CT
Century Therapeutics, Inc. (IPSC)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 headline: Century reprioritized its pipeline, discontinued ELiPSE-1 in R/R NHL, and concentrated clinical development of CNTY‑101 on autoimmune diseases while extending cash runway into Q4 2026 .
- Results vs estimates: Q4 revenue beat Wall Street ($4.17M vs $0.98M), while EPS missed (−$0.35 vs −$0.20); consensus based on 4 revenue and 6 EPS estimates*.
- Guidance/timing shift: Initial CALiPSO‑1 data moved from “by year‑end 2024” to “data anticipated in 2025,” with first patient dosing scheduled for March 2025 and expanded US/EU sites .
- Strategic catalysts ahead: CALiPSO‑1 dosing and 2025 data readouts, initiation of the CARAMEL IIT mid‑2025, and IND‑enabling studies for CNTY‑308 in mid‑2025 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Concentrated focus on CNTY‑101 in autoimmune disease with clear 2025 data catalysts: “We believe CNTY‑101 is well‑positioned to potentially impact the standard of care meaningfully in B‑cell‑mediated autoimmune diseases… delivering data in 2025 from the CALiPSO‑1 Phase 1 trial” .
- Cash runway extended into Q4 2026, supporting execution of key milestones .
- Enhanced preclinical pipeline, including CNTY‑308 and CNTY‑341 engineered with Allo‑Evasion 5.0; CSO: “We aim to launch allogeneic cell therapies at antibody‑like scale and cost” .
What Went Wrong
- ELiPSE‑1 discontinued in R/R NHL after emerging data did not meet the “transformational” threshold (though tolerability/activity encouraging), raising questions on oncology path while reinforcing autoimmune focus .
- FY R&D expenses rose to $107.2M (+15.7% y/y) on trial progression, start‑up costs and manufacturing, pressuring near‑term losses despite pipeline progress .
- CALiPSO‑1 timelines slipped (from “by year‑end 2024” to first dosing in March 2025), implying enrollment cadence and operational ramp are gating near‑term readouts .
Financial Results
Quarterly revenue and EPS trajectory (actuals)
Q4 2024 vs Wall Street consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
FY 2024 (for context)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was available; themes synthesized from company 8‑K and press releases.
Management Commentary
- CEO (Brent Pfeiffenberger): “We believe CNTY‑101 is well‑positioned to potentially impact the standard of care meaningfully in B‑cell‑mediated autoimmune diseases…we are implementing key initiatives to drive toward delivering data in 2025 from the CALiPSO‑1 Phase 1 trial” .
- CSO (Chad Cowan): “We aim to launch allogeneic cell therapies at antibody‑like scale and cost…we are aiming for comparable or better performance to approved autologous CAR‑T therapies” .
- On ELiPSE‑1 discontinuation: “Emerging clinical data do not meet the company’s threshold to be considered transformational in [R/R NHL]…ELiPSE‑1 data continues to reinforce the potential of CNTY‑101 in autoimmune diseases” .
Q&A Highlights
No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was available. Based on disclosures, management emphasized:
- Rationale for ELiPSE‑1 discontinuation and resource reallocation to autoimmune (mechanistic validation, repeat dosing via Allo‑Evasion) .
- CALiPSO‑1 operational execution (site activations in US/EU; first dosing March 2025; data anticipated 2025) .
- Preclinical program prioritization and timelines (CNTY‑308 IND‑enabling mid‑2025; dual‑target CNTY‑341; Nectin‑4 solid tumor program) .
Estimates Context
- Q4 revenue beat: $4.17M actual vs $0.98M consensus; EPS missed: $(0.35) actual vs $(0.20) consensus; coverage depth: 4 revenue estimates, 6 EPS estimates*.
- With ELiPSE‑1 discontinued, Street models likely reduce oncology optionality while shifting probability‑weighted value toward autoimmune readouts (CALiPSO‑1 in 2025, CARAMEL mid‑2025).
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near‑term catalysts in autoimmune: CALiPSO‑1 first dosing (March 2025) and 2025 data are likely the primary stock drivers; watch EU site activation pace .
- Strategic pivot reduces oncology spend/risk and concentrates capital on indications where Allo‑Evasion‑enabled repeat dosing and deep B‑cell depletion could be transformative .
- Financial discipline improved: FY OpEx came in below guidance and runway extended to Q4 2026, giving multi‑year execution capacity without near‑term financing .
- Preclinical value chain maturing: CNTY‑308 IND‑enabling mid‑2025 and dual‑target CNTY‑341 broaden optionality; evidence of iPSC CD4+/CD8+ CAR‑T functions strengthens platform narrative .
- Expect Street estimate revisions to reflect the discontinuation of ELiPSE‑1 and shift toward autoimmune timelines; model updates should incorporate later CALiPSO‑1 data timing and 2025 catalysts .
- Trading lens: Positive revenue surprise in Q4 vs consensus*, but EPS missed* amid higher R&D; flow‑through from pipeline news and trial execution cadence likely outweigh quarterly P&L for this stage company.
References: 8‑K and press releases .