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LL Flooring Holdings, Inc. (LL)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 revenue declined 21.7% to $188.5M with comparable store sales down 21.5% amid weaker home sales, elevated rates, and softer big-ticket remodeling demand; GAAP gross margin rose 120 bps to 37.8% on UFLPA vinyl cost recoveries and lower transportation, but adjusted gross margin fell 40 bps to 37.1% due to pricing pressure and mix .
  • Operating margin deteriorated sequentially to -14.5% (Q4: -8.3%) on SG&A deleverage to 52.3% of sales; GAAP EPS was -$1.00 and adjusted EPS -$1.04 .
  • Guidance: Still no formal financial guidance; however, FY24 commentary improved on cost: SG&A dollar spend expected to decrease (vs Q4 view of SG&A rising), capex lowered to ~$13M (from ~$15M), and the company is pursuing a sale‑leaseback of its Sandston, VA DC to bolster liquidity .
  • Liquidity fell to $63.3M (vs $118.2M at 12/31/23) as operating cash flow was -$23.7M in the quarter; management highlighted macro and brand-awareness headwinds and continued store portfolio pruning (435 stores, -2 q/q) .
  • Potential stock reaction catalysts: deeper comps decline and SG&A deleverage, lack of formal guidance, capex cut and sale‑leaseback for liquidity, and adjusted margin pressure from industry pricing .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • GAAP gross margin expanded 120 bps YoY to 37.8% driven by UFLPA-related vinyl cost recoveries and lower inbound container costs; management continues to adjust sourcing and pricing to navigate industry pressures .
    • FY24 operating cost outlook improved: management now expects SG&A dollar spend to decrease for the full year, reflecting an ongoing strategic review of the cost structure .
    • Management reaffirmed long-term tailwinds (aging housing stock, household formation, rising home values) and emphasized strategic initiatives (CRM and Pro) to position the business for a normalized spending cycle; “we remain focused on executing on our strategic initiatives…when the cycle…normalizes” — CEO Charles Tyson .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Comps fell 21.5%, with continued declines in traffic and lower average project sizes across Consumer and Pro; net sales fell 21.7% YoY to $188.5M .
    • SG&A deleverage to 52.3% of sales drove operating margin loss of -14.5% (adjusted -15.2%), a step down from Q4, reflecting lower volumes over fixed cost base .
    • Liquidity contracted to $63.3M and operating cash flow was -$23.7M; visibility remains limited and no formal guidance is provided amid macro uncertainty and brand awareness challenges .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Net Sales ($USD Millions)$215.846 $211.780 $188.490
Gross Margin % (GAAP)31.7% 38.6% 37.8%
Adjusted Gross Margin %37.5% 38.3% 37.1%
SG&A % of Net Sales (GAAP)45.5% 46.8% 52.3%
Operating Margin % (GAAP)-13.7% -8.3% -14.5%
Adjusted Operating Margin %-7.9% -8.6% -15.2%
EPS (GAAP)-$1.25 -$0.62 -$1.00
Adjusted EPS-$0.78 -$0.64 -$1.04

Segment/Revenue Mix

Revenue ($USD Millions)Q3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Net Merchandise Sales$183.579 $183.059 $164.715
Net Services Sales$32.267 $28.721 $23.775
Total Net Sales$215.846 $211.780 $188.490

KPIs and Balance Sheet/Cash Flow

KPI/MetricQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Comparable Store Sales YoY-20.5% -20.2% -21.5%
Store Count (end of period)443 437 435
Liquidity ($USD Millions)$120.2 $118.2 $63.3
Cash from Operations (period)n/an/a-$23.689M

Non-GAAP context: In Q1, GAAP gross margin benefitted from $1.304M vinyl recoveries (UFLPA); adjusted gross margin removes this, resulting in 37.1% vs 37.8% GAAP .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Formal Financial GuidanceFY2024Not providing guidance Not providing guidance Maintained
Adjusted Gross MarginFY2024Expected to maintain YoY; driven by transportation cost reductions Expected to maintain YoY; drivers include potential transport cost reductions, offset by higher domestic vinyl sourcing costs and lower ASP amid pricing pressure Maintained (drivers updated)
SG&A Dollar SpendFY2024SG&A $ and % of sales expected to increase YoY SG&A dollar spend expected to decrease for full year Lowered (more cost discipline)
Capital ExpendituresFY2024~ $15M ~ $13M Lowered
Liquidity Initiative (DC Sale‑Leaseback)FY2024Not disclosed Pursuing sale‑leaseback of ~1M sq ft Sandston, VA DC; positions network strategy and adds liquidity; also addresses Dallas DC New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: Full Q1 2024 transcript could not be retrieved from the document system; themes reflect management disclosures in press releases across periods.

TopicQ3 2023 (Q-2)Q4 2023 (Q-1)Q1 2024 (Current)Trend
Macro: existing home sales, rates, discretionary spendMacro headwinds and lower existing home sales impacting demand Ongoing weakness in existing home sales; home improvement softness “Weaker home sales, elevated interest rates and inflation” pressuring traffic and project size Deteriorating in Q1
Pricing/ASP pressureFreight relief; pricing/mix pressures noted in adjustments Vendor cost outs and lower transportation help; higher vinyl sourcing costs Lower ASP from industry pricing pressure despite transport cost relief Persistent pressure
Supply chain/UFLPA & dutiesUFLPA vinyl detentions and antidumping duty impacts Smaller vinyl/duties impacts; margins improved Vinyl cost recoveries benefit GAAP; adjusted removes benefit Risk moderating, one-time recoveries
CRM & Pro initiativesCRM rollout and Pro focus as growth levers CRM for all customers by year-end; focus on customer experience, NPS, Pro CRM and Pro expected to improve traffic; timing uncertain Execution ongoing
Carpet rollout/product expansionCarpet expansion underway Carpet rollout highlighted Capex prioritized for carpet rollout Continuing
Distribution footprint/liquidityAdded Dallas DC; cost structure review Dallas DC investment; liquidity stable Pursuing Sandston VA DC sale‑leaseback; liquidity support Liquidity actions ramping
Brand awarenessInternal challenges and brand transformation need Brand campaign to grow awareness Ongoing “brand awareness challenges” impacting sales Still a headwind

Management Commentary

  • “We reported comparable store sales down 21.5% as we saw continued declines in traffic and lower average project sizes from our consumer and Pro customers.” — Charles Tyson, President & CEO .
  • “The challenging macroeconomic factors have pushed home improvement spend per housing unit below its 50-year average… However, the long-term tailwinds…remain… We remain focused on executing on our strategic initiatives…” — Charles Tyson .
  • Margin context: GAAP gross margin up 120 bps to 37.8% on vinyl cost recoveries and lower transportation costs; adjusted gross margin down 40 bps to 37.1% on lower ASP amid industry pricing pressure .
  • Cost discipline: SG&A dollar spend expected to decrease in FY24 following a strategic cost review .
  • Liquidity actions: Pursuing sale‑leaseback of Sandston VA DC to optimize the network and provide additional liquidity .

Q&A Highlights

  • Full Q1 2024 earnings call transcript was not retrievable from the document system (database inconsistency), so Q&A highlights are unavailable based on primary sources in this environment.

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q1 2024: Data unavailable via tool due to CIQ mapping issue; as a result, we cannot assess revenue/EPS beat/miss versus S&P Global consensus at this time (Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable).
  • Given deteriorating comps, SG&A deleverage, and liquidity decline, sell-side models may revisit FY24 SG&A levels (lower) and capex ($13M), and reflect adjusted gross margin holding YoY with pricing pressure headwinds per management commentary .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Demand remains under acute pressure: comps -21.5%, traffic and average ticket down; sales fell 21.7% YoY to $188.5M .
  • Margin quality mixed: GAAP gross margin aided by one‑time vinyl recoveries; adjusted gross margin declined on pricing pressure—watch sustainability as industry pricing remains competitive .
  • Cost actions intensify: management now expects FY24 SG&A dollars to decrease (vs Q4 view of rising), a constructive pivot on expense control .
  • Liquidity focus: operating cash use of ~$23.7M and liquidity down to $63.3M; sale‑leaseback of Sandston VA DC is a near‑term lever to bolster liquidity while progressing network optimization .
  • Investment pace trimmed: FY24 capex cut to ~$13M from ~$15M, prioritizing carpet rollout and strategic initiatives .
  • Narrative still cautious: no formal guidance; brand awareness challenges and macro drag persist, making inflection timing uncertain despite CRM/Pro initiatives .
  • Near‑term setup: Absent estimate data, catalysts skew to execution on cost/working capital and progress on liquidity actions; risk remains from pricing pressure and continued macro softness .

Appendix: Additional Detail From Q1 2024 Release

  • Operating expense leverage: SG&A 52.3% of sales (vs 42.0% prior year), reflecting volume deleverage; adjusted SG&A also 52.3% .
  • Operating loss widened to -$27.4M (adjusted -$28.7M); other expense $1.5M; net loss -$29.0M (adjusted -$29.9M) .
  • Balance sheet: Cash $6.0M; credit agreement borrowings $89.0M at quarter end; inventory $248.3M (down from $265.3M at 12/31/23) .

Sources: LL Flooring Q1 2024 8‑K and press release (Ex. 99.1), Q4 2023 and Q3 2023 8‑K press releases and tables .