LH
LABCORP HOLDINGS INC. (LH)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 revenue grew 9.8% to $3.33B; adjusted EPS rose 5% to $3.45, while adjusted operating margin contracted 40 bps as expected due to Invitae dilution .
- Diagnostics Laboratories and Biopharma Laboratory Services both delivered ~10% revenue growth; Diagnostics volume +6.8% and price/mix +3.4% drove breadth, while Biopharma margin expanded 140 bps to 17.0% .
- 2025 guidance targets 6.7–8.0% enterprise revenue growth, adjusted EPS of $15.60–$16.40, and FCF of $1.10–$1.25B; management expects margin expansion in both segments, with Invitae slightly accretive for the full year (2H accretive) .
- Potential stock reaction catalysts: clear path to margin expansion (LaunchPad savings, Invitae tailwind in 2H), strong backlog conversion ($2.53B NTM), resilient diagnostics demand, and specialty/oncology test launches (MS monitoring, H5 bird flu, companion Dx) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Diagnostics revenue +10.2% y/y to $2.59B; total volume +6.8% and price/mix +3.4% drove strength; AOI up to $359.5M (13.9% margin), with gains from organic demand and lab management agreements .
- Biopharma revenue +10.4% y/y to $767.0M; AOI up to $130.8M and margin +140 bps to 17.0% on organic demand and LaunchPad savings; backlog remains robust at $7.99B, with $2.53B expected to convert in the next 12 months .
- Strong cash generation: operating cash flow from continuing ops $777.2M and FCF $665.1M in Q4; CEO underscored momentum and confidence entering 2025 (“well positioned for continued growth”) .
What Went Wrong
- Adjusted operating margin fell 40 bps to 12.7% (enterprise) due to Invitae; Diagnostics AOI margin -120 bps from Invitae plus unfavorable days and weather; management quantified ~$0.10 EPS weather impact embedded in Q1 2025 assumptions .
- Higher adjusted tax rate: 22.4% in Q4 vs. 19.5% last year; 2025 adjusted tax rate guided to ~23%, reflecting geographic mix .
- FX headwinds baked into 2025: enterprise ~50 bps, Diagnostics ~20 bps, Biopharma ~140 bps; Biopharma margin expansion pace to moderate vs. 2024 given FX and mix shift .
Financial Results
Consolidated Performance vs Prior Periods
Notes: Q4 revenue +9.8% y/y and adjusted EPS +$0.15 y/y; sequential AOI and margin softened due to Invitae mix and calendar/weather effects .
Segment Breakdown (Non-GAAP)
KPIs and Balance Sheet Highlights
Guidance Changes
Management additionally guided to margin expansion in both segments in 2025 and embedded ~$0.10 EPS weather impact in Q1 assumptions .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “In 2025, we are positioned to deliver strong growth and margin expansion across both Diagnostics Laboratories and Biopharma Laboratory Services” — Adam Schechter, CEO .
- “Adjusted operating income was primarily due to organic demand and LaunchPad savings, partially offset by higher personnel costs” — Company release .
- “We expect Invitae to be slightly accretive… dilutive to margins in the first half… accretive in the second half” — Adam Schechter .
- “Our guidance range for adjusted EPS is $15.60 to $16.40… free cash flow $1.1B to $1.25B” — Julia Wang, CFO .
- “Diagnostics margin was down due to Invitae and the unfavorable impact of days and weather” — Julia Wang .
Q&A Highlights
- Margin cadence: Core Diagnostics margins would have increased ~50 bps ex Invitae/weather/days; tailwinds expected in 2025 from calendar and Invitae accretion in 2H .
- Biopharma outlook: Central Labs solid; ED to grow y/y from Q4; 2025 Biopharma 3–5% growth with 140 bps FX headwind; Q1 is lowest margin quarter seasonally .
- Capital allocation/M&A: Healthy pipeline focused on hospital/regional labs; leverage ~2.2x; ~$1.3B buyback authorization outstanding .
- Diagnostics organic/inorganic split: 2025 Diagnostics growth balanced—~3.5% organic and ~3.5% from 2024 acquisitions; esoteric segments (oncology, women’s health, neurology, autoimmune) outgrow routine .
- Weather impact: ~$0.10 EPS impact built into Q1 guidance; calendar largely neutral for FY25 with one less revenue day offset by one less payroll day .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable during this session; comparisons to estimates could not be performed. Values were intended to be retrieved from S&P Global but were not accessible due to request limits.
- Given lack of consensus data, we do not assess beats/misses. We note results featured y/y revenue growth (+9.8%), adjusted EPS up 5%, and segment margins mixed (Diagnostics down due to Invitae; Biopharma up 140 bps), which may prompt estimate revisions focused on 2025 margin expansion trajectory .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Diagnostics growth breadth and durable demand, plus specialty/oncology expansion, underpin 2025 top-line with balanced organic/inorganic contribution; watch for continued market share gains linked to hospital partnerships .
- Margin story improves through 2025: LaunchPad savings, easing Invitae dilution (2H accretive), and calendar tailwinds support enterprise margin expansion; FX remains a manageable headwind .
- Biopharma backlog supports visibility; ED recovery underway; monitor book-to-bill and NTM conversion ($2.53B) to gauge throughput and pricing dynamics .
- Strong cash generation and flexible balance sheet (2.2x net leverage) enable ongoing M&A (hospital/regional labs, oncology assets) and buybacks; dividend maintained ($0.72) .
- Regulatory backdrop (LDT, PAMA) appears limited for near-term P&L; base case assumes PAMA in 2026; incremental upside if delayed again .
- Near-term trading: narrative likely centers on 2025 margin expansion credibility and Invitae accretion timing; mid-term thesis: diagnostics scale plus specialty mix, disciplined M&A and biopharma resilience support EPS and FCF compounding .
Additional Press Releases Relevant to the Period
- Liquid biopsy expansion: Labcorp Plasma Complete (ctDNA-based comprehensive genomic profiling) clinical availability announced Feb 24, 2025, enhancing oncology portfolio .
- Oncology asset acquisition: Agreement to acquire select BioReference Health oncology testing assets (~$85–$100M annual revenue; up to $225M purchase price), expected accretive in year one .