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LOGIQ, INC. (LGIQ)·Q3 2022 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2022 consolidated revenue was $4.10M and diluted EPS was $(0.2221); segment-level DataLogiq (DLQ) revenue increased sequentially to $3.8M while consolidated revenue declined versus Q2 and the prior year, reflecting mix and spin-off impacts .
- DLQ gross margin improved to 30.6% (vs. 28.2% in Q3-21), consistent with the strategic shift toward higher-margin, regulated verticals and D2C models .
- Guidance was reiterated: exiting 2022 annualized revenue run-rate of $40–$50M; management also highlighted a record new client at $2–$3M per month and expects one or more similar wins in Q4, plus preliminary Q4 DLQ revenue expected to exceed $7.5M, up ~83% QoQ .
- Catalysts include the Abri SPAC closing timeline (target Q1 2023), anticipated Nasdaq listing, and M&A pipeline; management referenced a $114M Abri valuation in the de-SPAC and potential concurrent business combinations to accelerate scale and re-rating .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Secured largest new customer contract at $2–$3M per month in a regulated vertical; management expects additional similar wins imminently: “we secured them. Revenue is currently tracking at about $2 million to $3 million per month…we expect to have one or more similar such large sales to announce in the current quarter” .
- DLQ gross margin expansion to 30.6% YoY (vs. 28.2% in Q3-21), evidencing success of the pivot to higher-margin accounts and regulated markets .
- Operational streamlining underway (including cost cuts/layoffs) aimed at breakeven and operational profitability going into 2023; “we believe that this will result in breakeven and operational profitability going into next year” .
What Went Wrong
- Consolidated revenue declined to $4.10M from $4.95M in Q2 and $7.83M in Q3-21, reflecting lower AppLogiq/GoLogiq contribution and ongoing business mix transition .
- Net loss widened to $(7.69)M vs. $(6.46)M in Q2 and $(5.77)M in Q3-21; operating loss increased accordingly amid investment in strategy and restructuring .
- Liquidity tightened: cash fell to $0.37M at Q3-end (from $0.40M in Q2 and $3.75M in Q1), though management had noted a factoring facility in Q2 to support working capital .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown and margins:
Operational KPIs:
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Revenue is currently tracking at about $2 million to $3 million per month…we expect to have one or more similar such large sales to announce in the current quarter.” — Brent Suen .
- “We have…done a streamlining…including some layoffs…We believe that this will result in breakeven and operational profitability going into next year.” — Brent Suen .
- “The Company reiterates its annualized revenue run-rate projection for 2022 in the range of $40 million to $50 million…[and] believes that 2023 revenues, including strategic, accretive M&A, could approach $100 million.” — Q3 press release .
- “Looking ahead, Logiq expects to close on its previously announced SPAC transaction with Abri SPAC I…in the first quarter of 2023…anticipates being a newly Nasdaq-listed company…accelerate its M&A activity.” — Q3 press release .
Q&A Highlights
- Mechanics/timing of GoLogiq share distribution: management offered to resolve via transfer agent for shareholders of record on Dec 30, 2021 .
- Run-rate math and Q4 contribution of new client: reiterated $40–$50M exit-2022 run-rate, driven by the $2–$3M/month client and another pending contract .
- Abri SPAC valuation vs. market cap and institutional interest: $114M Abri share valuation; outreach from institutions expected post-de-SPAC/uplisting to facilitate accretive M&A .
- SEC S-4 review timing: expected comment cycle and proxy leading to close around January (management estimate) .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable for LGIQ due to missing CIQ mapping; therefore, we cannot present revenue/EPS comparisons to Street estimates for Q3 2022. We attempted retrieval, but the dataset did not return results for LGIQ [SpgiEstimatesError].
Key Takeaways for Investors
- The November win of a $2–$3M/month regulated-vertical client, plus a pending contract, sets up a strong Q4 exit run-rate and supports the reiterated $40–$50M guidance; preliminary Q4 DLQ revenue >$7.5M (+83% QoQ) underscores momentum .
- Sequential improvement in DLQ revenue (Q3 $3.8M vs. Q2 $3.3M) and YoY DLQ margin expansion to 30.6% validate the higher-margin pivot and D2C strategy, even as consolidated revenue and net loss remain pressured .
- Liquidity is tight ($0.37M cash at Q3-end), making execution on cost cuts, breakeven targets, and near-term revenue ramp critical; working capital facilities (factoring) and streamlined operations are intended to bridge to profitability .
- The Abri SPAC timeline (target Q1 2023) and anticipated Nasdaq listing are near-term catalysts that could enable accretive M&A and a re-rating toward the de-SPAC valuation cited by management ($114M in Abri shares) .
- Expect continued focus on regulated verticals (cannabis, eSports, gambling, crypto) where Logiq’s compliance-heavy adtech can command higher margins and barriers to entry, supporting durable gross margin performance .
- Watch for Q4 conversion of pipeline and any guidance updates in January; closing additional large contracts is key to sustaining the run-rate and progressing toward operational breakeven in 2023 .
- No Street consensus available (SPGI) limits the “beat/miss” narrative; trading will likely center on execution against announced contracts, Q4 print, de-SPAC progress, and liquidity management [SpgiEstimatesError] .