Q2 2024 Earnings Summary
- Labcorp's Diagnostics revenue increased by 8%, driven by a 6% increase in volume and 2% in price/mix, attributed to strong execution, strategic partnerships with hospitals and laboratories, increased tests per accession, and a shift towards specialty testing.
- Early Development is showing signs of recovery, with higher orders and lower cancellations, leading to expected sequential revenue growth in the second half and year-over-year growth beginning in the fourth quarter.
- Labcorp increased its full-year outlook, excluding Invitae, due to strong performance in Diagnostics and Central Labs, demonstrating confidence in the underlying business growth.
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Invitae Acquisition Impact
Q: Why is Invitae accretive faster than expected?
A: The Invitae acquisition is closing faster than anticipated, allowing us to move quickly. This results in more dilution in 2024 but makes it accretive in 2025. -
Early Development Outlook
Q: How will early development improve in H2?
A: Early Development has reached its trough, with strong bookings and significantly fewer cancellations. This gives us confidence in improved performance as we progress through the year. -
Debt Refinancing Plans
Q: What are your plans for maturing debt?
A: We have $2 billion maturing in the next 12 months and expect to refinance all of it. Net interest expense will be around $210 million this year, increasing to approximately $240 million next year due to higher rates. -
Margins and Cost Pressures
Q: Can LaunchPad offset inflationary pressures?
A: LaunchPad is delivering $100–$125 million per year in savings, offsetting personnel cost inflation. We expect good leverage on incremental volumes, helping maintain margins despite inflation. -
Diagnostics Growth Drivers
Q: What's driving strong diagnostics revenue growth?
A: Diagnostics revenue grew 8%, with 6% from volume and 2% from price/mix. Key drivers are strong execution, hospital and lab deals with spillover effects, increased tests per accession, and a shift toward specialty testing. -
PAMA/SALSA Legislation Impact
Q: Any updates on SALSA legislation?
A: We strongly support SALSA, which has bipartisan support but hasn't passed yet. If delayed again, we avoid an $80 million downside next year, benefiting our bottom line. -
Invitae Integration Confidence
Q: How confident are you in Invitae integration?
A: We've established a competent integration team, and monthly sales are stable. We're focused on growth opportunities rather than leakage, feeling good about the transition. -
Early Development Pricing
Q: Any shifts in early development pricing?
A: The biggest pricing change is lower NHP costs compared to last year, which improves margins. Core pricing remains relatively stable amid ongoing pressure. -
Biopharma Client Mix
Q: Has there been a shift in client mix?
A: In early development, the majority of business comes from small biotech companies. While large pharma orders haven't significantly increased, the small biotech market is improving, boosting our book-to-bill ratio. -
M&A Pipeline Strategy
Q: How is the M&A environment changing?
A: We're seeing more opportunities as hospitals and regional labs consider selling their lab businesses post-COVID. Invitae is a strategic acquisition expected to be accretive in the second year, with most deals being accretive in year one. -
Utilization Trends
Q: What are your expectations for utilization?
A: We expect continued strong utilization, with organic base business volume up 3.5%. Diagnostics revenue is projected to grow around 9% this year, with utilization being a significant driver. -
Labor Costs and Turnover
Q: How are labor costs and turnover trending?
A: Labor market has improved, with personnel cost inflation around 3%. LaunchPad helps offset these costs. Attrition rates are as expected, and turnover is normalizing in most areas. -
LDT Rule Impact
Q: How will the LDT rule affect you?
A: We support the VALID Act and are prepared to comply with the LDT rule, though it won't significantly impact our revenue or expenses. The bigger concern is patient access to important tests. -
Employer Testing Impact
Q: How is the employer testing market affecting you?
A: We've seen a decrease but it's less than 5% of our business and not material. Employers haven't fully returned to pre-pandemic activities like wellness events. -
Margins Outlook into 2025
Q: What are the margin expectations into 2025?
A: Overall margins this year are flat due to Invitae's 40 basis point headwind. Excluding Invitae, we'd see a 40+ basis point improvement. In 2025, Invitae will start contributing positively to margins once annualized.
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