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LM FUNDING AMERICA, INC. (LMFA)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 revenue was $2.00M, down 50.1% year over year due to the April 2024 Bitcoin halving and miner transitions, while net income attributable to LM Funding was $2.0M versus a $(1.6)M loss in Q4 2023, driven by a $4.3M fair value gain on Bitcoin .
- EPS beat consensus: Primary EPS actual was $(0.733)* vs $(1.67)* estimate; revenue $1.77M* vs $1.50M* estimate, aided by fair value gains and lower mining costs; note company-reported diluted EPS was $(0.86) due to deemed dividends of $5.09M .
- Core EBITDA surged to $3.3M vs $0.3M in Q4 2023 on fair value gains, lower digital mining costs, and reduced compensation .
- Strategic pivot to vertical integration with a 15 MW Oklahoma site at ~$0.04/kWh and Luxor’s LuxOS firmware expected to lift efficiency by 10–15% positions margins and uptime to improve in 2025; energized hash rate reached 560 PH/s by end-February .
Note: We searched for an 8-K Item 2.02 earnings release; none was filed around the Q4 2024 date window. This recap uses the full Q4 2024 press release and call transcript .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Vertical integration: “We transitioned from an infrastructure-light hosted mining strategy to a vertically integrated model… secured low-cost power… own and totally control our mining infrastructure and costs,” said the CEO .
- Profitability on Core EBITDA: Core EBITDA was $3.3M in Q4 and $3.9M for FY 2024, versus losses in 2023, reflecting fair value gains, lower mining costs, and reduced compensation .
- Balance sheet: Cash rose to $3.4M, Bitcoin holdings valued at $14.0M at year-end (150.2 BTC), expanding to 165.8 BTC by Feb 28; management highlighted market cap (<$8M) vs BTC holdings (~$14.4M) as a value disconnect .
What Went Wrong
- Revenue contraction: Q4 revenue of $2.00M vs $4.06M in Q4 2023 due to the April halving and moving miners into storage pending Oklahoma activation .
- GAAP EPS burden: Despite positive net income attributable to LM Funding, deemed dividends of $5.09M led to diluted EPS of $(0.86), creating an optics headwind .
- Execution lag on expansion: Texas LOIs fell away and Oklahoma’s additional 2 MW requires groundwork and infrastructure, with ~90-day timeline and broader site expansions taking longer .
Financial Results
Summary (Quarterly progression and YoY reference)
Segment Revenue Breakdown
KPIs
Results vs S&P Global Consensus (Q4 2024)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Guidance Changes
LM Funding did not issue formal numerical guidance for revenue, margins, OpEx, OI&E, or tax rates in Q4 2024; guidance was operational/strategic in nature .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We transitioned… to a vertically integrated model… secured low-cost power… own and totally control our mining infrastructure and costs,” reflecting margin/uptime focus and future site acquisitions .
- CFO: “Disciplined in our spending… enabled us to achieve profitability in 2024 on a Core EBITDA basis, as well as grow our Bitcoin treasury,” connecting cost control and treasury strategy .
- Strategy: Target 5–20 MW acquisitions below larger operators’ thresholds; leverage BTC-backed debt and potential M&A .
- Financing: $5M secured loan at ~12% over two years, collateralized by ~$5M BTC, preserves BTC upside vs selling holdings .
Q&A Highlights
- Oklahoma capacity and timing: +2 MW “fairly quickly,” groundwork ~3 weeks; “should be within 90 days,” and sockets currently full .
- LuxOS deployment: Deployed across Calumet site; applicable to newer machines; expected margin uplift .
- BTC-backed loan rationale: Financing long-term assets while retaining BTC; 12% for two years, collateralized by ~$5M BTC .
- Pipeline for assets: Evaluating 2–15 MW sites; focus on electricity price and contract terms; favorable curtailment economics in OK .
- AI stance: Not pursuing AI/HPC; capital and customer requirements outside core competency; focus on Bitcoin mining and power market positioning .
Estimates Context
- LMFA beat consensus on both revenue and EPS for Q4 2024: Revenue $1.77M* vs $1.50M* estimate; Primary EPS $(0.733)* vs $(1.67)* estimate [GetEstimates]. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Company-reported diluted EPS was $(0.86) due to $5.09M deemed dividends; this can create differences vs S&P’s Primary EPS actual series; expect analysts to adjust models for fair value gains and dividend impacts as they assess earnings quality .
- Estimate revisions may reflect: improved efficiency (LuxOS), vertical integration lowering power costs (~$0.04/kWh), near-term +2 MW capacity, and additional S21/S21+ miners arriving in March .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- The quarter’s upside vs consensus was primarily driven by fair value gains on BTC and improved cost structure; core operations benefited from vertical integration and low-cost power .
- Watch near-term catalysts: +2 MW at OK within ~90 days, LuxOS efficiency lift, and ~270 S21/S21+ deliveries in March; these should support higher hash rate and margins into 2025 .
- Valuation gap: Management highlighted BTC holdings (
$14.4M) exceeding market cap ($7.6M) at the time; stock may react to evidence of sustained hash rate growth and margin capture . - Risk factors: Revenue sensitivity to halving and network difficulty; GAAP optics from deemed dividends and fair value accounting; execution risk on site build-outs and asset acquisitions .
- Strategic focus remains on Bitcoin mining and power market optionality (including curtailment revenue), not AI/HPC; expect capital allocation toward miners and power assets .
- Specialty finance remains a stable optionality tied to Florida reserve funding rules, but near-term drivers are predominantly mining-related .
- Financing toolkit includes BTC-backed loans to avoid liquidating BTC; monitor debt costs vs BTC price to assess arbitrage and balance sheet flexibility .
Appendix: Additional Q4 2024 Disclosures
- Q4 revenue: $2.00M; digital mining $1.81M; specialty finance $0.14M; rental $0.03M .
- Net income attributable to LM Funding: $1.97M; deemed dividends $5.09M; diluted EPS $(0.86) .
- Year-end cash $3.4M; digital assets $14.0M (150.2 BTC at ~$93k) .
- Balance sheet equity: Net book value ~$35.3M, or $7.21/share (5,133,412 shares out) .
- Operational: 15 MW OK site acquisition; plan to add 2 MW; LuxOS firmware expected +10–15% efficiency .
S&P Global estimates used where noted.*