JI
JABIL INC (JBL)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 FY25 delivered $6.99B net revenue, GAAP diluted EPS $0.88, and core diluted EPS $2.00, with core operating margin ~5%; results were stronger than anticipated, driven by Cloud, Data Center Infrastructure, and Digital Commerce end-markets .
- Guidance increased: FY25 revenue raised to $27.3B (from $27.0B), core EPS to $8.75 (vs $8.65), with core operating margin held at 5.4% and adjusted FCF at $1.2B .
- Q2 FY25 outlook: revenue $6.1B–$6.7B; GAAP EPS $0.69–$1.27; core EPS $1.60–$2.00; core OI $286M–$346M; core tax rate 21%; net interest expense ~$60M .
- Catalysts: strengthened AI/Cloud momentum (AI-related revenue raised to ~$6.5B for FY25), deepening hyperscaler relationships, and continued buybacks ($232M in Q1; $768M remaining on $1B authorization) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- AI/Cloud and Data Center strength: “incremental strength in our Cloud, Data Center Infrastructure, and Digital Commerce end-markets” drove a stronger quarter; core EPS and cash flow were solid .
- Segment execution: Intelligent Infrastructure revenue up ~5% YoY with core margin 4.8%; Digital Commerce/warehouse automation up ~12% YoY ex-mobility, core margin 5.8% .
- Capital return and FCF: Adjusted FCF of $226M in Q1; repurchased 1.8M shares for $232M; plan to complete $1B buyback in FY25 (80% of FCF to buybacks) .
What Went Wrong
- Continued weakness in EV and renewables: Regulated Industries revenue down ~7% YoY; renewables (solar) and EV softness weighed on segment margins .
- Hurricane impacts: ~10–20bps core margin headwind in Q1 from Helene/Milton; business interruption and impairment charges of $9M recognized .
- Mobility divestiture drove headline declines: Connected Living & Digital Commerce revenue down 46% YoY, though ex-mobility it grew ~12% .
Financial Results
Headline Financials versus Prior Quarters
Margin Profile
YoY Comparison (Quarterly)
Segment Breakdown (Q1 FY25)
KPIs (Q1 FY25)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “I am very pleased with our first fiscal quarter results…driven by incremental strength in our Cloud, Data Center Infrastructure, and Digital Commerce end-markets… We now anticipate approximately $27.3 billion in net revenue… Core earnings per share now are expected to be $8.75… robust adjusted free cash flow generation of $1.2 billion” — CEO Mike Dastoor .
- “Core operating margins came in at 5% in spite of a roughly 10 to 20 basis points of hurricane-related impact… Net interest expense in Q1 came in better than anticipated at $60 million” — CFO Greg Hebard .
- “We continue to deepen our existing relationship with our largest hyperscaler… won programs with a new hyperscaler in the silicon photonics side” — CEO Mike Dastoor .
- “We repurchased 1.8 million shares for $232 million… $768 million remaining on our current $1 billion share repurchase authorization” — CFO Greg Hebard .
Q&A Highlights
- Segment margins: Management expects all three segments to be “north of 5%” over time; current drag from underutilization in EV/renewables, with Intelligent Infrastructure above 5% and Connected Living’s Digital Commerce higher-margin growth .
- AI outlook raised: FY25 AI-related revenue outlook increased to ~$6.5B (+$0.5B), with ~$0.4B uplift from Cloud/DCI and ~$0.1B from semi-cap; deeper hyperscaler engagement and silicon photonics scaling to 800G/1.6T .
- Capital allocation: 80% of FCF to buybacks; committed to complete $1B authorization in FY25; buybacks weighted to H1 .
- Tariffs: Historically pass-through to customers; readiness to reverse “lift-and-shift” between Mexico and US; automation/robotics as key enablers .
- Inventory: Net inventory targeted 55–60 days; back-half expected at lower end of range .
- H2 margin drivers: Seasonality post-mobility divestiture, semi-cap recovery, and cost optimization support 2H EPS/margin strength .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus for Q1 and Q2 FY25 EPS and revenue was unavailable due to request limits at time of analysis; comparison to Street estimates cannot be provided. We attempted retrieval via S&P Global and were blocked by the “Daily Request Limit Exceeded.”
- Recommendation: update this section once S&P Global consensus data is accessible to quantify beats/misses versus Wall Street.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Back-half weighted year: Expect stronger margins/EPS in H2 on semi-cap recovery, normalized ramps, and cost optimization execution .
- AI/Cloud as core growth vector: Raised AI-related revenue outlook to ~$6.5B with expanding hyperscaler programs and silicon photonics scaling; supports Intelligent Infrastructure momentum .
- Mix and margin dynamics: Early-quarter ramps and hurricane headwinds suppressed margins, but enterprise-level margins in Cloud/DCI and above-enterprise in semi-cap support FY25 core margin target (5.4%) .
- Capital returns underpin valuation: Ongoing buybacks ($232M in Q1; $768M remaining), stable dividend ($0.08/sh next declared), and strong FCF ($1.2B FY25 target) enhance TSR potential .
- EV/renewables risk management: Cautious near term outlook; diversified, tech-agnostic capabilities across ICE/hybrid/EV and share gains position for eventual recovery .
- Operational resilience: Rapid site recovery and setup (hurricanes; new sites like Croatia), robust working capital (net inventory days ~56), and local-for-local strategy mitigate macro/tariff risks .
- Trading implications: Near-term sentiment supported by raised FY25 outlook and Q1 beats versus internal guidance; watch Q2 progress on segment growth mix (Intelligent Infrastructure vs Regulated Industries) and any additional hyperscaler program updates .