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KH

Koppers Holdings Inc. (KOP)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered resilient profitability despite softer volumes: Adjusted EPS of $0.71, Adjusted EBITDA of $55.5M, and net sales of $456.5M; GAAP diluted EPS was $(0.68) due to restructuring and a $29.0M pension settlement loss .
  • Versus consensus, the quarter was a mixed print: Revenue missed ($456.5M vs $488.0M*) while Adjusted EPS and Adjusted EBITDA exceeded ($0.71 vs $0.555*; $55.5M vs $52.5M*)—cost actions offset volume headwinds in RUPS and CMC while PC volumes were weak due to U.S. market share shift and weather . Estimates marked * retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Guidance: Sales forecast updated to $2.0–$2.2B (from $2.17B) while Adjusted EBITDA ($280M), Adjusted EPS ($4.75), OpCF ($150M), tax rate (28%), and CapEx ($65M) were maintained, signaling confidence in cost-reduction benefits and tariff mitigation .
  • Balance sheet and capital allocation: Net debt ~$948M, liquidity ~$320M, net leverage 3.6x; $19M repurchases in Q1 and a $0.08 quarterly dividend declared (annualized to $0.32), supporting EPS accretion and shareholder returns .
  • Potential stock catalysts: maintained EBITDA/EPS guidance despite lower sales outlook, accelerating cost reductions, tariff mitigation, and utility pole expansion (Brown Wood acquisition), plus buyback capacity remaining (~$85M) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • RUPS profitability inflected: Adjusted EBITDA rose to $25.5M (+44% YoY) and margin to 10.9% on price increases, lower operating costs, and higher Class I crosstie and utility pole volumes; CEO: “one of our stronger first quarters from a profitability perspective…specifically RUPS and CMC” .
  • CMC margin recovery: Adjusted EBITDA improved to $9.9M (from $4.0M), driven by lower raw material/SG&A costs, favorable mix, and improved plant performance after last year’s outage .
  • Cost actions delivering: SG&A down $4.1M YoY; global headcount reduced ~5%; CFO highlighted consolidated Adjusted EBITDA margin at 12.2%, strongest Q1 since 2021 .

What Went Wrong

  • PC volumes declined 21.5% in the Americas due to U.S. market share shift and weather; Adjusted EBITDA fell to $20.1M and margin to 16.6% (from 19.9%) despite logistics/SG&A savings .
  • Top-line softness: Consolidated net sales down 8.3% YoY to $456.5M, with declines across PC and CMC outweighing RUPS growth .
  • GAAP loss from special items: $20.0M impairment/restructuring and $29.0M pension settlement drove diluted EPS to $(0.68) and operating cash flow to $(22.7)M (including ~$13.9M pension termination funding) .

Financial Results

Consolidated Performance vs prior periods and consensus

MetricQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q1 2025 Consensus*
Net Sales ($USD Millions)$497.6 $477.0 $456.5 $488.0*
Diluted EPS (GAAP) ($)$0.59 $(0.50) $(0.68)
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.62 $0.77 $0.71 $0.555*
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$51.5 $55.2 $55.5 $52.5*

Estimates marked * retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment Breakdown (Net Sales and Adjusted EBITDA)

SegmentQ1 2024 Net Sales ($M)Q1 2025 Net Sales ($M)Q1 2024 Adj. EBITDA ($M)Q1 2025 Adj. EBITDA ($M)Q1 2024 Margin (%)Q1 2025 Margin (%)
RUPS$225.1 $235.0 $17.7 $25.5 7.9% 10.9%
PC$150.1 $120.9 $29.8 $20.1 19.9% 16.6%
CMC$122.4 $100.6 $4.0 $9.9 3.3% 9.8%
Total$497.6 $456.5 $51.5 $55.5

KPIs

KPIQ1 2024Q1 2025
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$(12.3) $(22.7)
Capital Expenditures – Gross ($USD Millions)$26.3 $14.3
Capital Expenditures – Net of insurance and asset sales ($USD Millions)$25.8 $10.0
Net Debt ($USD Millions)$948
Liquidity ($USD Millions)$320
Net Leverage (x)3.6x
Share Repurchases ($USD Millions)$6.9 (Q1 prior year) $19.1
Quarterly Dividend ($/share)$0.08 (paid June 17; annualized $0.32)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net SalesFY 2025~$2.17B ~$2.0–$2.2B Updated range (lower midpoint)
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025~$280M ~$280M Maintained
Adjusted EPSFY 2025$4.75 $4.75 Maintained
Operating Cash FlowFY 2025~$150M ~$150M Maintained
Effective Tax RateFY 2025~28% 28% Maintained
Capital ExpendituresFY 2025~$65M ~$65M Maintained

Management reiterated that tariff impacts and copper hedge efficiency are being actively mitigated; pension plan termination funding (~$13.9M in 2025) is incorporated in OpCF guidance .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024 and Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Cost reductions & margin focusSequential profitability improvement in rail and carbon; planned streamlining to support higher margin profile SG&A down $4.1M YoY; 5% workforce reduction; consolidated Adjusted EBITDA margin 12.2% (best Q1 since 2021) Strengthening margin profile via cost actions
RUPS trajectory (crossties, utility poles)RUPS record sales; utility pole growth (Brown Wood) but higher costs; domestic utility pole records in Q4 RUPS sales +4%, margin 10.9%; utility pole volume +9% and pricing; improving crosstie economics Improving utilization and mix; margin expansion
PC demand & market sharePC margins improved on costs, but raw materials elevated (Q3); Q4 noted lower volumes in Americas Americas preservative volumes down 21.5%; U.S. market share shift and weather drag; margin declined to 16.6% despite lower logistics/SG&A Demand softness; competitive pressure
CMC portfolio actions (phthalic exit)Q3: higher CMC EBITDA despite lower pricing; Q4: profitability increased on lower costs Exiting U.S. phthalic ahead of May target; EBITDA up on cost cuts/mix; coal tar cost/pricing dynamics highlighted Simplification aiding margins; industry rationalization needed
Tariffs & macroManagement flagged chaotic environment, tariffs could swing profitability tens of millions; double down on efficiency Mitigation plans in place; risks to hardwood supply chain and copper hedge efficiency noted Ongoing risk; mitigation progressing
Capital allocationEnding heavy investment period; focus on deleveraging and buybacks $19M repurchases; $0.08 dividend; net leverage 3.6x; ~$85M buyback capacity remaining Active returns; deleveraging path reaffirmed
Safety/ESGStrong safety performance; climate leadership recognition 31/41 facilities accident-free in Q1; continued Zero Harm program Sustained focus

Management Commentary

  • CEO Leroy Ball: “While volumes got off to a soft start… cost reduction measures more than offset the impact from lower sales… one of our stronger first quarters from a profitability perspective, specifically RUPS and CMC.”
  • CFO Jimmi Sue Smith: “Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was $56M with a 12.2% margin… By segment, RUPS $26M (11%), PC $20M (17%), CMC $10M (10%).”
  • CEO on PC: “Residential preservative volume move away from Koppers… colder winter… economic uncertainty… we’ve pared back spending and realigned costs to better fit a smaller top line.”
  • CEO on RUPS: “Best profit metrics in the crosstie part of our business since 2016… inventory at a good level… should be back to generating significant free cash flow.”
  • 2025 outlook: “Maintaining adjusted EBITDA $280M and adjusted EPS $4.75; expect sales $2.0–$2.2B.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Margin mix in RUPS: Utility poles structurally higher margin; expanding utility pole share should lift segment margins; Class I contracts still a work in progress .
  • Demand timing: Customers indicate back-half pickup across utility/industrial; management cautious given macro uncertainty but seeing activity in new geographies post Brown Wood .
  • Tariff impacts: PC saw demand fade through March; hardwood export declines could affect crosstie input pricing; multiple mitigation plans underway .
  • CMC incremental margins: Actions to simplify operations (Stickney exit of phthalic) and throughput improvements can restore margins to high-teens in a healthier environment .
  • Capital allocation: Priority on buybacks (new $100M program) and deleveraging; repurchased $15M during the window, with annual limits in credit agreements guiding pacing .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 vs consensus: Revenue $456.5M vs $488.0M* (miss); Adjusted EPS $0.71 vs $0.555* (beat); Adjusted EBITDA $55.5M vs $52.5M* (beat). Cost initiatives drove EPS/EBITDA upside despite top-line shortfall, particularly in RUPS and CMC; PC underperformed on volumes and raw materials . Estimates marked * retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Implications: Street models likely to cut FY revenue trajectory toward $2.0–$2.2B guidance while maintaining EBITDA/EPS on margin confidence and cost actions; watch for PC volume recovery assumptions and tariff sensitivity in estimates .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin story intact: Consolidated margin expansion driven by RUPS price/mix and CMC cost actions supports maintained $280M EBITDA and $4.75 EPS despite lower sales outlook—a constructive setup if PC stabilizes .
  • PC is the swing factor: Near-term EPS path hinges on U.S. preservative market share and weather-sensitive volumes; management is aggressively right-sizing costs .
  • RUPS/Utility poles are catalysts: Brown Wood assets broaden reach and raise mix quality; continued pricing and operating cost control should sustain double-digit margins .
  • Tariff/watchpoints: Hardwood supply chain and copper hedge efficiency are key risk vectors; mitigation programs in place but macro remains fluid—expect volatility .
  • Free cash flow and returns: Lower normalized CapEx ($65M) and buyback capacity (~$85M remaining) plus dividend ($0.08/qtr) support shareholder returns while targeting 2–3x net leverage over time .
  • Trading lens: Mixed headline (revenue miss) vs EPS/EBITDA beat—near-term stock moves likely driven by confidence in maintained guidance and visibility on PC stabilization; buyback deployment cadence is a supportive factor .
  • Medium-term thesis: Portfolio simplification (CMC), structural utility-pole expansion, and cost discipline underpin earnings power; downside risks stem from tariffs, rates, and PC competition.

Estimates marked * retrieved from S&P Global.