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LESAKA TECHNOLOGIES INC (LSAK)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 FY2026 delivered solid execution: GAAP revenue of $171.45M (+10% YoY in ZAR), Net Revenue (non‑GAAP) of $86.61M (+45% YoY in ZAR), and Group Adjusted EBITDA of $15.34M (+61% YoY in ZAR), achieving guidance; GAAP basic loss per share improved to $(0.05) while non‑GAAP adjusted EPS was $0.06 .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, the company produced a clear beat: Revenue $171.45M vs $158.0M estimate; Primary EPS $0.06 vs $(0.02) estimate; EBITDA $13.37M vs $13.15M estimate (EBITDA here is SPGI-defined, separate from company’s non‑GAAP “Adjusted EBITDA” of $15.34M).* Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Management reaffirmed FY2026 guidance (Net Revenue ZAR 6.4–6.9B; Group Adjusted EBITDA ZAR 1.25–1.45B; positive GAAP Net Income; adjusted EPS ≥ ZAR 4.60) and guided Q2 FY2026 Net Revenue ZAR 1.575–1.725B and Group Adjusted EBITDA ZAR 280–320M .
- Stock-relevant catalysts: multi-metric beat, confident FY26 reaffirmation, and Bank Zero integration optionality; watch merchant integration costs/seasonality and ongoing portfolio streamlining (e.g., Cell C monetization underpinned at ~ZAR 50M) that may drive sentiment .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Non-GAAP growth quality: Net Revenue up 45% YoY (ZAR), Adjusted EBITDA up 61% YoY (ZAR), adjusted EPS up 97% YoY (ZAR), all landing at/near guidance; “13th consecutive quarter” of meeting EBITDA guidance underscores execution discipline .
- Consumer segment standout: Adjusted EBITDA up 90% YoY (ZAR 150M); active consumers >1.9M (+24% YoY), ARPU up 13% YoY to ZAR 89, lending originations ZAR 820M vs ZAR 462M, insurance GWP ZAR 120M (+38%) with ~97% collection ratio .
- Enterprise traction: Net Revenue ZAR 222M (+19% YoY) and segment Adjusted EBITDA ZAR 22M (+241% YoY), with Utilities TPV +21% YoY and 270k active meters (+16%) supporting margin uplift as platform/product synergies scale .
Management quotes:
- “We have met our guidance for the 13th consecutive quarter.”
- “Consumer again delivered standout performance… segment adjusted EBITDA increasing 90% to ZAR 150 million.”
- “We are pleased to reaffirm our FY2026 annual guidance… and providing Q2 guidance implying ~20% YoY net revenue growth.”
What Went Wrong
- GAAP profitability remains negative though improving: Q1 GAAP net loss $(4.30)M and basic loss per share $(0.05); group costs elevated at ZAR 64M due to non‑recurring finance/admin charges (expected to trend toward ~ZAR 55M quarterly) .
- Merchant sequential softness and margin oscillation tied to seasonality, mix, and non‑recurring costs; management intentionally kept exclusions minimal, guiding to view run‑rate through next quarter’s guidance and margin band of ~19–25% .
- Integration complexity and office/infra consolidation (moving ~40 offices to ~20) will take time; near‑term cost saves not yet quantified and cross‑sell attachment metrics for merchant to be disclosed starting next quarter .
Financial Results
Multi-Period Core Metrics (USD)
Q1 2026 vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Breakdown – Q1 FY2026
Note: Consumer Net Revenue was not disclosed in the Q1 press release .
KPIs – Q1 FY2026 Operational Drivers (ZAR)
Notes: Some prior values are implied from YoY growth rates disclosed; current reported KPIs are cited from Q1 call.
Guidance Changes
Note: In Sept 2025 prelims, revenue guidance under GAAP was withdrawn due to restatement; Net Revenue guidance was provided and is consistently reaffirmed here .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy and execution: “We are building the foundations for future growth… unifying our merchant brand and product offerings… rationalizing our infrastructure” .
- Consumer momentum: “Our ARPU has increased 13% year on year to ZAR 89… originations amounted to ZAR 820 million… credit loss ratio remains stable” .
- Enterprise scale: “Bill payments represent over 75% of ADP volumes… ADP TPV to ZAR 11.9 billion… Utilities TPV increased 21% YoY to ZAR 396 million” .
- Guidance confidence: “We are pleased to reaffirm our FY2026 annual guidance… Q2 guidance implies ~20% YoY net revenue growth and ~42% YoY EBITDA growth at midpoints” .
Q&A Highlights
- Merchant sequential trends and margins: Seasonality and mix drove sequential changes; some non‑recurring costs were included rather than excluded; look to guidance for underlying run‑rate; margin band ~19–25% .
- Cross‑sell trajectory: High attachment of acquiring to ADP already; software also additive; detailed merchant attachment metrics will be disclosed from next quarter .
- Cost base rationalization: Office consolidation and platform re‑engineering to remove duplication; significant savings expected over short‑to‑medium term, specifics TBD .
- Cell C monetization: Lesaka supportive of IPO; minimum value underpin of ~ZAR 50M with upside optionality post listing .
- Consumer runway: Share gains from Postbank migration; penetration runway in lending/insurance; Bank Zero expands addressable consumer beyond grants .
Estimates Context
- Revenue beat: Actual $171.45M vs $158.0M consensus (SPGI) – strong top‑line performance.* Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Primary EPS beat: $0.06 vs $(0.02) consensus – non‑GAAP adjusted EPS tracked by SPGI contrasted with GAAP loss per share of $(0.05); investors should note reporting basis differences .* Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- EBITDA slight beat: $13.37M vs $13.15M consensus (SPGI); company-reported Group Adjusted EBITDA was higher at $15.34M due to non‑GAAP adjustments .* Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Implication: Consensus likely to rise for FY2026 on demonstrated momentum in Consumer/Enterprise and reaffirmed guidance; watch for modeling shifts to non‑GAAP Net Revenue/Adjusted EBITDA given restatement context .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Multi‑metric beat and FY26 reaffirmation support near‑term positive sentiment; Q2 guidance midpoints imply ~20% YoY Net Revenue and ~42% YoY Adjusted EBITDA growth .
- Consumer engine is robust: higher ARPU, rapid originations, stable credit loss, and insurance scaling with ~97% collections – a key driver of cash conversion and margin resilience .
- Merchant integration is a 2026 execution theme: expect margin variability within the 19–25% band near term, with medium‑term operating leverage as duplication is removed and cross‑sell deepens .
- Enterprise is emerging as a meaningful contributor with ADP scale and Utilities synergy; meter base growth should support recurring vending revenue .
- Balance sheet and cash: Net debt/Adjusted EBITDA improved from 2.9x to 2.5x; Bank Zero deposits could lower funding costs and enhance cash conversion, a medium‑term deleveraging catalyst .
- Watch list items: integration costs, seasonality in merchant/ADP, execution on office consolidation, and timeline/regulatory progress for Bank Zero .
- Trading angle: Near term, the revenue/EPS beats plus confident guidance may drive outperformance; medium term, delivery on cross‑sell, cost savings, and Bank Zero close are key re‑rating levers .
Sources: Q1 FY2026 8‑K earnings release and attachments ; Q1 FY2026 press release ; Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript ; prior quarter Q3 FY2025 8‑K/press release ; preliminary FY2025 press release/8‑K .