LH
Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 FY26 delivered $533.8M revenue (+58.4% y/y, +11.0% q/q), non-GAAP EPS $1.10, and non-GAAP operating margin 18.7%, all at the high end of guidance; GAAP EPS was $0.05 .
- Results beat Wall Street consensus: revenue $533.8M vs $526.5M*, and non-GAAP EPS $1.10 vs $1.03*; Q2 FY26 guidance calls for $630–$670M revenue, 20–22% non-GAAP operating margin, and $1.30–$1.50 non-GAAP EPS, implying >20% sequential growth .
- Components led strength ($379.2M, 71% of revenue, +18.4% q/q, +63.9% y/y); systems were $154.6M (29% of revenue, -3.6% q/q, +46.5% y/y) .
- Management flagged intensifying EML supply/demand tightness (shortfall widened to ~25–30%), capacity/yield improvements (+~40% unit capacity planned), and impending ramps in optical circuit switches (OCS) and co-packaged optics (CPO) as key catalysts .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “Revenue, operating margin, and earnings per share all came in at the high end of our guidance ranges” ; non-GAAP operating margin expanded 370 bps q/q and 1,570 bps y/y to 18.7% .
- Components posted broad-based strength (EML laser chips, narrow linewidth DCI assemblies, pump lasers), with 7th consecutive quarter of narrow linewidth growth and record pump laser quarter .
- Strong Q2 outlook: “We expect more than 20 percent sequential revenue growth…even before meaningful contributions from…optical circuit switches and co-packaged optics” .
What Went Wrong
- Systems revenue declined sequentially (-3.6% q/q), with continued softness in industrial lasers and transceivers roughly flat as capacity was retooled in Thailand .
- EML supply/demand imbalance worsened (from ~20% shortfall to ~25–30%), forcing daily allocation decisions and selective customer consolidation .
- Elevated non-GAAP adjustments persisted (e.g., $46.5M stock-based comp; $34.4M amortization of intangibles; $8.3M restructuring; $5.9M notes inducement expense), highlighting reliance on non-GAAP profitability .
Financial Results
Income Statement and Margins (GAAP and Non-GAAP)
Product Type Revenue Mix
KPIs and Balance Sheet Highlights
Results vs. S&P Global Consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “Our guidance indicates we expect more than 20 percent sequential revenue growth, even before meaningful contributions from…optical circuit switches and co-packaged optics…cloud transceivers…should now be on a sustainable upward path” .
- CEO: “We estimate that over 60% of our total company revenue now comes from cloud and AI infrastructure” .
- CFO: “Non-GAAP gross margin was 39.4%, up 160 bps q/q and 660 bps y/y due to better manufacturing utilization and favorable product mix…non-GAAP operating margin was 18.7%” .
- CEO: “We are only at the beginning of our growth journey in cloud and AI infrastructure” .
- OCS trajectory: “Ramp…to that $100 million a quarter target in December of 2026…hardware is generally qualified…software…keeps me up at night” .
Q&A Highlights
- Transceiver ramp visibility: Confidence driven by improved execution and early participation in customer ramps; layering effect expected across 800G and 1.6T, with largest customer dominating near term .
- Indium Phosphide capacity and mix: ~40% unit capacity addition planned; 200G EMLs targeted to ~10% mix in early CY26; capacity allocated to highest-margin EMLs .
- CW lasers: 70 mW CW shipping; 100 mW CW sampling now for internal transceivers, production mid-2026 .
- Supply/demand imbalance: Shortfall widened to ~25–30% despite added supply; strategic customer consolidation via LTAs; targeted price increases .
- OCS milestones: Three customers in labs; hardware largely through gates; software qualification expected by March quarter for two majors; revenue ramp plan outlined .
Estimates Context
- Q1 FY26 beat: Revenue $533.8M vs $526.5M consensus*, non-GAAP EPS $1.10 vs $1.03 consensus* .
- Q2 FY26 guide vs consensus: Revenue guidance $630–$670M vs $646.0M consensus*; EPS guidance $1.30–$1.50 vs $1.38 consensus* .
- Implication: Modest positive revision bias likely on revenue and EPS given strong mix, capacity additions, and pricing initiatives discussed by management .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Components-led upside and margin expansion: Mix shift toward higher-margin 200G EMLs and improved fab yields support continued gross margin and operating margin uplift into Q2 and CY26 .
- Transceiver growth resuming: Thailand capacity build complete; expect sustained revenue growth in 800G near term and 1.6T starting mid-2026, with layering effect and better margin profile than 800G .
- OCS and CPO as 2H CY26 catalysts: OCS software qualification is the key gating factor; management confident in ~$100M/qtr OCS by Dec 2026; CPO/ELSFP momentum and ecosystem validation (including NVIDIA) build optionality .
- Supply/demand imbalance creates pricing leverage: Widening shortfall (~25–30%) allows targeted price increases and disciplined customer selection, aiding margin trajectory .
- Near-term setup: Q2 guide (>20% q/q) signals broad-based strength across components and systems; watch execution on transceiver ramp and software milestones for OCS as potential stock catalysts .
- Balance sheet/investment: Inventories and CapEx up to support cloud/AI growth; cash/short-term investments rose to $1.12B; monitor debt structure (current portion and long-term) as expansion continues .
- Non-GAAP reliance persists: Continue to track GAAP-to-non-GAAP adjustments and tax rate assumptions (16.5%) in assessing sustainable profitability .