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JM

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered accelerating earnings with diluted EPS of $0.34 (+13.3% YoY) and net income of $4.8M; net interest margin expanded to 2.58% from 2.52% in Q4 and 2.30% in Q3, reflecting improved asset yields and lower funding costs .
  • Pre-tax, pre-provision earnings rose 37% YoY to $6.4M (Non-GAAP), supported by a 20% YoY increase in net interest income to $14.1M; asset quality remained pristine with no non-accruals, past dues, or charge-offs .
  • Core funding improved: non-interest bearing demand deposits grew 8.2% YoY to 22.8% of deposits; wholesale funding decreased 8.8% YoY; total deposits increased $29.8M QoQ to $1.92B .
  • Liquidity and capital stayed robust (liquidity $786.9M, 34.5% of assets; total risk-based capital 16.5%); Board raised the annual cash dividend 20% to $0.30 per share, a shareholder return catalyst .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Margin expansion and earnings growth: “continued to expand margin, increase earnings and book loan commitments” with net interest margin up 47 bps YoY to 2.58% and net interest income up $2.4M YoY .
  • Funding mix improvement: non-interest bearing demand deposits rose to 22.8% of deposits and wholesale funding declined YoY, supporting lower funding costs .
  • Asset quality excellence: no loans >30 days past due, no non-accruals, no OREO, and zero net charge-offs; allowance remained steady at ~1.01% of total loans .

What Went Wrong

  • Non-interest income fell $313K YoY to $505K, driven by unfavorable NQDC mark-to-market (-$100K), lower SBA gains (-$97K), and reduced swap and insurance fees .
  • Loans decreased modestly QoQ (-$1.7M), despite $96.5M Q1 loan commitments and $46M in March; macro uncertainty (tariffs/government efficiency initiatives) restrained borrowing activity .
  • Non-interest expense rose 4.1% YoY (hiring-related salary/benefit increase of $289K), though efficiency ratio improved to 56.5% versus 63.1% a year ago .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Net Interest Income ($USD Millions)$13.156 $14.066 $14.097
Non-interest Income ($USD Millions)$0.617 $0.281 $0.505
Net Income ($USD Millions)$4.235 $4.776 $4.810
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.30 $0.33 $0.34
Net Interest Margin (%)2.30% 2.52% 2.58%
Efficiency Ratio (%)58.3% 55.4% 56.5%
Return on Average Assets (%)0.73% 0.85% 0.87%
Return on Average Equity (%)7.00% 7.71% 7.76%
KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Total Assets ($USD Millions)$2,274.4 $2,234.9 $2,272.4
Total Loans, net of unearned ($USD Millions)$1,842.6 $1,872.2 $1,870.5
Total Deposits ($USD Millions)$1,936.2 $1,892.4 $1,922.2
NIB Deposits (% of Total)24.4% 22.9% 22.8%
Brokered Deposits ($USD Millions)$276.1 $276.5 $297.7
Core Funding Sources ($USD Millions)$1,655.9 $1,615.6 $1,624.2
Wholesale Funding Sources ($USD Millions)$336.2 $332.8 $353.9
Uninsured/Uncollateralized Deposits ($USD Millions)$714.2 $659.2 $660.8
Liquidity ($USD Millions; % of Assets)$775.5; 34.1% $727.3; 37.5% $786.9; 34.5%
Asset QualityQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Non-performing Assets to Total Assets0.45%
Non-accrual Loans ($USD)
Net Charge-offs to Avg Loans (annualized)0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Allowance for Loan Credit Losses to Total Loans1.00% 1.00% 1.01%
Capital – Total Risk-based Ratio (Bank)16.3% 16.2% 16.5%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Annual Cash Dividend per ShareFY 2025$0.25 (2024 payout) $0.30 (payable July 7, 2025) Raised 20%
Financial Guidance (Revenue, Margins, OpEx, Tax)FY/Q1 2025None providedNone providedMaintained (no quantitative guidance)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024, Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Margin ExpansionNIM up 11 bps QoQ in Q3; 22 bps QoQ in Q4; Fed cuts seen as tailwind NIM 2.58% (+47 bps YoY) on higher loan yields and lower funding costs Improving
Funding Mix/Core DepositsCore funding up $79.4M YTD; NIB deposits up $35.3M in Q3 NIB % 22.8%; wholesale down YoY; time deposits reduced $64.7M YoY Mix improving
Loan Pipeline/CommitmentsQ3: $128.1M new commitments; Q4: $118.6M Q1: $96.5M commitments; $46M in March; expect growth with clarity Healthy, awaiting funding
Asset Quality20th consecutive quarter pristine in Q3; one 90+ DPD paid off Q4 No past dues, no non-accruals, no OREO; zero charge-offs Pristine
Macro/Tariffs/RegulatoryFed initiated rate cuts mid-Sep; cautious stance Tariffs and government efficiency initiatives restraining borrowing Headwind persists
Capital/Shareholder ReturnsStrong capital; book value growth in Q3/Q4 Dividend raised 20%; capital ratios well above thresholds Shareholder-friendly

Note: No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was available in our corpus; themes reflect management’s press release commentary .

Management Commentary

  • Strategic focus: “grow our customer base, attract qualified bankers, increase core funding, grow loans sensibly and continue to drive earnings growth” .
  • Loan commitment strength amid volatility: “produced $96.5 million in loan commitments… our strongest first quarter since 2022” and “booked over $46 million in commitments” in March .
  • Macro nuance: “overlay of tariffs and government efficiency initiatives have restrained borrowing” with expectation commitments translate to growth as clarity improves .
  • Balance sheet posture: strong capitalization and excellent asset quality as “source of strength” to pursue organic growth and talent acquisition in a consolidating DC market .

Q&A Highlights

  • No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was found; Q&A details are unavailable based on the documents in scope [List: earnings-call-transcript not found].

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus coverage for JMSB appears limited; S&P Global did not show published EPS or revenue consensus for Q1 2025 (no entries for EPS or revenue consensus counts). Comparison to estimates is therefore unavailable.*
  • S&P Global recorded Q1 2025 “Revenue” actual at $14.432M*, while company-reported net interest income was $14.097M with non-interest income of $0.505M .
MetricQ1 2025 ConsensusQ1 2025 Actual
Primary EPS Consensus MeanN/A*$0.34
Revenue Consensus MeanN/A*$14.432M*

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin tailwinds: NIM expanded to 2.58% on higher loan yields and lower funding costs; further improvement is plausible if deposit costs continue to decline and rate cuts persist .
  • Funding quality: rising NIB mix and reduced wholesale funding signal favorable cost-of-funds trajectory; watch brokered deposits ($297.7M, 15.5% of total) and uninsured balances ($660.8M) for stability .
  • Asset quality pristine: no problem credits or charge-offs, supporting lower credit costs and capital flexibility .
  • Pipeline to growth: $96.5M Q1 commitments (March $46M) should translate to loan growth as tariff/government efficiency headwinds ease; near-term growth timing depends on macro clarity .
  • Dividend signal: 20% dividend increase to $0.30 highlights confidence in capital and earnings trajectory; a potential near-term stock catalyst for yield-focused investors .
  • Efficiency improving despite hiring: expense growth linked to strategic team expansion, but efficiency ratio improved YoY; scaling revenue with controlled OpEx is key .
  • Risk monitors: macro/tariff overlay restraining demand; DC-area concentration; maintain vigilance on deposit mix and liquidity (34.5% of assets) amid rate shifts .