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LadRx Corp (LADX)·Q1 2018 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2018 delivered a materially narrower net loss of $4.08M and $(0.15) EPS versus $(11.04)M and $(0.60) in Q1 2017, driven by lower R&D (post-aldoxorubicin out-licensing) and a non-cash warrant derivative gain; revenue remained $0 as the company is pre-commercial .
  • Operating discipline: R&D fell to $1.46M from $6.77M YoY (shift to preclinical LADR work), and G&A declined to $2.46M from $2.98M (lower legal fees) .
  • Balance sheet: Cash and equivalents were $35.10M at March 31, 2018 (vs. $37.64M at year-end), equity rose to $21.25M, and warrant liabilities decreased meaningfully quarter-over-quarter .
  • Strategic catalyst: Management is laser-focused on securing a non-dilutive strategic alliance for the LADR platform with the goal to close in Q4 2018; discussions underway with >10 global pharmas, with two signed NDAs .
  • Estimates comparison unavailable: S&P Global consensus for Q1 2018 EPS/revenue was not retrievable due to SPGI daily limit; company pre-revenue with limited Street coverage (we attempted to fetch S&P Global data but could not) [GetEstimates error: “Daily Request Limit Exceeded”].

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Statistically significant “breakthrough” preclinical efficacy for four albumin-binding ultra-high potency LADR candidates presented at AACR 2018, underpinning platform momentum and potential advantages versus ADCs (“broader utility…lower cost of goods…no requirement for antibody receptors”) .
  • Active business development: In due diligence with >10 global pharmas; two confidentiality agreements signed; explicitly targeting a major strategic alliance by Q4 2018 .
  • Operating cost improvements: R&D down ~$5.3M YoY driven by transitioning away from aldoxorubicin clinical spend; G&A down ~17% on reduced legal fees .

Management quote: “We are laser-focused on securing a strategic alliance for the innovative LADR™ technology, with the goal of closing a transaction during the fourth quarter of 2018.”

What Went Wrong

  • No product revenue; license revenue was $0, maintaining the pre-commercial profile and reliance on partnering milestones/royalties to drive future cash inflows .
  • Cash declined sequentially ($35.10M vs. $37.64M) as the company executes preclinical work and carries term loan obligations; deferred revenue also decreased to $— from $6.92M at year-end, tightening near-term funding optics .
  • Shareholder skepticism on dilution and private counterparties reflected in Q&A; management emphasized a non-dilutive financing solution, but execution risk remains until a binding deal is announced .

Financial Results

Income Statement Snapshot (All figures USD)

MetricQ1 2017Q3 2017Q1 2018
Revenue ($)$0 $0 $0
Net Loss ($)$(11,044,104) $(5,124,419) $(4,075,574)
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.60) $(0.19) $(0.15)
R&D Expense ($)$6,772,582 $4,755,191 $1,455,806
G&A Expense ($)$2,979,057 $3,418,808 $2,463,559
Interest Expense ($)$(1,322,715) $(828,120) $(692,787)
Gain/(Loss) on Warrant Derivative Liabilities ($)$(32,119) $3,763,855 $453,412

Notes:

  • YoY net loss narrowed by ~$6.97M and EPS improved by $0.45, supported by reduced R&D and non-cash warrant derivative gains .
  • Q3 2017 benefited from a $3.76M warrant derivative gain, also lowering net loss .

Balance Sheet KPIs

MetricFY 2017 Year-End (Dec 31, 2017)Q1 2018 (Mar 31, 2018)
Cash and Cash Equivalents ($)$37,643,404 $35,097,042
Warrant Liabilities ($)$527,025 $73,613
Deferred Revenue ($)$6,924,353 $—
Term Loan, Net ($)$10,599,795 $10,007,149
Total Stockholders’ Equity ($)$18,145,055 $21,252,742

Segment breakdown: Not applicable given the company’s pre-commercial status and single R&D platform focus .

KPIs: Weighted-average diluted shares were 27,391,506 in Q1 2018 vs. 18,929,553 in Q1 2017 (reflecting prior-year capital actions and reverse split in 2017) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Financial guidance (Revenue, EPS, Margins)FY2018/Q1 2018None providedNone providedMaintained: No formal guidance
Strategic LADR PartnershipFY2018 timelineNoneGoal to secure a major strategic alliance in Q4 2018New objective
Financing ApproachFY2018Not specifiedPlan for non-dilutive solution with large pharma upfront cash, royalties, milestonesNew disclosure emphasis

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: We did not locate a Q1 2018 “earnings-call-transcript.” We reviewed two company calls around Q1 timing: March 19, 2018 (2017 results call) and April 18, 2018 (AACR LADR data call), which inform trends below .

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current PeriodTrend
LADR candidates & preclinical efficacyQ3 2017: aim to nominate next LADR candidate and file IND in 2018; >75 conjugates tested; four leads selected Q1 2018: three AACR posters with statistically significant data; four candidates (LADR-7,-8,-9,-10) selected for IND-enabling studies Progressing from discovery to IND-enabling; narrative strengthening
Business development/partneringQ3 2017: opportunistic in seeking alliances with big pharma Q1 2018: >10 large pharmas engaged; two NDAs signed; targeting Q4 2018 alliance Intensifying BD activity; clearer timeline
Aldoxorubicin programQ3 2017: licensed to NantCell; strategic investment; transition of program Q1 2018: NantCell dosed first patients in two trials (metastatic pancreatic; advanced SCC) Advancement under partner; potential milestone pathway
Financing/dilutionPrior calls: not emphasizedQ&A (Apr 2018): management favors non-dilutive financing via large pharma upfronts/royalties; addresses shareholder dilution concerns Messaging pivot to non-dilutive solutions
Legal/regulatoryQ4 2017 call: Nasdaq compliance regained after reverse split Q1 2018: Delaware derivative action dismissed (with prejudice) De-risking legal posture
Supply chain (aldox)Not previously detailedQ&A (Apr 2018): mgmt says supply chain for daunomycin/anthracycline “worked out,” no specifics Confidence maintained; specifics withheld

Management Commentary

  • “We’ve had a strong start to 2018… The potential competitive advantages of the LADR™ assets over antibody-drug conjugates are significant… Looking ahead… laser-focused on securing a strategic alliance… goal of closing a transaction during the fourth quarter of 2018.” — Eric Curtis, President & COO .
  • “We are currently in discussions and due diligence with over 10 large global pharmaceutical companies. And 2 companies have already signed confidentiality agreements…” — Eric Curtis (AACR call) .
  • “R&D expenses were $1.5 million… primarily incurred for preclinical development… reduction of approximately $5.3 million compared to… 2017… G&A… decreased by approximately 17 percent primarily due to a decrease in legal fees.” — Q1 press release .

Q&A Highlights

  • Financing/dilution concerns: A shareholder challenged prior aldox licensing terms and potential dilution; management responded they are pursuing a non-dilutive solution via a large pharma partner with upfront cash, royalties, milestones .
  • Supply chain readiness: Question on sourcing anthracycline input for aldox commercialization; management stated the process “worked out” but declined specifics, indicating operational confidence without detail .
  • Strategic deal process: Management reiterated active large-pharma dialogues; two NDAs signed, reinforcing near-term partnering focus .

Estimates Context

  • We attempted to pull S&P Global consensus EPS and revenue for Q1 2018; data retrieval failed due to SPGI daily limit, and no numbers were available for comparison. Values would have been retrieved from S&P Global if accessible. The company is pre-revenue with limited Street coverage, which may further constrain consensus visibility [GetEstimates error; attempted periods: Q1 2018].

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Cost structure reset supports smaller quarterly losses: Net loss narrowed YoY on reduced R&D and warrant derivative gains; operating spend now geared to preclinical LADR work and BD execution .
  • Partnering is the core 2018 catalyst: Management targets a Q4 2018 strategic alliance for LADR; >10 pharmas engaged with two NDAs—watch for deal timing and terms (upfront, milestones, royalties) .
  • Pipeline credibility strengthening: Statistically significant AACR preclinical data across multiple tumor types for four LADR candidates enhances platform’s differentiation claims vs ADCs .
  • Funding optics acceptable near term: Cash of $35.10M with declining warrant liabilities and term loan balance; execution of a non-dilutive partnership would materially de-risk financing needs .
  • Aldoxorubicin value path externalized: NantCell’s dosing in two combination trials creates optionality for future milestones/royalties without CytRx bearing development spend .
  • Legal overhang reduced: Delaware derivative action dismissed; Nasdaq compliance regained in late 2017, tidying corporate posture .
  • Trading implications: Near-term stock moves likely tied to BD headlines (NDA counts turning into term sheets), incremental preclinical/IND-enabling updates, and any visibility on milestones from NantCell trials .

Cross-References and Notes

  • Income statement, balance sheet, and operating expense details from Q1 2018 press release and exhibits .
  • Prior quarter trend context taken from Q3 2017 earnings 8-K and 2017 full-year 8-K .
  • Earnings-call transcripts for Q1 2018 not found; AACR LADR data call and 2017 results call used to capture management tone and Q&A highlights .