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LITHIA MOTORS INC (LAD)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record Q2 2025 revenue of $9.58B (+3.8% YoY) and diluted EPS $9.87 (+25% YoY); adjusted diluted EPS $10.24 (+30% YoY). Results were aided by robust aftersales, record financing operations income, and lower floor plan interest expense .
  • Versus consensus, LAD delivered a modest revenue beat ($23M), a clear adjusted EPS beat ($0.43), and a sizable EBITDA beat (~$52M). Management also raised buybacks to target up to 50% of free cash flows, a potential stock-supportive catalyst.* [GetEstimates Q2 2025]
  • Aftersales gross profit rose 11.5% YoY with same‑store aftersales margins expanding ~180 bps to 57.8%. Finance operations income reached $20.1M (+179% YoY), with DFC originations of $731M, U.S. penetration 14.8%, and NIM 4.6% .
  • Q2 dividend declared at $0.55 per share; LAD repurchased ~387K shares at ~$306 during Q2, with ~$568.8M remaining under authorization .
  • Preliminary Q2 guide mid-month (EPS $9.70–$10.00) was exceeded by final adjusted EPS ($10.24), reinforcing estimate revision momentum ahead of H2 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Aftersales strength: same-store aftersales gross profit +8.5% YoY; margin expanded to 57.8%, with warranty gross profit up strongly; management emphasized aftersales contributing >60% of net income and headroom to compound growth .
  • Financing operations: income of $20.1M (+179% YoY); DFC originations $731M, penetration 14.8%, NIM 4.6%, with CFO highlighting quality underwriting (avg FICO ~747) and the segment’s maturing profit trajectory .
  • Capital allocation: Buybacks accelerated, targeting up to 50% of free cash flows; CEO framed shares as undervalued vs peers, positioning repurchases as a value‑accretive complement to M&A .

What Went Wrong

  • New vehicle GPUs declined YoY on same‑store basis (-8.1% to $3,175) despite unit growth; management acknowledged mix/footprint constraints and the need for store‑level execution to close gaps vs peers .
  • SG&A leverage remains a focus: adjusted SG&A/gross profit improved just ~20 bps YoY to 67.7%; management “slightly increased” near‑term SG&A outlook and laid out multi‑quarter levers (tech stack, vendor contracts, automation, Pinewood AI) .
  • UK headwinds persist: higher SG&A vs U.S. and a challenging industry backdrop; profitability up ~3% YoY but management views optimization as ongoing .

Financial Results

Consolidated Performance (sequential and YoY)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Billions)$9.22 $9.18 $9.58
Diluted EPS ($)$8.12 $7.94 $9.87
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$7.79 $7.66 $10.24
Gross Profit Margin (%)14.9% 15.4% 15.5%
SG&A as % of Gross Profit (Adj)66.3% 68.2% 67.7%
Operating Profit as % of Revenue (Adj)4.4% 4.3% 4.5%
Pretax Margin (%) (Adj)3.0% 3.0% 3.8%
Net Profit Margin (%) (Adj)2.3% 2.2% 2.8%

Consensus vs Actual (Q2 2025)

MetricConsensusActualBeat/Miss
Revenue ($USD Billions)$9.56*$9.58 +$0.02B*
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$9.81*$10.24 +$0.43*
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$453.3*$505.8*+$52.5*

Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment Revenue Mix (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)

Segment ($USD Millions)Q2 2024Q2 2025
New Vehicle Retail$4,403.7 $4,498.4
Used Vehicle Retail$2,986.0 $3,094.8
Used Vehicle Wholesale$289.5 $383.1
Finance & Insurance$360.9 $373.8
Aftersales$950.7 $1,023.4
Fleet & Other$241.0 $209.5
Total$9,231.8 $9,583.0

Key KPIs (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024; Same‑Store where noted)

KPIQ2 2024Q2 2025
New Retail Units (same‑store)90,179 91,947
Used Retail Units (same‑store)102,875 106,894
New ASP ($) (same‑store)$47,679 $47,679
Used ASP ($) (same‑store)$27,558 $28,249
New GPU ($) (same‑store)$3,455 $3,175
Used GPU ($) (same‑store)$1,897 $1,900
F&I per Vehicle ($) (same‑store)$1,815 $1,841
Aftersales Margin (%) (same‑store)56.0% 57.8%
New Inventory Days’ Supply76 (Q2’24) 63 (Q2’25)
Used Inventory Days’ Supply47 (Q2’24) 48 (Q2’25)
Finance Operations Income ($M)$7.2 $20.1
DFC Originations ($M)$731
DFC U.S. Penetration (%)14.8%
DFC Net Interest Margin (%)4.6%

Non‑GAAP adjustments: Q2 adjusted results exclude ~$0.37 per diluted share (net loss on disposal, insurance reserves, acquisition expenses; partially offset by tax attributes), lifting adjusted EPS to $10.24 from $9.87 .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
New Vehicle Volume GrowthFY 2025Mid single-digitLow single-digitLowered
SG&A as % of Gross Profit (near-term)H2 2025Glide path to mid-50s LT; near-term stableOutlook “slightly increased” balancing H1 actuals with disciplineRaised near-term
Front-end GPU (midpoint)FY 2025Prior midpointRaised by ~$200 per unitRaised
Share Repurchases (% of FCF)FY 202530–40% (Q4’24 commentary)Up to 50%Raised
Financing Operations IncomeFY 2025$50–$60M (deck)$60–$70M (mgmt commentary)Raised
DividendQ2 2025$0.55 per shareInitiated for quarter

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2: Q4 2024; Q-1: Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
AI/Technology initiatives (Pinewood AI; My Driveway)Q4: MyDriveway portal launch with 250+ functions ; Q1: ecosystem execution, DFC scaling JV transfer back to Pinewood AI; pilot in H2’25; rollout 2027–2028; My Driveway users scaling Strengthening adoption; execution ramp
Tariffs/MacroQ4: inventory positioned; SAAR recovery view Minimal tariff impact in Q2; OEM pricing/incentives expected to adjust; affordability focus Monitoring; limited near-term effect
AftersalesQ4: warranty-led growth; margin ~55.8% same-store Margin 57.8% same-store; gross profit up 11.9% Accelerating
Used/Value autosQ4: value autos +24.6% YoY; overall used softness Value autos +50% same-store; used units up; GPUs flat Improving mix and throughput
UK operationsQ4: closure/rationalization; higher SG&A Profitability +3% YoY; SG&A structurally higher than U.S. Stabilizing; ongoing optimization
Financing operations (DFC)Q4: first profitable year; NIM expansion Income $20.1M; penetration ~15%; run-rate improving Maturing; scaling contribution
Capital allocationQ4: 30–40% FCF to buybacks Up to 50% FCF to buybacks; continued disciplined M&A More aggressive buybacks

Management Commentary

  • CEO on the model’s differentiation: “The scalability of our omnichannel ecosystem, including Driveway, DFC, and our recent acquisitions is driving market-share gains, earnings growth and capital efficiency… We are well positioned to accelerate our growth in the second half of 2025 and beyond.”
  • CFO on SG&A and efficiency: “We did increase the outlook slightly as we think about SG&A… levers to reclaim operating margin [include] technology, vendor contracts, automating workflows… glide path down toward the long-term target of 55% SG&A as a percentage of gross profit.”
  • CFO on buybacks: “We’re accelerating our share repurchases to target up to 50% of free cash flows… compound returns for shareholders while still preserving capacity for high return strategic acquisitions.”
  • CEO on DFC trajectory: “We made $20 million in the quarter… targeting $60–$70 million for the year… At a $50 billion domestic revenue base, we’re going to make half a billion dollars.”

Q&A Highlights

  • SG&A/gross profit leverage: Street sought clarity; management acknowledged near-term uptick but reiterated multi‑year tech/vendor/process levers to bend SG&A down while sustaining growth .
  • UK dynamics: Management noted higher SG&A structurally, but profitability up ~3% YoY and portfolio now “clean,” supporting forward performance .
  • DFC run-rate and profitability: Analysts pressed for run-rate magnitude; management pointed to seasonality and CECL effects, but affirmed trajectory and penetration targets (15–20%) .
  • Used/value autos sourcing & competition: LAD emphasized consumer‑direct sourcing (~70% of vehicles) and Driveway’s AI valuations improving sourcing economics vs auctions/online pure plays .
  • Tariffs and OEM pricing: Minimal Q2 impact; expectation for OEM decontenting and incentives to preserve affordability and GPUs; retailer adaptability highlighted .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 results exceeded consensus on revenue, adjusted EPS, and EBITDA, driven by aftersales margin expansion and financing operations strength.* [GetEstimates Q2 2025]
  • Q1 2025 saw revenue and EPS light vs consensus but a significant EBITDA outperformance, reflecting cost actions and adjacency contributions.* [GetEstimates Q1 2025]
  • Near-term estimate revisions likely to trend higher for EPS/EBITDA given Q2 beats, stronger aftersales mix, and DFC profitability run-rate, offset by modest GPU normalization and slightly higher near-term SG&A outlook .

Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Quality beat: LAD delivered a clean beat on adjusted EPS and EBITDA with improving pretax and net margins, underpinned by high‑margin aftersales and financing operations .
  • Capital allocation tailwind: Buybacks targeted at up to 50% of FCF provide tangible TSR support while M&A remains disciplined; dividend maintained ($0.55) .
  • Structural earnings mix: Aftersales and DFC continue to increase their share of profits, reducing reliance on more volatile front‑end GPUs and supporting margin consistency through cycles .
  • Execution focus areas: SG&A glide path and used GPU recovery are key H2 levers; Pinewood AI and My Driveway should enable productivity and cost reduction over time .
  • Tariffs/affordability: OEM pricing/incentives and retailer adaptability expected to buffer impacts; limited Q2 effect observed .
  • Sequential momentum: Q2 showed sequential revenue/earnings improvement vs Q1; H2 setup benefits from stronger adjacencies and stabilizing GPUs .
  • Trading lens: Buyback acceleration and estimate revisions post‑beat are near-term catalysts; medium term thesis centers on scaling adjacencies, SG&A leverage, and disciplined M&A to reach long‑term EPS/revenue targets .

Additional Notes

  • Dividend of $0.55 per share payable Aug 22, 2025; repurchased ~387K shares in Q2 at ~$306; ~$568.8M authorization remaining .
  • Corporate development: Two Mercedes‑Benz stores acquired in TN/MS adding ~$220M annualized revenue; YTD acquisitions ~$400M annualized .
  • Liquidity: Ended Q2 with ~$1.3B in cash, marketable securities, and revolver availability .
  • Preliminary Q2 release mid-month guided EPS $9.70–$10.00; final adjusted EPS exceeded high end ($10.24) .