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Legacy Education Inc. (LGCY)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 FY2025 delivered record growth: revenue $18.58M (+50.7% YoY) and diluted EPS $0.21, driven by a 49.8% increase in ending enrollment to 3,245 and 70.7% growth in new student starts, including the CCMCC acquisition .
  • Results materially beat Wall Street consensus: revenue $18.58M vs $16.14M, EBITDA $3.80M vs $2.81M, and EPS $0.21 vs $0.15; strength came from nursing and imaging cohorts added mid-quarter, per management commentary . Estimates marked with an asterisk are from S&P Global.
  • No formal guidance was issued; management emphasized typical seasonality (Q1 and Q3 strongest) and indicated Q4 should reflect general seasonality, with some starts pulled forward into Q3 .
  • Near-term stock reaction catalysts: visible demand momentum (new student starts and enrollment), continued program expansion (EMT rollout across campuses), and active M&A pipeline discussions, with nursing and imaging identified as upside drivers .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • “Record” quarter with broad-based demand: revenue +50.7% YoY to $18.6M and adjusted EBITDA +60% to $3.9M; ending enrollment +49.8% to 3,245 students, new starts +70.7% to 1,227 .
    • Upside drivers explicitly called out: “nursing and imaging” contributed meaningfully; added two nursing classes (~53 students) and an imaging cohort (20 students) .
    • Balance sheet capacity for growth: cash $17.33M and working capital $21.95M as of March 31, enabling branching and accretive acquisitions .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Elevated operating costs to support growth: educational services expense +54.6% YoY (to $10.1M) and G&A +39.5% YoY (to $4.6M), driven by instructional staffing, rent/externship fees, marketing, professional fees, and bad debt .
    • Seasonality and timing effects: management indicated quarter-to-quarter timing of starts pulled some Q4 starts into Q3, implying less robust Q4 vs prior-year Q4 despite strong underlying demand .
    • Non-GAAP reliance: adj. EBITDA excludes stock-based compensation; while helpful analytically, investors should monitor underlying cost trends and non-cash comp over time .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 FY2025 (Sep 30, 2024)Q2 FY2025 (Dec 31, 2024)Q3 FY2025 (Mar 31, 2025)
Revenue ($USD Millions)$14.000 $13.635 $18.578
Net Income ($USD Millions)$2.101 $1.399 $2.817
Diluted EPS ($)$0.21 $0.10 $0.21
Operating Income ($USD Millions)n/a$1.658 $3.666
EBITDA ($USD Millions)n/a$2.114 (FY table) $3.796
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)n/a$2.384 (FY table) $3.903
EBITDA Margin (%)n/a15.5% (2.114/13.635) 20.4% (3.796/18.578)

Notes: EBITDA/Adj. EBITDA for Q2 are shown in the FY press release reconciliation; Q3 margins calculated from cited revenue and EBITDA.

Vs Estimates (Q3 FY2025):

MetricConsensus (Q3 FY2025)Actual (Q3 FY2025)Surprise
Revenue ($USD Millions)$16.139*$18.578 +$2.439M (~+15.1%)
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$2.813*$3.796 +$0.983M (~+35.0%)
Diluted EPS ($)$0.15*$0.21 +$0.06 (~+40.0%)

Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

KPIs and Enrollment:

KPIQ1 FY2025Q2 FY2025Q3 FY2025
Ending Student Population (students)2,539 2,768 3,245
New Student Starts (quarter)+23.3% YoY (abs not disclosed) 347 (vs 337) 1,227 (vs 719)
CCMCC Students Addedn/a389 468

Segment breakdown: Company reports a single operating focus in career-focused healthcare education; no segment revenue breakdown disclosed in Q3 materials .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY2025/Q4None issuedNone issued; management reiterated typical seasonality and timing effectsMaintained (no formal guidance)
EBITDA/MarginsFY2025/Q4None issuedNone issued; costs elevated to support growthMaintained (no formal guidance)
OpExFY2025/Q4None issuedContinued investments in instructional staffing, marketing, rent/externshipMaintained (no formal guidance)
Programs/StartsFY2025/Q4None issuedQ4 to reflect general seasonality; some starts pulled into Q3Maintained (qualitative)

Management did not provide numeric guidance ranges in Q3 FY2025.

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 FY2025 and Q2 FY2025)Current Period (Q3 FY2025)Trend
Demand & EnrollmentQ1: Revenue +35.1% YoY; student population 2,539 . Q2: Surpassed 3,000 enrolled (as of Jan 31); student pop 2,768 .Record quarter; ending enrollment 3,245; starts +70.7% .Strengthening
Program Expansion (Allied Health)Ongoing investments in RN program; CCMCC acquisition closed 12/18 .Nursing and imaging cohorts expanded; EMT rollout underway across HDMC campuses pending county approvals .Expanding
Seasonality & TimingQ2: Seasonal softness; limited starts growth (+3%) .Q3 benefited from starts timing; Q4 expected to reflect general seasonality .Neutral (timing shift)
M&A PipelineCCMCC integrated; exploring targets .“Talking to a few” targets; no specifics disclosed .Active discussions
Regulatory/Title IV & AccreditationCompliance emphasized; RN program investments .Continued compliance and strong placement (NCLEX 83% pass, placement ~75–76%) in transcript narrative .Stable/Positive
Technology/HybridHybrid learning and simulation technology referenced .Continued emphasis on hybrid models to scale efficiently .Ongoing execution

Management Commentary

  • CEO framing: “Surpassing 3,000 enrolled students and achieving more than 50% revenue growth reflect the success of our strategic focus and the growing demand for career-focused education.” .
  • Upside drivers: “Our top programs remained strong… We added two nursing classes (~53 enrollments) and an imaging cohort (20), leading to the fantastic quarter.” .
  • Strategic priorities: “Driving enrollment growth, expanding program offerings, optimizing operational efficiency and pursuing branching and accretive acquisitions.” .
  • Seasonality clarification: “Q3 is impacted by starts timing… some starts that would typically show up in Q4 showed up in Q3 this year… Q4 similar seasonality, probably a little less than Q4 of last year.” .

Q&A Highlights

  • What drove the beat: Nursing and imaging were the largest contributors, with incremental cohorts added mid-quarter .
  • Seasonality/guidance color: Management stressed typical seasonality and the timing of starts between quarters; no quantitative guidance ranges provided .
  • EMT program rollout: Approved at HDMC sites; launched in Temecula; weekend 12-week program; expanding post county approvals to additional campuses .
  • M&A: Active pipeline discussions beyond initial conversations; no specifics disclosed yet .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 FY2025 beats vs Street: revenue $18.58M vs $16.14M*, EBITDA $3.80M vs $2.81M*, EPS $0.21 vs $0.15*; materially above across all three metrics .
  • Estimate breadth: Two estimates each for revenue and EPS in Q3, indicating emerging coverage for a smaller-cap education company.*
  • Implications: Given the magnitude of beat and explicit upside drivers in nursing/imaging, estimates for subsequent quarters should reflect stronger throughput and cohort additions, while moderating for seasonality.

Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Q3 was a decisive beat on revenue, EBITDA, and EPS, powered by concrete program-level actions (added nursing/imaging cohorts) and durable demand in allied health education .
  • Enrollment flywheel is accelerating: ending enrollment hit 3,245; new starts +70.7%; CCMCC integration adds scale and geographic reach .
  • Watch cost trajectory: educational services and G&A rose sharply to support growth; margin gains (EBITDA margin ~20.4%) offset some pressure but sustained investment is required .
  • Near-term setup: Q4 likely reflects typical seasonality with some starts pulled forward; think sequential moderation but intact YoY trend .
  • Medium-term thesis: Capacity for branching and accretive M&A with solid liquidity (cash $17.33M; working capital $21.95M) supports multi-campus expansion and program diversification .
  • Tactical trade: Strength in nursing/imaging cohorts and EMT rollout visibility can drive continued estimate upward revisions despite seasonal patterns; beats and execution are key catalysts .
  • Risk checks: Non-GAAP adjustments (stock comp) and rising costs warrant ongoing monitoring; regulatory and accreditation posture remains supportive per narrative .