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LM FUNDING AMERICA, INC. (LMFA)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 revenue was $2.00M, down 50.1% year over year due to the April 2024 Bitcoin halving and miner transitions, while net income attributable to LM Funding was $2.0M versus a $(1.6)M loss in Q4 2023, driven by a $4.3M fair value gain on Bitcoin .
  • EPS beat consensus: Primary EPS actual was $(0.733)* vs $(1.67)* estimate; revenue $1.77M* vs $1.50M* estimate, aided by fair value gains and lower mining costs; note company-reported diluted EPS was $(0.86) due to deemed dividends of $5.09M .
  • Core EBITDA surged to $3.3M vs $0.3M in Q4 2023 on fair value gains, lower digital mining costs, and reduced compensation .
  • Strategic pivot to vertical integration with a 15 MW Oklahoma site at ~$0.04/kWh and Luxor’s LuxOS firmware expected to lift efficiency by 10–15% positions margins and uptime to improve in 2025; energized hash rate reached 560 PH/s by end-February .

Note: We searched for an 8-K Item 2.02 earnings release; none was filed around the Q4 2024 date window. This recap uses the full Q4 2024 press release and call transcript .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Vertical integration: “We transitioned from an infrastructure-light hosted mining strategy to a vertically integrated model… secured low-cost power… own and totally control our mining infrastructure and costs,” said the CEO .
  • Profitability on Core EBITDA: Core EBITDA was $3.3M in Q4 and $3.9M for FY 2024, versus losses in 2023, reflecting fair value gains, lower mining costs, and reduced compensation .
  • Balance sheet: Cash rose to $3.4M, Bitcoin holdings valued at $14.0M at year-end (150.2 BTC), expanding to 165.8 BTC by Feb 28; management highlighted market cap (<$8M) vs BTC holdings (~$14.4M) as a value disconnect .

What Went Wrong

  • Revenue contraction: Q4 revenue of $2.00M vs $4.06M in Q4 2023 due to the April halving and moving miners into storage pending Oklahoma activation .
  • GAAP EPS burden: Despite positive net income attributable to LM Funding, deemed dividends of $5.09M led to diluted EPS of $(0.86), creating an optics headwind .
  • Execution lag on expansion: Texas LOIs fell away and Oklahoma’s additional 2 MW requires groundwork and infrastructure, with ~90-day timeline and broader site expansions taking longer .

Financial Results

Summary (Quarterly progression and YoY reference)

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Total Revenue ($USD)$3,011,347 $1,255,473 $1,985,224
Net Income attributable to LM Funding ($USD)$(6,072,855) $(6,402,379) $1,965,808
Core EBITDA ($USD)$(2,178,867) $(1,621,775) $3,321,623
Diluted EPS ($)$(2.44) $(2.41) $(0.86)
MetricQ4 2023Q4 2024
Total Revenue ($USD)$4,055,414 $1,985,224
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.67) $(0.86)

Segment Revenue Breakdown

SegmentQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Digital Mining Revenue ($USD)$2,893,073 $1,127,455 $1,814,169
Specialty Finance Revenue ($USD)$89,036 $97,558 $140,377
Rental Revenue ($USD)$29,238 $30,460 $30,678

KPIs

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Bitcoin Mined (BTC)44.1 18.5 21.7
Avg BTC Price ($USD)~$65,600 ~$60,870 ~$83,000
BTC Holdings at Period End (BTC)160.4 142.3 150.2
Energized Hash Rate (PH/s)N/AN/A560 (end-Feb 2025; post-quarter ops context)

Results vs S&P Global Consensus (Q4 2024)

MetricConsensusActualSurprise
Revenue ($USD)$1,500,000*$1,773,278*+$273,278 (beat)*
Primary EPS ($)$(1.67)*$(0.733)*+$0.94 (beat)*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Efficiency upgrade (LuxOS firmware)Q1–Q2 2025Not guided+10–15% mining efficiency potential Raised (qualitative)
Fleet expansion (Bitmain S21/S21+)March 2025 deliveryNot guided~270–256 units; +~58 PH capacity planned Raised (capacity)
Oklahoma site incremental capacity~90 daysNot guided+2 MW add with groundwork and infra; sockets currently full Raised (capacity)
Strategic focus (AI/HPC)2025N/AFocus exclusively on Bitcoin; AI facility off the table Maintained (focus)
Debt financing (BTC-backed)2024–2026N/A$5M secured loan at ~12% for 2 years; BTC collateral ~$5M New (financing)

LM Funding did not issue formal numerical guidance for revenue, margins, OpEx, OI&E, or tax rates in Q4 2024; guidance was operational/strategic in nature .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ2 2024 (Q-2)Q3 2024 (Q-1)Q4 2024 (Current)Trend
Vertical integration & low-cost powerLOI for TX (12 MW, +60 MW potential); Arthur 15 MW hosting at cost ~$0.04/kWh in OK; expansion options discussed Own 15 MW OK site; firm ~$0.04 power; greater uptime and margin control Strengthening
Efficiency/firmwareFocus on integrating advanced software N/ALuxOS firmware deployment; +10–15% efficiency expected Improving
Capacity/Hash rate639 PH potential across fleets 639 PH cited; transitions ongoing 560 PH energized by end-Feb; +2 MW near term; S21+ arriving Mar Building
Bitcoin treasury strategyHold a portion of mined BTC BTC holdings 142.3; optimistic outlook 150.2 BTC at YE; 165.8 by Feb; highlight valuation gap Accumulating
Specialty finance (condo reserves)Stable; potential growth from FL legislation Monitoring legislative timing; opportunities expected No material change; still opportunistic Stable
AI/Data center diversificationConsidered; not core N/AExplicitly off the table; focus on Bitcoin and power curtailment economics Deprioritized
M&A/PipelineTX LOI; OK growth with Arthur Evaluating M&A targets Evaluating 2–15 MW assets; Texas LOIs no longer outstanding Mixed/Opportunistic

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We transitioned… to a vertically integrated model… secured low-cost power… own and totally control our mining infrastructure and costs,” reflecting margin/uptime focus and future site acquisitions .
  • CFO: “Disciplined in our spending… enabled us to achieve profitability in 2024 on a Core EBITDA basis, as well as grow our Bitcoin treasury,” connecting cost control and treasury strategy .
  • Strategy: Target 5–20 MW acquisitions below larger operators’ thresholds; leverage BTC-backed debt and potential M&A .
  • Financing: $5M secured loan at ~12% over two years, collateralized by ~$5M BTC, preserves BTC upside vs selling holdings .

Q&A Highlights

  • Oklahoma capacity and timing: +2 MW “fairly quickly,” groundwork ~3 weeks; “should be within 90 days,” and sockets currently full .
  • LuxOS deployment: Deployed across Calumet site; applicable to newer machines; expected margin uplift .
  • BTC-backed loan rationale: Financing long-term assets while retaining BTC; 12% for two years, collateralized by ~$5M BTC .
  • Pipeline for assets: Evaluating 2–15 MW sites; focus on electricity price and contract terms; favorable curtailment economics in OK .
  • AI stance: Not pursuing AI/HPC; capital and customer requirements outside core competency; focus on Bitcoin mining and power market positioning .

Estimates Context

  • LMFA beat consensus on both revenue and EPS for Q4 2024: Revenue $1.77M* vs $1.50M* estimate; Primary EPS $(0.733)* vs $(1.67)* estimate [GetEstimates]. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Company-reported diluted EPS was $(0.86) due to $5.09M deemed dividends; this can create differences vs S&P’s Primary EPS actual series; expect analysts to adjust models for fair value gains and dividend impacts as they assess earnings quality .
  • Estimate revisions may reflect: improved efficiency (LuxOS), vertical integration lowering power costs (~$0.04/kWh), near-term +2 MW capacity, and additional S21/S21+ miners arriving in March .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The quarter’s upside vs consensus was primarily driven by fair value gains on BTC and improved cost structure; core operations benefited from vertical integration and low-cost power .
  • Watch near-term catalysts: +2 MW at OK within ~90 days, LuxOS efficiency lift, and ~270 S21/S21+ deliveries in March; these should support higher hash rate and margins into 2025 .
  • Valuation gap: Management highlighted BTC holdings ($14.4M) exceeding market cap ($7.6M) at the time; stock may react to evidence of sustained hash rate growth and margin capture .
  • Risk factors: Revenue sensitivity to halving and network difficulty; GAAP optics from deemed dividends and fair value accounting; execution risk on site build-outs and asset acquisitions .
  • Strategic focus remains on Bitcoin mining and power market optionality (including curtailment revenue), not AI/HPC; expect capital allocation toward miners and power assets .
  • Specialty finance remains a stable optionality tied to Florida reserve funding rules, but near-term drivers are predominantly mining-related .
  • Financing toolkit includes BTC-backed loans to avoid liquidating BTC; monitor debt costs vs BTC price to assess arbitrage and balance sheet flexibility .

Appendix: Additional Q4 2024 Disclosures

  • Q4 revenue: $2.00M; digital mining $1.81M; specialty finance $0.14M; rental $0.03M .
  • Net income attributable to LM Funding: $1.97M; deemed dividends $5.09M; diluted EPS $(0.86) .
  • Year-end cash $3.4M; digital assets $14.0M (150.2 BTC at ~$93k) .
  • Balance sheet equity: Net book value ~$35.3M, or $7.21/share (5,133,412 shares out) .
  • Operational: 15 MW OK site acquisition; plan to add 2 MW; LuxOS firmware expected +10–15% efficiency .

S&P Global estimates used where noted.*