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LENZ Therapeutics, Inc. (LENZ)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 execution remained disciplined ahead of the August 8 PDUFA; LENZ ended the quarter with $194.1M cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, and raised projected PDUFA cash to over $185.0M following a $16.3M April ATM block trade .
  • OpEx ramped in-line with pre-launch plans: SG&A rose to $11.1M (sequential increase vs Q4), R&D was $5.8M, and net loss was $14.6M (EPS $(0.53)); management noted total OpEx up ~11% q/q and net cash burn of ~$15M, reflecting pre-approval build for launch .
  • Regulatory momentum: mid-cycle review completed with no significant issues; late-cycle review moved forward to late May 2025; FDA continuity cited with no review team changes; CBP rulings confirm LNZ100 is U.S. origin and duty-free, removing tariff uncertainty .
  • Commercial readiness advanced: >40% of 88 sales territories already accepted offers; full field team targeted by July 1; sampling logistics and e-pharmacy pathways built to drive rapid patient conversion at launch—DTC influencer campaign slated for early 2026 after ECP education in Q4 2025 .
  • Near-term stock catalysts: late-cycle review outcome, continued hiring milestones and sampling readiness updates, and affirmation of cash runway to post-launch positive operating cash flow; no Street consensus available for revenue/EPS to frame beats/misses this quarter (pre-commercial) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • “Upwardly revised anticipated cash balance at PDUFA to over $185.0 million; cash runway anticipated to extend to post-launch positive operating cash flow” (press release) .
  • FDA interactions remained constructive: “mid-cycle review… noting no significant review issues… late-cycle review meeting… scheduled for late May 2025… no plans to request an Advisory Committee Meeting” (CEO prepared remarks) .
  • Tariff/country-of-origin certainty: CBP confirmed U.S. origin and duty-free classification—“we are proud to say that LNZ100 is designated Made in the USA” (CEO) .

What Went Wrong

  • Operating costs continued to ramp ahead of launch: total OpEx rose to $16.9M (≈+11% q/q) driven by commercial build-out; SG&A increased ~19% sequentially to support hiring and pre-launch marketing .
  • Net loss increased to $(14.6)M (EPS $(0.53)), reflecting manufacturing and commercial readiness spend; compares to $(12.7)M (EPS $(0.46)) in Q4 2024 .
  • No Street estimates available to benchmark performance, limiting near-term “beat/miss” narrative for trading-focused investors (S&P Global consensus data returned no quarterly revenue/EPS estimates for LENZ in Q1/Q4) .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)NR NR NR
R&D Expenses ($USD Millions)$6.451 $5.868 $5.818
SG&A Expenses ($USD Millions)$6.494 $9.357 $11.113
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$12.945 $15.225 $16.931
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(10.215) $(12.652) $(14.619)
EPS (Basic & Diluted) ($)$(0.38) $(0.46) $(0.53)
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Marketable Securities ($USD Millions)$217.2 $209.1 $194.1
Weighted-Average Shares (Millions)27.172 27.493 27.526

Notes:

  • Management highlighted sequential OpEx up ~11% vs Q4 2024, and SG&A up ~19% q/q (rounded), on commercial hiring and marketing ramp .
  • The company remains pre-commercial; statements of operations present only operating expenses and other income (no product revenue line reported) .

Estimate Comparison (Q1 2025)

MetricConsensus Mean# of EstimatesActual
Revenue ($USD Millions)N/A*N/A*NR
EPS ($)N/A*N/A*$(0.53)

*S&P Global consensus was queried and returned no quarterly revenue/EPS estimates for LENZ for the relevant periods (pre-commercial company). Values retrieved from S&P Global.

KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Total Assets ($USD Millions)$224.0 $215.3 $201.3
Total Liabilities ($USD Millions)$8.7 $11.2 $9.2
Total Stockholders’ Equity ($USD Millions)$215.3 $204.1 $192.0
Net Cash Burn ($USD Millions)~$8.1 (Q4) ~$15.0 (Q1)

Discrepancy note: SG&A in Q1 press release was $11.113M ; CFO referenced ~$11.3M on the call (rounding) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Cash at PDUFAAug 8, 2025>$170M (disclosed at Commercial Day) >$185.0M Raised
U.S. Product AvailabilityQ4 2025Availability anticipated in Q4 2025 Packaging/shipping post-approval; product in market Q4 2025 Maintained (timeline clarified)
Cash RunwayPost-launchFunded to post-launch positive operating cash flow Funded to post-launch positive operating cash flow Maintained
FDA Review TimingLate-cycleLate-cycle review moved forward to late May 2025 Advanced schedule
Tariff ClassificationOngoingDuty-free; country of origin U.S. (CBP rulings Nov 7, 2024 and Apr 2, 2025) Resolved in LENZ’s favor
Sales Force BuildThrough Q2 202588 territories targeted; leadership hired >40% offers accepted; full team targeted by July 1, 2025 Progressing

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 2024 (Nov 2024)Q4 2024 (Mar 2025)Q1 2025 (May 2025)Trend
Regulatory/FDANDA accepted; PDUFA 8/8/2025; no AdCom planned Mid-cycle review completed; inspections underway Late-cycle moved forward to late May; review team unchanged; on-track Continued positive engagement
Commercial ReadinessCommercial leadership in place RD + all DMs hired; postings for 88 territories >40% rep offers accepted; target full field by July 1 Accelerating build
Tariffs/OriginCBP confirms U.S. origin and duty-free Risk removed
DTC MarketingUnbranded campaign scaled; creative locked DTC influencers early 2026; Q4 2025 focus on ECP education Staged roll-out
Sampling & AccessSample vendor contracted; 5-day packs designed Rep-delivered sampling; e-pharmacy integration and auto-refill Execution focus
Manufacturing ReadinessBegan production of commercial product in Feb 2025 Building inventory to support launch (levels not disclosed) Scaling inventory
IP/Exclusivity7 granted U.S. patents to 2039; 10 pending to extend to ≥2044 Expect ≥5 years NCE exclusivity; patent estate reinforcement Strengthening moat

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We remain on track for our August 8 PDUFA date… [with] a high level of engagement from the agency… our late-cycle review meeting has been moved forward to later this month” .
  • CEO: “We are proud to say that LNZ100 is designated Made in the USA” following CBP rulings confirming U.S. origin and duty-free status .
  • CFO: “We ended Q1 2025 in a position of financial strength… approximately $194.1 million… subsequent to quarter end… net proceeds of $16.3 million… we have upwardly revised our projected cash… to now over $185 million” .
  • CCO: “As of today, we’ve extended and received accepted offers for over 40% of our field sales team… 97%… have prior eye care or pharma experience” .
  • CCO: “Our sample vendor has been contracted… five-day sample pack… rep-delivered to eye care professionals… e-pharmacy home delivery” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Sampling infrastructure: reps will deliver and track samples with monthly replenishment; signed transfers at offices; designed to drive high initial conversion with “wow” effect (95% ≥2 lines improvement at hour one, day one) .
  • E-pharmacy journey: EMR-integrated, text-to-pay, auto-refill support; LENZ expects to provide guidance on e-pharmacy scripts given limited IQVIA capture .
  • DTC timing/channels: Q4 2025 dedicated to ECP education; DTC influencers targeted for early 2026 on Facebook, Instagram, YouTube, Pinterest (cash-pay product not gated by PBM coverage) .
  • Macro sensitivity: management views demand as relatively insulated using medical aesthetics proxies; targeting major metros/higher-income consumers to mitigate recession risks .
  • Competitive dynamic: emphasis on aceclidine’s pupil selectivity and sub-2mm pupil performance; sampling-heavy strategy intended to win on first-use efficacy versus pilocarpine-based alternatives .

Estimates Context

  • Street consensus for Q1 2025 revenue and EPS was not available via S&P Global for LENZ (pre-commercial stage); as such, no formal “beat/miss” framing can be made this quarter. S&P Global was queried and returned no quarterly estimates. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • As LENZ transitions to commercial operations (anticipated product availability in Q4 2025), consensus coverage is likely to expand, enabling beat/miss analytics tied to new scripts and refill trajectories .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Regulatory cadence remains favorable: mid-cycle benign; late-cycle moved forward; no AdCom planned—sustains high-confidence path to August 8 PDUFA .
  • Commercial engine is taking shape: >40% of 88 reps secured; training planned pre-approval; rep-delivered samples and e-pharmacy workflows set to accelerate early adoption and stickiness .
  • Cash runway strengthened: $194.1M at quarter-end and >$185M expected at PDUFA; funded to post-launch positive operating cash flow—de-risks near-term financing overhang .
  • Tariff/COO risk removed: duty-free and U.S. origin confirmed—simplifies cost-to-serve and messaging (“Made in USA”) .
  • Near-term focus: watch late-cycle meeting outcome and hiring completion by July 1; Q4 2025 ECP sampling metrics and early script data (including e-pharmacy) will shape 2026 DTC acceleration .
  • Modeling caution: Q1 shows pre-launch OpEx ramp (SG&A +~19% q/q) and net loss widened; expect continued spend through launch as manufacturing costs shift to COGS post-approval .
  • Strategic moat: NCE exclusivity (~5 years) plus expanding patent estate (to ≥2044) positions LENZ for durable economics if clinical/commercial performance meets expectations .

Sources:

  • Q1 2025 8-K press release (Item 2.02; Exhibit 99.1) .
  • Q1 2025 earnings call transcripts and .
  • Q4 2024 8-K press release and call (for trend) .
  • Q3 2024 8-K press release (for trend) .