LE
LINDBLAD EXPEDITIONS HOLDINGS, INC. (LIND)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Strong quarter with record Adjusted EBITDA: revenue rose 17% to $240.2M and Adjusted EBITDA reached a record $57.3M, up 25% YoY, driven by higher occupancy (88% vs 82%) and 9% higher net yield per available guest night ($1,314) .
- Clear beat vs S&P consensus: revenue $240.2M vs $229.7M*, Primary EPS 0.42 vs 0.22*, and EBITDA $51.7M vs $46.8M*; note company-reported GAAP diluted EPS to common was $0.00 due to a $23.5M debt extinguishment charge and preferred dividend, highlighting methodology differences vs S&P Primary EPS .
- Guidance raised: FY25 revenue to $745–$760M (from $725–$750M) and Adjusted EBITDA to $119–$123M (from $108–$115M). Net yield growth outlook also raised to 12.5%–14% (from 9%–11%) .
- Balance sheet catalyst: completed refinancing into new 7.00% senior secured notes due 2030, extending maturities and lowering blended rate ~75 bps; S&P Global upgraded the company’s corporate credit rating; net leverage at 3.1x supports growth agenda .
Values retrieved from S&P Global for estimate/consensus items are marked with an asterisk (*).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record profitability with operational momentum: “highest level of adjusted EBITDA in the company history,” +25% to $57.3M, with margins expanding 160 bps YoY to 23.8% on higher occupancy and net yields .
- Commercial initiatives working: Lindblad segment net yield per AGN up 9% to $1,314 and occupancy up to 88%; Alaska delivered ~16% yield growth; onboard sales bookings more than tripled as a % of total YoY .
- Strategic financing and credit upgrade: refinanced into 7.00% notes due 2030, lowering blended borrowing costs ~75 bps and extending maturities; S&P Global credit rating upgrade cited strong operating performance and forward-book position .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP EPS optics pressured by refinancing: net loss available to stockholders was ~$0.05M, diluted EPS $0.00, primarily due to $23.5M debt extinguishment expense and lower tax benefit YoY; ERTC provided a $1.8M benefit .
- Elevated near-term spend: sales/marketing rose $5.1M (20%) in Q3 to support demand generation; management flagged higher Q4 marketing and six dry/wet docks (vs two in Q4’24), pressuring 2H flow-through .
- Higher royalty burden ahead: step-up in National Geographic royalty rates in 2025 with another step-up to reach long-term run-rate in 2026, partially offsetting yield gains .
Financial Results
Q3 2025 vs S&P Global Consensus and Prior Year
Values retrieved from S&P Global for estimate/consensus items are marked with an asterisk (*).
Notes: Company Adjusted EBITDA differs from S&P “EBITDA” definition. GAAP diluted EPS to common ($0.00) reflects the $23.5M loss on debt extinguishment and preferred dividend; S&P Primary EPS methodology differs from GAAP diluted EPS presentation .
Quarterly Trend (FY25)
Segment Breakdown (Q3 2025)
KPIs (Lindblad Segment)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are pleased to report another quarter of very strong performance… record level of adjusted EBITDA… highest ever measured guest satisfaction scores.” — Natalya Leahy, CEO .
- “Occupancy reached 88%… net yield increased 9% to $1,314… Alaska… achieving almost 16% yield growth.” — Natalya Leahy, CEO .
- “Adjusted EBITDA increasing 25% to $57.3 million and margins expanding 160 basis points to 23.8%.” — Natalya Leahy, CEO .
- “We issued $675 million of new senior secured notes… 7%, ~75 bps lower than prior blended rate… net leverage stands at 3.1x… S&P Global… upgraded our corporate credit rating.” — Rick Goldberg, CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Bookings trajectory and 2026: Management not guiding yet but indicated 2026 bookings are significantly ahead; targeting a return to ~90% historical occupancy with maintained price integrity; double-digit yield gains will normalize as occupancy anniversaries .
- Pricing power: Expect continued price integrity; demand strong across Alaska, Antarctica fly-cruise, and Galápagos (capacity +40% QoQ in Q3) .
- 2H and Q4 dynamics: Elevated marketing spend to set up Wave season and six dry/wet docks in Q4 (vs two in Q4’24) will pressure Q4 EBITDA .
- Mix and growth vehicles: Comfortable with current mix; 10 charter ships planned in 2026 to add capital-light capacity; evaluating purchases and potential new builds .
- Macro lens: Higher-net-worth guests remain resilient; key watch items are geopolitical/macros; royalty step-up ahead in 2026 .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 vs S&P consensus: Revenue $240.2M vs $229.7M* (beat); Primary EPS 0.4196* vs 0.2234* (beat); EBITDA $51.734M* vs $46.781M* (beat). Company GAAP diluted EPS to common was $0.00 due to refinancing charge and preferred dividend; S&P Primary EPS may reflect methodology differences from GAAP diluted EPS .
- Number of estimates: EPS (2), Revenue (3)*.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Demand-led outperformance: Record Adjusted EBITDA and raised FY25 outlook underscore pricing and occupancy momentum; forward bookings for 2026/2027 are pacing ahead, a constructive setup for estimate revisions and sentiment .
- Quality of beat: Revenue and (S&P-defined) EBITDA beats stem from higher net yields/occupancy and strong Land growth; note ERTC contributed $1.8M in Q3 and $5.3M YTD to EBITDA .
- EPS optics vs cash economics: GAAP diluted EPS $0.00 reflects one-time $23.5M refinancing charge; underlying profitability and cash generation improved with $97.1M YTD operating cash flow and $60.4M YTD FCF .
- De-risked balance sheet catalyst: 7.00% 2030 notes, extended maturities, S&P upgrade, and 3.1x net leverage support continued capacity additions (charters/acquisitions/new builds) .
- Near-term watch items: Q4 margins to be softer on elevated marketing and six docks; 2026 royalty step-up is a manageable headwind if yield/occupancy tailwinds persist .
- Strategic flywheels: Disney/DVC channels, onboard sales expansion, and revenue management discipline are increasing repeat rates, lengthening booking windows, and widening top-of-funnel reach .
- Medium-term thesis: Structural demand in luxury/experiential travel, capital-light charters, and operational efficiencies position LIND for margin expansion and deleveraging through cycle .
Appendix: Additional Data
Balance Sheet and Liquidity (Selected)
- Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash: $290.1M at 9/30/25 (vs $216.1M at 12/31/24) .
- Total debt: $675.0M at 9/30/25; in compliance with covenants .
- Free Cash Flow YTD: $60.363M (9M’25) .
Reconciliation Items (Q3 2025)
- Debt extinguishment expense: $23.492M .
- ERTC (benefit to results): $1.8M in Q3; $5.3M YTD .
Refinancing Details
- New $675M 7.00% senior secured notes due 2030 to refinance 2027 6.75% and 2028 9.00% notes; blended rate reduced ~75 bps; revolver upsized/extended to $60M .
All citations:
- Q3 2025 8-K press release, results, schedules, and outlook .
- Q3 2025 earnings call transcript (prepared remarks and Q&A) .
- Q2 2025 press release and earnings call for trend/guidance .
- Q1 2025 press release for prior period context .
- S&P Global consensus and actuals (asterisked values) via GetEstimates. Values retrieved from S&P Global.