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Kingsway Financial Services - Earnings Call - Q2 2025

August 7, 2025

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered strong top-line growth with revenue of $30.9M (+16.9% YoY) led by KSX (+42.1% YoY), while consolidated adjusted EBITDA fell to $1.653M (vs. $2.453M in Q2 2024) and GAAP net loss widened to $3.165M, largely due to Extended Warranty GAAP timing and a non-recurring $0.6M legal settlement expense.
  • KSX momentum accelerated with three acquisitions announced around quarter-end (Roundhouse, Advanced Plumbing & Drain, The HR Team) and a PIPE financing of $15.7M, enabling an increased M&A cadence; the annual KSX acquisition target was raised from 2–3 to 3–5 per year.
  • Extended Warranty showed improving leading indicators: cash sales up 9.2% YoY in Q2 and TTM modified cash EBITDA up 1.9% YoY, supporting expected recovery in GAAP earnings over time as deferred revenue is recognized.
  • Management disclosed TTM run-rate adjusted EBITDA of $22–$23M inclusive of recent acquisitions, emphasizing the portfolio’s earnings power; CEO confirmed in Q&A that excluding the three recent deals, run-rate would be ~$17M, reflecting tough GAAP comps in Extended Warranty.
  • Balance sheet strengthened: cash rose to $12.1M and net debt decreased to $46.3M from $52.0M at YE 2024, driven by PIPE proceeds; continued M&A activity and KSX execution are key stock catalysts.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • KSX outperformance and portfolio breadth: KSX revenue +42.1% to $13.3M and adjusted EBITDA +31% to $2.395M, driven by acquisitions and organic growth; strong contributions cited across Ravix/CSuite, SPI Software, DDI, Image Solutions, and Bud’s Plumbing.
  • Strategic acceleration and funding: “The second quarter of 2025 marked a major inflection point,” with a $15.7M PIPE and three acquisitions completed/announced, reinforcing the public search fund model and recurring-revenue focus.
  • Extended Warranty leading indicators improving: “cash sales were up 9.2% year over year for the quarter… now up 6.5% year to date,” and TTM modified cash EBITDA up 1.9% YoY—management expects GAAP earnings recovery over time.

What Went Wrong

  • Profitability pressure: consolidated adjusted EBITDA fell to $1.653M (vs. $2.453M in Q2 2024) and GAAP net loss widened to $3.165M (vs. $2.186M), primarily due to Extended Warranty’s GAAP timing dynamics and higher expenses.
  • Extended Warranty segment EBIT/EBITDA compression: segment adjusted EBITDA declined to $0.619M (vs. $1.621M in Q2 2024) despite revenue growth, highlighting the divergence between GAAP and modified cash EBITDA during expansion phases.
  • One-off legal expense: a $0.6M settlement tied to a legacy Lincoln General matter impacted Q2 GAAP results (non-recurring going forward), adding noise to reported profitability.

Transcript

Speaker 3

Good day and welcome to the Kingsway Financial Services Inc. Second Quarter 2025 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. Please note this conference is being recorded. With me on the call are John Taylor-Maloney Fitzgerald, Chief Executive Officer, and Kent A. Hansen, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I want to remind everyone that today's conference call may contain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include statements regarding the future, including expected revenue, operating margins, expenses, and future business outlook. Actual results or trends could materially differ from those contemplated by those forward-looking statements.

For a discussion of such risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements, please see the risk factors detailed in the company's annual report on the Form 10-K and subsequent Forms 10-Q and Forms 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Please note also that today's call may include the use of non-GAAP metrics that management utilizes to analyze the company's performance. A reconciliation of such non-GAAP metrics to the most comparable GAAP measures is available in the most recent press release, as well as in the company's periodic filings with the SEC. Now, I would like to hand the call over to John Taylor-Maloney Fitzgerald, CEO of Kingsway Financial Services Inc. John, please proceed.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Jenny. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to the Kingsway Financial Services Inc. earnings call for Q2 2025. To our knowledge, Kingsway Financial Services Inc. is the only publicly traded U.S. company employing the search fund model to acquire and build great businesses. We own and operate a diversified collection of high-quality services companies that are asset-light, profitable, growing, and that generate recurring-revenue. Our goal is to compound long-term shareholder value on a per-share basis, and we believe our business can scale due to our decentralized management model and our talented team of operator CEOs. We also continue to benefit from significant tax assets that enhance our returns. In short, Kingsway Financial Services Inc. is uniquely positioned to capitalize on the search fund model at scale within a tax-efficient public company framework. The second quarter of 2025 marked a major inflection point for the company.

After years of investment in our Kingsway Search Accelerator, or KSX, platform, our Board of Directors, with management support, made an exciting decision. We are ready to accelerate growth. By following our public search fund strategy, we believe we have a compelling opportunity to build a much larger and far more profitable Kingsway Financial Services Inc. On June 24th, Kingsway Financial Services Inc. announced a private placement of common shares, or PIPE, transaction with five high-quality and long-term institutional investors who contributed $15.7 million of capital to the company. We believe the funds received from the PIPE, in combination with operating cash flow and capital from other non-dilutive sources, will provide Kingsway Financial Services Inc. with the financial resources to scale faster and to deliver the company's multi-year growth ambitions.

Concurrent with the announcement of the PIPE, we also increased our target range for the number of KSX acquisitions the company expects to complete each year, from two to three per year to three to five per year. This upgraded target underscores our confidence in the KSX model and the strong visibility we have into a growing pipeline of high-quality opportunities. I'm pleased to share that since completing the PIPE, we have executed three acquisitions that are each a terrific fit for our search-driven strategy. On July 1st, we completed our ninth KSX acquisition via the purchase of Roundhouse Electric & Equipment Co. for $22.4 million. At the time of the acquisition, Roundhouse's trailing 12-month unaudited revenue was $16 million, and its trailing 12-month unaudited adjusted EBITDA was $4.2 million. Roundhouse, based in Odessa, Texas, is a leading provider of industrial-scale electric motor maintenance, repair, and testing solutions.

This acquisition checks all the boxes for what we look for in a KSX business. It is asset-light, roughly 90% of its revenues are recurring, and Roundhouse's services are considered mission-critical by its customers, who are generally midstream natural gas pipeline operators and natural gas utilities in the Permian Basin. Roundhouse has excellent growth prospects underpinned by two clear secular trends. First, there is strong demand for additional pipeline capacity in the Permian Basin. Based on public statements, the four largest midstream natural gas pipeline operators collectively expect to increase their capacity by approximately 17% by the end of 2026, with even more growth in the years thereafter. Second, the industry is rapidly shifting from motors with combustible engines to motors with electric engines, which require less maintenance, have lower operating costs, and achieve better uptime. In 2020, an estimated 10% of compression horsepower in the Permian Basin was electric.

Today, that number is over 20%. In the years ahead, we expect electric motors to become the dominant engine type in the Permian. This is a wonderful tailwind for Roundhouse's business. Miles Mammon, the Operator in Residence at Kingsway, who sourced and led this transaction, has stepped into the CEO role at Roundhouse. We are excited to support Miles as he partners with Roundhouse's exceptional leadership team, including Lee Hudson, who is remaining with the company as President, to drive the next phase of growth. We are pleased to welcome Roundhouse to the Kingsway family and look forward to being a great supportive partner. On August 1st, we completed our 10th KSX acquisition via the purchase of AAA Flexible Pipe Cleaning Corp., which operates as Advanced Plumbing and Drain, a well-respected plumbing services provider based in the Cleveland, Ohio metro area.

This marks the second acquisition under our Kingsway Skilled Trades platform, and it's another strong addition to our portfolio. Advanced Plumbing and Drain is the second largest commercial plumbing business in its MSA. It is a capital light, profitable business with a 100-year legacy and an impressive book of recurring revenue. Its operations span both commercial and residential plumbing services, with commercial work representing about two-thirds of the business. Kingsway acquired the company for $3.5 million, plus a potential earnout of up to $1.5 million for a total maximum purchase price of $5 million. We expect the company to generate $7 million in revenue and approximately $700,000 in pro forma EBITDA in its first year. We see a clear path to significant revenue and profit growth as we invest in people, new service lines, and marketing.

I want to congratulate Rob Casper, CEO of Kingsway Skilled Trades, for closing this deal and for the terrific progress he is already making across the skilled trades vertical. With Buds Plumbing and now Advanced Plumbing and Drain in the portfolio, we are gaining real traction in building a differentiated, high-quality platform with scale. Also, on August 1, our operating subsidiary, Ravix Group, completed our 11th KSX acquisition via the strategic tuck-in acquisition of the HR Team, a specialized human resources services firm based in Maryland. The HR Team expands Ravix's capabilities in HR services, strengthens Ravix's presence on the East Coast, and accelerates Ravix's growth in the nonprofit membership organization and government services verticals. There is a high degree of cultural fit and alignment between the two organizations, and integration efforts are already underway and progressing smoothly.

Senior leadership from the HR Team remains actively engaged to ensure continuity of service during the integration period. This type of tuck-in is a perfect example of how we empower our portfolio company leaders to grow their businesses well beyond the initial acquisition. Timmy Yocha continues to do an outstanding job leading Ravix, building out the team, expanding service lines, and executing thoughtful, high-impact growth initiatives. Moves like this reinforce our broader strategy of backing great operators and then giving them the tools and support to succeed. It's a clear validation of the KSX model and the caliber of leaders we have at Kingsway. Year to date, we have acquired five high-quality asset-light services businesses at the top end of our recently increased target range for KSX acquisitions per year.

We are excited about the momentum building across Kingsway and energized by the pace and quality of acquisition activity so far in 2025. We currently have two Operators in Residence, or OIRs, who are actively searching for our next acquisition targets, and we are in the process of interviewing high-quality candidates to expand this bench. We are seeing exceptional interest in our OIR program, and the caliber of applicants continues to get better and better. With our strong pipeline of entrepreneurial talent, we are positioning Kingsway to efficiently source, acquire, and scale additional businesses that fit our model. As of quarter end, our trailing 12-month adjusted run rate EBITDA for the businesses we own today stands at approximately $22 to $23 million.

This metric provides a view of how the company would have performed over the last 12 months if Kingsway had owned all of our current businesses for that entire time. GAAP results, in contrast, only capture the performance of the acquired businesses from their respective close dates onward. We believe this metric is particularly relevant during periods of high M&A activity like the past few years and better reflects the run rate earnings power of our current portfolio. It's also worth noting that in calculating this metric, we are not using modified cash EBITDA for our extended warranty businesses. As we've discussed in previous earnings calls, many in the extended warranty industry prefer to use a metric called modified cash EBITDA when assessing and valuing extended warranty businesses.

This is because under GAAP accounting, growing extended warranty businesses often see their EBITDA penalized, while shrinking extended warranty businesses often see their EBITDA boosted due to the timing differences in how revenue is recognized. Kingsway's extended warranty businesses are back in growth mode, and a gap has recently opened up between adjusted EBITDA and modified cash EBITDA. Compared to one year ago, trailing 12-month mod cash EBITDA for Kingsway's extended warranty businesses, which is how we assess the performance, is up 1.9%. In contrast, compared to one year ago, trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA for Kingsway's extended warranty businesses is down 25.9%. Over time, adjusted EBITDA and mod cash EBITDA converge, and we expect the same to occur for Kingsway. To sum up, the second quarter was a quarter of significant progress for the company.

We added capital to fund our multi-year growth ambitions, increased our acquisition targets, and delivered three attractive acquisitions. The earnings power of our KSX segment is now at a record high, and we feel like we're just getting started. With that, I'll turn the call over to Kent for a closer look at our second quarter financial performance. Kent? Thank you, JT, and good afternoon, everyone. For the second quarter, consolidated revenue was $30.9 million, an increase of 16.9% compared to $26.4 million in the second quarter of 2024. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA was $1.7 million for the three months ended June 30, 2025, compared to $2.5 million in the prior year quarter. In our KSX segment, revenue increased by 42.1% to $13.3 million in Q2, up from $9.3 million in the same quarter a year ago.

Adjusted EBITDA increased by 31% to $2.4 million compared to $1.8 million in a year ago quarter. The increases were driven by recent acquisitions as well as by organic growth. Overall, we continue to see strong momentum across the KSX portfolio with contributions from both new and established businesses helping drive both the top and bottom line. Importantly, many of our operating businesses are setting themselves up to accelerate growth in the quarters ahead. Ravix and C Suite, which are operated by common management and provide outsourced finance, human resources, and CFO services, hired a new Director of Sales to lead client acquisition efforts and enhance sales execution and client engagement. S and S appears to have turned the corner and delivered encouraging volume trends this quarter with both travel shifts and per diem shifts up double digits year over year.

SPI Software delivered an outstanding quarter with strong customer go-lives and higher adjusted EBITDA. DDI's revenue growth was solidly in the double digits. Image Solutions has rebuilt its sales team, negotiated and signed an MSA with a key customer, and is planning for solid growth in the back half of the year. Buds Plumbing is off to an excellent start under the Kingsway Skilled Trades platform. Simply put, there's a lot to be bullish about in the KSX portfolio of operating companies. Moving to our extended warranty segment, revenue increased by 3.1% to $17.6 million in the second quarter, up from $17.1 million in the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA was down to $600,000 from $1.6 million in the prior year quarter.

As JT discussed earlier, the extended warranty segment's modified cash EBITDA, a key industry metric that more closely reflects the cash flow dynamics of the warranty businesses, showed improvement. Trailing 12-month mod cash EBITDA for extended warranty ended the quarter up 1.9% relative to one year ago. In addition, cash sales were up 9.2% year over year for the quarter, an acceleration from Q1, and are now up 6.5% year to date. Demand for our warranty services continues to strengthen, and the improvement in cash sales reinforces our confidence that GAAP earnings will recover over time as deferred revenue from recent cash sales is recognized. Overall, the extended warranty segment remains cash generative and well-positioned for continued success. Let's now turn to the balance sheet and capital structure. As of June 30, 2025, we held $12.1 million in cash and cash equivalents, up from $5.5 million at year end.

Total debt was $58.3 million at quarter end, compared to $57.5 million as of December 31, 2024. Our debt consists of $43.4 million in bank loans, $1.1 million in notes payable, and $13.9 million in subordinated debt. Net debt, or debt minus cash, at quarter end was $46.3 million, down from $52 million at year end. The decrease in net debt is primarily related to net proceeds from the private placement we completed during the second quarter. Turning briefly to a legacy legal matter, during the second quarter, we recorded $600,000 of expense related to a settlement agreement with Aegis Security Insurance. This stems from a longstanding dispute tied to customs bond issues related to Lincoln General, a former Kingsway subsidiary placed into liquidation nearly 10 years ago in 2015. Importantly, our reimbursement obligations under this agreement ended on June 30, 2025, so this expense will not recur going forward.

Additional information regarding this item can be found in our Form 10-Q. Let me turn things back over to JT for a few final thoughts before we open the line for questions. JT?

Speaker 1

Thanks, Kent. To close, I'd like to express my thanks and appreciation to Kingsway's employees, partners, and shareholders. It's truly a new day for Kingsway. We have an amazing team, a wonderful set of operating businesses. We added funding to deliver our multi-year growth ambitions, and our KSX platform is ready to scale. After years of building the foundation, it's finally time to play offense. The energy at Kingsway is palpable, and I look forward to sharing more good news in the second half of 2025. I'll now turn the call back over to Jenny to open the line for questions.

Speaker 3

Thank you very much. We'll be conducting our question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your phone keypad now. A confirmation tone will indicate that your line is in the queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For any participants using speaker equipment, it might be necessary to pick up your handset before you press the keys. Please wait a moment while we poll for questions. Thank you. Our first question is coming from Christian Solberg of Sun Mountain Partners. Christian, your line is live.

Speaker 0

Hi, JT and Kent. How are you both?

Speaker 1

Yeah, great, Christian.

Speaker 0

Good, thank you. Just a quick question here. I didn't quite understand, with the run rate EBITDA of $22 to $23 million, was that as of quarter end, or did that include these three new acquisitions that occurred post quarter end?

Speaker 1

It's a great question. You sensed me stumbling over my words there. It includes sort of as of quarter end for the things that we previously owned, but is also inclusive of our recent acquisitions.

Speaker 0

Okay. We take that $22 to $23 million and we subtract the roughly $4.2 million for Roundhouse, the $700,000, and $200,000 for the other two, roughly, to get a sense of what the run rate EBITDA was excluding these new deals.

Speaker 1

Yeah, that's right.

Speaker 0

Okay. In Q1, the run rate EBITDA was $18 to $19 million. If I subtract those three deals from the $22 to $23 million, it's roughly $16.9 million. We could just round and say $17 million, which is below where we were in Q1. Is that due primarily to extended warranty and some of the revenue recognition items you were talking about? Help me a little bit there.

Speaker 1

Yeah, if you look at the press release and the table, you'll see that warranty had a pretty tough year-over-year comp on a GAAP basis. That would, I think, basically fully explain the shortfall, more than fully explain it.

Speaker 0

Okay, great. That's all from me. Thank you.

Speaker 3

Thank you very much. Just a reminder, if there are any remaining questions on the line, you can join the queue now by pressing star one on your phone keypad. Not seeing anybody else in the queue, I will now turn the call over to James Carbonara for questions that have been submitted via email. James.

Speaker 2

Thank you, operator. First question, about a handful came in, and apologies. You may have answered some of these in the prepared remarks already. First one is, Kingsway has now made five acquisitions this year against its target range of three to five. Should we expect that Kingsway is likely to be done with transactions for the rest of 2025?

Speaker 1

Thank you. No, I don't think that that's a good expectation. First of all, let me say that three to five is a target. Got to be mindful of targets. People want to hit targets. I think I'd first say that first and foremost, our objective is to be disciplined investors. We're not going to just do an acquisition to hit a target. With that out of the way, we currently have two OIRs actively looking for our next acquisition. We've got a skilled trades platform. We've got other businesses that have the potential to do tuck-in acquisitions. We're not going to go pencils down once we hit some internal subjective target. We'll continue to be active and looking for our next great opportunity whenever it comes.

Speaker 2

Great. Next question says, by my count, Kingsway only has two active OIRs at the moment. Do you expect this number to increase? How is your pipeline of OIR talent?

Speaker 1

Yeah, you know, I think we spoke to that a little bit in the prepared remarks, but that's correct. Two active OIRs at the moment with Miles launching and earlier Rob launching. We certainly expect this number to increase. We'd like to get back up to our kind of normal four to five, and we have a great pipeline, really talented folks, and a lot of interest in what we're building.

Speaker 2

Great. The next one says, you've now made 11 acquisitions, nearly half of those coming this year. What have you learned between the first acquisition to say the two you announced this week? Would you anticipate the next 11 acquisitions going to look like the first 11? Why or why not?

Speaker 1

Yeah, I mean, they're all very, like, I wouldn't say that they all kind of, the first 11 look the same, but we definitely have learned things along the way. We've made some mistakes and we've, I think, made some great investments. More than anything, I would say that our aperture over the last four years has really tightened around a focus on revenue quality with a higher standard of recurring-revenue being primary to our kind of approach to looking at businesses. I would also say that as we've gained comfort and experience in a couple of different verticals, whether that's accounting services or ITMSP or more recently skilled trades, I think that we gain more comfort with experience. You'd probably see more activity in those verticals as well.

Speaker 2

Thank you. The last one is a follow-up. It says, just as a follow-up, with 11 acquisitions, you've now hired perhaps not 11 OIRs, but many OIRs. In the same vein as the previous question, what have you learned from the first to the most recent couple of hires? Will the next half dozen or so OIRs look like the first crop that made these 11 acquisitions? Why or why not?

Speaker 1

Yeah, again, I think it looked like a very wonderful and diverse group of folks, all of our OIRs up to this point. I think that we have a set of criteria, a set of attributes that we think are important, indicative of success as a leader in a small company. We've talked about those in the past. If anything, we've maybe re-indexed on certain of those attributes. Obviously, we're looking for bright, curious, humble, honest, entrepreneurial folks that have a real demonstrated will to win. It's hard to say they look like one or another, but I think that provided they have that set of attributes, we think that is predictive, if not predictive, at least indicative of being a successful leader in a small company.

We're going to continue to screen based on our criteria that we think works and continue to refine our interviewing and screening process as we go forward and maybe index even heavier on a couple of those attributes.

Speaker 2

Thank you, JT. That concludes the questions that were emailed in. I'll throw it back to you for any closing comments.

Speaker 1

All right, thanks everyone for joining us here this afternoon. Really appreciate it and look forward to connecting with you throughout the rest of the year. That's it from our side.

Speaker 3

Thank you very much. This does conclude today's conference call. You may disconnect your phone lines at this time and have a wonderful rest of the day. We thank you for your participation.