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CI

Comstock Inc. (LODE)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 reporting centered on FY 2024 outcomes and 2025 commercialization milestones; FY revenue reached $3.0M (vs. $1.3M FY 2023) with a net loss of $53.0M ($3.21/share), reflecting one-time R&D reclassification and intangible write-downs .
  • Strategic pivot away from the August 2024 SBCC funding package: management affirmed “the August SBCC deal is dead,” in favor of a fuels Series A targeted for Q2 2025, a $14M strategic investment from Marathon Petroleum (including Madison pilot facility), and $152M Oklahoma Qualified Private Activity Bonds to seed the first refinery .
  • Metals is scaling from the demonstration facility toward the first industry-scale site in Silver Springs, NV, with 2025 billable revenue guided to ~$2.5M and $6M capex; throughput economics cited as tipping fees >$500/ton, offtake ~$250/ton, costs ~$200/ton, and a “panel every 7 seconds” design enabling 100,000 tons/year per plant .
  • Potential stock reaction catalysts: closure of fuels Series A and offtake agreements, placement of $152M bonds, spin-off plan for Comstock Fuels, and progress on Metals permitting/equipment orders .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • “Record” fuels platform progress: validated up to 140 GGE/ton, integration of Madison pilot facility (2 barrels/day), and strategic capital from Marathon; Series A targeted Q2 2025 with project financing to follow .
  • Metals economics and scale: 100% recovery, customer tipping/offsake arrangements, three-shift ops at demo facility, first industry-scale site moving forward; 2025 billings guided to 5–6x 2024 ($2.5M) .
  • Clearer corporate roadmap: reverse split completed (24,238,453 shares outstanding post-split), explicit spin-off intention for Comstock Fuels post Series A, and plan to monetize >$50M non-core assets .

What Went Wrong

  • FY 2024 loss and one-time charges: $53.0M net loss driven by $12.2M R&D reclass for GenMat and $8.7M intangible write-down; cash burn from ops of $13.9M .
  • SBCC package reversal: management acknowledged prior $325M multi-tranche framework is no longer the path, necessitating new equity/dilutive capital and subsidiary-level financing to advance plan .
  • Liquidity and funding dependency: year-end cash ~$1.0M, reliance on January convertible notes ($5M received, $5M pending at call) and further capital raises to bridge to profitability .

Financial Results

Reported Financials (Annual)

MetricFY 2023FY 2024
Revenues ($USD Millions)$1.3 $3.0
Net Income - (IS) ($USD Millions)n/a$(53.0)$
Diluted EPS ($USD)n/a$(3.21)$
Cash And Equivalents ($USD Millions)n/a$1.0
Cash from Operations ($USD Millions)n/a$(13.9)$
Cash from Financing ($USD Millions)n/a$17.6

Segment Results (Annual)

SegmentFY 2023 Net Income ($USD Millions)FY 2024 Net Income ($USD Millions)
Comstock Fuels$(7.1)$ $(5.3)$
Comstock Metals$(1.9)$ $(3.0)$ (excl. intangible write-down)
Comstock Mining$(0.5)$ $1.6

Capital and Liquidity Snapshot

MetricValue
Reverse split (effective Feb 24, 2025)1-for-10; shares outstanding 24,238,453
Subsequent financing (Jan 2025)$5M convertible received; $5M pending “next week” at call
Oklahoma bonds (fuels project)$152M allocation
Quick Action Closing Fund (Oklahoma)$3M award; $1M earned

KPIs and Operating Metrics

KPIValueContext
Fuels yields125–140 GGE/ton (feedstock/process-dependent)
Pilot productionUp to 2 barrels/day at Madison facility
Metals tipping fee>$500/ton
Metals offtake revenue~$250/ton
Metals costs~$200/ton (all-in)
Metals throughput“Panel every 7 seconds”; 100,000 tons/year per industry-scale plant
Metals 2025 billings~$2.5M guided

Note: Wall Street consensus estimates from S&P Global for Q4 2024 were unavailable due to data access limits at time of analysis.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Fuels financing path2H 2024 → 2025SBCC term sheet: $200M fuels, $22M metals, $50M mining, $50M real estate SBCC deal “dead”; target Fuels Series A in Q2 2025; Marathon $14M investment; $152M Oklahoma bonds Pivot; replaced SBCC package with Series A, strategic, and project financing
Fuels refinery #12025“Commercial demonstration facility” funded by SBCC $200M Site selection in Q2 2025; project-level financing to build/refinery; warrants/offtake with Marathon pending Timing clarified; financing mix shifted
Fuels spin-offPost-financingConsidered (no firm timing) Committed to spin fuels post Series A; holders receive shares in both Raised/affirmed spin as execution path
Metals billingsFY 2025Q3 commentary: demo ops; billings tripled to >$0.2M, ramp expected ~5–6x FY 2024 to ~$2.5M guided; first industry-scale site capex $6M in 2025 Raised with quantified guidance
Mining monetization (north claims)FY 2025>$2.0M proceeds targeted ~$1.75M proceeds targeted Slightly lowered target
Corporate asset monetizationFY 2025$50M real estate/water rights sale term sheet Monetize >$50M legacy/non-strategic assets Maintained value focus; broadened scope

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ2 2024 (prior)Q3 2024 (prior)Q4 2024 (current)Trend
Financing strategyAnnounced SBCC $325M framework SBCC diligence continued; multi-site metals/fuels plans SBCC deal canceled; Series A for fuels, Marathon $14M, $152M bonds Pivot to strategic/project-level subs funding
Fuels technology/yieldsEngineered profitable demo at 100 GGE; evaluating +25 GGE via CO2 GTL Validated 125 GGE; pursuing 140–150 GGE via bolt-on Validated up to 140 GGE; pilot 2 bbl/day; NREL/Hexas integration Sustained improvement; integration milestones
Metals operationsCommissioned demo; permits; supply/offsake set Decommissioning adds rev; tripled combined metals revenue to >$200K Three shifts; first industry-scale site; 2025 billings ~$2.5M Scaling from demo toward industrial capacity
Mining plansDayton mine plan economics at $2,300 gold (~$250M net cash over 6 years) Resource advancement and PEA planning Investing $1–2M in 2025 to upgrade Dayton toward reserves Moving toward production-ready studies
AI/GenMatMaterial science AI and satellite mission control platform Exclusive NREL/MIT license for SAF aromatics; AI advances R&D reclassification; continued small internal AI team Consolidate focus; monetize learnings

Management Commentary

  • “The August SBCC deal is dead. Please stop asking me about it.”
  • “Intake revenues… are slightly above expectation… at over $500 a ton. Offtake revenues… at $250 a ton… costs are… about $200 a ton… When you think about a 75%… operating margin, it’s an extraordinarily good place to start.”
  • “Marathon… capped our fuels valuation… at $700 million… Marathon’s $14 million investment… is 2% of Comstock Fuels.”
  • “If you’re a holder of LODE, you will be a holder of Comstock, you will be a holder of Bioleum.”
  • “We’re fully subordinating and supporting the businesses… getting the Series A… project funding done and ultimately spinning off fuels.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Scaling and capital: Management outlined subsidiary-level financing and state incentives (OK bonds, grants) to scale fuels; partners/licensing to accelerate replication akin to corn ethanol industry buildout .
  • Licensing economics: International licenses target ~6% engineering fees, ~6% royalties, and 20% equity stakes with zero capital contributions by Comstock Fuels .
  • Metals expansion: Demand pulling from multiple states; international JV interest due to speed/efficiency/scale of Comstock’s process .
  • Shelf registration: Company maintains a $50M shelf to preserve efficient capital market access .
  • Spin-off mechanics: Spin timing/method contingent on Series A completion; holders to receive shares in both entities .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 revenue/EPS/EBITDA was unavailable at query due to SPGI access limits. As a result, estimate comparisons are not provided. If/when data is accessible, we will add consensus benchmarks and highlight beats/misses relative to reported actuals.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Fuels financing rerouted: Expect near-term headlines around Series A completion, offtake agreements, and bond placement; these are primary de-risking catalysts for refinery #1 .
  • Metals monetization ramp: With favorable unit economics and permitting progress, watch for 2025 billings realization (~$2.5M) and tangible steps toward industry-scale commissioning in 2026 .
  • Strategic clarity: Confirmed spin-off of fuels post Series A could unlock segment-specific investor demand and valuation; track spin milestones .
  • Balance sheet watch: FY 2024 cash burn necessitates continued external financing; January converts and structured subsidiary funding stabilized near-term liquidity—monitor dilution vs. growth acceleration .
  • Guidance credibility: Management pivot from SBCC underscores flexibility; Marathon’s validation and $700M fuels valuation cap (as a floor per management) may anchor future funding rounds .
  • Mining optionality: Incremental spend ($1–2M) advancing Dayton toward reserves offers leveraged exposure to metals prices with clearer feasibility work ahead .
  • Execution risk: Industrial scale-up and multi-party licensing require disciplined project management; permitting, financing timelines, and feedstock/offtake integration are key gating items .

Sources: Company filings and earnings materials as cited: 8‑K “Announces Full Year 2024 Results” and Exhibit 99.1 , press release “Comstock Announces Full Year 2024 Results” , Q4 2024 earnings call transcripts , Q3 2024 press release , Q3 2024 call , Q2 2024 8‑K and press materials , and Marathon Petroleum collaboration press release .