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LadRx Corp (LADX)·Q4 2017 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2017 was a transition quarter: the company reported full-year 2017 results and focused the narrative on post-licensing milestones for aldoxorubicin (NantCell) and selection of four ultra‑high potency LADR candidates advancing into IND‑enabling studies .
  • Operating discipline drove year-over-year improvement: FY2017 net loss narrowed to $35.0M (vs. $50.8M in FY2016), with R&D down ~45% to $19.8M and G&A down ~22% to $12.5M .
  • Liquidity stepped down through the year as the strategic realignment progressed: cash and equivalents were $37.6M at 12/31/17 (vs. $46.0M at 9/30/17 and $55.0M at 6/30/17), reflecting loan repayments tied to the NantCell agreement .
  • Management’s 2018 catalysts center on LADR: AACR data presentations, initiation of IND‑enabling studies for LADR‑7/8/9/10, pursuit of strategic partnering, and potential IND filings; NantCell controls timing of aldoxorubicin disclosures, limiting near‑term visibility .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Out‑licensing monetization and strategic focus: “2017 was a pivotal year…with the strategic outlicensing of aldoxorubicin to NantCell, Inc.” enabling potential milestone/royalty economics while refocusing internal resources on LADR .
  • R&D productivity: 75+ drug conjugates tested; four lead LADR candidates selected (LADR‑7/8/9/10) with AACR 2018 acceptance (three abstracts) and plans to enter IND‑enabling studies .
  • Operating efficiency: R&D fell to $19.8M (from $35.9M) and G&A to $12.5M (from $16.0M) in FY2017, reflecting lower non‑cash items and salaries; FY net loss improved by $15.8M YoY .

What Went Wrong

  • Limited quarterly granularity for Q4: The company reported FY2017 without disclosing separate Q4 revenue/EPS/margins, constraining quarter-over-quarter analysis and estimates comparison for Q4 specifically .
  • Cash burn and debt service: Cash declined to $37.6M by year‑end; additional $10M loan payments tied to the NantCell closing reduced flexibility despite strategic investment proceeds .
  • Visibility into aldoxorubicin timeline: NantCell’s private status limits CytRx/LadRx’s ability to update shareholders until partner disclosures occur, dampening near‑term clarity for aldoxorubicin milestones .

Financial Results

Quarterly Operating Metrics

MetricQ2 2017Q3 2017Q4 2017
License Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.00 $0.00 N/A (not separately disclosed)
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(14.36) $(5.12) N/A (FY only reported)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.10) $(0.19) N/A (FY EPS: $(1.46))
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$6.17 $4.76 N/A (FY R&D: $19.84)
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$3.14 $3.42 N/A (FY G&A: $12.50)

Notes: The company did not disclose Q4 standalone quarterly P&L line items; FY results provided on March 19, 2018 .

Liquidity and Balance Sheet

MetricQ2 2017 (6/30)Q3 2017 (9/30)FY 2017 (12/31)
Cash and Equivalents ($USD Millions)$55.0 $46.0 $37.6
Deferred Revenue ($USD Millions)$6.92 $6.92
Term Loan – Current ($USD Millions)$6.70 $11.05 $10.60
Total Liabilities ($USD Millions)$39.13 $28.38 $30.20
Stockholders’ Equity ($USD Millions)$19.21 $21.47 $18.15

FY Performance

MetricFY 2016FY 2017
Licensing Revenue ($USD Millions)$0.20 $0.10
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(50.77) $(34.99)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(3.78) $(1.46)
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$35.93 $19.84
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$15.99 $12.50

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
LADR pipeline milestones2018Not previously quantifiedPresent 4 preclinical posters at AACR; initiate IND‑enabling studies for LADR‑7/8/9/10; pursue strategic partnership; submit one or more INDsInitiated explicit milestones (qualitative)
Aldoxorubicin program (NantCell)2018+Prior plans under CytRx; out‑licensing in July 2017NantCell responsible for development/manufacturing/commercialization; CytRx/LadRx to receive milestones/royalties; updates contingent on NantCell disclosuresProgram control transferred; timing visibility reduced

No revenue, margin, OpEx, tax, or segment‑specific numeric guidance was provided for Q4/FY2017; management communicated milestone‑based goals for 2018 .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q4)Trend
Aldoxorubicin licensingQ2: Executed global agreement with NantCell; $13M strategic investment; amended loan; Phase 3 STS data at ASCO Reinforced NantCell’s initiation of Phase 1b/2 haNK combination trials in pancreatic and squamous cancers Transitioned to partner-led development; CytRx focuses on LADR
LADR pipelineQ1: Announced FDA path for aldox; identified plan to select first ultra-high potency conjugate during 2017 Selected LADR‑7/8/9/10 for IND‑enabling; AACR abstracts accepted; expanded Freiburg lab efforts Acceleration and formalization of pipeline milestones
Capital structure and listingQ1/Q2: Equity financing; warrants exercise 1‑for‑6 reverse split completed; regained NASDAQ bid compliance Listing compliance restored; share count reduced
Legal/regulatoryQ1: FDA agreement on aldox NDA pathway (pre‑licensing) Delaware derivative action dismissed with prejudice Reduced legal overhang
Shareholder communicationN/AManagement noted limited visibility until NantCell makes public disclosures; urged patience; commented stock up ~25% YTD as of call Sets expectations for cadence of updates

Management Commentary

  • “2017 was a pivotal year…with the strategic outlicensing of aldoxorubicin to NantCell, Inc. for future development and commercialization.” — Steven A. Kriegsman, Chairman & CEO .
  • “Last Thursday, we announced 4 new drug candidates for advancement to our investigational new drug‑enabling studies…LADR‑7, 8, 9 and 10…eligible to advance into IND‑enabling studies.” — Steven A. Kriegsman .
  • “Cash and cash equivalents, as of December 31, 2017, totaled $37.6 million…Net loss for the full year 2017 was $35 million or $1.46 per share…R&D…$19.8 million…G&A…$12.5 million.” — John Y. Caloz, CFO .
  • “We…are anticipating several milestones with the LADR candidates…securing a strategic partnership…initiate IND‑enabling studies…submit an IND application to the FDA for 1 or more candidates in 2018.” — Steven A. Kriegsman .
  • “NantCell Inc. is not public…they choose when they want to provide information to us…we’re not privy to that information…So there’s nothing I can tell you…with regards to [their timelines].” — Steven A. Kriegsman .

Q&A Highlights

  • Shareholder concerns and disclosure cadence: Management emphasized reliance on NantCell’s timing for aldoxorubicin updates due to the partner’s private status, setting expectations for limited near‑term visibility despite optimism about 2018 progress .
  • Stock performance tone: CEO noted stock was up ~25% year‑to‑date as of the call, reflecting improved sentiment amid strategic realignment; tempered by acknowledgment of biotech volatility .
  • Focus for 2018: Clarified LADR priorities (AACR data, IND‑enabling studies, strategic alliance pursuit) and intent to request pre‑IND and submit IND(s) in 2018, reinforcing pipeline execution over near‑term P&L metrics .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2017 EPS and revenue could not be retrieved due to data access limits at the time of this analysis; availability appears limited given lack of quarterly revenue disclosure and pre‑commercial status [Attempted via S&P Global; tool returned request limit error].
  • Implication: With no Q4 standalone revenue/EPS disclosed and limited coverage, estimate revisions are more likely to hinge on 2018 LADR milestone timing and partner updates from NantCell rather than Q4 financials .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The story has shifted decisively to LADR: four high‑potency candidates selected, AACR validation, and clear 2018 execution milestones (IND‑enabling, strategic partnering, IND submissions) .
  • Near‑term aldoxorubicin updates are binary on partner disclosures; timeline visibility is constrained until NantCell announces, which can mute news flow despite potential milestone economics .
  • Operating discipline is evident: material YoY reductions in R&D and G&A drove a narrower FY2017 loss; monitor whether this efficiency persists as LADR advances into IND‑enabling studies (potentially raising spend) .
  • Liquidity remains adequate but trending down: cash at $37.6M; track burn and any financing needs as LADR progresses, alongside deferred revenue/royalty/milestone prospects .
  • Trading lens: stock sensitivity likely tied to LADR data visibility (AACR, preclinical disclosures), partnering headlines, and any NantCell trial updates; lack of Q4 quarterly granularity reduces earnings‑driven catalysts .
  • Medium‑term thesis: success in translating LADR preclinical potency into clinical progress and securing a strategic alliance could re‑rate the platform; governance steps (reverse split, NASDAQ compliance) cleaned up the listing profile .
  • Risk monitoring: partner dependence for aldoxorubicin, clinical translation risk for LADR, cash runway and potential dilution, and timing of regulatory interactions (pre‑IND/INDs) .

Additional data and disclosures sourced from:

  • Q4/FY2017 8‑K and press release (March 19, 2018) .
  • Q3 2017 8‑K and press release (November 8–9, 2017) .
  • Q2 2017 8‑K and press release (August 3, 2017) .
  • Q1 2017 8‑K and press release (May 10, 2017) .