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Legacy Education Inc. (LGCY)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 FY2025 delivered record growth: revenue $18.58M (+50.7% YoY) and diluted EPS $0.21, driven by a 49.8% increase in ending enrollment to 3,245 and 70.7% growth in new student starts, including the CCMCC acquisition .
- Results materially beat Wall Street consensus: revenue $18.58M vs $16.14M, EBITDA $3.80M vs $2.81M, and EPS $0.21 vs $0.15; strength came from nursing and imaging cohorts added mid-quarter, per management commentary . Estimates marked with an asterisk are from S&P Global.
- No formal guidance was issued; management emphasized typical seasonality (Q1 and Q3 strongest) and indicated Q4 should reflect general seasonality, with some starts pulled forward into Q3 .
- Near-term stock reaction catalysts: visible demand momentum (new student starts and enrollment), continued program expansion (EMT rollout across campuses), and active M&A pipeline discussions, with nursing and imaging identified as upside drivers .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- “Record” quarter with broad-based demand: revenue +50.7% YoY to $18.6M and adjusted EBITDA +60% to $3.9M; ending enrollment +49.8% to 3,245 students, new starts +70.7% to 1,227 .
- Upside drivers explicitly called out: “nursing and imaging” contributed meaningfully; added two nursing classes (~53 students) and an imaging cohort (20 students) .
- Balance sheet capacity for growth: cash $17.33M and working capital $21.95M as of March 31, enabling branching and accretive acquisitions .
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What Went Wrong
- Elevated operating costs to support growth: educational services expense +54.6% YoY (to $10.1M) and G&A +39.5% YoY (to $4.6M), driven by instructional staffing, rent/externship fees, marketing, professional fees, and bad debt .
- Seasonality and timing effects: management indicated quarter-to-quarter timing of starts pulled some Q4 starts into Q3, implying less robust Q4 vs prior-year Q4 despite strong underlying demand .
- Non-GAAP reliance: adj. EBITDA excludes stock-based compensation; while helpful analytically, investors should monitor underlying cost trends and non-cash comp over time .
Financial Results
Notes: EBITDA/Adj. EBITDA for Q2 are shown in the FY press release reconciliation; Q3 margins calculated from cited revenue and EBITDA.
Vs Estimates (Q3 FY2025):
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
KPIs and Enrollment:
Segment breakdown: Company reports a single operating focus in career-focused healthcare education; no segment revenue breakdown disclosed in Q3 materials .
Guidance Changes
Management did not provide numeric guidance ranges in Q3 FY2025.
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO framing: “Surpassing 3,000 enrolled students and achieving more than 50% revenue growth reflect the success of our strategic focus and the growing demand for career-focused education.” .
- Upside drivers: “Our top programs remained strong… We added two nursing classes (~53 enrollments) and an imaging cohort (20), leading to the fantastic quarter.” .
- Strategic priorities: “Driving enrollment growth, expanding program offerings, optimizing operational efficiency and pursuing branching and accretive acquisitions.” .
- Seasonality clarification: “Q3 is impacted by starts timing… some starts that would typically show up in Q4 showed up in Q3 this year… Q4 similar seasonality, probably a little less than Q4 of last year.” .
Q&A Highlights
- What drove the beat: Nursing and imaging were the largest contributors, with incremental cohorts added mid-quarter .
- Seasonality/guidance color: Management stressed typical seasonality and the timing of starts between quarters; no quantitative guidance ranges provided .
- EMT program rollout: Approved at HDMC sites; launched in Temecula; weekend 12-week program; expanding post county approvals to additional campuses .
- M&A: Active pipeline discussions beyond initial conversations; no specifics disclosed yet .
Estimates Context
- Q3 FY2025 beats vs Street: revenue $18.58M vs $16.14M*, EBITDA $3.80M vs $2.81M*, EPS $0.21 vs $0.15*; materially above across all three metrics .
- Estimate breadth: Two estimates each for revenue and EPS in Q3, indicating emerging coverage for a smaller-cap education company.*
- Implications: Given the magnitude of beat and explicit upside drivers in nursing/imaging, estimates for subsequent quarters should reflect stronger throughput and cohort additions, while moderating for seasonality.
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q3 was a decisive beat on revenue, EBITDA, and EPS, powered by concrete program-level actions (added nursing/imaging cohorts) and durable demand in allied health education .
- Enrollment flywheel is accelerating: ending enrollment hit 3,245; new starts +70.7%; CCMCC integration adds scale and geographic reach .
- Watch cost trajectory: educational services and G&A rose sharply to support growth; margin gains (EBITDA margin ~20.4%) offset some pressure but sustained investment is required .
- Near-term setup: Q4 likely reflects typical seasonality with some starts pulled forward; think sequential moderation but intact YoY trend .
- Medium-term thesis: Capacity for branching and accretive M&A with solid liquidity (cash $17.33M; working capital $21.95M) supports multi-campus expansion and program diversification .
- Tactical trade: Strength in nursing/imaging cohorts and EMT rollout visibility can drive continued estimate upward revisions despite seasonal patterns; beats and execution are key catalysts .
- Risk checks: Non-GAAP adjustments (stock comp) and rising costs warrant ongoing monitoring; regulatory and accreditation posture remains supportive per narrative .