LM
LITHIA MOTORS INC (LAD)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record Q2 2025 revenue of $9.58B (+3.8% YoY) and diluted EPS $9.87 (+25% YoY); adjusted diluted EPS $10.24 (+30% YoY). Results were aided by robust aftersales, record financing operations income, and lower floor plan interest expense .
- Versus consensus, LAD delivered a modest revenue beat (
$23M), a clear adjusted EPS beat ($0.43), and a sizable EBITDA beat (~$52M). Management also raised buybacks to target up to 50% of free cash flows, a potential stock-supportive catalyst.* [GetEstimates Q2 2025] - Aftersales gross profit rose 11.5% YoY with same‑store aftersales margins expanding ~180 bps to 57.8%. Finance operations income reached $20.1M (+179% YoY), with DFC originations of $731M, U.S. penetration 14.8%, and NIM 4.6% .
- Q2 dividend declared at $0.55 per share; LAD repurchased ~387K shares at ~$306 during Q2, with ~$568.8M remaining under authorization .
- Preliminary Q2 guide mid-month (EPS $9.70–$10.00) was exceeded by final adjusted EPS ($10.24), reinforcing estimate revision momentum ahead of H2 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Aftersales strength: same-store aftersales gross profit +8.5% YoY; margin expanded to 57.8%, with warranty gross profit up strongly; management emphasized aftersales contributing >60% of net income and headroom to compound growth .
- Financing operations: income of $20.1M (+179% YoY); DFC originations $731M, penetration 14.8%, NIM 4.6%, with CFO highlighting quality underwriting (avg FICO ~747) and the segment’s maturing profit trajectory .
- Capital allocation: Buybacks accelerated, targeting up to 50% of free cash flows; CEO framed shares as undervalued vs peers, positioning repurchases as a value‑accretive complement to M&A .
What Went Wrong
- New vehicle GPUs declined YoY on same‑store basis (-8.1% to $3,175) despite unit growth; management acknowledged mix/footprint constraints and the need for store‑level execution to close gaps vs peers .
- SG&A leverage remains a focus: adjusted SG&A/gross profit improved just ~20 bps YoY to 67.7%; management “slightly increased” near‑term SG&A outlook and laid out multi‑quarter levers (tech stack, vendor contracts, automation, Pinewood AI) .
- UK headwinds persist: higher SG&A vs U.S. and a challenging industry backdrop; profitability up ~3% YoY but management views optimization as ongoing .
Financial Results
Consolidated Performance (sequential and YoY)
Consensus vs Actual (Q2 2025)
Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Revenue Mix (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)
Key KPIs (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024; Same‑Store where noted)
Non‑GAAP adjustments: Q2 adjusted results exclude ~$0.37 per diluted share (net loss on disposal, insurance reserves, acquisition expenses; partially offset by tax attributes), lifting adjusted EPS to $10.24 from $9.87 .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on the model’s differentiation: “The scalability of our omnichannel ecosystem, including Driveway, DFC, and our recent acquisitions is driving market-share gains, earnings growth and capital efficiency… We are well positioned to accelerate our growth in the second half of 2025 and beyond.”
- CFO on SG&A and efficiency: “We did increase the outlook slightly as we think about SG&A… levers to reclaim operating margin [include] technology, vendor contracts, automating workflows… glide path down toward the long-term target of 55% SG&A as a percentage of gross profit.”
- CFO on buybacks: “We’re accelerating our share repurchases to target up to 50% of free cash flows… compound returns for shareholders while still preserving capacity for high return strategic acquisitions.”
- CEO on DFC trajectory: “We made $20 million in the quarter… targeting $60–$70 million for the year… At a $50 billion domestic revenue base, we’re going to make half a billion dollars.”
Q&A Highlights
- SG&A/gross profit leverage: Street sought clarity; management acknowledged near-term uptick but reiterated multi‑year tech/vendor/process levers to bend SG&A down while sustaining growth .
- UK dynamics: Management noted higher SG&A structurally, but profitability up ~3% YoY and portfolio now “clean,” supporting forward performance .
- DFC run-rate and profitability: Analysts pressed for run-rate magnitude; management pointed to seasonality and CECL effects, but affirmed trajectory and penetration targets (15–20%) .
- Used/value autos sourcing & competition: LAD emphasized consumer‑direct sourcing (~70% of vehicles) and Driveway’s AI valuations improving sourcing economics vs auctions/online pure plays .
- Tariffs and OEM pricing: Minimal Q2 impact; expectation for OEM decontenting and incentives to preserve affordability and GPUs; retailer adaptability highlighted .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 results exceeded consensus on revenue, adjusted EPS, and EBITDA, driven by aftersales margin expansion and financing operations strength.* [GetEstimates Q2 2025]
- Q1 2025 saw revenue and EPS light vs consensus but a significant EBITDA outperformance, reflecting cost actions and adjacency contributions.* [GetEstimates Q1 2025]
- Near-term estimate revisions likely to trend higher for EPS/EBITDA given Q2 beats, stronger aftersales mix, and DFC profitability run-rate, offset by modest GPU normalization and slightly higher near-term SG&A outlook .
Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Quality beat: LAD delivered a clean beat on adjusted EPS and EBITDA with improving pretax and net margins, underpinned by high‑margin aftersales and financing operations .
- Capital allocation tailwind: Buybacks targeted at up to 50% of FCF provide tangible TSR support while M&A remains disciplined; dividend maintained ($0.55) .
- Structural earnings mix: Aftersales and DFC continue to increase their share of profits, reducing reliance on more volatile front‑end GPUs and supporting margin consistency through cycles .
- Execution focus areas: SG&A glide path and used GPU recovery are key H2 levers; Pinewood AI and My Driveway should enable productivity and cost reduction over time .
- Tariffs/affordability: OEM pricing/incentives and retailer adaptability expected to buffer impacts; limited Q2 effect observed .
- Sequential momentum: Q2 showed sequential revenue/earnings improvement vs Q1; H2 setup benefits from stronger adjacencies and stabilizing GPUs .
- Trading lens: Buyback acceleration and estimate revisions post‑beat are near-term catalysts; medium term thesis centers on scaling adjacencies, SG&A leverage, and disciplined M&A to reach long‑term EPS/revenue targets .
Additional Notes
- Dividend of $0.55 per share payable Aug 22, 2025; repurchased ~387K shares in Q2 at ~$306; ~$568.8M authorization remaining .
- Corporate development: Two Mercedes‑Benz stores acquired in TN/MS adding ~$220M annualized revenue; YTD acquisitions ~$400M annualized .
- Liquidity: Ended Q2 with ~$1.3B in cash, marketable securities, and revolver availability .
- Preliminary Q2 release mid-month guided EPS $9.70–$10.00; final adjusted EPS exceeded high end ($10.24) .