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Disc Medicine, Inc. (IRON)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Pre-revenue clinical-stage quarter; net loss widened to $62.3M and EPS to $(1.77) as Disc accelerated commercialization and clinical spend, while ending Q3 with $615.9M in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities .
  • Submitted the bitopertin NDA on Sep 29 and received the FDA Commissioner’s National Priority Voucher, targeting a potentially accelerated U.S. approval decision in late 2025/early 2026; APOLLO confirmatory trial enrollment ongoing .
  • Initial Phase 2 data in MF anemia (DISC-0974) expected by year-end; Phase 2 PV (DISC-3405) ongoing and Phase 1b SCD initiated in October with initial data expected in 2026, broadening the hematology pipeline .
  • Cash runway extended into 2029 after an October financing, reducing financing overhang and supporting pivotal development and launch readiness for bitopertin .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Bitopertin regulatory momentum: NDA filed and CNPV granted, enabling 1–2 month review post-acceptance; management is accelerating commercial readiness for a potential late-2025/early-2026 launch .
    “Achieving this milestone is a strong testament to our team’s commitment to execution…bringing a potential new treatment option to the EPP patient community.” — CEO John Quisel .
  • Pipeline breadth sustained: Phase 2 MF anemia data (DISC-0974) slated for year-end; PV Phase 2 (DISC-3405) ongoing and SCD Phase 1b initiated; clear multi-indication strategy across iron/heme biology .
  • Liquidity buffer strengthened: $615.9M at Q3-end and ~$211M net proceeds in Oct, extending cash runway into 2029 to fund development and launch .

What Went Wrong

  • Higher operating costs: R&D rose to $50.3M and SG&A to $17.4M, reflecting milestones and commercialization build-out; net loss increased YoY and sequentially as spend scaled .
  • CKD program variability: Non-dialysis CKD anemia Phase 1b showed mechanism engagement but hemoglobin increases occurred only in a subset (linked partly to higher baseline EPO), prompting reassessment of program path .
  • No earnings call transcript was available; absence limits direct visibility into Q&A clarifications; reliance on press release and filings for narrative [functions.ListDocuments earnings-call-transcript=0] .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)N/A (pre-revenue) N/A (pre-revenue) N/A (pre-revenue) N/A (pre-revenue)
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$26.6 $34.1 $55.2 $62.3
EPS (Basic & Diluted, $)$(0.89) $(1.02) $(1.58) $(1.77)
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$32.9 $39.9 $61.4 $67.7

Operating expense detail:

Operating Expense ($USD Millions)Q3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Research & Development$24.7 $27.8 $46.3 $50.3
Selling, General & Administrative$8.2 $12.2 $15.1 $17.4

KPIs:

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Marketable Securities ($USD Millions)$694.7 $650.0 $615.9
Weighted-Average Shares (Basic & Diluted)33.3M 35.0M 35.2M

Segment/program expense (company reports a single segment; values as presented in segment table):

Program/Category ($USD Millions; company presentation shows expenses as negatives)Q3 2024Q3 2025
Bitopertin program external expense$(7.261) $(11.833)
DISC-0974 program external expense$(5.671) $(7.369)
DISC-3405 program external expense$(3.254) $(11.910)
Other external R&D$(1.233) $(4.095)
Internal & other R&D$(5.586) $(10.704)
Commercial expense$(0.555) $(3.928)
General & administrative$(4.964) $(8.343)
Stock-based compensation$(4.332) $(9.514)
Other segment items (income)$6.257 $5.375

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Cash runwayCorporate“Into 2028” (Q2 2025 PR) “Into 2029” post Oct offering (Q3 2025 PR; 10-Q subsequent events) Raised
Bitopertin NDA review timelineU.S.On track to submit Oct 2025 (Q2 PR) CNPV granted; expected 1–2 month review from acceptance; potential approval late 2025/early 2026 (Q3 PR; investor presentation) Accelerated
MF anemia (DISC-0974) data cadenceProgramInitial Phase 2 data “H2 2025” (Q2 PR) Initial data “by year end” and topline in 2026 (Q3 PR) Clarified timing
SCD Phase 1b (DISC-3405)ProgramInitiation “by year end” (Investor materials) Initiated Oct 2025; initial data 2026 (Q3 PR) Initiated

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

(Note: No formal earnings call transcript was available. Themes reflect press releases and investor presentation.)

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Bitopertin regulatory pathAPOLLO confirmatory trial initiated; pre-NDA alignment (Q1/Q2 PRs) NDA filed; CNPV granted; accelerated review 1–2 months; potential approval late 2025/early 2026 Accelerating
MF anemia (DISC-0974)Phase 2 ongoing; initial data H2 2025 Initial data confirmed “by year end”; topline 2026 On schedule
CKD anemia (DISC-0974)Multiple-dose data expected H2 2025 Mechanism engaged; variable Hb; options under assessment; full data at ASN Kidney Week Reassessing
PV & SCD (DISC-3405)PV Phase 2 initiated H1 2025; SCD planned by year end PV Phase 2 ongoing; SCD Phase 1b initiated Oct; initial data 2026 Executing
Cash runwayInto 2028 (Q1/Q2) Into 2029 after Oct offering Strengthened

Management Commentary

  • “We continue to work with the Agency on their review of our application, and we are furthering our commercial infrastructure in preparation for a potential launch.” — John Quisel, CEO .
  • Investor deck emphasizes accelerated review benefits under CNPV (1–2 month timeline), and urgent focus on access and launch readiness for EPP/XLP .

Q&A Highlights

(No formal earnings call transcript published. Notable clarifications from press/investor materials:)

  • CKD anemia program: engagement of mechanism with variable hemoglobin; subset responses tied in part to higher baseline EPO; options under assessment pending full data .
  • MF anemia: initial Phase 2 data by year-end and topline in 2026; potential to discuss registrational path with regulators if positive .
  • Bitopertin launch readiness: commercial infrastructure build-out underway given CNPV-accelerated timeline .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus EPS/revenue estimates for Q3 2025 were unavailable via our data source; as a result, we cannot assess beat/miss versus Street for this quarter (Values retrieved from S&P Global; no data returned).*
  • Company reported no revenue and EPS of $(1.77) for Q3 2025; comparisons here are to prior periods rather than estimates .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Regulatory catalyst: bitopertin NDA + CNPV materially compresses review, making late-2025/early-2026 U.S. approval plausible if accepted and favorable, a potential inflection for valuation .
  • Pipeline diversification: MF anemia (near-term data), PV, and SCD programs provide multiple shots on goal beyond EPP/XLP, supporting medium-term growth narrative .
  • Cash runway into 2029 reduces financing risk through pivotal development and initial commercialization, supporting execution continuity .
  • Near-term trading setup: regulatory review milestones (NDA acceptance, potential decision) and MF anemia initial Phase 2 data are likely stock-moving events in the coming weeks/months .
  • CKD program risk-managed: program path being reassessed given variable Hb response; focus staying on indications with stronger clinical signal and clearer regulatory trajectories .
  • Commercial readiness: SG&A growth reflects infrastructure build for bitopertin; this spend is consistent with accelerated approval timing .

Sources and Prior Quarter References

  • Q3 2025 press release (Nov 6, 2025) and program updates .
  • Corporate 8-K and investor presentation update (Oct 20, 2025) .
  • Q3 2025 10-Q (filed Nov 6, 2025) for financial statements and subsequent events .
  • Q2 2025 press release and Q2 10-Q .
  • Q1 2025 press release and Q1 10-Q .

Notes:

  • No earnings call transcript was available for Q3 2025 via our document tools [functions.ListDocuments earnings-call-transcript=0].
  • Disc is a single operating segment; program expense detail presented as per segment disclosure.