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LH

LABCORP HOLDINGS INC. (LH)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Solid Q3 with revenue of $3.56B (+8.6% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $4.18 (+19% YoY); modest beats vs SPGI consensus on both revenue and EPS. Diagnostics led margin expansion; BLS benefited from strong Central Labs while Early Development lagged . Revenue est: $3.560B* vs actual $3.563B; EPS est: $4.14* vs actual $4.18.
  • 2025 guidance: Enterprise revenue growth range trimmed to 7.4–8.0% (midpoint -40 bps on FX and acquisition timing) but adjusted EPS midpoint raised to $16.33 (from ~$16.28) and FCF midpoint raised by $25M, reflecting operational strength and cash generation .
  • Strategic execution: continued hospital/regional lab deals (Empire City, Laboratory Alliance/Crouse Health, CHS outreach), specialty test expansion (oncology, neurology), and AI-enabled operations (Test Finder with AWS; digital pathology/cytology/microbiology) underpin mix tailwinds and efficiency .
  • Watch items: early development softness prompting ~$50M revenue divestitures/site consolidation; 2026 PAMA risk expected to be ~$100M headwind to both revenue and EBIT with ~$25M offset initiatives underway (AI/Launchpad efficiencies) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Diagnostics momentum: revenue +8.5% YoY to $2.77B; AOI margin +110 bps to 16.3% on organic demand and Invitae performance; organic volume +3.5% and price/mix +2.8% . “Adjusted operating income and margin increased primarily driven by organic demand, including the strong performance of Invitae” .
    • Central Labs strength: BLS revenue +8.3% (constant-currency +5.3%), with Central Labs +10.3%; trailing-12-month book-to-bill 1.09 and backlog $8.58B (+5.4% YoY), supporting forward visibility .
    • Cash generation and capital allocation: FCF $280.5M (vs $161.5M LY); $598M cash, $5.58B debt; invested $268.4M in acquisitions/partnerships, paid $59.9M in dividends, repurchased $25M of stock in Q3 .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Early Development softness: lower-than-anticipated study starts prompted plan to divest or consolidate sites affecting ~$50M annual revenue; actions expected to slightly improve operating income profile .
    • FX/acquisition timing trimmed full-year revenue midpoint by ~40 bps, though EPS/FCF midpoints rose, highlighting mixed headline optics despite better profitability .
    • Ongoing regulatory uncertainty: management planning for a $100M PAMA headwind to both revenue and profit in 2026; mitigation of ~$25M underway but residual risk remains .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Billions)$3.282 $3.345 $3.527 $3.563
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$2.00 $2.52 $2.84 $3.12
Adjusted EPS ($)$3.50 $3.84 $4.35 $4.18
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$254.1 $326.0 $394.5 $396.6
Operating Margin (%)7.7% 9.7% 11.2% 11.1%
Adjusted Operating Income ($USD Millions)$441.1 $469.0 $531.6 $513.3
Adjusted Operating Margin (%)13.4% 14.0% 15.1% 14.4%
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$161.5 -$107.5 $542.7 $280.5

Actual vs SPGI Consensus (Q3 2025):

  • Revenue: $3.563B actual vs $3.560B estimate → Beat by ~$3M*
  • Adjusted EPS: $4.18 actual vs $4.14 estimate → Beat by ~$0.04*

Segment Performance

SegmentQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Diagnostics Revenue ($B)$2.554 $2.749 $2.770
Diagnostics AOI ($M)$387.4 $482.8 $450.4
Diagnostics AOI Margin (%)15.2% 17.6% 16.3%
BLS Revenue ($M)$737.7 $784.8 $799.1
BLS AOI ($M)$120.9 $123.3 $132.2
BLS AOI Margin (%)16.4% 15.7% 16.5%

KPIs

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Diagnostics Volume Delta (YoY)+3.0% +4.9% +4.7%
Diagnostics Price/Mix (YoY)+3.0% +4.0% +3.7%
BLS TTM Net Orders ($B)$3.15 $3.34 $3.34
BLS TTM Book-to-Bill1.07 1.11 1.09
BLS Backlog ($B)$8.18 $8.71 $8.58
BLS NTM Backlog Conversion ($B)$2.56 $2.71 $2.66

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Q2 update)Current Guidance (Q3 update)Change
Enterprise Revenue GrowthFY 20257.5% – 8.6% 7.4% – 8.0% Lowered midpoint (FX, acquisition timing)
Diagnostics Revenue GrowthFY 20257.0% – 8.0% 7.2% – 7.8% Maintained midpoint; narrowed
BLS Revenue GrowthFY 20256.1% – 7.5% 5.7% – 7.1% Lowered midpoint (FX)
Adjusted EPSFY 2025$16.05 – $16.50 $16.15 – $16.50 Raised midpoint (+$0.05)
Free Cash Flow ($B)FY 2025$1.13 – $1.28 $1.17 – $1.29 Raised midpoint (+$0.025)

Management also expects full-year enterprise margins to increase, with both segments up vs 2024 .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ1 2025 (Q-2)Q2 2025 (Q-1)Q3 2025 (Current)Trend
AI/Tech initiativesLaunched eClaim Assist; consumer menu expansion Digital pathology and AI solutions added in Central Labs Test Finder (AWS genAI) and AI in pathology/cytology/microbiology Accelerating deployment
Hospital/Health System partnershipsInspira lab mgmt; outreach assets (NMHS) CHS outreach announced; partnerships broadened Empire City, Laboratory Alliance/Crouse lab mgmt; progressing CHS Expanding pipeline
Specialty/Esoteric testingOncology, Alzheimer’s, consumer tests Expanded oncology (liquid biopsy), neurology plans Oncology/women’s/neurology; Alzheimer’s blood tests; OnDemand adds Mix tailwind building
Invitae integrationMargin drag cited Constrained adj. margin Accretive in Q3; price/mix tailwind Improving accretion
Central Labs vs Early DevEarly Dev +4.4%, Central Labs +0.3% YoY Early Dev +20.4%, Central Labs +7.5% Central Labs +10.3%, Early Dev +3.3% with $50M divest/cons. Central Labs strong; Early Dev streamlined
Regulatory/PAMAPlan for $100M 2026 headwind; ~$25M offsets in-flight Rising 2026 risk

Management Commentary

  • “Labcorp’s third-quarter performance reflects continued momentum in our Diagnostics and Central Laboratory businesses, resulting in strong revenue growth and margin improvement” – Adam Schechter, CEO .
  • “Adjusted EPS was $4.18 in the quarter, up 19%… Free cash flow… $281 million… At quarter end, we had $598 million in cash, while total debt was $5.6 billion… leverage… 2.4x gross debt to trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA” – Julia Wang, CFO .
  • “We are beginning to divest or restructure through site consolidation, approximately $50 million of annual revenue [in Early Development]… resulting in a more streamlined business and slight improvement to operating income” .
  • “Labcorp TestFinder, a generative AI tool developed with Amazon Web Services… allows clinicians to easily search for lab tests using plain language” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Guidance mechanics: Revenue midpoint reduction split ~$13M FX and remainder acquisition timing; utilization strength driven by demographics/share gains; organic volume +3.5% .
  • Price/mix: Unit price flat; mix/Invitae and tests per session drove +2.8% organic price/mix; Invitae tailwind moderates sequentially in Q4 .
  • Early Development actions: ~$50M of low-margin/non-core revenue to be divested/streamlined due to delayed study starts; expected slight OI improvement .
  • PAMA 2026: Planning for ~$100M top- and bottom-line impact; ~$25M offset targeted via AI/efficiency beyond Launchpad; legislative timing uncertain .
  • Segment margins: Diagnostics +110 bps YoY from organic demand/Invitae; BLS +20 bps; Q4 seasonality to moderate diagnostics margins QoQ; FY margins up for both segments .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025 results vs SPGI consensus: Revenue $3,563.5M vs $3,560.3M estimate (beat by ~$3.2M); Adjusted EPS $4.18 vs $4.14 estimate (beat by ~$0.04). Continued mix strength and Invitae accretion drove the EPS outperformance while FX/acquisition timing limited revenue optics .
  • Implications: EPS and FCF midpoint raises likely drive modest upward revisions to FY EPS/FCF; 2025 revenue midpoint trimmed on FX/acquisition timing suggests limited top-line estimate changes. 2026 estimate risk from PAMA may pressure medium-term models unless offsets materialize .
  • Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Diagnostics growth and mix remain durable, with Invitae now accretive and specialty testing momentum underpinning price/mix; expect continued tailwind into Q4 albeit moderated sequentially .
  • BLS outlook is bifurcated: Central Labs strength supports backlog conversion (TTM B2B 1.09), while Early Development is being actively streamlined to improve profitability .
  • 2025 quality of earnings improved (EPS/FCF midpoint raised) despite FX/acquisition timing trimming revenue midpoint; management also expects full-year margin expansion across segments .
  • Capital deployment remains active (M&A, dividends, buybacks) with leverage ~2.4x, providing flexibility to pursue hospital/regional lab pipelines .
  • 2026 PAMA is the principal medium-term risk (~$100M headwind) with ~$25M offsets underway; additional AI/Launchpad efficiencies are key to neutralizing impact .
  • Near-term trading setup: small beat/raise on EPS/FCF and visible diagnostics mix tailwinds vs overhangs from FX, Early Dev timing, and PAMA headline risk; watch Q4 margins and BLS bookings trajectory .

Additional relevant press releases during/around Q3:

  • Digital pathology partnership with Roche (Sept 30) .
  • BioReference oncology/clinical testing assets acquisition completed (Sept 15) .
  • Test Finder launch and OnDemand expansions (July 30) .
  • Dividend announced Oct 8 ($0.72/share) .
  • First FDA-cleared Alzheimer’s blood test nationwide (Aug 18) .

Note: All non-GAAP measures per company definitions; reconciliations provided in the press release and 8-K exhibits .

SPGI Estimates footnote: Values retrieved from S&P Global.*