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IS

International Stem Cell CORP (ISCO)·Q3 2014 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2014 delivered record revenue of $1.96M, up 17% year over year, with balanced growth across Lifeline Skin Care (cosmeceuticals) and Lifeline Cell Technology (biomedical) segments; EPS improved to $(0.01) from $(0.03) YoY .
  • R&D advanced meaningfully: FDA cleared ISCO’s parthenogenetic stem cell lines for clinical use; management targeted IND submission and commencement of the first Parkinson’s disease clinical study pending approval .
  • Strategic catalysts strengthened: signed a research agreement with Rohto Pharmaceutical, added distributors in Asia-Pacific, and received a positive EU patent opinion—collectively expanding commercialization and IP optionality .
  • Liquidity remains a key risk: cash fell to $471K and monthly burn ran ~$495K excluding capex/patents; management emphasized financing plans and insider support to bridge to regulatory milestones .
  • Street consensus via S&P Global was unavailable; no formal quantitative guidance was issued. Focus near term is on IND filing, regulatory de-risking, and segment execution .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record revenue and segment growth: Q3 total revenue $1.96M (+17% YoY); Cosmeceutical $0.97M (+20% YoY), Biomedical $0.99M (+16% YoY) .
  • Regulatory momentum: “The US FDA cleared ISCO’s parthenogenetic stem cell lines for clinical use” and the company intends to submit materials before year-end to seek approval to begin the first stem cell clinical trial in Parkinson’s disease .
  • Strategic partnerships and distribution: Signed research agreement with Rohto (potential license after 12 months) and expanded distributors in Korea, Taiwan, Australia, New Zealand, India; EU Advocate General delivered a positive opinion on pending stem cell patents .
  • Management tone: “We’ve made excellent progress… completion of the preclinical phase… submission of the necessary regulatory filing and, if approved, the beginning of the first clinical study…” — CEO Andrey Semechkin .

What Went Wrong

  • Continued losses despite revenue growth: Q3 operating loss $(2.03)M and net loss $(2.03)M; nine-month net loss $(7.88)M .
  • Elevated R&D spend: Q3 R&D $1.39M (+49% YoY) driven by stem cell line research and preclinical testing for IND-enabling studies .
  • Liquidity strain and going concern: Cash $471K; average monthly burn ~$495K; management disclosed substantial doubt about continuing as a going concern absent additional financing .
  • Margin mix headwinds: LSC cost of sales rose to 16% of sales due to channel mix; overall cost of sales held at ~26% of revenue, limiting near-term gross margin expansion .

Financial Results

Quarterly progression (oldest → newest)

MetricQ1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014
Revenue ($USD thousands)1,649 1,588 1,963
Net Loss ($USD thousands)(1,435) (4,410) (2,034)
EPS (Basic & Diluted, $USD)(0.01) (0.03) (0.01)
Operating Loss ($USD thousands)(2,065) (2,243) (2,034)
Cost of Sales (% of Revenue)27% 26% 26%

Year-over-year (Q3 2013 vs Q3 2014)

MetricQ3 2013Q3 2014
Revenue ($USD thousands)1,670 1,963
Net Loss ($USD thousands)(3,799) (2,034)
EPS (Basic & Diluted, $USD)(0.03) (0.01)
Cost of Sales (% of Revenue)27% 26%

Segment breakdown (Revenue)

Segment Revenue ($USD thousands)Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014
Cosmeceutical (LSC)803 746 970
Biomedical (LCT)846 842 993

KPIs

KPIQ1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014
Cash & Cash Equivalents (period-end, $USD thousands)991 748 471
Avg Monthly Burn (ex-capex & patents, $USD thousands)~677 ~560 ~495
R&D Expense ($USD thousands)958 1,411 1,392

Operational and accounting notes:

  • Non-operating items materially impacted results in 2014: warrant exchange inducement expense of $3.45M in Q2 and fair value changes in warrant liability (+$1.89M YTD through Q2), with nine-month other expense of $(1.54)M; Q3 other income/expense was immaterial .

Guidance Changes

No formal quantitative guidance was issued; management provided qualitative milestones (IND submission timing, PD clinical initiation pending approval). The company did not disclose revenue, margin, OpEx, or tax guidance in its Q3 press release or 10-Q .

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY/Q4 outlookNot provided Not provided Maintained (no guidance)
Gross/Operating MarginsFY/Q4 outlookNot provided Not provided Maintained (no guidance)
OpEx (R&D, S&M, G&A)FY/Q4 outlookNot provided Not provided; R&D expected to increase with IND preparations Qualitative only
PD Program MilestonesLate 2014 / 2015Preclinical progressing Submit IND-enabling materials by YE14; target first clinical study if approved Raised specificity

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: An earnings call was hosted on Nov 14, 2014; a transcript was not available in our document corpus. Call details and replay information are posted on ISCO’s investor site and Marketwired notice .

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q3 2014)Trend
PD IND pathPre-IND meeting; FDA clarity (Q1) Submit materials by YE2014; first clinical study if approved Accelerating toward IND
PD preclinical dataAcute toxicity study completion; 6-month behavioral improvements (Q2) Completion of preclinical phase targeted De-risking safety/efficacy
FDA/regulatory statusFDA cleared hpSC lines for clinical use Regulatory de-risking
PartnershipsRohto research agreement initiated (Q2) Rohto agreement signed; evaluation ongoing Expanding BD
DistributionMexico distributor (Q2) New APAC distributors (Korea, Taiwan, Australia, NZ, India) International expansion
IP/LegalPositive EU Advocate General opinion on patents IP strengthening
PipelineNew stroke program; rodent study with Tulane Portfolio expansion
Financial disciplineBurn ~$677K/mo (Q1) to ~$560K/mo (Q2) Burn ~$495K/mo; cash $471K Improving burn, tight liquidity

Management Commentary

  • CEO outlook: “We’ll reach… milestones… completion of the preclinical phase… submission of the necessary regulatory filing and… beginning of the first clinical study using our proprietary stem cell derived human neural stem cells for… Parkinson’s disease” — Andrey Semechkin, PhD .
  • PD program progress: “We’ve taken another important step forward… completing the acute toxicity study… encouraging signs of behavioral improvements after six months in the primate study… pivotal to a successful IND submission” — Andrey Semechkin .
  • Regulatory clarity: “Obtaining clarity from the FDA on our Parkinson’s disease program allows us to substantially lower the risk of unforeseen regulatory issues… prepare a stronger IND submission” — Andrey Semechkin .
  • Financing commitment: “I recognize that our cash position remains challenging, but I continue to be committed to supporting the company until… we can bring in additional investment on appropriate terms” — Andrey Semechkin .

Q&A Highlights

A replay was available, but no transcript could be retrieved. Call logistics (date/time, dial-in, webcast, replay PIN) are posted on ISCO’s investor relations and Marketwired pages .
Given lack of transcript, specific Q&A themes, guidance clarifications, and tone shifts cannot be independently verified.

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (EPS and revenue) via S&P Global was unavailable for Q3 2014 and prior two quarters; therefore, we cannot assess beat/miss versus Street.
  • ISCO did not issue quantitative guidance in Q3 materials, further limiting comparative analysis to internal trends .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Execution on regulatory milestones is the primary near-term catalyst: IND submission for PD and potential initiation of first clinical study if approved could materially re-rate risk .
  • Commercial segments continue to scale: both LSC and LCT sustained multi-quarter YoY growth; maintaining mix and operating efficiency will be key to margin trajectory .
  • Liquidity is constrained; watch for financing (equity/preferred/warrants or strategic partnerships) and insider support to bridge to IND and early clinical phases .
  • Non-operating items (warrant accounting and exchanges) created volatility in P&L; underlying operating loss narrowed YoY in Q3—focus on core OpEx discipline while funding R&D .
  • International expansion and IP tailwinds (EU opinion) support medium-term commercialization optionality beyond PD, including liver, corneal, and stroke programs .
  • Risk management: substantial doubt language on going concern underscores financing dependency; position sizing should reflect binary regulatory and funding outcomes .
  • Monitor upcoming disclosures: IND submission status, any Rohto license progression, distributor performance in APAC, and cash runway updates in subsequent filings .

Sources: ISCO Q3 2014 8-K (press release and financials) ; Q3 2014 10-Q (financials, MD&A, segments, risk) ; Q2 2014 8-K/10-Q ; Q1 2014 8-K/10-Q . Call logistics: investor notice and Marketwired .