Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

LI

Life360, Inc. (LIFX)·Q4 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2023 delivered strong topline and profitability momentum: total revenue rose to $87.0M (+22% YoY; +11% QoQ), gross margin improved YoY to 69% (subscription GM 86%), and Adjusted EBITDA scaled to $8.9M vs $1.6M in Q4’22 as operating leverage improved .
  • Strategic KPIs advanced: MAU reached 61.4M (+26% YoY), Paying Circles 1.8M (+21% YoY), and AMR exited at $274.1M (+22% YoY). Q4 net subscriber adds were 54k (seasonally softer vs record Q3) while ARPPC increased 17% YoY (+4% QoQ) .
  • CY24 guidance introduces an advertising monetization ramp and calls for revenue of $365–$375M, positive Adjusted EBITDA of $30–$35M, and year-end cash of $80–$90M; management targets positive EBITDA in 1H25 .
  • Stock reaction catalysts: new high-margin ads initiative (modest 2H contribution in CY24), continued operating leverage (Adj. EBITDA >$30M), and sustained MAU/payor growth even after significant pricing actions in prior periods .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Subscription engine remains robust despite prior price hikes: Q4 subscription revenue grew 32% YoY to $59.8M; subscription gross margin reached 86% (up from 83% in Q4’22) .
  • Scale and engagement strengthening the model: MAU grew to 61.4M (+26% YoY) with 20M+ DAU, Paying Circles rose to 1.8M (+21% YoY), and ARPPC increased 17% YoY (U.S. ARPPC +24% YoY) .
  • Profitability traction: Q4 Adjusted EBITDA of $8.9M vs $1.6M in Q4’22; operating cash flow of $9.0M tracked Adjusted EBITDA closely, evidencing improving cash conversion .
    “Over the long run, we think the monetization of our free users could equal subscription revenue… early testing [for ads] went better than planned.” — CEO, Chris Hulls .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP profitability still negative: Q4 GAAP net loss was $(3.1)M (improved YoY), and CY23 EBITDA remained negative at $(20.8)M, though on an improving trajectory .
  • Opex mix pressures: Q4 operating expenses rose 12% YoY, largely from higher G&A tied to SOX compliance and legal costs; commissions also rose with subscription growth .
  • Seasonality and subscriber momentum: Q4 net subscriber adds decelerated to 54k vs 118k in Q3 on typical seasonality and churn normalization post-pricing actions, though trends remain constructive .

Financial Results

Consolidated P&L and Profitability (oldest → newest)

MetricQ4 2022Q3 2023Q4 2023
Total Revenue ($M)$71.3 $78.6 $87.0
Subscription Revenue ($M)$45.4 $56.6 $59.8
Hardware Revenue ($M)$19.6 $15.5 $21.1
Other Revenue ($M)$6.3 $6.5 $6.1
Gross Profit ($M)$45.0 $57.9 $60.1
Gross Margin (%)63% 74% 69%
Subscription Gross Margin (%)83% 85% 86%
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$1.6 $5.5 $8.9
Net Loss ($M)$(12.3) $(6.5) $(3.1)
Operating Cash Flow ($M)$(2.2) $4.1 $9.0
Versus S&P Global ConsensusN/A (unavailable)N/A (unavailable)N/A (unavailable)

Note on estimates: S&P Global consensus for LIFX was unavailable via our feed; we could not retrieve EPS/revenue/EBITDA consensus for Q4 2023 to benchmark results.

Segment (Revenue Type) Breakdown ($M)

Revenue TypeQ4 2022Q3 2023Q4 2023
Subscription$45.4 $56.6 $59.8
Hardware$19.6 $15.5 $21.1
Other$6.3 $6.5 $6.1
Total$71.3 $78.6 $87.0

Key Performance Indicators

KPIQ4 2022Q3 2023Q4 2023
MAU – Global (M)48.6 58.4 61.4
MAU – U.S. (M)30.9 35.4 36.8
MAU – International (M)17.6 23.0 24.6
MAU – Australia (M)1.4 1.7 1.9
Paying Circles – Total (M)1.5 1.75 1.8
Paying Circles – U.S. (M)1.2 1.30 1.3
Paying Circles – International (M)0.3 0.45 0.5
ARPPC ($)$105.79 $119.97 $124.17
ARPPS ($)$87.54 $101.33 $102.17
AMR ($M)$224.4 $259.1 $274.1
Net Hardware Units Shipped (M)1.7 1.1 1.7
Average Sale Price (ASP) ($)$11.48 $13.24 $11.50

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Consolidated RevenueCY24N/A$365–$375M New
Core Life360 Subscription Revenue GrowthCY24N/AAt least 20% YoY New
Adjusted EBITDACY24N/A$30–$35M New
EBITDACY24N/A$(8)M to $(13)M New
Operating Cash FlowCY24N/APositive each quarter (seasonal low Q1) New
Year-end Cash, Cash Equivalents & Restricted CashCY24N/A$80–$90M New
EBITDA Turning PositiveCY25N/ATarget positive in 1H25 New

Management added that advertising will have setup costs in 1H24 and contribute modest revenue in 2H24, with high flow-through margins longer-term .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2023, Q3 2023)Current Period (Q4 2023)Trend
Advertising monetizationNot a focus; “lead gen”/data business stable with one partner; long-term option .Introduced as new revenue stream; testing better than planned; modest 2H24 contribution; potential to rival subscriptions over time; paid users will not see ads .Accelerating (new growth vector)
International Triple Tier rolloutU.K. launch planned for early Q4’23; AU under consideration; Canada success cited .U.K. launched in Oct; AU/NZ launch planned for Q2’24; international MAU +40% YoY; strong U.K./AU performance .Scaling
Pricing/ARPPCU.S. ARPPC uplift from price increases; conversion pressure offset by LTV gains .U.S. ARPPC +24% YoY; global ARPPC +17% YoY and +4% QoQ in Q4; “simpler trends” expected as international pricing rolls through .Improving monetization
Tile/Hardware strategyHardware margins improving; focus on higher-margin channels; bundling boosts retention .Q4 hardware revenue +8% YoY; GAAP hardware margins improved in CY23; first post-acquisition Tile refresh in 2024; device integration deepening .Operational improvement; seasonal volatility
Operating leverage/Profit pathAdj. EBITDA guided positive in remaining CY23 quarters; opex efficiencies from restructuring .First full year positive Adj. EBITDA and OCF; CY24 Adj. EBITDA $30–$35M; EBITDA positive targeted 1H25 .Strengthening
Data/Placer partnershipShifted to single data partner; reduced risk; stable “Other” revenue outlook .Intend to extend Placer.ai into 2025; exploring privacy-safe data/ID matching to augment ad monetization .Broadening opportunities

Management Commentary

  • Strategic position and mission: “We are incredibly proud that more than 61 million monthly active users globally enjoy the peace of mind that comes with the location sharing and safety features of Life360…we delivered our first full year of positive Adjusted EBITDA and Operating Cash Flow.” — CEO .
  • Ads monetization thesis: “Over the long run, we think the monetization of our free users could equal subscription revenue…early testing…went better than planned.” — CEO .
  • Profitability roadmap: “We expect to continue to be Adjusted EBITDA positive on a quarterly basis…and to achieve positive EBITDA in the first half of CY25.” — CEO .
  • International growth: “Triple Tier Membership launched in the UK in October with plans on track for…Australia in Q2’24.” — Company release ; “No big surprises…shapes of the curves are very, very much like the U.S.” — CEO (UK rollout) .
  • Scale ambitions: “We expect to surpass the 100 million monthly active users…upping that to 150 million.” — CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • 2024 revenue mix: Core subscriptions >20% growth, hardware on “similar trajectory,” modest ads contribution; “Other” stable .
  • Ads economics and rollout: Setup costs < revenue in 2024; impact mainly 2H; high long-term margins; starting in U.S., with sophistication (targeting, ID match) over time; paid tiers won’t see ads .
  • Scale of ads opportunity: Potential to rival subscription revenue over time; quicker paybacks vs launching new verticals .
  • Subscriber adds and product allocation: Near-term pullback from some product initiatives to prioritize ads build; still guiding ≥20% subs revenue growth .
  • Data partnership: Placer.ai expected to be extended (expires 2025); exploring privacy-safe data monetization that dovetails with ads .

Estimates Context

  • We attempted to retrieve S&P Global/Capital IQ consensus for Q4 2023; however, the feed mapping for LIFX was unavailable at this time, so EPS/revenue/EBITDA consensus comparisons could not be shown. As a result, “Vs Estimates” is marked N/A in the tables (consensus unavailable).

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The core subscription engine remains durable post-pricing with sustained MAU and Paying Circle growth, expanding ARPPC and high subscription gross margins (86%), supporting operating leverage into CY24 .
  • New ads business is a high-margin, capital-light growth vector with modest 2H24 revenue contribution; if execution tracks peers, ads can materially augment revenue and CAC paybacks .
  • CY24 guide (revenue $365–$375M; Adj. EBITDA $30–$35M) implies continued scale and disciplined spend; positive EBITDA targeted in 1H25 is a key inflection to watch .
  • International Triple Tier rollout (UK live; AU/NZ Q2’24) should lift ARPPC and revenue per cohort, with expected near-term subscriber growth moderation offset by LTV gains .
  • Hardware volatility remains seasonal, but margin initiatives and device integration (Tile refresh in 2024) support retention and cross-sell to membership .
  • Watch OCF conversion vs Adjusted EBITDA each quarter (Q4’23 OCF ~$9.0M vs Adj. EBITDA $8.9M), as stronger cash conversion de-risks the path to EBITDA breakeven .
  • Near-term trading setup: momentum on KPIs and a credible ads ramp could drive multiple expansion; risks include macro pressure on hardware, execution/timing on ads rollout, and elevated G&A costs (SOX/legal) .

Notes and sources: All figures and quotes are from Life360’s Q4 2023 8-K and media release and the Q4 2023 earnings call transcript. Press release and financials: . Q4 earnings call remarks and Q&A: . For trend analysis, Q3 2023 8-K and KPIs: . Q2 2023 call excerpts: .