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LINDBLAD EXPEDITIONS HOLDINGS, INC. (LIND)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 delivered broad beats and accelerating momentum: tour revenues grew 23% to $167.9M, net loss/share improved to ($0.18), and Adjusted EBITDA rose 139% to $24.8M with margin expanding to 14.8% as occupancy climbed to 86% and net yield per available guest night reached $1,241 .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, LIND beat on revenue ($167.95M vs $158.97M*), EPS (−$0.18 vs −$0.29*), and EBITDA (S&P EBITDA actual $19.08M* vs $12.48M* est.), while company-reported Adjusted EBITDA was $24.84M .
- Guidance raised/narrowed: FY25 tour revenue tightened to $725–$750M (from $700–$750M) and Adjusted EBITDA raised to $108–$115M (from $100–$112M); management also lifted net yield growth outlook to 9–11% (from 7–10%) .
- Catalysts: stronger bookings for 2025/2026 and record recent weekly sales; Disney/National Geographic channel traction; and liability management via a new $675M 7.000% 2030 secured note to refinance 2027 and 2028 notes and tender for 6.750% 2027s (Total Consideration $1,009.98 per $1,000 for early tenders) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Occupancy, yield and mix: “Revenue increased by 23%… Occupancy rose to 86%… Net yields grew 14% to $1,241, a historic high for second quarter” .
- Margin expansion and execution: Adjusted EBITDA grew 139% to $24.8M; margins expanded 720 bps to 14.8% on cost innovation and scale, with fuel costs just 3.8% of Lindblad segment revenue .
- Commercial progress: Disney/National Geographic channels, onboard sales rollout, and charters drove booking curves ahead of last year; “last week, we recorded the highest weekly sales in the history of National Geographic Lindblad Expeditions” .
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What Went Wrong
- Profitability still constrained: GAAP net loss to stockholders remains ($9.7M) ($0.18/share), with interest expense of $11.6M; earnings also benefited from $3.4M employee retention tax credits (non-recurring) .
- Elevated S&M and royalties: sales/marketing rose 44% YoY on higher royalties/commissions and demand-generation; National Geographic royalty step-up in 2025 with another step to run-rate in 2026 .
- H2 flow-through tempered: despite raised FY EBITDA, implied 2H EBITDA is below last year as 2025 is an “investment year” (higher opex to seed 2026 occupancy/yield trajectory) .
Financial Results
Summary P&L and EBITDA vs prior periods
Actual vs S&P Global consensus (Q2 2025)
Values retrieved from S&P Global*
Segment performance
KPIs (Lindblad segment)
Balance sheet snapshot
Context: Q2 benefited from $3.4M ERTC; sales/marketing increased with royalty/commission step-ups; fuel cost efficiency improved (fuel 3.8% of Lindblad segment revenues) .
Guidance Changes
Reconciliation framework provided for Adjusted EBITDA; company does not guide GAAP EPS .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Revenue increased by 23%, including 19% in our core Lindblad segment… Occupancy rose to 86%… Net yields grew 14% to $1,241… Adjusted EBITDA increased 149%… margins expanding 720 basis points to 14.8%.” — CEO/CFO prepared remarks .
- “Our booking curves continue to pace well ahead of prior year for both 2025 and 2026… we recorded the highest weekly sales in the history of National Geographic Lindblad Expeditions.” — CFO .
- “Thanks to improved dry dock and transition voyage planning, we've reduced non‑revenue days by 38% between 2025 and 2027… added four voyages in 2026.” — CEO .
- “There was a step up in royalties associated with our agreement with National Geographic that happened in 2025, and there will be a subsequent step up… in 2026.” — CFO .
- “We are raising full year guidance… revenue to $725–$750 million and Adjusted EBITDA to $108–$115 million.” — CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- H2 earnings cadence: Street flagged implied 2H EBITDA below 2H last year; management reiterated 2025 is an investment year (higher opex to drive 2026 occupancy/yields) .
- Sales/marketing and royalties: Elevated S&M tied to demand-gen and royalty/commission mix; NG royalty step-up in 2025 with further step to long-term run-rate in 2026 .
- Capacity/DRY dock optimization: Non-revenue days reduced 38% in 2027; four 2026 voyages added; voyages are “booking really well” .
- Customer mix: Disney channel increasing multigenerational/family travel; youth programs expanding; core affluent/experiential demographic intact .
- Fleet growth: Active across acquisitions, charters (including river), and evaluating newbuilds as one of several options .
Estimates Context
- Q2 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue beat by ~$9.0M; EPS beat by $0.11; EBITDA (S&P basis) beat by ~$6.6M. Company-reported Adjusted EBITDA was higher than S&P EBITDA due to non-GAAP add-backs (e.g., stock-based comp, transaction costs, FX, ERTC) .
- Forward adjustments: Raised net yield growth to 9–11% and higher FY EBITDA likely drive upward estimate revisions for out-quarters; management flagged higher near-term opex as 2025 investments limit H2 flow-through .
Actuals vs estimates table provided above; values retrieved from S&P Global for consensus and S&P EBITDA.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Strong Q2 operating momentum with broad beats and 720 bps EBITDA margin expansion to 14.8% underscores pricing power and utilization gains; occupancy and net yields are the core drivers .
- Guidance raised/narrowed (revenue, EBITDA; yield growth) with bookings pacing ahead into 2026/2027 supports positive estimate revisions despite heavier 2025 investment spending .
- Channel strategy working: Disney/National Geographic ecosystem and onboard sales are expanding reach and repeat bookings; charters and youth programs deepen mix resilience .
- Structural levers (dry dock optimization, deployment, procurement) should sustain productivity tailwinds (38% fewer non-revenue days in 2027; added 2026 voyages) .
- Balance sheet actions (new $675M 7.000% 2030 notes; tender/redemption of 2027/2028 notes) reduce refinancing risk and improve duration, offset by still-high absolute leverage and interest burden .
- Watch items: elevated S&M and royalty step-ups through 2026; recurring GAAP losses (interest expense) even as non-GAAP EBITDA improves; ERTC benefit in Q2 is non-recurring .
- Near-term trading: raised guidance and record bookings are upside catalysts; medium-term thesis hinges on sustained yield/occupancy, execution on channel/charter expansion, and deleveraging from higher free cash generation.
Footnote: Values retrieved from S&P Global*