JACK IN THE BOX INC (JACK) Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 showed top-line pressure but a mixed headline: revenues fell 7.8% to $336.7M while non-GAAP Operating EPS was $1.20 and Adjusted EBITDA was $66.5M; GAAP diluted EPS was a loss of ($7.47) driven by a $203.2M non-cash impairment at Del Taco .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, JACK delivered a small revenue miss but an EPS and EBITDA beat: Revenue $336.7M vs $342.3M*, Operating EPS $1.20 vs $1.15*, Adjusted EBITDA $66.5M vs $66.0M*; the impairment does not affect Operating EPS or Adjusted EBITDA guidance (non-GAAP) .
- Same-store sales declined at both brands: Jack in the Box -4.4% and Del Taco -3.6%, with traffic and mix headwinds; management cited tech rollout disruptions (estimated ~1–2% comp impact) and macro pressure on lower-income cohorts, with planned value and innovation to re-accelerate comps in H2 .
- Guidance unchanged from the April 23 “JACK on Track” plan (CapEx $100–105M, Operating EPS $5.05–5.40, Adjusted EBITDA $282–292M; dividend discontinued). Strategic alternatives for Del Taco attracted “significant interest,” and a block closure program (150–200 units) will be detailed in August .
- Near-term catalysts: clarity in August on closures, progress on Del Taco alternatives, and acceleration in digital/kiosk adoption (digital mix now 18% system-wide; ~1,500 restaurants with new POS/flip kiosks) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Non-GAAP profitability held up despite sales pressure: Operating EPS of $1.20 and Adjusted EBITDA of $66.5M; restaurant-level margins benefited from favorable beverage funding under a new contract .
- Digital and technology progress: digital sales reached 18% system-wide, with new POS and flip kiosks in nearly 1,500 restaurants; management reiterated commitment to tech modernization and expects 20% digital ahead of schedule .
- Strategic path clarity: “JACK on Track” initiatives to simplify the model, delever, close underperforming units, and pursue Del Taco strategic alternatives; early interest reported in the process .
- CEO: “We will strengthen our balance sheet… close underperforming restaurants… and return overall simplicity to the Jack in the Box business model and our investor story” .
What Went Wrong
- Top-line weakness: total revenues down 7.8% YoY; comps negative at both brands as transactions and mix declined, partly offset by price .
- Cost inflation and wage pressure: Jack labor costs +320 bps YoY to 33.8% of sales; Del labor +330 bps YoY to 38.2%, largely due to California minimum wage changes (AB1228) .
- Non-cash impairment at Del Taco ($203.2M) drove GAAP loss and highlighted performance challenges at the brand; Del Taco restaurant-level margin fell to 12.8% (from 16.8%) .
Financial Results
Consolidated Finance and KPIs
Consensus vs Actual (S&P Global; Q2 2025)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Significance: Revenue miss; Operating EPS and Adjusted EBITDA beat.
Segment Margins and System Sales
Other KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Driving same-store sales is and always will be our top priority… digital is an area where continued investment will be tremendously important, and we remain committed to becoming a digital leader…” — CEO Lance Tucker .
- “Helped by continued increases in first-party activity and flip kiosks, we are now at 18% digital sales system-wide… nearly 1,500 restaurants [with POS/flip kiosks].” — CEO Lance Tucker .
- “Restaurant level margin percentage… decreased to 19.6% [Jack], down from 23.6% a year ago… driven primarily by lower sales… partially offset by price increases and favorable beverage funding.” — CFO Dawn Hooper .
- “We will strengthen our balance sheet… pay down debt… close underperforming restaurants… and return overall simplicity to the business model.” — CEO Lance Tucker .
- “We have had significant reach out and interest in [Del Taco]… feeling solidly that [divestiture] would be the option we would go down.” — CEO Lance Tucker .
Q&A Highlights
- Comps trend and tech impact: Management indicated Q3 trends running in line with Q2, citing temporary tech integration issues contributing ~1–2% comp headwind and cautious consumer behavior .
- Value positioning: Emphasis on barbell strategy, Munchie Meal, and curated value (including items under $4); acknowledgment that perceived value at $9–$10 can resonate via box meals .
- Del Taco strategic alternatives: Early interest noted; focus on operations, marketing revamp, and menu additions during the process .
- Closure program: Geographic impact expected to be broadly distributed and economics-driven; more detail in August .
- Pricing carryover: Price carryover a little over ~2% for the remainder of the year .
- Allowance for doubtful accounts: Increase tied to one specific franchise matter; closures not expected to elevate bad debt .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $336.7M vs $342.3M*, Operating EPS $1.20 vs $1.15*, Adjusted EBITDA $66.5M vs $66.0M* . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Forward look (consensus): FY 2025 Revenue ~$1.456B*, Adjusted EBITDA ~$270.5M*, EPS ~$4.62* (below company guidance of $282–292M Adjusted EBITDA and $5.05–$5.40 Operating EPS) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Implication: Street may need to reconcile company’s reaffirmed non-GAAP guidance with recent comp and margin dynamics; near-term revisions likely hinge on execution of tech rollout, value calendar, and closure plan details .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- H2 setup: With digital at 18% and tech modernization progressing, temporary onboarding issues should recede; management expects H2 marketing/value innovation to support stabilization — monitor Q3/Q4 comps and digital mix trajectory .
- Non-GAAP resilience: Despite soft sales, Operating EPS and Adjusted EBITDA beat consensus; watch wage/utility inflation and beverage funding benefits’ durability .
- Strategic simplification: “JACK on Track” catalysts—closure details in August, Del Taco strategic alternatives—could unlock cash flow and simplify the story; assess valuation impact from potential asset moves .
- Guidance credibility: Company reaffirmed April 23 guidance; Street is below on FY Adjusted EBITDA/EPS—track execution vs barbell strategy and cost headwinds to gauge revision risk .
- Balance sheet and leverage: Net debt/EBITDA at 5.5x; focus on real estate sales and dividend discontinuation to accelerate deleveraging; confirm progress on targeted paydown .
- Margin levers: Beverage funding is a tailwind; wage inflation remains a headwind—monitor mix/pricing and delivery fees impact on occupancy/other .
- Trading setup: Near-term moves likely keyed to August closure disclosures and Del Taco process updates; positive signals on comps/value could drive relief, while lingering tech friction or macro softness could cap upside .
All data cited to company documents and call remarks above. Values from S&P Global consensus marked with an asterisk and noted as retrieved from S&P Global.