II
Invivyd, Inc. (IVVD)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 net product revenue was $13.1M, up 11% quarter-over-quarter and 41% year-over-year; net loss narrowed sharply to $10.5M (EPS -$0.06) from $60.7M (EPS -$0.51) in Q3 2024 .
- Results were essentially in line with Wall Street: revenue modestly above consensus ($13.13M vs. $13.10M*) and EPS beat (-$0.06 vs. -$0.08*); EBITDA was better than consensus (-$10.9M vs. -$11.9M*) (all S&P Global).
- Balance sheet strengthened: $85.0M cash at 9/30 and “over $100M” in October; subsequent $125.0M gross proceeds public offering announced Nov. 18 enhances funding for pivotal VYD2311 program launch .
- Regulatory and clinical momentum: U.S. IND cleared and FDA alignment for the REVOLUTION pivotal program (DECLARATION and LIBERTY) with initiation around year-end 2025 and top-line data mid-2026, a key stock catalyst path .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Product growth and disciplined spending: “third quarter revenue growth, combined with controlled operating expenses” set up investment in VYD2311 and commercial build-out .
- Regulatory clarity: “clear path forward for VYD2311 with recent IND clearance and U.S. FDA alignment,” preparing for pivotal studies and potential launch .
- Improving capital position and execution: Raised ~$87M in and shortly after Q3, plus ATM in Oct.; CFO: “Invivyd is now well capitalized through anticipated pivotal data… potentially well beyond” .
What Went Wrong
- SG&A increase y/y: SG&A rose to $15.0M from $13.0M due to personnel costs, partially offset by lower sales and marketing .
- R&D variation vs. prior plans: While R&D fell to $8.0M y/y, company did not provide quantitative revenue guidance; reliance on future pivotal execution creates timing risk .
- Profitability target slippage earlier in the year: Management previously targeted near-term profitability in 1H 2025 but did not meet it (context from Q2) .
Financial Results
Quarterly P&L and Cash (USD)
Notes: Operating margin % would be negative and is calculable from loss from operations and revenue; values above provide the components with citations.
Consensus vs. Actual – Q3 2025
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment/Product Revenue
Commercial KPIs (Launch-to-Date through 9/30/2025)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “With a strengthened balance sheet and a clear path forward for VYD2311 with recent IND clearance and U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) alignment, Invivyd is well-poised to provide Americans with antibody protection as an alternative to COVID vaccination.” – Marc Elia, Chairman .
- “Our past discipline and learnings from our commercial organization will enable us to further invest in VYD2311… and related commercial build-out to prepare for launch, if approved.” – Bill Duke, CFO .
- “We believe Invivyd can, in one single study, provide more information on the extent, durability, and quantitative predictability of protection from COVID than we have had from COVID vaccines over the past five years.” – Marc Elia .
Q&A Highlights
- Sunset of PEMGARDA post VYD2311 approval? Management: “No… we would have no plans to actively sunset it” .
- LIBERTY study coordination (CBER/CDER): Expect dialogue between centers given concomitant vaccine and mAb administration; goal is useful labeling for HCPs and vulnerable populations .
- Commercial expansion beyond infusion centers: Building scalable foundation, increasing digital assets and field presence to reach broader audiences ahead of IM delivery for VYD2311 .
- RSV/measles timelines and differentiation: Programs in discovery; differentiation via resistance profile, potency, half-life; updates expected before year-end .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 revenue modestly above consensus ($13.13M actual vs. $13.10M*), EPS beat (-$0.06 vs. -$0.08*) and EBITDA better than expected (-$10.9M vs. -$11.9M*). Near in-line top-line and improved operating performance likely reflect commercial traction and disciplined opex .
- With pivotal initiation near-term and strengthened balance sheet, 2026 estimates may embed program risk; upside revisions could follow successful enrollment progress and clearer timelines.
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- In-line top-line with EPS/EBITDA beats underscores commercial momentum and cost control; trajectory improving into respiratory season .
- Regulatory de-risking: IND clearance and FDA alignment for VYD2311 sets a visible path to mid-2026 top-line; program initiation around year-end is a major catalyst .
- Liquidity fortified: $85.0M cash at Q3 end, >$100M in October, and $125.0M gross from Nov. offering provide runway through pivotal data and commercial build-out .
- Strategic choice narrative vs. vaccines resonates; LIBERTY head-to-head safety could be a key market education lever pre-launch .
- Maintain focus on execution risks: enrollment pace, regulatory coordination (CBER/CDER), manufacturing scale-up for IM mAb .
- Near-term trading: watch for trial initiations, additional commercial KPIs, and variant susceptibility updates; funding events have reduced financing overhang .
- Medium-term thesis: If DECLARATION shows robust efficacy and LIBERTY confirms safety advantages, mAb prophylaxis could unlock a large market, supporting multiple expansion and revenue inflection.
Trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Citations: Earnings press release and 8-K ; Earnings call transcript ; Prior quarters Q2 and Q1 8-Ks ; Financing press releases . Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.