7M; Adjusted EBITDA $1.4M; net loss ($0.3)M; ~5,485 cases; remote neurology launched and scaling; Premier sole-contracted supplier .
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